Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score, presented by Katz Radio Group: New poll gives McDaniel 6-point lead in runoff — Rangel touts Bill Clinton endorsement on new mailer — Ernst up 5 in post-primary Vox Populi poll — Graham debates GOP challengers in S.C.
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2014 08:01:59 -0600

By Emily Schultheis (
mailto:[email-masked] 
[email-masked] ; Twitter: @emilyrs) and Jose DelReal (
mailto:[email-masked] 
[email-masked] ; Twitter: @jdelreal)

With help from Elizabeth Titus, Alex Isenstadt, James Hohmann and Tarini Parti

The following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro&#39;s Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day&#39;s most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5d43ab1a1c9033fed010ba1b674cd770613814a50f2e6715b 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f59a473e1e24804df22fdce2b7c25f8ed4bbf3aeeb4e4dcf42 )

SCORE EXCLUSIVE - MCDANIEL LEADS IN NEW POST-PRIMARY POLL: The conventional wisdom says Mississippi state Sen. Chris McDaniel has the advantage in the upcoming June 24 Senate runoff - and a new robopoll of likely GOP runoff voters from the group Strategic National feeds that CW by finding the GOP challenger with a 6-point lead. McDaniel takes 52 percent in the poll, with GOP incumbent Sen. Thad Cochran at 46 percent. (McDaniel led the primary with 49.5 percent of the vote, compared with 49.0 percent for Cochran.) Asked if Cochran should continue to contest the runoff or step down and let McDaniel win, 40 percent of voters thought Cochran should step aside. Despite McDaniel's lead, those
 surveyed have a slightly more positive view of Cochran than they do of McDaniel: Cochran is at 58 percent favorable and 26 percent unfavorable; McDaniel is at 53 percent favorable, 32 percent unfavorable. The poll was conducted on June 5, two days after the primary; it was not conducted for any candidate or group involved in the race, though Strategic National is closer to the tea-party wing of the GOP. Full results for Pro subscribers: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5baf57d40a9df24dd8ab2a5e4ae756dc0c524af033278c743 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5baf57d40a9df24dd8ab2a5e4ae756dc0c524af033278c743 

NEW THIS MORNING - POST-PRIMARY POLL PUTS ERNST UP 5: Vox Populi Polling, the Republican firm, went in the field last Wednesday and Thursday after Iowa's Senate primary and found GOP nominee Joni Ernst leading Democrat Bruce Braley by 5 points, 49-44. Republican Gov. Terry Branstad leads Democrat Jack Hatch by 11 points, 51-40. The robopoll surveyed 667 active voters and has a 3.8 percent margin of error. See the toplines here: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5020d9b8e92e77e6573678598bb35412edea2cb25e468d172 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5020d9b8e92e77e6573678598bb35412edea2cb25e468d172 

--That's virtually identical to results of a Loras College poll, which had Ernst up, 48-42. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5b813ff19f400173f569193d95836ce1a9294dc5bda47ed4a 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5b813ff19f400173f569193d95836ce1a9294dc5bda47ed4a 

TODAY ON CAMPAIGN PRO - HOW DEMS NARROWLY AVOIDED CA-31 DISASTER

As Charlie Rangel gets an assist from Bill Clinton, the DNC announces six potential'16 convention cities,and voters in five states prepare for primaries this week, here&#39;s POLITICO&#39;s Morning Score: your daily guide to the 2014 midterms.

DAYS UNTIL THE ELECTION: 148.

Good Monday morning and welcome to the abridged version of POLITICO Campaign Pro's Morning Score. As always, send your tips, thoughts, and suggestions to 
mailto:[email-masked] 
[email-masked]  or tweet them to @
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f528a6fc04b77f83de918506cc7fe257285a8235ebb91c9dff 
emilyrs . You can also get your Campaign Pro news at @
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5ead29791dc521c927959a569b0f1a0363b98b3879d13af6c 
politicopro  and @
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f55bdc02e60c19a42ba7b1e9aa6ccbf8749cee8ad22eb68767 
promorningscore .

** Katz Radio Groupis your one-stop media partner. No other company can match the massive reach, local targeting abilities and effectiveness of Katz Radio Group. Timing is everything in an election. Let Katz Radio Group give you the reach and speed you need to effectively deliver your message. Contact: 
mailto:[email-masked] 
[email-masked] **

TODAY ON CAMPAIGN PRO -

http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5e0fb72730825c0acca09b913a382ea0f667854fb3eb4bf4f 
HOW DEMS NARROWLY AVOIDED CA-31 DISASTER 

FIVE QUESTIONS FOR THE WEEK AHEAD-

1) Can Lindsey Graham avoid a Palmetto State runoff?

2) What's his final margin?

3) Will Don Beyer win in the crowded Virginia 8th District primary?

4) Does Brian Sandoval's desired LG pick win over Sue Lowden (of 2010 Senate fame) in Nevada?

