Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score, presented by Pandora: Poll gives Rounds big edge in South Dakota - DGA goes after Snyder in Michigan - Group spends big to tip state legislative races to Dems
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2014 08:15:23 -0600

By Kyle Cheney

With James Hohmann, Kevin Robillard and Alex Guillen

The following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro&#39;s Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day&#39;s most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871aeed23064c3e2d2fa6c30fada4c0bb865ee813740c65e143c9 
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POPPING THIS MORNING - "Exclusive: Rounds up 24 in NRSC internal," by Campaign Pro's James Hohmann: Republicans are feeling good again about South Dakota after a week of heartburn. An internal poll conducted for the National Republican Senatorial Committee from Saturday through Monday finds GOP candidate Mike Rounds up 24 points over Democrat Rick Weiland, 48-24, with independent Larry Pressler pulling 16 percent and independent Gordon Howie at 3 percent. Nine percent remain undecided. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee recently announced it would spend a million bucks to try holding the seat of retiring Sen. Tim Johnson, forcing the NRSC to follow suit ... an EB-5 visa scandal
 from Rounds' time as governor, the Republican's unwillingness to go negative and a four-way contest made the race look suddenly close. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871ae30119858a55c886d436cdfcbb400de320b534dbc05a615e0 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871ae30119858a55c886d436cdfcbb400de320b534dbc05a615e0 

FIRST IN SCORE - Widening anti-Rounds campaign in South Dakota: Every Voice Action, part of a coalition of groups working to elect Weiland, is expanding its ad campaign in the deep-red state and going up with a new spot that once again highlights the EB-5 controversy surrounding Rounds. The group has now reserved more than $1 million in airtime as the race enters the final two weeks.The spot: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871ae0fc0f334e68f53d49b900a92e0604ac747d3ceaafb177284 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871ae0fc0f334e68f53d49b900a92e0604ac747d3ceaafb177284 

-- Tech PAC needles Rahall: CounterPAC is out with an ad hitting West Virginia Democratic Rep. Nick Rahall for his refusal to turn down outside money on his behalf. The ad, supported by a six-figure buy, is slated to run on West Virgini broadcast, according to a spokesman for the group. Rahall drew the ire of the ire of the PAC after he stood up his opponent at a planned meeting to discuss curbing the influence of outside money in the contest. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871aeca450fa2cd79db9d8713b7b8c130cc4c54e0f3f0c2d4f578 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871aeca450fa2cd79db9d8713b7b8c130cc4c54e0f3f0c2d4f578 

-- DGA puts Michiganders in spot hitting Snyder: The group's latest ad attacking GOP Gov. Rick Snyder uses the voices of residents chiding Snyder for policies they say hurt seniors and education funding. "If I could talk to Rick Snyder, I would say it's not fair to raise our taxes while his administration officials are getting huge pay raises," one says. "Rick Snyder, it seems like you only care about the wealthy, not us." The ad, running statewide on cable and broadcast starting today, is supported by a six-figure buy. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871aeabdb7d50f304b77624f577f315f526c89751031f0693b794 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871aeabdb7d50f304b77624f577f315f526c89751031f0693b794 

-- More ads hit Orman: Freedom Partners Action Fund is the latest outside group to take a swing at independent Greg Orman in Kansas, releasing two spots today branding the political newcomer as a rubberstamp for Democrats. The ads, backed by a seven-figure buy, are slated to run through Election Day. One, called "The Deciding Vote," contends that an Orman win could deliver the Senate to Democrats and result in "more Obamacare" and other policies Republicans despise: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871aec9906276376c3b99fb5209abe5d62ac03ce37c35345dccd0 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871aec9906276376c3b99fb5209abe5d62ac03ce37c35345dccd0 . The second ad, "Too Risky," is narrated by two Kansas women who say Orman's been evasive on issues like Obamacare and the Keystone Pipeline. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871aec5261cec4b7c0b80e40d376c8e78742edb0f23bbf27f0be8 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871aec5261cec4b7c0b80e40d376c8e78742edb0f23bbf27f0be8 

EARLY RETURNS - GOP sees hopeful signs in Iowa: An RNC memo prepared by Cardinal Insights describes the GOP's first-ever lead in early and absentee voting in the state, a sign Republican operatives say is proof of an energized base and an edge heading into the final days of the election. According to the memo, Republicans are up by 305 returned ballots, a huge swing from four years ago, when Democrats were ahead by 16,000 at the same point. Republican absentee ballots are up 50 percent, to Democrats' 18-percent increase, according to the memo.

