Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score: Q2 winners and losers — Don’t believe the small donor hype
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 17 Jul 2015 08:05:57 -0600

By Elena Schneider

With Theodoric Meyer, Kevin Robillard and Steven Shepard

The following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro&#39;s Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day&#39;s most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (
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TODAY ON CAMPAIGN PRO - "Campaign Pro's second-quarter House and Senate winners and losers":
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c65250b724a90e6366c0b7f30c89678dfdc2b9fa748fbbaa42519 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c65250b724a90e6366c0b7f30c89678dfdc2b9fa748fbbaa42519 

- "Despite GOP courting, tech gives big to Clinton," by Pro Tech's Tony Romm in San Francisco: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c652558ce75561cafacf43527197e177addfc90e7269081b48171 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c652558ce75561cafacf43527197e177addfc90e7269081b48171 

DON'T BELIEVE THE HYPE - "Small donor myth destroyed by 2016 numbers," by Kenneth P. Vogel and Tarini Parti: "Suggestions by Hillary Clinton and other presidential candidates that their campaigns are being powered by massive grassroots fundraising engines were largely spin for most of the 2016 prospects, a POLITICO analysis of reports filed this week shows. Of the $127 million raised for the primary election by the 15 candidates who disclosed their finances to the Federal Election Commission, less than 30 percent came from donors contributing $200 or less, according to analyses of the reports by POLITICO and the Campaign Finance Institute. By contrast, the analyses found, 42 percent of the
 candidates' primary-election cash came from donors giving the maximum primary donation of $2,700. Yet, the candidates are seeking to downplay their reliance on major donors to their campaigns and supportive super PACs - often relying on misleading math tricks to make the case that their efforts are funded by regular folks." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c65250439da8a4d761373acc01dbed68e8ef7d634438e116fa979 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c65250439da8a4d761373acc01dbed68e8ef7d634438e116fa979 

Days until the 2015 election: 109. Days until the 2016 election: 480.

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D.C.'S MOST POPULAR OFFICIAL ISN'T AN ELECTED LEADER: Even as police chiefs across the country are under siege, Police chief Cathy Lanier is unassailable, roundly revered and breezing through her eighth year as chief under what is now her third mayor. Read more about the District's top cop in the latest installment in POLITICO Magazine's What Works series: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525ac779fc839fea0db1d7a623c15553add5ec01b4ee8998771 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525ac779fc839fea0db1d7a623c15553add5ec01b4ee8998771 

CLUB FOR GROWTH Q2 - The conservative Club for Growth (c)(4) raised $1.79 million in the second quarter, according to a spokesman. The group bundled $529,000 through its PAC, and the Club for Growth Action super PAC raised $644,000.

PLANNING AHEAD - Republican State Leadership Committee and the State Government Leadership Foundation said Thursday they are launching a $125 million project, called REDMAP 2020, that will push congressional maps to be redrawn to favor Republican legislators. "We are launching REDMAP 2020 to stay on offense at a time when Republicans are at historic highs in state chambers around the country," said Bill McCollum, chairman of the Republican State Leadership Committee.

PRESIDENTIAL SPEED READ - "The words Hillary Clinton will not utter," by POLITICO's Gabriel Debenedetti: "Hillary Clinton has yet to mention her Democratic rivals - from surging Bernie Sanders to Lincoln "who?" Chafee - on the campaign trail. She may not have a choice on Friday evening. The dominating front-runner will descend on Cedar Rapids to join Sanders, her main opponent, and the party's trio of other declared White House contenders in the first Democratic cattle call of the election cycle - an event that will put the spotlight on Clinton's early-state organizing and Sanders' ability to appeal to his party's establishment." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525b59c06e9ea942d542a781e122636fc7a676f05ab8c5ec059 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525b59c06e9ea942d542a781e122636fc7a676f05ab8c5ec059 

