Subject: Top races
From: "Crystal King, DSCC" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 7 Dec 2011 15:31:53 -0500 (EST)

R.Hunter,

It's nearly 2012, and Senate campaigns are really starting to heat up across the country. As the DSCC's political director, it's my job to keep a close eye on all of our Senate races, find political opportunities, and do all I can to support our outstanding Democratic candidates. Read below about some of the top races we are working to win – many of which are in battleground states that will help determine the presidential race.  
 
As always, we'll keep you informed whenever campaign news breaks. Thanks for all you do to help Democrats win.
 
Crystal King
 
P.S. Recent polls show great opportunities for Democrats, but seizing the momentum takes money. Can you give $5 or $10 to the DSCC today? Our 500,000 donors are playing a crucial role in preventing a total takeover by radical Republicans. We can't do our work without your help! 
https://dscc.org/give2?donate_page_KEY=12956&amount=x
 
Races Update

ARIZONA: Democrat Richard Carmona's entry into the race has put this red state in play, according to a new poll. Republican Rep. Jeff Flake – "one of the GOP's most outspoken critics of extending the payroll tax cut" – leads Carmona by just 4 points, 40-36. Carmona is receiving especially strong support from Hispanic voters, who favor him 56-19.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/11/dems-competitive-in-az-sen.html

FLORIDA: A new poll of Sunshine State voters shows that Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson has a 46-35 lead over Republican Connie Mack, and an even larger lead over the rest of the GOP field. The Republican primary is shaping up to be brutal slog, and whoever emerges will most likely be damaged for the general election.
http://blogs.orlandosentinel.com/news_politics/2011/12/ppp-dont-count-out-bill-nelson-yet.html

MASSACHUSETTS: This is a state where we have a really good shot at turning a red Senate seat blue. Elizabeth Warren is building a massive following, and in recent polls, she's either tied with or leading Wall Street's favorite senator, Republican Scott Brown. This is definitely a race to keep your eyes on.
http://boston.cbslocal.com/2011/12/01/new-poll-has-brown-warren-in-dead-heat/

MONTANA: A brand new Montana Chamber of Commerce poll has Democratic Sen. Jon Tester leading Republican Rep. Dennis Rehberg by 5 points – and that's after the national Chamber of Commerce ran a slew of attack ads targeting Tester. Rehberg, if you remember, is the lawmaker who sued his hometown fire department and called Pell grants "the welfare of the 21st century."  
http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/1211/Montana_Chamber_Tester_up_5_.html?showall 
www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/04/01/denny-rehberg-pell-grants-welfare-21st-century_n_843712.html

NEVADA: In Nevada, a recent poll showed Democratic Rep. Shelley Berkley in a dead heat with appointed Sen. Dean Heller, 45-45. In a previous poll, Heller led by 3 points. Heller has the dubious distinction of being the only lawmaker to vote for Rep. Paul Ryan's End Medicare Plan twice – once in the House and once after he was appointed to the Senate.
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/190015-poll-dead-heat-in-nevada-senate-race
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/163425-nevada-dems-sen-heller-doubled-down-on-medicare-

NORTH DAKOTA: The entry of former Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp into the North Dakota Senate race caused leading analysts to shift their prediction from Likely Republican to Tossup. And recent polling shows Heitkamp leading freshman GOP Rep. Rick Berg by 5 points, 47-42. In fact, only 28% of poll respondents gave Berg favorable marks, while 56% were thumbs down.
http://www.grandforksherald.com/event/article/id/222848/group/homepage/

WISCONSIN: The most recent polling in Wisconsin shows a tossup, with Democratic Rep. Tammy Baldwin within the margin of error of three Republican candidates. The Republican primary in Wisconsin is hotly contested and has already become nasty, giving Baldwin the opportunity to concentrate on sharing her plan to create jobs, protect Medicare and Social Security and put middle class families first.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/10/wi-sen-a-toss-up.html

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http://www.dscc.org, and not authorized by any candidate or
candidate's committee.

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candidate's committee.

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