THE UNDERCARD - Democratic group launches $4.9M campaign to win state legislative seats: The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee is dropping $4.9 million into what it considers state legislative battlegrounds for a "final push" that could tip some chambers away from Republicans. In a memo from DLCC executive director Michael Sargeant and national political director Kurt Fritts, the group outlined spending plans in 19 states where Democrats are "defending narrow majorities or seeking gains over the long term." The funds will be directed toward TV ads, mail, digital ads, field operations and contributions to candidates and committees. The states with DLCC activity: Arkansas, Arizona,
 Colorado, Iowa, Indiana, Kentucky, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, North Carolina, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Nevada, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Washington, Wisconsin and West Virginia. The memo, for Campaign Pro subscribers: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871ae05f807a9745e3ae6ec9d9ab128dd47549299975d7ad92bd7 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=cd893006347871ae05f807a9745e3ae6ec9d9ab128dd47549299975d7ad92bd7 

As the RGA plays in Maryland and Republicans scramble to lock down tech experts for 2016, here&#39;s POLITICO&#39;s Morning Score: your daily guide to the 2014 midterms.

Days until the election: 12

Thanks for joining us. We're eager for your news and feedback. Email us at 
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kyledcheney .

Want the latest on even more ads? Check out Morning Score P.M. Edition, a daily roundup of the latest television ads and developments on the campaign trail until Election Day. This includes new, exclusive TV airtime purchasing information - an added resource only for Campaign Pro subscribers.

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FIRST IN SCORE - MoveOn launching major media drive: MoveOn.org is launching a print and web ad drive to turn out female voters in Colorado, Iowa and North Carolina. Ads, featuring appeals to women to vote based on education funding and access to health care services, will run in Sunday editions of the Denver Post, the Des Moines Register and the Charlotte Observer. Online ads are also marked for Cosmopolitan, ELLE, Jezebel, Good Housekeeping, Oprah.com, Marie Claire, People and Women's Fitness.

EXPANDING THE MAP - RGA reserves airtime in Maryland: The Republican Governors&#39; Association is going up in Maryland, a sign of national GOP hopes that Larry Hogan is in contention for the governorship in the deep-blue state. Ad-trackers say the group has purchased more than $300,000 worth of time so far on two Baltimore-area broadcast stations and cable in both Baltimore and D.C. The RGA has not previously purchased any airtime in Maryland, but the DGA has spent about $1 million backing Democratic Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown. Public polling on the race has shown Brown with a lead in the high single digits.

2016 WATCH - "The GOP's 2016 tech deficit," By Darren Samuelsohn: "Here's an early reality check for Republican White House hopefuls: The party doesn't have enough tech experts to staff up a wide-open primary campaign ... [W]hile Democrats contemplate a small field where much of President Barack Obama's vaunted campaign tech capacity transfers to Hillary Clinton, the GOP is facing a different dilemma. The tech experts it does have are likely to be scattered into a dozen or more campaigns. 'There is a massive talent gap,' said Wesley Donehue, a South Carolina-based GOP digital strategist." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74ebed334da61b29f582690b0e60c053b843e656dbcc76c7ab 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74ebed334da61b29f582690b0e60c053b843e656dbcc76c7ab 

FIGHT NIGHT - Score's roundup of last night's debates:

GA-Gov: Republican Gov. Nathan Deal and Democrat Jason Carter agreed that they supported a new law widening places for people to carry concealed weapons lawfully only because it allowed churches to opt in, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. The pair appeared together for a "faith forum" in front of Georgia clergy and also debated immigration and Medicaid expansion. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a745a7e26121ea83968a620ca90dfaff6488e1380bcce8cb5c1 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a745a7e26121ea83968a620ca90dfaff6488e1380bcce8cb5c1 

NH-Gov: New Hampshire Public Radio reports that the debate between Democratic Gov. Maggie Hassan and Republican Walt Havenstein was relentlessly negative, featuring barbs on partisanship their backgrounds and Havenstein's relationship with Republican mega-donors. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74af06f42f86b7014f727c5979dee0c53fa619866bf957d8dc 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74af06f42f86b7014f727c5979dee0c53fa619866bf957d8dc 

NY-Gov: Gov. Andrew Cuomo went on the attack in a debate against Republican challenger Rob Astorino, taking a direct approach after months of largely ignoring his opposition in both a primary and the general, Capital New York reports: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74fac10596e0791caa656fc1691635a23d53d8260acaf6506a 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74fac10596e0791caa656fc1691635a23d53d8260acaf6506a 

FIGHTLESS NIGHT - Upton, challenger won't debate: A debate between House Energy and Commerce Chairman Fred Upton and Democratic challenger Paul Clements will not be rescheduled, according to the organizing chapter of the League of Women Voters. A debate was originally scheduled for last Thursday, but Upton canceled the day before to attend a hearing in D.C. on Ebola - a move that garnered criticism from Clements. The LWV said it was unable to reschedule because 'one of the campaigns has declined, stating that their calendar was full.' Clements criticized Upton in response. "To avoid a vigorous ideas-based debate is a disservice to the voters," he said in a statement

- Upton campaign manager Tom Wilbur said in an email that the chairman&#39;s participation in the Ebola hearing 'was of utmost importance' and noted Upton and Clements have appeared together at two public forums. 'With less than two weeks until Election Day, Fred is busy meeting and listening directly with voters throughout Southwest Michigan,' Wilbur said.