5) How much will the EMILY's List efforts for Emily Cain boost her margin in Maine?

PREVIEWING THIS WEEK'S PRIMARIES: Five states vote this week: Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina and Virginia. Unlike last Tuesday, when there were myriad competitive and interesting primaries, this week is likely to bring few surprises: in South Carolina's Senate race, the big question is whether GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham can reach the 50 percent necessary to avoid a runoff. (Even if he doesn't, the runoff is in just two weeks and there's almost no way a challenger could coalesce the anti-Graham vote during that time.)

SOUTH CAROLINA SENATE DEBATE RECAP: The State has the highlights from Saturday's first and only GOP Senate debate in South Carolina: "U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham's six GOP challengers criticized the Seneca Republican on Saturday, saying he had failed to protect the Constitution during the Republican Primary campaign's only debate. Graham, who is seeking a third term in the Senate, defended his record, including voting in favor of President Barack Obama's two Supreme Court nominees and working to help illegal immigrants become citizens. ... Graham's challengers hoped to score points in a race where they have fallen far behind the incumbent, who appears to have a chance of winning the GOP
 nomination without a runoff, according to a recent poll." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f51413a268491253a29e464386b747796189fb43340f2f78be 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f51413a268491253a29e464386b747796189fb43340f2f78be 

TODAY ON POLITICO - ICYMI: HOW GILLESPIE COULD WIN IN VIRGINIA, via Campaign Pro's James Hohmann from the state GOP convention in Roanoke: "1) Keep up with Warner on the cash front. Gillespie raised more money in the first quarter than any other non-incumbent Republican Senate candidate. ... But Warner already has raised $12.6 million this cycle. ... 2) Strip the Teflon off Warner. Republicans say Warner's Senate record does not match his public image, but they acknowledge they will need to more effectively tie him to Democratic leaders. ... 3) Define himself before Warner does. With his cash, Warner may run a big early television campaign that introduces Gillespie as a lobbyist who worked
 for Enron and other dubious clients before serving in the George W. Bush administration. ... 4) Keep talking about Obamacare - and make Warner own it. Obamacare has continuing resonance in Virginia because of an ongoing showdown between Democratic Gov. Terry McAuliffe and the Republican-led House of Delegates over whether to expand Medicaid.... 5) Limit his losses in Northern Virginia. Obama won the last two presidential cycles in part because of the growth of the D.C. suburbs and exurbs - and their leftward shift." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5ab7c6cb17f1b810d8d945837b8c992d86d99b007f9366cf7 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5ab7c6cb17f1b810d8d945837b8c992d86d99b007f9366cf7 

FIRST LOOK - RANGEL MAILER FEATURESBILL CLINTON: New York Rep. Charlie Rangel, entangled in a tough June 24 primary, is out with a mailer touting his endorsement from former President Bill Clinton. 'Charlie has been a champion of more good jobs, successful smart businesses and strong families for more than 40 years. That&#39;s what his district and our country need now,' Clinton is quoted as saying in the mailer. The opposite side of the mailer has pictures of House Speaker John Boehner, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin. 'The tea party has a stranglehold on Congress, but we&#39;ve got a fighter in our corner,' it reads. Campaign Pros can see it here: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5c68a753ce340b8fdfb6dd965bf8bcfe0a50dacd7d3f1f9ee 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5c68a753ce340b8fdfb6dd965bf8bcfe0a50dacd7d3f1f9ee 

AIR WAR STAT OF THE DAY: Per the New York Times' story on the Alaska Senate race, political ads have aired nearly 20,000 times in the state since early 2013. That's higher than in any of the other three major races featuring red-state Democratic incumbents: in North Carolina, that figure was 18,000; in Arkansas it's 13,000 and in Louisiana it's 12,000. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f51b37c186b2ef38613130372e892b69b96270a913c608f51c 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f51b37c186b2ef38613130372e892b69b96270a913c608f51c 

DEMS NARROW CONVENTION CITIES DOWN TO SIX: The Democratic convention selection process is starting to heat up as six cities - Birmingham, Cleveland, Columbus, New York, Philadelphia and Phoenix - submitted official bids to be considered for the '16 confab. A committee of DNC members will now make site visits and determine how well each city could handle the crowds and security demands that come with a party convention; a decision is likely to be announced late this year or in early 2015. Republicans began their convention selection process earlier and are down to just four cities: Cleveland, Dallas, Denver and Kansas City. (Cleveland is the only city still present on both parties' lists,
 which makes sense given its location in a perennial swing state. Columbus and Phoenix submitted RNC bids but were eliminated earlier in the process.) 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5e219c68590199f3a8cfc94bd58e9c78b15b544b826bb105e 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5e219c68590199f3a8cfc94bd58e9c78b15b544b826bb105e 

