Subject: Daily Political Guidance -- Friday, May 6
From: "Moore, Colby" <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 6 May 2016 07:58:38 -0700

This email is intended to provide a brief summary of key Political Department priorities, including recent news and principal travel.  It includes the following components:

  *   Recent News
  *   Polls
  *   Upcoming Principal & Staff Travel
  *   Upcoming Political Events
  *   Upcoming State Party Events
  *   Election Clips

RECENT NEWS\

*         On Thursday, House Speaker and Wisconsin Representative Paul Ryan declared that he could not currently<http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/paul-ryan-says-he-cannot-support-trump-at-this-point-222864> support Donald Trump, throwing a wrench in the presumptive nominee's efforts to unify the Republican Party and giving cover to lawmakers nervous about being tethered to Trump.

POLLS

*         NC - Presidential - Trump (R) vs. Clinton (D) - +12 Clinton (Civitas, 5/5)<https://1ttd918ylvt17775r1u6ng1adc-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/CivitasNCPollApril2016.pdf>

*         NC - Presidential - Trump (R) vs. Sanders (D) - +19 Sanders (Civitas, 5/5)<https://1ttd918ylvt17775r1u6ng1adc-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/CivitasNCPollApril2016.pdf>

*         NC - Senatorial - Burr (R) vs. Ross (D) - +2 Burr (Civitas, 5/5)<https://1ttd918ylvt17775r1u6ng1adc-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/CivitasNCPollApril2016.pdf>

*         NC - Gubernatorial - McCrory (R) vs. Cooper (D) - +10 Cooper (Civitas, 5/5)<https://1ttd918ylvt17775r1u6ng1adc-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/CivitasNCPollApril2016.pdf>

*         US - President Obama Job Approval - +5 Approve (CNN/ORC, 5/6)<http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/05/06/rel6d.-.obama,.economy,.garland.pdf>

*         US - President Obama Job approval - +4 Approve (Gallup, 5/5)<http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx>

Upcoming PRINCIPAL AND Staff Travel

FRIDAY
PRINCIPALS
DWS - Philadelphia, PA & Delaware

CEO/POLITICAL/CONSTITUENCY STAFF
Amy Dacey - Columbus & Cleveland, OH
Raul Alvillar - Philadelphia, PA
Erin Wilson - Philadelphia, PA

SATURDAY
PRINCIPALS
VPOTUS - Dover, DE

CEO/POLITICAL/CONSTITUENCY STAFF
Amy Dacey - Columbus & Cleveland, OH

SUNDAY
PRINCIPALS
FLOTUS - Orlando, FL

CEO/POLITICAL/CONSTITUENCY STAFF
None Scheduled

Upcoming political events

  *   5/7/2016 - Guam Primary
  *   5/10/2016 - West Virginia Primary and Nebraska Republican Primary
  *   5/17/2016 - Oregon Primary and Kentucky Democratic Primary
  *   5/24/2016 - Washington Republican Primary
  *   6/4/2016 - Virgin Islands Democratic Caucus
  *   6/5/2016 - Puerto Rico Democratic Caucus
  *   6/7/2016 - California, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, South Dakota Primaries and North Dakota Democratic Caucus
  *   6/14/2016 - DC Democratic Primary

Upcoming state party events

*         5/6/2016 - 5/7/2016 - Maine Democratic Party - State Convention

*         5/7/2016 - Tennessee Democratic Party - Jackson Day Fundraiser

*         5/7/2016 - Connecticut Democratic Party - State Convention

*         5/7/2016 - Louisiana Democratic Party - POWER UP 2016 Training

*         5/7/2016 - Missouri Democratic Party - Executive Committee Meeting

*         5/7/2016 - Delaware Democratic Party - Delegate Selection Caucus

*         5/9/2016 - Delaware Democratic Party - Kent County Executive Committee Meeting

*         5/11/2016 - Indiana Democratic Party - "How to be a State and National Delegate" Webinar

*         5/12/2016 - Tennessee Democratic Party - Women's Event

*         5/12/2016 - Indiana Democratic Party - VAN Webinar

*         5/13/2016 - 5/15/2016 - Alaska Democratic Party - State Convention and Auction

*         5/14/2016 - Nevada Democratic Party - State Convention

*         5/14/2016 - Georgia Democratic Party - PLEO Level Delegate Elections

*         5/15/2016 - Maine Democratic Party - State Committee Meeting

*         5/17/2016 - Virginia Democratic Party - Tech Community Fundraiser

*         5/17/2016 - Delaware Democratic Party - Democratic Leadership Reception

