Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score: Jindal haunts Louisiana gubernatorial race — Erick Erickson gives his Senate predictions
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 09 Jun 2015 08:04:51 -0600

By Elena Schneider

With Steven Shepard

The following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro&#39;s Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day&#39;s most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (
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TODAY ON CAMPAIGN PRO - "Louisiana rivals paint Vitter as Jindal clone," by Campaign Pro's Kevin Robillard: http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=612ddb11ac8e82d0807fcc52327b04828a72b72e4fba9f3acd1b2d6882b556c7 

SUPER PAC BOOST - HOW I GET BY - "Santorum super PAC to be launched," by Campaign Pro's Kyle Cheney: "Rick Santorum's uphill presidential bid is about to get a little help from his friends. A team of former aides and allies is in the early stages of launching a super PAC to amplify the former Pennsylvania senator's messages aimed at blue-collar Republicans, as well as pooling resources to help Santorum recapture some of the energy that propelled him to a near miss in the 2012 Republican primary. The as-yet-unnamed committee, expected to launch this summer, will include Santorum's 2012 finance director, Nadine Maenza, who also helped run the committee he launched after dropping out of the
 presidential race that year, Patriot Voices, according to a source involved in the planning of the super PAC. It also includes Virginia Davis, a communications aide for Santorum for most of the last 15 years; Mark Rodgers, Santorum's onetime chief of staff and longtime adviser; and Rob Aho, a Santorum Senate aide." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce18475787610d608de9440e1b0a7f671c381bfdea66d6d20bcd5b 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce18475787610d608de9440e1b0a7f671c381bfdea66d6d20bcd5b 

RED STATE PREDICTIONS - Conservative blogger Erick Erickson dropped by POLITICO headquarters Monday, and gave some of his conservative insight on races across the country, including his prediction on Georgia Sen. Johnny Isakson: "I still don't think he's going to run," Erickson said. "Johnny may run again, but I saw him in the airport the other day and he's aged a lot." Isackson raised $1.6 million in the first quarter, but Erickson said it could just be him "going through the motions." Erickson said Rep. Tom Price, who stayed out of the 2014 Senate campaign fray, is the "name most mentioned" to replace Isakson, and that "no one's going to run against Tom Price," he said.

As for other 2016 races, here's Erickson's rapid-fire recall on other high profile campaigns:

- Louisiana governor: "I'm not sure. I think my gut says that Vitter is going to get it, but I'm not really sure."

- Florida Senate: "DeSantis."

- Indiana Senate: "Stutzman."

- Nevada Senate: "I have no idea ... I wish [AG Adam] Laxalt would run ... he's got a last name people like."

- Colorado Senate: "I don't know, I haven't even really paid attention to that one yet."

- Arizona Senate: "I don't know that I've paid attention to that one yet. ... Can anybody beat McCain, I guess, is the question. I don't know that when conservatives have these other races that they want to spend their resources trying to pick of McCain as opposed to just making him more of a minority within the caucus."

As labor unions turns up the heat on Congress and Jeb Bush makes some surprising staffing moves, here&#39;s Campaign Pro&#39;s Morning Score: daily news, notes and essential information for the 2015 and 2016 election cycles.

Days until the 2015 election: 146. Days until the 2016 election: 517.

Thanks for joining us. Email tips to the whole Campaign Pro team at 
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DSCC PREVIEW - GOP IS A HOT MESS - National Democrats want to hammer Rep. Roy Blunt's comment that the GOP has "about six months" before voters decide whether they are "a governing party rather than a complaining party." In its newest round of press releases this week, it'll point out what they see as failures, including the DHS funding and sex-trafficking bill battles this spring and the delayed confirmation of Attorney General Loretta Lynch. They also cite Sen. Dan Coats, who told POLITICO he would retire if "the GOP was not 'able to govern.' Just three weeks later, Coats announced he wouldn't be seeking reelection in 2016. Ouch," the DSCC press release says.

