Subject: Blowing Hot Air
From: "Eric Schwerin" <[email-masked]>
To: "Hunter Biden" <[email-masked]>, "David Schwerin" <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 3 May 2011 17:18:53 -0400

Blowing Hot Air
A Hamilton College study sampled the predictions of 26 political pundits and evaluated the accuracy of 472 predictions made during a 16-month period. 

Key findings: Just nine of the prognosticators they studied could predict more accurately than a coin flip. Two were significantly less accurate, and the remaining 14 were not statistically any better or worse than a coin flip. 

Paul Krugman was the most accurate while Cal Thomas was the least accurate.

Eric D. Schwerin
Rosemont Seneca Partners, LLC
1010 Wisconsin Ave., NW
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[email-masked]
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