Subject: poll and quick thoughts
From: "Alexander Snyder-Mackler" <[email-masked]>
To: "BB" <[email-masked]>, "Acdonilon" <[email-masked]>, "ted kaufman" <[email-masked]>, "Hunter Biden" <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 23 Apr 2010 16:09:35 -0400

Some quick notes and comments on party breakdown at the end:

Everyone's favs, predictably, are down a little bit from October 08 (Obama
drops 10 to 57 -- I heard the R poll had him at 55 a few weeks ago -- JRB
down 6 but still strong with 67, Carper down 11 to 56 and Castle down 7 to
69).

Beau bucks the trend, only dropping 3 points to 58%. Keep in mind when this
poll was done last, he was in the news a lot for just heading to Iraq. He is
also well ahead in both favorability and name ID of Coons (30/18) and Carney
(36/14).

News among Dems is especially encouraging. Beau is 76/10/15 -- no drop from
a year ago, and 14 points higher than October 06. Obama is 76 fav, JRB is
88. Coons (35/16) and Carney (45/9) are hovering at 50% name ID just among
Dems. Beau has the best head-to-head number of the Dems, 76 to 7. Carney is
72 to 10, and in a sign of how difficult it's going to be for Coons, he's
actually down among Dems, 41 to 40. Obviously that will change, but if it
doesn't change a whole lot, he's toast.

Beau's numbers for Others/Inds are good, too, especially given the climate.
His fav/unfav is 2:1 (52/26), better than Obama (53/37) and a little behind
JRB (64/30). The re-elect number among Others is almost identical to the
approval, 51 to 25.

As for respondent breakdown, we're light on Ds by about 6 percent, and heavy
on Rs and Others by 3 or 4 each. Though with the natl mood and the fact that
so many here switched to vote in pres/gov primaries in 08, this may not be
that far off. Either way, if it's off, our numbers should be higher.

Anxious to hear everyone's thoughts. By the way, Ted Kaufman has the lowest
disapproval of any of the Dems (and Castle)!

A

-- 

Alexander Snyder-Mackler
(302) 598-867