Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score, presented by Pandora: Notes from the FEC deadline day — Landrieu’s new microsite — Roundup of last night's debates — Mayday PAC expanding South Dakota footprint
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2014 08:04:58 -0600

By Kyle Cheney

With Darren Samuelsohn, Tarini Parti and James Hohmann

The following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro&#39;s Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day&#39;s most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9690976c307bd171ea1ce18345d312e12f8846324425e2a2811f70bc6a22c288 
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FIRST IN SCORE - New Landrieu ad, microsite on Social Security: Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) is seizing on Bill Cassidy's defense of gradually raising the retirement age during their debate this week to launch a new web site called 70WILLHURT.com. In a statewide response ad, a narrator promises the third-term senator will never cut Medicare or Social Security; Republicans have run ads saying Landrieu would cut Medicare and has previously said we should consider increasing the retirement age. The ad, airing statewide, was produced by Mark Putnam. The website is built around a clip of Cassidy saying that Ronald Reagan and Tip O'Neill gradually increased the retirement age, but, "People don't
 talk about it because it doesn't hurt anybody." Landrieu will hammer this point on the trail; she explained during the debate Tuesday night that a lot of people have hard jobs that prevent them from working until age 70 or have short life expectancies because they're trapped in poverty.

 - Text of the spot: "This ad says Mary Landrieu cut Medicare. Fact-checkers called the attack false, a whopper. Mary Landrieu has never voted to cut Medicare benefits, and never will, while Bill Cassidy's plan increases Medicare costs by thousands of dollars. And raises the Social Security retirement age to 70 all to pay for a tax break for millionaires like himself. Bill Cassidy: false attacks, hurting seniors." The ad, and a testimonial that ran this summer, are embedded on the new site: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9690976c307bd171018af0cef96dbc98fb1e980edf471dd4002c38d730cf8437 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9690976c307bd171018af0cef96dbc98fb1e980edf471dd4002c38d730cf8437 .

OUT THIS MORNING - EDAF hits Tillis on pollution: The Environmental Defense Action Fund is going up today with a spot attacking Republican Thom Tillis, the North Carolina GOP's nominee for Senate, for what it says is his deference to polluters. "Nearly 40,000 tons of toxic coal ash 70 miles across the Dan river threatening our drinking water with cancer-causing contaminants, but Speaker Thom Tillis gave polluters a pass," a narrator says over ominous music and images of the river. The ad is airing in Charlotte, Greensboro, New Bern and Wilmington TV markets. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9690976c307bd1715bd1c4d8af3dea6afb012004b865e9e950c9e7d19309e833 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9690976c307bd1715bd1c4d8af3dea6afb012004b865e9e950c9e7d19309e833 

 - First in Score: The DGA is going after Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder for budget cuts and taxes the group says punished ordinary residents while Snyder and administration officials got pay raises. The ad, running statewide on cable and broadcast networks, is supported by a six-figure buy. The spot includes appearances from Michigan residents that a narrator claims have been harmed by budget cuts enacted under Snyder. "Tell Rick Snyder he's got the wrong priorities," a narrator concludes. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad7402513e7d2ff6833a9ac29729238f6bb67b24fa95d2ee73d0ac 
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FEC DEADLINE DAY - Notes from Q3 filings:

FL-02: Florida Democrat Gwen Graham, who raised $820,000, beat GOP Rep. Steve Southerland&#39;s 'record' quarterly haul of about $620,000

GA-12: Republican Rick Allen was outraised by Rep. John Barrow, even after he put in $175,000 of his own money this quarter. In all, Allen has given his campaign $1 million.

MA-06: Democrat Seth Moulton significantly outraised Republican Richard Tisei, but each spent more than he raised last quarter. Moulton brought in $600,000 and spent $709,000 and he ended with $372,000 on hand. Tisei raised $333,000 and spent $487,000, ending with $608,000 in the bank.

NH-01: Democrat Carol Shea-Porter, considered one of the most vulnerable incumbents in the country, emptied her account last quarter, spending $793,000, while bringing in just $280,000. She finished the quarter with $136,000 in the bank. Republican Frank Guinta raised $351,000 but spent just $166,000, ending with $377,000.

WV-03: West Virginia Democratic Rep. Nick Rahall, who is in a tight race against Republican Evan Jenkins brought in $487,000 in the third quarter. Jenkins raised $332,000 in the same time period, but had slightly more cash on hand. Rahall entered October with $382,000, while Jenkins had $461,000 in the bank.

