Subject: Morning Consult - Trump Pulls Almost Even With Clinton in New Poll
From: "Paustenbach, Mark" <[email-masked]>
To: Comm_D <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 17 May 2016 07:29:54 -0700

Trump Pulls Almost Even With Clinton in New Poll<https://morningconsult.com/2016/05/poll-trump-barely-leads-trump-nationally/>
ELI YOKLEY<https://morningconsult.com/author/eli/>   |   MAY 17, 2016<https://morningconsult.com/2016/05/poll-trump-barely-leads-trump-nationally/>

Throughout the 2016 presidential campaign, Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton has maintained generally comfortable leads over the presumptive Republican nominee, Donald Trump, in a potential general-election matchup. But new survey data from Morning Consult indicates that deficit is closing fast.

According to a national poll of almost 4,000 registered voters taken last week, Clinton leads Trump by just 42 percent to 40 percent, within the 2-point margin of error. She is down 2 percent from a week ago<https://morningconsult.com/2016/05/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-general-election-polling/>, while Trump gained 2 points. Nearly one out of five voters (17 percent) remain undecided.

May 11-15, 2016

May 5-9, 2016

April 29-May 2, 2016

Hillary Clinton

42%

44%

45%

Donald Trump

40%

38%

40%

Don't Know/No Opinion

17%

18%

15%

The new poll shows Trump making gains among independents, women, and those who classify themselves as moderates. He increased his support among independent voters by 3 points, while Clinton's support fell by 2 points. Support from women for the former Secretary of State also fell by 2 points, while Trump's increased by 2 points. And among moderates, the new poll shows Clinton only holding a 10-point lead over Trump (46 percent to 36 percent), down from a 17-point lead (49 percent to 32 percent) in the previous poll.

Among all voters, Clinton is almost as unpopular as the controversial Trump. Only 41 percent of voters have a favorable view of her, compared with 39 percent who have a favorable view of Trump.

And while Clinton holds a sturdy lead in the delegate count for the Democratic nomination, it is her rival, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who continues to poll stronger against Trump in a hypothetical matchup. Pitted against the bombastic businessman, Sanders would lead 50 percent to 37 percent.

May 11-15, 2016

May 5-9, 2016

April 29-May 2, 2016

Bernie Sanders

50%

51%

50%

Donald Trump

37%

36%

39%

Don't Know/No Opinion

14%

13%

11%

The Morning Consult survey polled 3,971 registered voters on May 11-15, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. See the toplines<https://morningconsultintelligence.com/media/mc/160503_topline_MC_TREND_STACKED_v2_AP.pdf> and crosstabs<https://morningconsultintelligence.com/media/mc/160503_crosstabs_MC_TREND_STACKED_v2_AP.pdf>.

Mark Paustenbach
National Press Secretary &
Deputy Communications Director
Democratic National Committee
W: 202.863.8148
[email-masked]<mailto:[email-masked]>