Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score, presented by CIT: Paul teams up with Chamber to boost Sullivan — Obama stars in state-level political ads — First Lady to Massachusetts for Martha Coakley
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2014 08:45:53 -0600

By Kyle Cheney

With Maggie Haberman and Steven Shepard

The following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro&#39;s Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day&#39;s most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (
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AIR WARS - Paul films spot for Alaska's Sullivan: Sen. Rand Paul will boost Alaska Republican Dan Sullivan's Senate candidacy in a major new ad campaign launched by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. Paul is the star of an ad supported by a seven-figure buy, according to the Chamber, which says it's aimed at winning over independent, swing voters. "Nothing's going to change when Mark Begich votes with his liberal Democrat friends 91 percent of the time," Paul says to the camera. "Washington takes too much of our freedoms and too much of our money. I think Dan Sullivan will get it back. And to change Washington, change your senator." The ad is airing statewide and on digital platforms. 
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 - 2010 flashback: "U.S. Chamber picks Trey Grayson in Kentucky Senate fight" 
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"Obama takes star turn in state political ads," by Center for Public Integrity's Ben Wieder: "The president or his signature health care law have been mentioned in more than 1 out of every 10 television ads that have aired about elections for state-level political office so far in the run-up to Nov. 4, according to the latest Center for Public Integrity analysis of data from media tracking service Kantar Media/CMAG. Comparatively, more than one-third of political ads in U.S. Senate races have mentioned the president, according to the Center's analysis. Combined, more than 300,000 ads have aired mentioning Obama or the health care law." 
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Kristol group launches anti-Pryor ad: The William Kristol-led Emergency Committee for Israel is launching a seven-figure television, radio and digital ad buy to boost Republican Senate hopeful Tom Cotton in Arkansas in the final stages of his race against Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor. The buy is more than $700,000 on cable and broadcast TV in Arkansas markets, with the rest spread over radio and digital. 'We&#39;re for a strong Israel and a strong America,' said Kristol, editor of The Weekly Standard and head of the group. 'So is Tom Cotton. He&#39;ll be a great senator.' The Pryor-Cotton matchup is one of the closely-watched contests this season as Republicans try to regain control of the
 Senate. 
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CASH RACE - WSJ: Crossroads GPS, American Crossroads top $100 million raised: The Wall Street Journal's Rebecca Ballhaus and Brody Mullins report that the two affiliated groups report that the organizations' fundraising has eclipsed $100 million, much of it coming within the last month. That portends a flood of ads supporting Republican candidates in the final weeks of the election cycle. "In North Carolina, for example, Crossroads GPS has spent $5 million all year to help Republican Thom Tillis in his effort to defeat incumbent Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan. In the next month alone, it plans to spend another $5.1 million to help the Republican," the duo reports. POLITICO reported this week
 that Crossroads intends to increase its presence in Iowa and New Hampshire. The WSJ story: 
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As Senate controls barrels toward a post-November runoff and plagiarism charges roil yet another campaign, here&#39;s POLITICO&#39;s Morning Score: your daily guide to the 2014 midterms.

Days until the election: 32

Thanks for joining us. We're eager for your news and feedback. Email us at 
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TODAY ON CAMPAIGN PRO - "How Kay Hagan stayed afloat," by Tarini Parti: "Democrats in the most competitive Senate races in the country are worse off now than they were this summer. But there's one notable exception: North Carolina Sen. Kay Hagan. Despite being one of the most at-risk Democrats running in a state where President Barack Obama is unpopular, polls show Hagan has maintained a small-to-moderate lead - 4.2 points in the latest RealClearPolitics average - in her race against Republican state House Speaker Thom Tillis.