TODAY ON POLITICO - "A Facebook scoreboard for the midterms," by Darren Samuelsohn: "Democrats Kay Hagan, Bruce Braley and Tom Wolf can take heart that they're winning in one aspect of their campaigns: Facebook likes, comments and shares. A new Facebook Elections Dashboard unveiled Wednesday shows the three 2014 candidates are ahead of their opponents in the number of likes and other interactions surrounding their races. The Facebook site, described exclusively to POLITICO, covers Senate, House and gubernatorial races in all 50 states and Washington." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74c83af9ea824283f8a75727bbddce796ed15c080e4f6c009c 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74c83af9ea824283f8a75727bbddce796ed15c080e4f6c009c 

SHOT - Senate Majority PAC playing big in Kentucky, Georgia: The Democratic group is planning high six-figure buys in the hard-fought Senate contests, Campaign Pro's James Hohmann reports. The spending comes as the DSCC revealed plans to go back on the air in Kentucky and as Georgia inches toward a runoff.

CHASER - McConnell poll shows GOP leader up eight on Grimes: Mitch McConnell's campaign released an internal poll yesterday showing the Republican ahead by 8 points - in an effort to push back on news that two major Democratic groups are going back on the air in Kentucky. McConnell led Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes, 49 percent to 41 percent, with Libertarian David Patterson getting 3 percent. The live-caller poll is compiled from four nights of tracking surveys by Jan R. van Lohuizen of Voter Consumer Research. He was in the field on Oct. 16, and then again from Oct. 19-21. The full sample is 815 likely voters. The memo: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74fbf639864e8a4ff2925496cf1f132d06cf356c6237a98ff6 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74fbf639864e8a4ff2925496cf1f132d06cf356c6237a98ff6 

THE WARREN WING - First in Score: Progressive group hails 2 millionth call: The Progressive Change Campaign Committee announced this morning that it's crossed the 2 million phone call threshold in its question to elect lawmakers who will align with Sen. Elizabeth Warren. The group, which has raised nearly $1.4 million this cycle for Democrats, said it's made more than 204,000 calls for Paul Clements in MI-06, 187,000 for South Dakota Democratic Senate nominee Rick Weiland and 176,000 for Minnesota Sen. Al Franken, among others. It's also putting resources and muscle behind Democratic nominees in Colorado, Iowa and South Dakota.

NRSC MESSAGE OF THE DAY - The committee plans to hit vulnerable Dems with relentless charges that they're Obama rubber stamps, highlighting specific metrics suggesting they aligned with the president "nearly 100% of the time" this year. Media blasts will go out hammering Arkansas Sen. Mark Pryor, New Hampshire Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, North Carolina Sen. Kay Hagan, Louisiana Sen. Mary Landrieu, ALaska Sen. Mark Begich, Virginia Sen. Mark Warner and Colorado Sen. Mark Udall. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74bc9fd8a078d199776ad318b1ea118d2e8cc99821ae975210 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=674b5215b4bf7a74bc9fd8a078d199776ad318b1ea118d2e8cc99821ae975210 

Daybook: FEC Vice Chair Ann Ravel wraps up the first leg of her national listening tour on money in politics tonight with an event at Emory University Law School in Atlanta. The 6 p.m. event is Ravel's third stop. She also visited Denver and Chicago.

RATING CHANGES - The latest from Sabato's Crystal Ball: In the Senate, Arkansas moves to "likely Republican" from "leans Republican." In governor's races, Alaska inches to "leans Independent" from "toss-up," Arkansas moves to "likely Republican" from "leans Republican," and Georgia moves to "leans runoff" from "leans Republican."

A slew of changes in the House: CA-24 and NV-04 move to "likely Democratic" from "safe Democratic," and IA-02 goes from "likely Democratic" to "leans Democratic." In AR-02 and WV-02, races move from "leans Republican" to "toss-up." WV-03 moves to "leans Republican" from "toss-up," but ME-02 moves from "toss-up" to "leans Democratic." And NY-11 moves to "toss-up" from "leans Democratic."

CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "We saw the very angry Andrew." - Republican Rob Astorino, after dueling in a tense debate with New York's Democratic governor, according to Capital New York.

** While broadcast TV and Radio audiences continue to fragment and decline, internet radio listenership has exploded since the last mid-term election cycle. Pandora now reaches 70 million US voting-age listeners per month. We offer precision targeting solutions that include age, gender, zip code, and more through premium video, audio, and display advertising solutions across all devices and platforms.

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