*         5/18/2016 - Delaware Democratic Party - New Castle County Executive Committee Meeting

*         5/19/2016 - Indiana Democratic Party - VAN Webinar

*         5/20/2016 - Mississippi Democratic Party - JJ Hamer Dinner

*         5/21/2016 - Mississippi Democratic Party - State Convention

*         5/21/2016 - Maryland Democratic Party - State Central Committee Meeting

*         5/21/2016 - Michigan Democratic Party - Congressional District Conventions

*         5/21/2016 - Kentucky Democratic Party - County/Legislative District Caucuses

*         5/21/2016 - Delaware Democratic Party - Presidential Preference Pre-Primary Caucus

*         5/21/2016 - North Carolina Democratic Party - District Conventions

*         5/21/2016 - Washington Democratic Party - Congressional District Caucuses

*         5/21/2016 - Missouri Democratic Party - Jackson County Truman Days

*         5/22/2016 - Vermont Democratic Party - State Convention

*         5/22/2016 - 5/23/2016 - New York Democratic Party - State Convention

*         5/23/2016 - Delaware Democratic Party - Sussex County Executive Committee Meeting

*         5/24/2016 - Tennessee Democratic Party - Women's Event

*         5/25/2016 - Alaska Democratic Party - State Central Committee Meeting

*         5/26/2016 - Indiana Democratic Party - VAN Webinar

*         5/28/2016 - 5/29/2016 - Hawaii Democratic Party - State Convention

*         5/28/2016 - Wyoming Democratic Party - State Convention

*         5/28/2016 - Wyoming Democratic Party - Nellie Tayloe Ross Diner

ELECTION CLIPS

2016 - Presidential

Democratic Party Candidates

Hillary Clinton

FBI interviews Clinton aides including Huma Abedin as part of email probe<http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/05/politics/fbi-interviews-huma-abedin-clinton-aide/index.html>

Some of Hillary Clinton's closest aides, including her longtime adviser Huma Abedin, have provided interviews to federal investigators, as the FBI probe into the security of her private email server nears completion, U.S. officials briefed on the investigation tell CNN. The investigation is still ongoing, but so far investigators haven't found evidence to prove that Clinton willfully violated the law the U.S. officials say. In recent weeks, multiple aides have been interviewed -- some more than once, the officials said. A date for an FBI interview of Clinton has not been set, these officials said, but is expected in the coming weeks. Abedin has cooperated with the probe, the officials said. Lawyers for Abedin declined to comment. The officials say the interviews of Clinton and her aides would be a routine part of an investigation like this.

Bernie Sanders

Let's clear up some confusion about the superdelegates and Bernie Sanders<http://www.vox.com/2016/5/6/11597550/superdelegates-bernie-sanders-clinton>

Bernie Sanders's campaign has seized on a new narrative: The superdelegates will decide the Democratic primary. "Whoever becomes the nominee, their nomination will depend on getting enough superdelegates," Sanders's aide Jeff Weaver said on Wednesday. "And these are people who are not elected through that process. These are elected officials and Democratic members of Congress and governors and party leaders." This narrative has gained currency among some Sanders supporters, who have recently published columns in Salon and other blogs saying that the undemocratically chosen elite superdelegates might unfairly cost him the nomination. The pile-ons have also happened on Twitter.

Republican Party Candidates

Donald Trump

How Ted Cruz was out-outsidered by Donald Trump<http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/06/politics/ted-cruz-outsider-donald-trump/index.html>

Ted Cruz was always the Washington outsider. He just wasn't the Washington outsider Republicans wanted. From the outset, Cruz staked his claim as the "true conservative" in the race, a brand built on standing up to the corruption of the nation's capital.

He talked about building a coalition of young people, evangelicals, libertarians, minorities and Reagan Democrats. "Republicans are uniting and coming together behind our campaign," he said as part of his regular stump speech, at press conferences, at quick stops in small towns across the country.

The plan was simple: do well in Iowa, build on that momentum in South Carolina, then go on to win the so-called "SEC primary" in the South, and build a dominant delegate lead.

Thanks,

Colby Moore
Executive Assistant to the National Political Director
Democratic National Committee
O: (202) 488-5044
C: (704) 430-7163
[email-masked]<mailto:[email-masked]>
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