BOWING OUT - "Vermont Gov. Shumlin won't run for fourth term," by Campaign Pro's Steven Shepard, with Kyle Cheney and Kevin Robillard: "Vermont Gov. Peter Shumlin will not seek reelection in 2016, he announced Monday. Shumlin, who chaired the Democratic Governors Association last cycle, was first elected in 2010 and is serving his third two-year term. But in the 2014 election, he failed to earn a majority of the vote. The state Legislature, which is controlled by Democrats, selected him for another term earlier this year over his Republican challenger, Scott Milne." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce184706271eb4caee0ec914f13234ba229d8658edbb3f7d66bf58 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce184706271eb4caee0ec914f13234ba229d8658edbb3f7d66bf58 

AIR WAR - A conservative advocacy group bought more than $1 million in TV ad time over the next three weeks, aimed at New Hampshire Gov. Maggie Hassan's budget and tax policies, WMUR reported. The 30-second spot says Hassan has "a spending problem." Hassan would be a top recruit for Democrats against Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.). 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce1847f083d334833d93dda8a0243c4d191eb680b9f617fee7b1cb 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce1847f083d334833d93dda8a0243c4d191eb680b9f617fee7b1cb  A website associated with the ads is also live: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce1847ce8c3df01f1080a995d72b39b39c847a33ff349909edb94c 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce1847ce8c3df01f1080a995d72b39b39c847a33ff349909edb94c 

AIR WAR, TRADE EDITION - "Labor runs ads slamming Rice for backing trade bill," by POLITICO's Lauren French: "Big Labor is taking aim at another Democrat for supporting a contentious trade bill. The AFL-CIO has made a six-figure ad buy in New York against Rep. Kathleen Rice, slamming the freshman lawmaker for pledging to vote for legislation giving President Barack Obama the power to fast-track trade deals through Congress. Rice initially said she opposed the controversial measure, but over the weekend she announced she would support the bill. The ad, which begins running Tuesday, slams Rice for what unions argue is a 'flip-flop.'" 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce1847a182cb51894ab38a158408608d8fc416a6a2a3e37663aef7 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce1847a182cb51894ab38a158408608d8fc416a6a2a3e37663aef7 

2016 SPEED READ - STAFFING UP - JEB BUSH HIRES CAMPAIGN MANAGER - "Bush shakes up his campaign team," by POLITICO's Alex Isenstadt and Marc Caputo: "Struggling to establish his own brand and regain his footing in the early voting states where he lost ground, Jeb Bush shuffled his political team Monday just one week ahead of his expected official campaign announcement. The former Florida Republican governor announced that Danny Diaz, a 39-year-old consultant known for his aggressive style, would serve as his campaign manager in place of Dave Kochel, an operative with deep experience in Iowa politics who had been brought aboard earlier this year and was widely expected to serve as in that
 capacity. The surprise move came after several tumultuous weeks for Bush and amid recent polling suggesting his standing has fallen both in national polls and in the key early state of Iowa. ... One person briefed on the moves, revealed as Bush flew to Europe, said the final decision rested with Bush's top adviser, Sally Bradshaw, who had watched with dismay as Marco Rubio and Scott Walker appeared to run without the stumbles that plagued the two-term Republican governor." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce184731655a8425f8f25929b5f87b1c6f8448371f71b2e6c7ac24 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce184731655a8425f8f25929b5f87b1c6f8448371f71b2e6c7ac24 

- Speaking of Republicans - Nevada's GOP Attorney General will host Republican candidates in early primary state gathering on Aug. 15, Jon Ralston reports: "Scott Walker, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, John Bolton (now out, but Laxalt used to work for him.), George Pataki and Ben Carson have RSVP&#39;d, I&#39;m told, while Jeb Bush said he has a scheduling conflict, and Rand Paul will be overseas," Rolston reported. Read more here: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce1847ee5155ef4a664a6ee527fa3859ede650af120af4323e3f10 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce1847ee5155ef4a664a6ee527fa3859ede650af120af4323e3f10 

