Subject: Scott Walker 2016: Iowa poll shows Wisconsin governor in first followed by Donald Trump - POLITICO
From: "Eric Schwerin" <[email-masked]>
To: "Hunter Biden" <[email-masked]>, "Alexander S. Mackler" <[email-masked]>, "Joshua Alcorn" <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 20 Jul 2015 12:05:14 -0400

To Hunter’s point, if you look at the latest Iowa poll and add up the totals going to Trump, Carson, Cruz and Huckabee (which I will call the “crazy” vote) you have 34% of the GOP electorate in Iowa supporting unorthodox candidates.    Who they support will move around but these people aren’t voting for Jeb, Walker, Kasich or Rubio.  

> http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/poll-iowa-gop-scott-walker-leads-donald-trump-second-120352.html?hp=l2_4 <http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/poll-iowa-gop-scott-walker-leads-donald-trump-second-120352.html?hp=l2_4>
> 
> Poll: Walker leads in Iowa, followed by Trump
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> 
> Getty
> 
> Poll: Walker leads in Iowa, followed by Trump
> 
> By Nick Gass <http://www.politico.com/reporters/NickGass.html>
> 7/20/15 11:29 AM EDT
> 
> Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is still out in front of all Republican contenders in a new Monmouth University poll <http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/e6c48f94-1380-45b6-80e4-dbaf5f5f78ad.pdf> out Monday surveying likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers.
> 
> But in second place is Donald Trump, whose remarks on Arizona Sen. John McCain’s military service do not appear to have had a material effect on his standing in the Hawkeye State, or at least not yet. In fact, plurality of those surveyed (47 percent) said they have a favorable view of the multibillionaire candidate, while 35 percent said they do not.
> 
> Walker grabbed 22 percent, compared to Trump’s 13 percent. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson received 8 percent, with former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz with 7 percent each. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who won the 2008 caucus, follows with 6 percent, with Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul at 5 percent, and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal at 4 percent.
> 
> Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, who won the 2012 caucuses, grabbed 3 percent, as did former Texas Gov. Rick Perry and retired Hewlett Packard executive Carly Fiorina.
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> It should be noted that polling for this survey began last Thursday, two days before Trump’s statement that McCain “was a war hero because he was captured. I like people who weren’t captured.”
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> Trump has stood by and intensified his remarks against the senator over the weekend and on Monday <http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/donald-trump-john-mccain-feud-veterans-usa-today-op-ed-120347.html>.
> 
> The poll was conducted July 16-19 via landlines and cellphones, surveying 452 likely Republican caucus-goers. The overall margin of error is plus or minus 4.6 percentage points.
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> Authors:
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Eric D. Schwerin
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