Subject: RE: Students Predicted Bin Laden's Location Two Years Ago
From: "Ryan, Evan M." <[email-masked]>
To: "Eric Schwerin" <[email-masked]>, "Hunter Biden" <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 4 May 2011 17:19:31 -0400

Fascinating....!

From: Eric Schwerin [mailto:[email-masked]]
Sent: Wednesday, May 04, 2011 4:36 PM
To: Hunter Biden; Ryan, Evan M.
Subject: Fwd: Students Predicted Bin Laden's Location Two Years Ago

Students Predicted Bin Laden's Location Two Years Ago<http://politicalwire.com/archives/2011/05/03/students_predicted_bin_ladens_location_two_years_ago.html>
A UCLA geography class predicted in 2009 that there was an 88.9% chance that Osama bin Laden was hiding out in Abbottabad, Pakistan, where he was killed on Sunday, Science Insider<http://news.sciencemag.org/scienceinsider/2011/05/geographers-had-calculated.html?ref=hp> reports.

"Based on information from satellites and other remote sensing systems, and reports on his movements since his last known location, the students created a probabilistic model of where he was likely to be. Their prediction of a town was based on a geographical theory called 'island biogeography': basically, that a species on a large island is much less likely to go extinct following a catastrophic event than a species on a small one."

Eric D. Schwerin
Rosemont Seneca Partners, LLC
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