"Hagan and supporting groups have used a sizable cash advantage to overwhelm Tillis on the airwaves, honing in on unpopular laws from the state Legislature to paint the Republican as out of touch. That air assault, combined with Tillis' lackluster fundraising, has enabled Hagan to avoid the slide her fellow vulnerable incumbents have suffered." 
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"Are Big Three Senate races slipping from Dems?" by James Hohmann, with POLITICO's Burgess Everett: "It's been the most remarkably enduring story line of Election 2014: Three Democratic senators defying their states' deep red complexion and their president's abysmal approval ratings to stay competitive in races that should have, on paper, been lost long ago. The question all along has been, Could it possibly last? Now, a month out from the election, Republicans are seeing subtle but perceptible signs that contests in Alaska, Arkansas and Louisiana - all three pivotal in the battle for the Senate - are finally breaking their way."

"Officials from both parties caution that all three races remain competitive; any or all of the incumbents could ultimately survive. But the shifts in the GOP's favor recently are significant, said National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Jerry Moran ... All three incumbents are working hard to court the narrow slice of crossover voters. In an ad this week, Pryor talked about taking on the feds to block farm dust regulations. West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin went skeet shooting in Louisiana this week to assure voters that Landrieu supports the Second Amendment. Begich is running ads starring GOP endorsements, including the widow of a former Republican governor saying he works across
 party lines." 
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WHITE HOUSE WATCH - "Obama gets some much-needed love in Chicago," by Edward-Isaac Dovere: "[T]here's a reason [President Barack] Obama started back home for a final month of what for him counts as heavy campaigning. It's a place he loves and is loved, while his political and personal stock falls elsewhere. And it's a place where Gov. Pat Quinn is in need of help. Having the incumbent Democratic governor lose in Obama's home state would be the kind of embarrassment that would drive home how deeply damaged the president is." 
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KANSAS TWIST - A tough week for Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback got worse with a revelation that an FBI investigation into close associate is active and underway. The Topeka Capital-Journal reports that a former Republican state senator - defeated in 2012 by a Brownback-supported conservative primary challenger - revealed Thursday that he has spoken repeatedly with the FBI about Brownback's former chief of staff David Kensinger, now a lobbyist and adviser to Brownback's campaign. Kensinger is being targeted in an investigation on "influence-peddling" associated with Brownback's reform of Kansas's Medicaid program, KanCare. "The FBI called me. The investigation is very real," Kelsey said at a news
 conference, according to the Capital-Journal. "It&#39;s not a political thing with them at all. They do not want government that is corrupt. I am confident it&#39;s not finished." 
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FIRST IN SCORE - It may be the most famous bathroom break of the midterms. Scott Brown's trip to the men's room after ducking a reporter's question on Hobby Lobby is the subject of a mocking digital ad campaign launched by Planned Parenthood Action Fund today. The $20,000 effort places animated images of brown in a bathroom stall and invites users to click to find out "why Scott Brown is hiding in a bathroom." The Boston Globe reports that Planned Parenthood president Cecile Richards will be campaigning today with Brown's opponent, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, today. 
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FACTCHECK.ORG WHOPPER OF THE WEEK: Rep. Cory Gardner, the Republican Senate candidate in Colorado, grabs this week's honor for insisting "there is no federal personhood bill." Gardner is a co-sponsor of the Life Begins at Conception Act. The bill would extend "equal protection for the right to life" under the 14th amendment to each "preborn human person," and defines "human person" from the "moment of fertilization." It has been described as a "personhood" bill by other cosponsors and anti-abortion groups. During an interview that aired Sunday on a Denver TV station, Gardner was asked why he remains a cosponsor of the federal personhood bill if he no longer supports the state personhood
 ballot initiative. Gardner repeatedly claimed there isn't a federal personhood bill. We disagree, as we said in an earlier article called, "A Fight Over Birth Control in Colorado." 
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 - "Fact-checking the Kentucky Senate race"
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CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "The establishment has a lot more money and is willing to smear conservatives candidates with false attacks." - Senate Conservatives Fund spokeswoman to the Washington Post, on why the group had a pretty miserable election season. 
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