DEMS WANT MORE - CREDO TO DNC - CREDO Action, a progressive activism group, is lobbying the DNC for more debates with a petition with more than a 20,000 signatures since Monday morning. "Don't restrict Democratic candidates' primary debates," the petition reads. "A meaningful primary requires a serious discussion of issues among the candidates themselves. Either add more debates starting this summer, or don't bar candidates from participating in additional forums." The petition: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce18472316b8071d28b9e8722164af92512ceb45d03f7ce19ad8dc 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=54c37fe1b9ce18472316b8071d28b9e8722164af92512ceb45d03f7ce19ad8dc 

SUBSCRIBER ONLY PEEK - "Wall Street fears a leftward swerve by Clinton," by POLITICO's Ben White in New York: "Wall Street Democrats and some independents are growing increasingly nervous that the presence of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley in the race and the continuing leftward tilt of the Democratic Party could push Hillary Clinton to take a tougher stance on financial reform issues in ways that could make their lives uncomfortable. The fear is not that either candidate could beat Clinton - no one thinks that's likely to happen. Instead, some on Wall Street think powerful populist pitches from O'Malley and Sanders, coupled with the heavy influence of
 non-candidate Elizabeth Warren, could force Clinton to come out harder on issues including breaking up the nation's largest banks, imposing a financial transaction tax, putting individual bankers in jail, cracking down on executive pay and otherwise beating up on an industry that six years after the financial crisis still suffers from rock bottom public opinion ratings." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=612ddb11ac8e82d0e1d5d3fc1c6cb701a85af8bdc76d813c3569a0f4bb38e6f9 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=612ddb11ac8e82d0e1d5d3fc1c6cb701a85af8bdc76d813c3569a0f4bb38e6f9 

BACK IN THE DOWN-BALLOT RACES - A NEW MAP - Campaign Pro's Steven Shepard reported: "The Supreme Court said Monday they will hear a case this fall out of Maryland that seeks to reverse a judge's ruling throwing out a challenge to Maryland's controversial congressional map. The plaintiffs sued the state in 2013, alleging that the map - which created seven Democratic-leaning seats to only one for Republicans - was unconstitutional. But a U.S. district judge threw out the suit in April 2014. Attorneys for the plaintiffs said the judge acted improperly, and the case should have been heard by a three-judge panel. An appellate court disagreed, but the plaintiffs petitioned the Supreme Court
 earlier this year."

DEBATES IN KENTUCKY - Campaign Pro's Kevin Robillard: "Republican Matt Bevin and Democrat Jack Conway have agreed to six debates or forums in this year&#39;s Kentucky gubernatorial contest, three of which will air on television. Bevin, a conservative businessman, will first share the stage with Conway, the state&#39;s attorney general, at The Galt House hotel in Louisville on June 19 at the convention for county executives and magistrates in the state. The Kentucky Farm Bureau will host a forum on July 23, and the state&#39;s famous Fancy Farm picnic, traditionally the kick-off date for campaign season, will take place on August 1."

POLITICAL OBITS - Steven Shepard reported: "Mervin Field, a protege of George Gallup who built California's most authoritative public polling firm, died today in Marin County, Calif., the Field Research Corporation announced this afternoon. He was 94. Field founded his eponymous polling firm in 1947 and became the Golden State's leading public pollster in the 1960s and 1970s, as telephone polls became the dominant mode for survey research. The firm did work for in-state media outlets, the state's university system and nonprofit foundations. A full obit from the Field Research Corporation is here: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=612ddb11ac8e82d08f11f160947402d3bd383d4eed96ad95d8bf925f2ed83a96 
bit.ly/1GviSyU "

- Here's the LA Times' obituary of Field, too: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=612ddb11ac8e82d03b8454bec9704044157940bded00506d8e6fdf19c6c1c251 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=612ddb11ac8e82d03b8454bec9704044157940bded00506d8e6fdf19c6c1c251 

CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "My parents, by the way, are still on the fence on that race." - Erickson, on the Louisiana gubernatorial race.

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