Subject: Very interesting article....
From: "Arlene Busch" <[email-masked]>
To: "Biden Hunter" <[email-masked]>, "Schwerin Eric" <[email-masked]>, "Mathis Michael" <[email-masked]>, "Harple Chuck" <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 10 Jan 2013 06:28:36 -0700

HEDGE FUNDS<http://dealbook.nytimes.com/category/main-topics/hedge-funds/> JANUARY 9, 2013, 10:08 AM 12 Comments<http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/01/09/loeb-counters-ackmans-bet-against-herbalife/#postComment>
Just Business: 2 Hedge Fund Rivals Clash Over Herbalife
BY MICHAEL J. DE LA MERCED<http://dealbook.nytimes.com/author/michael-de-la-merced/> AND ANDREW ROSS SORKIN<http://dealbook.nytimes.com/author/andrew-ross-sorkin/>
[http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2013/01/10/business/dbpix-daniel-loeb/dbpix-daniel-loeb-articleInline.jpg]Steve Marcus/ReutersDaniel S. Loeb, founder of Third Point.

10:21 p.m. | Updated

They are two of the richest and most prominent hedge fund managers in Manhattan.

About the same age and athletic build, they favor brash, headline-grabbing investments. They make the rounds in New York charity circles. They live blocks apart in luxury buildings on the Upper West Side. They spend summers not far from each other in mansions in the Hamptons.

Yet, they find themselves locked in a battle over, of all things, a nutritional supplements company that makes protein bars and

Related Links

 *   S.E.C. Opens Investigation Into Herbalife (Jan. 9, 2013)<http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/01/09/s-e-c-opens-investigation-into-herbalife/>
 *   Loeb Explains His Herbalife Bet (Jan. 9, 2013)<http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/01/09/loeb-explains-his-herbalife-bet/>

One of the hedge fund managers, William Ackman, claims that the company, Herbalife<http://dealbook.on.nytimes.com/public/overview?symbol=HLF&inline=nyt-org>, is a house of cards — “the best-managed pyramid scheme in the history of the world” — and its stock is worth nothing. His rival and friend, Daniel S. Loeb, takes the opposite stance, arguing that Herbalife will not only survive, but thrive.

Their fight played out on a public stage on Wednesday, when Mr. Loeb disclosed that his investment firm Third Point had bought nearly nine million shares of Herbalife, now worth more than $350 million. Just weeks before, Mr. Ackman of Pershing Square Capital excoriated the company at an investment conference, betting $1 billion that the stock would fall in what is known as a short sale.

This is a “battle bigger than any sumo pairing,” said Jeffrey A. Sonnenfeld, a senior associate dean at Yale School of Management.

A spokeswoman for Herbalife declined to comment.

Their dispute centers on the company’s sales practices. Herbalife relies on an army of independent resellers who have incentive to recruit other members.

Mr. Ackman, 46, has taken aim at this network of resellers, saying that the recruitment efforts are more lucrative than the product sales. He also suggested that the company uses predatory practices to attract undereducated minorities with false promises of becoming millionaires.

Citing the 32-year history of Herbalife, Mr. Loeb, 51, called the short-seller’s thesis “preposterous.” He defended the company as a “compounder,” one that grows steadily year over year with a loyal clientele. Madeleine Albright<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/a/madeleine_k_albright/index.html?inline=nyt-per>, the former secretary of state, has extolled the virtues of its product.

[http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2013/01/10/business/dbpix-william-ackman/dbpix-william-ackman-articleInline.jpg]Jack Cusano/ReutersWilliam A. Ackman, chief of Pershing Square Capital Management.
[http://markets.on.nytimes.com/research/tools/builder/api.asp?sym=HLF&duration=3&chartstyle=ArticleInline&w=190&h=250&display=line]

Adding to the scrutiny, the Securities and Exchange Commission<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/s/securities_and_exchange_commission/index.html?inline=nyt-org> has opened an investigation into the company, according to a person briefed on the matter who spoke on the condition of anonymity because the inquiry was continuing. The agency has not decided whether to take action and Herbalife has not been accused of any wrongdoing.

Mr. Ackman and Mr. Loeb are similar figures on Wall Street.