ME-02: Republican Bruce Poliquin pulled in $419,000, ending the quarter with about $700,000 on hand. Democrat Emily Cain raised $680,000 and finished with $409,000 on hand.

AR-Sen: Republican Tom Cotton outraised Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor by $1.6 million in the third quarter, $3.8 million to $2.2 million. The incumbent's campaign told the AP that it has $1 million cash on hand, which is not very much for the final month. Cotton's campaign declined to share its cash position. Pryor spent $5.2 million in the third quarter.

KS-Sen: Independent Greg Orman raised $1.5 million in the third quarter, his campaign revealed Wednesday afternoon, just shy of the $1.65 million his Republican opponent, Sen. Pat Roberts reported. Like Roberts, Orman's campaign didn't reveal how much cash it has on hand for the final stretch.

KY-Sen: Sen. Mitch McConnell announced that he raised $3.2 million in the third quarter - $1.7 million less than his Democratic challenger - and entered the final month with $5.2 million cash on hand. McConnell said he's now raised $28.6 million this cycle - a sum that will all but ensure that he&#39;ll be better funded than Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes for the length of the campaign, despite a slower finish. Grimes announced yesterday that she raised $4.9 million in the third quarter and has $4.4 million cash on hand.

AIR WARS - Braley farmer comment returns: Freedom Partners Action Fund is plowing $1.2 million into a TV ad in the Iowa Senate race. The spot features remarks from two farmers who say they're insulted by Democrat Bruce Braley's much-maligned comment that referred to Sen. Chuck Grassley as "a farmer from Iowa who never went to law school." 
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 - Naral hits Ernst, SBA List: NARAL Pro-Choice America is out with its latest ad linking a GOP Senate candidate to the anti-abortion SBA List. This time, the group's five-figure cable buy criticizes Republican Joni Ernst for receiving help from SBA List. The ad invokes Rep. Todd Akin and Sen. Richard Mourdock, Republicans whose comments on abortion doomed their candidacies and sank GOP hopes for a Senate takeover. It's airing in the Des Moines and Cedar Rapids media markets. 
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As super PAC opponents raise big bucks and Senate races move toward runoffs, here&#39;s POLITICO&#39;s Morning Score: your daily guide to the 2014 midterms.

Days until the election: 19

Thanks for joining us. We're eager for your news and feedback. Email us at 
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kyledcheney .

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FIGHT NIGHT - Score's roundup of last night's debates:

 - FL-Gov:"Debate fans Scott-Crist feud," by Campaign Pro's James Hohmann: "Wednesday night's Florida gubernatorial debate almost didn't happen. But once Republican Gov. Rick Scott joined party-switching predecessor Charlie Crist on the stage, it was clear how much they detest each other. After a bizarre, seven-minute standoff over whether Crist could keep a fan under his podium - and Scott's brief refusal to debate until it was removed - the pair clashed for the remainder of an hour over everything from the economy, education, stand-your-ground laws, gay marriage and Medicaid." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad740276dad49e0bc21b2568098f59f81f4cf98dc2d1f871a50a76 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad740276dad49e0bc21b2568098f59f81f4cf98dc2d1f871a50a76 

 - NY-21: The Press-Republican explores whether Democrat Aaron Woolf did enough to shake up a debate in which he appears to be the clear underdog. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad740233c27c086e680d2fb6408f82b86e7d2a15c25c0a6dc09722 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad740233c27c086e680d2fb6408f82b86e7d2a15c25c0a6dc09722 

KS-Sen: "Kansas Senate debate: 6 key quotes," by Campaign Pro's Kyle Cheney: "Kansas GOP Sen. Pat Roberts and independent challenger Greg Orman used a Wednesday debate to directly rebut the narratives each has spun about the other - that Orman's nothing more than a Democratic shill or that Roberts is a Washington fixture who's lost touch with his state. The key quotes: 1) "I'm pro-choice." - Orman; 2) "Obviously, they're not going to deport 66,000 children," 3) "I'm the father of crop insurance," 4) "I have two guns. When I bought those guns, I had to go through a background check. I don't believe it was intrusive." 5) "We have to repeal and replace [Obamacare]. ... You will get that with a
 Republican majority." 6) "He's been a gentleman with a great sense of humor." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad7402c08db490b83d09485618c1b3518ceff40e10bce3f21bfc6b 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad7402c08db490b83d09485618c1b3518ceff40e10bce3f21bfc6b 

