Subject: Hillary Clinton 2016: Lead in polls continues to shrink as Bernie Sanders surges - POLITICO
From: "Eric Schwerin" <[email-masked]>
To: "Hunter Biden" <[email-masked]>, "Alexander S. Mackler" <[email-masked]>, "Joshua Alcorn" <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 15 Jul 2015 21:35:22 -0700

Hillary Clinton 2016: Lead in polls continues to shrink as Bernie Sanders
surges - POLITICO

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/poll-hillary-clinton-lead-shrinking-democrats-120140.html

Poll: Hillary Clinton's lead shrinks among Democrats
 [image: Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton speaks at
a the National Council of La Raza Annual Conference Monday, July 13, 2015,
in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)]

AP Photo

Hillary Clinton is still leading the Democratic field for 2016, but her
lead has shrunk in recent months, according to a Monmouth University poll
<http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/947b4d56-8c7b-4dd4-a2e3-d36b1c78d231.pdf>
out Wednesday, as independent Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders continues to make
steady gains, despite trailing by a wide margin.

Among Democrats and those leaning toward the Democratic Party, Clinton
picked up the support of 51 percent, down from 57 percent in June and 60
percent in April.

Story Continued Below

Sanders came in second with 17 percent, followed by former Maryland Gov.
Martin O’Malley and former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb with 1 percent each.
Lincoln Chafee, the former governor and senator from Rhode Island,
registered no support.

If Vice President Joe Biden were to run, however, the results suggest that
he would take some votes from Clinton. He has not announced his intentions,
but poll respondents backed him with 13 percent, just behind Sanders.

Among voters who said they were likely to vote for Biden in the event of
his candidacy, 68 percent said they currently support Clinton, while 18
percent said they are backing another candidate, with 14 percent undecided.

Clinton continues to have the best favorability ratings among her
Democratic rivals in the Monmouth poll (74 percent favorable to 17 percent
unfavorable), though Biden is close behind (67 percent to 17 percent).

The poll was conducted via landlines and cellphones from a larger July 9-12
survey, which sought the opinions of 1,001 adults nationwide. This
particular sample included 357 registered voters who identified themselves
as Democrats or leaning toward the Democratic Party, carrying a margin of
error of plus or minus 5.2 percentage points.
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Eric D. Schwerin
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