QUICK HITS ACROSS THE MAP - Quick takes from races across the country: 

SENATE-

-GA-Sen: GOP Rep. Jack Kingston leads primary runoff opponent David Perdue, 52 percent to 41 percent, according to a new SurveyUSA poll. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f564b5c7f822859cf1637500d473c94cffee82b03fb9540aca 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f564b5c7f822859cf1637500d473c94cffee82b03fb9540aca 

-MS-Sen: GOP Sen. Thad Cochran is getting a boost from Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who will support him at an NRSC fundraiser. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5967266e98574c99e30bee07e9c8aebb3cbd9bc8717a29ed5 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5967266e98574c99e30bee07e9c8aebb3cbd9bc8717a29ed5 

-MT-Sen: GOP Rep. Steve Daines released a TV ad accused Democratic Sen. John Walsh of having 'mismanaged our tax dollars.' 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f59e1e9a9e0afa2c09d9fe7cc4945e79d64eb8187b78c2e5a4 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f59e1e9a9e0afa2c09d9fe7cc4945e79d64eb8187b78c2e5a4 

-NY-21: GOP candidate Matt Doheny released an ad painting primary rival Elise Stefanik as a 'DC insider.' 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f552cc86a2ed86550f196b088b1b6c5c274368cb5815e3a0e4 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f552cc86a2ed86550f196b088b1b6c5c274368cb5815e3a0e4 

-GA-Gov: GOP Gov. Nathan Deal leads Democratic rival Jason Carter, 44 percent to 38 percent, according to a new poll by SurveyUSA. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f564b5c7f822859cf1637500d473c94cffee82b03fb9540aca 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f564b5c7f822859cf1637500d473c94cffee82b03fb9540aca 

-MD-Gov: Democratic Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown released a positive 30-second TV ad spotlighting his running mate. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f592823cbef22d86660411c6cbab448410c7c23ac35b233537 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f592823cbef22d86660411c6cbab448410c7c23ac35b233537 

CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "This is what I call the 'hate season.' For the next few months it&#39;s going to be brutal out there.&#39;&#39; - Maine Gov. Paul LePage, speaking at a recent campaign event 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5cc162df4ce56a43ad7c476a83066552337595c32fd934240 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5cc162df4ce56a43ad7c476a83066552337595c32fd934240 

SIGN UP FOR CAMPAIGN PRO - Designed for you, the political professional, Campaign Pro has what you&#39;ve been asking for: real-time news, analysis and data on more than 60 House, Senate and gubernatorial races - plus an earlier and more comprehensive version of this newsletter - Morning Score. Get the information you need to do your job - first, fast and all in one place. Sign up for Campaign Pro today. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5d43ab1a1c9033fed010ba1b674cd770613814a50f2e6715b 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f59a473e1e24804df22fdce2b7c25f8ed4bbf3aeeb4e4dcf42 

LIVE TODAY - ALL POLICY IS LOCAL: Education - the second coverage area in POLITICO's ongoing series reporting on the 2014 midterms like no one else. Going beyond the horserace, ALL POLICY IS LOCAL: Education examines the intersection of politics and education policy and the impact on industry and community.See full coverage including the must-read piece by Maggie Severns and Katie Glueck reporting on the closely watched DC mayoral race and how education is driving decisions: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5648daad85eefd7ed30f8b3db46628e1381ecd987767c66e3 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5648daad85eefd7ed30f8b3db46628e1381ecd987767c66e3 .

** Want to Reach Voters?Time to Get Personal. Special Report by Pat McGee, SVP Political Strategies for Katz Radio Group

Radio is personal.According to Nielsen, more than 90% of Americans spend nearly three hours every day listening to Radio. That's a huge amount of time spent with 9 out of 10 in any age group: millennials, moms, Hispanics, empty nesters- and yes, voters.

Research also shows 93% of radio's massive audience hears commercial spots when they air, without delay or skipping. For political advertisers, there is no better way to make an immediate impact and influence voters than through radio's enormous reach and local targeting abilities.

When you ask someone what their favorite radio station is, they almost always have an answer.Your favorite radio station reflects who you are and what you care about most. Radio inspires, it influences and it brings communities together.

If you want to reach voters where their neighborhood is and their passion lives, let Katz Radio Group, your one-stop media partner, deliver your story one market at a time to millions of voters across the country.

Contact: 
mailto:[email-masked] 
[email-masked]**

Go to POLITICO Morning Score Now >> http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f58ddfffc420f80ddd048a40efb5c4f692148080aa7a506c07

Go to this edition >> http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f5a187b91ac07282df1cc2ed900603a55dcf38c972eee94261

=================================

2014 POLITICO, LLC

POLITICO Morning Score.

To unsubscribe, http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=545769929fb6b2f514f9feb504a26709d2feb66ac176819b337ea585eb4cd617

=================================