- Hillary Clinton's bundlers - individuals who raised at least $100,000 in primary dollars since April - were treated to four hours of face time with top campaign officials Thursday in Brooklyn, sources told POLITICO. The meeting, at the Marriott hotel in downtown Brooklyn, marked the first meeting for bundlers, known as "Hillblazers," and was designed to give them a sense of the state of the race, as well as a peek at the inner workings of the campaign. About 70 people attended, a source said. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525ea5fae14993712c7136082fc993998149ae6324f82dc3cf2 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525ea5fae14993712c7136082fc993998149ae6324f82dc3cf2 

-"A rare challenge for Clinton: An ornery crowd," by POLITICO's Hadas Gold in Dover, N.H.: "At Hillary Clinton's first town hall of her campaign in New Hampshire, the Democratic front-runner came face to face for the first time since launching her campaign with the unfiltered voter - and learned that the handpicked audiences she's accustomed to are much more manageable. ...Clinton remained calm as staff eventually moved the protesters to a corner of the room as they held their banner for the rest of the event. (Campaign spokesperson Nick Merrill later approached them and thanked them for being "respectful.")" 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c652568a8e25f1dcd0af0b8778e523c71dd5a89266e18edde4cc6 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c652568a8e25f1dcd0af0b8778e523c71dd5a89266e18edde4cc6 

- Back home in Brooklyn ... "A peek inside Clinton's Brooklyn HQ," by POLITICO's Annie Karni: "On Thursday, the campaign ended a three-month period where its HQ was considered "off the record" to visitors and allowed POLITICO to tour and photograph the space. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525195513e90839ac3d5f3b813b82db30e735b66deac1faf195 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525195513e90839ac3d5f3b813b82db30e735b66deac1faf195  ... Check out the pictures here: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c65253c97e838c79d8f914d79cb8386f1452d01eac23c05315fb7 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c65253c97e838c79d8f914d79cb8386f1452d01eac23c05315fb7 

BACK TO THE GOP CIRCUS - "Biggest losers in 2016 money count," by POLITICO's Nick Gass: "In pure numbers, Rick Santorum came in near the bottom of the heap in a crowded field of GOP contenders filing fundraising results this week. ... Don't think of them as the biggest losers, said the campaigns of Republican and Democratic candidates who ranked lowest in fundraising reports filed Wednesday with the FEC. At this stage of the campaign, almost anything can happen, with mega-donors still lining up behind unrestrained candidate super PACs ... But some campaign watchers said the FEC numbers provide a reality check about popular support as the campaign season heats up." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525662f417cc5fc942a0cf6765bc3ae733ac92d7ab79fb3d5ab 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525662f417cc5fc942a0cf6765bc3ae733ac92d7ab79fb3d5ab 

- "Trump feuds with Perry, calls him dumb," by POLITICO's Adam B. Lerner: "Donald Trump has jumped back into the ring - this time for an all-out brawl with fellow Republican presidential contender Rick Perry. ... Trump tweeted back: "
mailto:.@GovernorPerry%20just%20gave%20a%20pollster%20quote%20on%20me.%20He%20doesn't%20understand%20what%20the%20word%20demagoguery%20means. 
@GovernorPerry just gave a pollster quote on me. He doesn't understand what the word demagoguery means. " 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525b5f0ef17a52eaae43d71813e76f956c62e484fb424be0dc9 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525b5f0ef17a52eaae43d71813e76f956c62e484fb424be0dc9 

- "Insiders: Ted Cruz hurt most by Trump candidacy," by POLITICO's Katie Glueck: "Donald Trump's turn in the national spotlight is mainly taking a toll on Ted Cruz, the Texas firebrand running as an uncompromising, anti-establishment conservative. That's the assessment of this week's POLITICO Caucus, our weekly survey of the leading strategists, activists and political operatives in Iowa and New Hampshire. Roughly a third of Iowa and New Hampshire Republican insiders pointed to Cruz as the candidate who is damaged the most in their states by Trump's rise in the polls and emergence as a media-grabbing protest candidate." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525b854d6531d54fbb5bc4bd7accde13996b79a03a7996aa743 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525b854d6531d54fbb5bc4bd7accde13996b79a03a7996aa743 