Over the last decade, Mr. Ackman and Mr. Loeb have developed a reputation for their aggressive tactics, capitalizing on their rock-star status in finance to gain support for their strategies. Unlike many of their hedge fund compatriots, the activist investors are unafraid to take big positions in companies and demand change in very public ways.

They overhaul management teams, remake boards and dictate strategy, all in the hope of increasing their holdings. Or they just bet against a stock, if they don’t have faith.

Last year, Mr. Loeb was instrumental in the ouster of the Yahoo<http://dealbook.on.nytimes.com/public/overview?symbol=YHOO&inline=nyt-org> chief executive Scott Thompson. The activist investor, known for his acerbic pen, wrote scathing letters to the board of the Internet company, detailing how Mr. Thompson had padded his résumé.

“Now more than ever Yahoo investors need a trustworthy C.E.O,” Mr. Loeb wrote at the time. Since the firm first took a stake in 2011, shares of Yahoo are up more than 50 percent.

Mr. Ackman turned a $60 million investment in General Growth Properties into a $2.3 billion windfall by navigating one of the nation’s largest mall operators through bankruptcy. After taking a seat on the board, he successfully fended off a lowball takeover attempt while orchestrating a better deal.

They are not always successful. Mr. Ackman took on Target<http://dealbook.on.nytimes.com/public/overview?symbol=TGT&inline=nyt-org>, battling with the retailer’s board in 2009 over how to improve its stock price. After spending millions of dollars on his campaign, he conceded defeat.

He is also bullish on a turnaround at J. C. Penney<http://dealbook.on.nytimes.com/public/overview?symbol=JCP&inline=nyt-org>, bringing in the former Apple retail chief Ron Johnson. But since his first investment in late 2010, Penney’s stock has fallen 31 percent.

During the financial crisis, Mr. Loeb’s firm suffered along with many of his peers. His main fund lost about 33 percent in 2008.

Only one investor will be right on Herbalife.

In late December, Mr. Ackman announced an “enormous” short position in the company, in a three-hour presentation called “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire?” The investor cast doubt on the company’s sales of nearly $4 billion a year.

“I don’t think very many retail sales are actually happening at all,” said Mr. Ackman, who pledged to donate his personal proceeds from the bet against Herbalife to charity.

With his usual showmanship, Mr. Ackman also highlighted what he considered the more dubious aspects of the company’s culture. He showed an Herbalife video, featuring a tour of a distributor’s high-end home.

“Episodes of ‘MTV<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/mtv_networks/index.html?inline=nyt-org> Cribs’?” Mr. Ackman asked. “No. These are Herbalife productions.”

In the end, the short-seller had a bold prediction: federal regulators would eventually shut down the company.

The investor’s statements sent the stock tumbling. Over the next four days, shares of Herbalife fell 30 percent. Months before, critical questions on a company’s earnings call by the activist investor David Einhorn prompted a similar sell-off, although the stock had started to recover before Mr. Ackman’s presentation.

Soon after Mr. Ackman’s campaign began, Mr. Loeb met with the company executives and bankers about Herbalife’s business, according to people with direct knowledge of the matter. He also conducted his own research, digging through the numbers.

The investor eventually decided Mr. Ackman was wrong, buying 8.2 percent of Herbalife. When Mr. Loeb disclosed the stake, he breathed life in the stock. It rose 4 percent on Wednesday to close at nearly $40, higher than when Mr. Ackman delivered his presentation.

Mr. Loeb indicated in a letter to investors that the shares had room to run, given the company’s strong revenue, profit and free cash flow. Over all, he estimates Herbalife stock is worth as much as $68.

“While the short-seller’s presentation was lengthy, it presented no evidence to show that Herbalife has crossed a line that would compel regulators to shut it down,” Mr. Loeb wrote, taking a shot at Mr. Ackman. Mr. Ackman promptly responded, welcoming any investor who “brings additional sunlight to the situation.”

On Thursday, Herbalife will tell its side of the story. The company will present to investors its first public rebuttal since Mr. Ackman’s attack last month.

Ben Protess and William Alden contributed reporting.

A version of this article appeared in print on 01/10/2013, on page A1 of the NewYork edition with the headline: Just Business: 2 Rivals Clash, Billion in Play.

Arlene Busch
312-498-9595
[email-masked]<mailto:[email-masked]>