Subject: Re: Video: Ted in Ukraine
From: <[email-masked]>
To: "Hunter Biden" <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2014 16:32:50 +0000 (UTC)

See attached IRI poll. 

1. Poroshenko is out in front with about 21% of the all voters, but 27% of most likely voters . Tymoshenko is second with only 11, and 14% of most likely voters. But, Poroshenko is the only one with lots of money, and it is a very short campaign. Since this poll he has linked up with Klychko (Euromaidan hero and heavyweight boxing champ) who will run for Mayor of Kiev. Voters want a new face, so who knows what could happen in a runoff. All in all, early "smart" money is on him. 

2. He is not a decent choice. He is an oligarch and has associations with some real nasty people/oligarchs. 

3. I do not think RU will "move into east", but they could cause enough of a disturbance with "non-Russian troops" to have a state of emergency declared which could stop elections. "Smart" money says Putin cannot let these elections go forward. It is hard to see how he can do it without having his fingerprints all over it. The big problem is that it is hard to see the EU doing anything serious to stop him. 

PS the Siemans Putin meeting has probably emboldened Putin - http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/6d774238-b506-11e3-a746-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2ymiKKa9i 

----- Original Message -----

From: "Hunter Biden" <[email-masked]> 
To: [email-masked] 
Sent: Sunday, April 13, 2014 10:46:21 AM 
Subject: Re: Video: Ted in Ukraine 

Who do you think is most likely to win -- Poroshenko? Is he a relatively decent choice? Will RU move into the east before elections, after, not at all? 

RHB 
202.333.1880 

On Apr 13, 2014, at 9:16 AM, [email-masked] wrote: 

thanks -lets all hope they have the elections on May 25. 

----- Original Message -----

From: "Eric Schwerin" < [email-masked] > 
To: "Alexander S. Mackler" < [email-masked] > 
Cc: "Hunter Biden" < [email-masked] >, "JRB3" < [email-masked] >, "ted kaufman" < [email-masked] > 
Sent: Sunday, April 13, 2014 8:15:41 AM 
Subject: Re: Video: Ted in Ukraine 

Great job, Ted! 

Eric D. Schwerin 
[email-masked] 

Sent from my iPhone 

On Apr 12, 2014, at 4:31 PM, "Alexander S. Mackler" < [email-masked] > wrote: 

<blockquote>

Ted gives recs around 12-minute mark: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ywMYzQemhW4 

-- 

Alexander Snyder Mackler 
(302) 598-8678 

</blockquote>