But Trump is still holding the top spot - Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker got a bounce in the immediate wake of his campaign rollout this week, according to a new Fox News poll released Thursday evening - but it wasn't enough to overtake businessman Donald Trump, who has now led in two consecutive live-caller surveys. The poll - conducted Monday-Wednesday - shows Trump at 18 percent, followed closely by Walker and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, at 15 percent and 14 percent respectively. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c65259cfa8e913a2405039a3463c1757eb2a3d4ad2dddbb216f50 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c65259cfa8e913a2405039a3463c1757eb2a3d4ad2dddbb216f50 

Speaking of Walker ...POLITICO's Daniel Strauss in Phoenix did not find any of his fans at Netroots: "There's no love lost for any of the 2016 Republican presidential contenders at the 2015 Netroots Nation confab, but attendees reserve a special kind of loathing for one candidate in particular: Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker. It's an understandable sentiment given the setting. This year's edition of the annual convention of liberal activists is heavily focused on bread-and-butter economic issues, with a strong union presence. ... It's not that there are any warm and fuzzy feelings toward the rest of the GOP field, but it's Walker who stirs the most negative passions among liberal activists." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525678f05acbb716f04265ae779c6ff4761634bc5f787d8b35c 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525678f05acbb716f04265ae779c6ff4761634bc5f787d8b35c 

- "Bush's Uber economy," by POLITICO's Eli Stokols in San Francisco: "When Jeb Bush finally stepped out of a black Toyota Camry and into the horde of reporters and photographers awaiting his arrival by Uber at a tech startup here, he wasn't simply staging a photo op. Everything about his appearance here Thursday morning, from the specific points of emphasis to the setting, sought to present Bush as a candidate who not only understands the 21st century on-demand economy but, if elected president, would recraft Washington and the nation's economy in the mold of Silicon Valley. It's not a new approach. President Barack Obama was the original tech president ... Now, Bush is putting the
 Republican spin on how Washington and the West Coast can meet minds." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c65251696b588e3a73f6ab37dc12578bf7af6bd436106224ca52a 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c65251696b588e3a73f6ab37dc12578bf7af6bd436106224ca52a 

- "Bush v. Rubio: Round 1 goes to Bush," by POLITICO's Marc Caputo in Miami: "In the first pitched battle of Florida's Republican presidential donnybrook, Jeb Bush's campaign beat Marco Rubio's in fundraising by pulling in about $680,000 more contributions from Sunshine State donors. Bush's edge in Florida reflects the different styles of their campaigns ... Supporters of each boasted about how the internal fundraising numbers showed how their guy was better positioned. But none talked about the elephant - make that the donkey - in the Florida fundraising room: Democrat Hillary Clinton." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525aeb63928ac59ae92d715ae8d61a76abcafbca59b651a9b11 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c6525aeb63928ac59ae92d715ae8d61a76abcafbca59b651a9b11 

- "Rubio's campaign manager tops early salary list," by POLITICO's Theodoric Meyer: "[Marco] Rubio's top staffer, Terry Sullivan, is earning an annual salary of about $198,000, according to the Florida senator's Federal Election Commission report filed on Wednesday. That's head and shoulders above the earnings of the campaign managers of four other candidates who've been in the race long enough to have reported consistent payroll disbursements to the FEC. ... But the vagaries of FEC reporting make it difficult to compare campaign staffers' salaries with precision. Many candidates - including Republicans Jeb Bush, Rick Perry, Chris Christie and Donald Trump - declared late enough in the
 filing period they haven't paid their staffers frequently enough to extrapolate annual salaries. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker didn't announce until the quarter was already over." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c652574c3a1a556da3c0311ed78f9e54a7d2799735f1542a177f3 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c652574c3a1a556da3c0311ed78f9e54a7d2799735f1542a177f3 

CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "I don't know where Frank goes from here. Sometimes in politics, you have basically no friends." - New Hampshire state Rep. Will Infantine, on GOP Rep. Frank Guinta, "one of his oldest friends." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c652516dad150903398c234d375869638a25810711d364c12f2e3 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=fe2722eaac5c652516dad150903398c234d375869638a25810711d364c12f2e3 

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