Subject: TwentySixteen: Cruz and Kasich Coordinate to Stop Trump
From: Karyn Bruggeman <[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Date: Mon, 25 Apr 2016 05:49:44 -0600

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The Lead
In statements released minutes apart on Sunday night, John Kasich and Ted Cruz signaled that their campaigns are coordinating in upcoming primary contests to prevent Donald Trump from hitting the 1,237 bound delegate mark before the convention. The Kasich campaign said: "Due to the fact that the Indiana primary is winner-take-all statewide and by congressional district ... we will shift our campaign's resources West and give the Cruz campaign a clear path in Indiana" and will instead "focus our time and resources in New Mexico and Oregon," while hoping Cruz and outside groups will follow suit. (release) Cruz campaign manager Jeff Roe said the campaign will "focus its time and resources in Indiana and in turn clear the path for ... Kasich to compete in Oregon and New Mexico." (release) In
 a statement of his own, Trump called the joint move a "horrible act of desperation, from two campaigns who have totally failed." (release)

ANTI-TRUMP SPREE IN INDIANA: The super PAC supporting Cruz, Trusted Leadership PAC, plans to spend "$1.6 million in Indiana ahead of the May 3rd primary. The majority will be spent on TV...and other funds will go towards radio and field operations." The first 
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b3826602874e2fd7246109e8bce62632fd1cd8051d65e1488c7d0be6b 
TV ad  began airing on Friday, and ties Kasich to President Obama. (release) The anti-Trump Our Principles PAC is also on the air in Indiana, with its 
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b38266028a5c776bec0a5ff850260f770c265d655cd5af1bec1ff44d3 
ad  bashing Trump University. (release)

DELEGATE PICKUPS: "Cruz notched another delegate landslide Saturday, stretching his advantage in a competition that might never occur: the second ballot of a contested Republican National Convention in July. Cruz won at least 65 of the 94 delegates up for grabs Saturday (he may have won more than 65, but Kentucky's 25 delegates haven't revealed their leanings)." Cruz "won 19 of 20 seats available in Maine ... all nine delegates on the ballot in three Minnesota congressional districts ... one of three delegates in South Carolina's 6th Congressional District. ... Cruz's biggest windfall, though, came from Utah, where at least 36 of 37 national delegates will be aligned with Cruz." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b38266028a89a581c67dd610ce4e40ea8f42dcf127a7835f756084b0a 
Politico)

VEEP BUZZ: Some early names floating around as potential Clinton running mate picks include Sens. Tim Kaine (D-VA) and Mark Warner (D-VA), Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH), former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick (D), and Labor Secretary Tom Perez (D). Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) has also not been ruled out. Clinton "cares less about ideological and personal compatibility than about picking a winner, someone who can dominate the vice-presidential debate and convince Americans that ... Clinton is their best choice." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b3826602858744c29b903d947e83ab354f682aada58dc1437a72cb6b1 
New York Times)

BILLION DOLLAR RACE: Republican leaders worry Trump "has neither the fundraising network nor a large enough personal fortune to match a Democratic machine likely to raise and spend more than $1 billion this autumn." Even though he claims to be worth $10 billion, a
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b3826602821d82403a2f2641ea5990f46465772a980afd60f27b2a5ca 
 " National Journal review of that document found that he had as little as $78 million and no more than $232 million in cash and relatively liquid assets-of which he has already spent $36 million." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b38266028597e6af72cce6e0e90ea6a78bff4f8b9d70cef6ba8e4def9 
National Journal)

POLLING ROUNDUP: An NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll in Pennsylvania found Trump leading Cruz 45 to 27%, followed by Kasich with 24%. Clinton leads Sanders 55 to 40% in the state. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b382660285f74adbf3d7033f3a7566ae659ff01fcf7c8214bdf0d4003 
release ) In Rhode Island, a Brown University poll has Trump up 38 to 25% over Kasich, followed by Cruz with 14%. Clinton holds a 43-34% lead over Sanders there. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b38266028e7bc5ddc97c4881a1126432e9b272a9fc7a705a3bd137b53 
release ) A Fox News poll shows Trump leading Cruz 41 to 33% in Indiana, while Clinton holds a narrow, 46 to 42% lead over Sanders. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b3826602854754438274fb29ec1bfdd6b17bd3fd212687a95b6b2e845 
release ) Clinton and Trump are also up in a WTHR/Howey Politics poll of Indiana. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b38266028e350e6f53abb08e4213ee2b0d036c6019d8a6660c553ccd8 
release )

NUMBER OF THE DAY: 600. The 
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b38266028f84b6fd1ff4517c1eca9432a4688d7bb6e6de5bc865709af 
sample size  pollsters at Brown University were aiming for in their recent survey, a number it took them extra time to hit "due to an unusually high number of incomplete surveys, which the center attributes to voter fatigue." 

http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b3826602815afb922a97264e9b776800cea9fb1e40992ed494df84b98 
Travel Tracker
Most candidates are making stops in Pennsylvania today, where Clinton is holding two GOTV events in Philadelphia and Youngwood.

Sanders is holding rallies in Hartford, Conn. and Pittsburgh.

Trump will hold rallies in West Chester and Wilkes-Barre, as well as an early morning rally in Rhode Island.

Kasich will hold two town halls in Maryland and Pennsylvania.

Cruz is spending the day campaigning across Indiana.

Trail Mix 
"It's a nightmare scenario for Republicans, but conservative billionaire Charles Koch says 'it's possible' Hillary Clinton could make a better president than the remaining candidates in the GOP primary." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b382660280e48ccfe7aff5cf29f4acff30ec7ea324a6a59ad39e241ec 
ABC News )

Of the 25 states with the highest levels of poverty, "17 have held primaries so far - and ... Clinton has won 16 of those contests. When asked why he thinks he's losing in those states, Sanders" said it's because "poor people don't vote." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b38266028cf4b4f4cac3f25ce7c03658fa3f605dcc7e9a1c0b6bab395 
NBC News )

"Sanders said ... he would wait to see what ... Clinton includes in her platform before deciding how actively to campaign for her in the fall if she is the party's nominee." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b3826602880d5741f2d6ee7b57d466af611f61fb5f2efa0903d25d6e5 
Washington Post)

Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe's (D) decision to restore voting rights to 200,000 ex-felons is unlikely to impact the November election in the state, because ex-felons "are less likely to vote than nonfelons, even when ex-felons are eligible to vote." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=1788fc5b38266028b9423fbfaeb18f82256f0e2df6d693f3ace0ddbc2deeb105 
New York Times)

CONNECTICUT, DELAWARE, MARYLAND, PENNSYLVANIA, RHODE ISLAND PRIMARIES: 1 day.

ELECTION DAY COUNTDOWN: 197 days.

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