Subject: TwentySixteen: Kasich’s Exit Seals the Arrival of a New GOP Era
From: Karyn Bruggeman <[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Date: Thu, 5 May 2016 05:58:48 -0600

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The Lead
"John Kasich suspended his presidential campaign in a reflective statement in his home state on Wednesday, calling on Americans to 'live a life bigger than ourselves.'... Kasich and top campaign aides were aboard a plane ready to head to Virginia to address media Wednesday morning, but the plane never got off the ground. The governor instead stayed in Ohio and made the decision to suspend his 2016 campaign. ... The decision comes one day after Kasich finished a distant third in the Indiana primary," and the day after Ted Cruz dropped out of the race. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd548855d34c30e632276341679c035d7f3d16e3896670963e1e3a45 
NBC News )

A NEW REALITY: "Republican elected officials, donors and strategists grappled uncomfortably on Wednesday with the inevitability of" Donald Trump "as their presidential nominee, an unexpectedly sudden denouement that left many in a state of political paralysis and others vowing to oppose the party's new standard-bearer." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd5488559e9ec74594d4c7994330600946a275da04621165409a9205 
New York Times)

INCLUDING A FINANCIAL ONE: "Trump reversed course Wednesday and said he would actively raise money to ensure his campaign has the resources to compete with Hillary Clinton's fundraising juggernaut. His campaign also is beginning to work with the Republican National Committee to set up a joint fundraising committee." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd548855dccf48cd4eb7913b842062910d29cd0d84501d9fce280b30 
Wall Street Journal)  The pro-Trump super PAC, Great America PAC, also recently "added professional operatives and now plans to court major contributors with Trump's apparent blessing." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd54885541155c9a6ecbf24d46bf2526c1e516da6ffdaeedeea6c57f 
Washington Post)

"Repelled by Trump ... wealthy GOP contributors are abandoning the presidential contest and directing their lucrative networks to spend to invest in protecting vulnerable Republican majorities in the House and Senate. ... They are undoubtedly gun shy after wasting time and money on Republicans who Trump destroyed in the primary. They raised untold millions for more than a dozen top flight candidates, and wrote big personal checks to their super PACs. But on policy and fitness for the presidency, the party's most active contributors and bundlers simply can't bring themselves to support their front-runner, reluctantly preferring a Clinton administration that is checked by a GOP congress." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd548855ca1a167438d11b0bb378d91f23bc5d1aa238883ec899b10c 
Washington Examiner)

FIRST 100 DAYS: Trump said if he's elected, "by the end of his first 100 days as the nation's 45th leader, the wall with Mexico would be designed, the immigration ban on Muslims would be in place, the audit of the Federal Reserve would be underway and plans to repeal the Affordable Care Act would be in motion." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd548855ad3492f387ee457b954b9a89bc698047c7dff781a9743149 
New York Times)

TRUMP'S RUST BELT PROBLEM: There's been some buzz about Trump's ability to compete in "Rust Belt" states based on declining turnout among white voters, but "Clarity Campaign Labs, a Democratic data and targeting firm, dug into the voter file in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin to see if it might be possible for Trump to compete in these states based on the number of disengaged white voters who might be persuaded to cast ballots. The numbers aren't promising." If looking at "white registered voters in the four states who didn't vote in the 2012 presidential election, but have voted in at least one other election at some point in their lifetimes," in three of the four states, excluding Ohio, "their number does not exceed the margin by which Mitt
 Romney lost to President Obama in 2012." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd5488559a6043a7fbba8db208a35b6e0bef0c0395a48a7b1ac8d483 
National Journal)

EASY DOES IT: "Democrats close to Clinton and" President Obama "insist they won't pressure" Bernie Sanders "to leave. That reluctance is based on fear inside the Democratic establishment that such a move would make it more difficult to unite the party later this year. Clinton needs the excited supporters that have rallied around Sanders and hopes treating the senator's campaign respectfully will make them more likely to back her against Trump." (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd5488554041d5bb1ff01bb6ffe0e0426d9ea8fb16a8af4a602cccb7 
CNN )

NUMBER OF THE DAY: 347. The 
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd548855e45471051b93ce8f256f2874dbe51ed8b7aed44a039f7706 
number of electoral votes  Clinton would win in a general election contest against Trump if current polling held through November. 

http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd54885586146f0e23391025ef0b97ab612892d1064cd7f6e2ecc0db 
Travel Tracker
Clinton is in California.

Sanders and Trump are both in West Virginia, where they'll hold competing rallies in Charleston. Sanders is also holding a rally in Morgantown and a roundtable discussion on rural poverty.

Trail Mix 
Trump said he will "reveal his vice presidential pick sometime in July" and "would soon announce a committee to handle the selection process, which would include" Ben Carson. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd548855cb6a8c22fe8f8973d3966ab4e29a10a5eb69888f755ade3b 
New York Times)

Former Presidents George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush said they have no plans to endorse Trump. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd5488559b6341eae0b61797401726119800dba8e954ca4c0f6c4c6c 
Texas Tribune)

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) said he'll support Trump. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd5488555912dbf6f2ca556abea60a4b5ee92b3ce045e0d226668aaf 
CNN )

"A federal judge on Wednesday directed State Department officials and top aides to Hillary Clinton to answer questions under oath by June 29" about use of her private email server. (
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd548855fa9668766e14e6f44db8806c71d71afd394665126bc4e970 
Washington Post)

The Clinton campaign sent out a lengthy list of quotes from conservative voices who are standing by their pledges to never support Trump, and made a 
http://click.mail.nationaljournal.com/?qs=4dc8b82dbd5488559167dd51fde09f8141ae8ed613039f26b7d1af0dce01b9eb 
video  mash-up of Trump's primary rivals disparaging him. (release)

NEBRASKA (R), WEST VIRGINIA PRIMARIES: 5 days.
KENTUCKY (D), OREGON PRIMARIES: 12 days.
ELECTION DAY COUNTDOWN: 187 days.

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