CO-Sen: Democratic Sen. Mark Udall and Republican Rep. Cory Gardner met for the latest debate in their razor-close contest, which featured a long, awkward grilling of Gardner's position on personhood. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad74027bceac890c0a777c1564f57154d0c34e21ebe45d5c96f17c 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad74027bceac890c0a777c1564f57154d0c34e21ebe45d5c96f17c 

CO-Gov: Gov. John Hickenlooper and Republican challenger Bob Beauprez met for their latest debate last night: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad74029c4f37c033eaa32487a37ebde0fb3e5f488a57cf734d94a5 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad74029c4f37c033eaa32487a37ebde0fb3e5f488a57cf734d94a5 

ME-Gov: The third gubernatorial debate between Gov. Paul LePage and Democratic challenger Michael Michaud intensified Wednesday, as the two sharpened their attacks, the Portland Press-Herald reports. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad74025459e3187d202b9956abcbc503851844ca83cadcecf5acb1 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=469b1a8b44ad74025459e3187d202b9956abcbc503851844ca83cadcecf5acb1 

SHOT: "Anti-big money super PAC reels in big money," by Kenneth P. Vogel: "Mayday PAC, the self-styled anti-super PAC super PAC fighting big money in politics, raised $1.5 million since mid-August, with $650,000 coming from just five super-rich donors. Former children's shoe mogul Arnold Hiatt, a major liberal donor who has championed campaign finance reform, wrote the biggest check - $250,000 - to Mayday PAC, according to a report filed Wednesday afternoon with the Federal Election Commission, covering August 21 through the end of last month." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c529008d99b3de4b85faa27190690809524a96644394c4dba52 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c529008d99b3de4b85faa27190690809524a96644394c4dba52 

CHASER: Mayday PAC expanding South Dakota footprint: The anti-money-in-politics group is up with a new ad touting South Dakota Democrat Rick Weiland. "I played in the church band with Rick and his daughters. We've known each other for years," a woman says to the camera. "Rick is running to take our country back from the big money and those special interests." The ad is part of a $1 million buy Mayday PAC made in South Dakota to help put the race in play. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c52f5930b995ab8dfa828df37b9701fad32d068ff31ff838bd2 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c52f5930b995ab8dfa828df37b9701fad32d068ff31ff838bd2 

STRATEGY SESSION - "A battle of wits over Senate 2014 map," by Campaign Pro's James Hohmann: "National Democrats have gone dark in Kentucky but are pumping $1 million into Georgia. Republicans cut off their candidate in Michigan but are going big in North Carolina. Twenty days out from the election, the Senate map chess match is in full swing, with both sides making wrenching decisions about how to spend limited pools of cash - bets that will undoubtedly result in Wednesday-morning quarterbacking on Nov. 5."

Facts: Grimes will probably lose ... Georgia is more winnable than Kentucky for Democrats... Dems stick with incumbents .. North Carolina could to go to the GOP ... Michigan is off the map ... South Dakota is a mystery ... the GOP hasn't expanded the Senate map as much as it wanted. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c5240d21a42da42e859894e47e8363dd7bbf77a92eda569970a 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c5240d21a42da42e859894e47e8363dd7bbf77a92eda569970a 

THE NUMBERS - "Poll: Wisconsin governor's race tied," by Campaign Pro's James Hohmann: "The Wisconsin governor's race is again a dead heat. Gov. Scott Walker is tied with Democrat Mary Burke at 47 percent among likely voters in a poll released Wednesday afternoon by Marquette University Law School. Just two weeks ago, the same poll - considered the most reliable survey in the Badger State - had Walker up 5 points, 50 percent to 45 percent. The survey of 803 likely voters, in the field Oct. 9-12, has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.5 percentage points." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c527c492e0ceaf68baf5a8675fc529ee6382cda242141a46423 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c527c492e0ceaf68baf5a8675fc529ee6382cda242141a46423 

 - Republican Torrey Westrom is in a statistical tie with Democratic Rep. Collin Peterson, according to a new poll of Minnesota's Seventh district from the Tarrance Group commissioned by the NRCC. The poll of 300 likely voters, conducted from Oct. 12 to Oct. 14, carries a 5.8 percentage point margin of error. The results show Westrom leading Peterson, 48 percent to 46 percent, with 6 percent undecided.

TODAY ON CAMPAIGN PRO - "Court: N.H. push poll law doesn't apply to federal campaigns" by Kyle Cheney: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c52db97f3809bd33666a2e5ba4801aa3f61a9a25565af7390ff 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c52db97f3809bd33666a2e5ba4801aa3f61a9a25565af7390ff 

 - "Arkansas high court strikes down voter ID law," by The Associated Press from Little Rock: "Arkansas&#39; highest court on Wednesday struck down a state law that requires voters to show photo identification before casting a ballot, ruling the requirement unconstitutional just days before early voting begins for the Nov. 4 election. In a decision that could have major implications in the state&#39;s elections, the state Supreme Court upheld a lower court ruling that determined the law violated the Arkansas Constitution by adding an additional requirement before voting." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c52f9f6953be8799ad9af607ccbfa8bb00fbbb501124d7c7337 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c52f9f6953be8799ad9af607ccbfa8bb00fbbb501124d7c7337 

WHITE HOUSE UPDATE - Obama off the trail today: President Barack Obama has canceled his Thursday travel to Rhode Island and New York so that he can continue monitoring the U.S. response to Ebola, the White House said Wednesday night. More details about the president's activities on Ebola will be released on Thursday morning, the White House said. The scrapping of Thursday's trip comes after the White House postponed the president's Wednesday travel to New Jersey and Connecticut for a fundraiser and a campaign rally.

RATING CHANGES - Sabato's Crystal Ball foresees a pair of Senate runoffs - in Louisiana and Georgia - that could leave Senate control undecided until December or January. Two other races edged toward Republicans. The Alaska race now "leans Republican," and Kansas is a "toss-up" after leaning toward independent Greg Orman. In the House,12 of 14 changes benefit Republicans. CA-10, IA-04, MN-02, NM-02, NV-03, PA-06 and WI-06 all move from "likely Republican" to "safe Republican." NY-19, NY-23 and NY-21 move from "lean Republican" to "likely Republican." IA-1 moves from "likely Democratic" to "leans Democratic." ME-02 moves from "leans Democratic" to "toss-up." And KS-02 and KS-03 move from
 "safe Republican" to "likely Republican."

2016 GOVERNOR WATCH? - "Sen. Claire McCaskill nears $500,000 in contributions to the Missouri Democratic Party," by PoliticMO's Eli Yokley: "U.S. Senator Claire McCaskill is putting her own money where her mouth is. On Wednesday, the Democrat contributed another $50,000 to the Missouri Democratic Party ahead of next month's election. In a state where Republicans have a stronghold on the state Legislature, McCaskill is helping bankroll the effort to try to change that. Her contribution Wednesday - made from a personal account, not her campaign - is her sixth since February, totaling $490,000. That amounts to more than a third of the $1.3 million raised by the party this year since it
 streamlined its campaign operation." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c52b9bbf1f231b00afc181a0987c0d67556c329240397f09a1a 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c52b9bbf1f231b00afc181a0987c0d67556c329240397f09a1a 

2016 WATCH: "Clinton campaigns for Grimes," by POLITICO's Katie Glueck: "Hillary Clinton on Wednesday urged Kentucky voters to "put another crack in the glass ceiling" by electing Senate candidate Alison Lundergan Grimes, even as she avoided overly partisan rhetoric against Mitch McConnell, who could be highly influential in a Republican-held Senate. The former secretary of State and near-certain Democratic presidential contender spoke at a marquee Louisville event less than three weeks before voters will choose between Grimes and McConnell, who are locked in a tight race." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=721e43c7a87f5c528c22415445a0adb7715ff779a896c8bc2bf8adbd2056cfa2 
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TEA LEAVES - DSCC, NRSC aides predict GOP gains: POLITICO's Darren Samuelsohn reports: "DSCC spokesman Matt Canter conceded Wednesday that Senate Democrats were in for a rough midterm election, but he wouldn't allow that they'd lose their majority. Pressed during a Google-hosted panel discussion how many seats the GOP would pick up, 'I guess it would be sort of a three to five point pickup I guess for you guys. So congratulations. I'm going to Mexico,' he joked. His NRSC counterpart, Brad Dayspring, followed with a prediction that Republicans would net 'over seven' seats."

 - "There were a couple other awkward moments. Asked whether Democrats still had any hopes in the Montana Senate race, Canter replied, 'No I don't think Montana is a competitive race today. Zing.' Pressed on Alison Lundergan Grimes's response to the question of if she voted for President Obama, Canter replied by questioning whether that was the end-all, be-all moment of the debate."

CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "Why not? Is there anything wrong with being comfortable?" - Democrat Charlie Crist, on why he brought the fan to last night's Florida gubernatorial debate.

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