Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score: GOP presidential candidates surviving on PAC dollars — Democrats hit Ayotte in TV buy
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 12 Aug 2015 08:01:58 -0600

By Elena Schneider

With Kevin Robillard and Theodoric Meyer

The following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro&#39;s Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day&#39;s most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (
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THE LONG HAUL - "GOP candidates wobble but don't fall down," by POLITICO's Kyle Cheney, Daniel Strauss and Katie Glueck: "Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry thudded first, his campaign acknowledging this week that it had stopped paying staff amid funding shortfalls. He's not alone in experiencing turmoil. Sen. Rand Paul, whose campaign is struggling with deep fundraising and organizational problems, has fixated on throwing grenades at GOP frontrunner Donald Trump, hardly the strategy of a thriving campaign. Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum saw several top staffers depart for a supportive super PAC - a move that comes amid slow fundraising. Yet unlike previous cycles, the tiering of the 2016
 Republican presidential field appears unlikely to result in the quick exit of the GOP laggards. That's because each is the beneficiary of super PACs that in many cases have raised orders of magnitude more than the campaigns themselves." 
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WHILE YOU WERE SLEEPING - Senate Majority PAC unveils Ayotte hit: The official-unofficial super PAC of Senate Democrats, Senate Majority PAC, has unveiled its first television ad of the cycle. 'It&#39;s 15 months before the election and the out-of-state oil billionaire Koch Brothers have already spent $1.2 million dollars here in New Hampshire to keep Kelly Ayotte in the Senate,' a narrator declares, claiming Ayotte protected tax breaks benefiting the Kochs. 'With the Kochs and Kelly Ayotte busy helping each other, who&#39;s helping New Hampshire working families get ahead?' Campaign Pro first reported the buy, which totals over $250,000. The ad begins airing Wednesday morning on Manchester
 broadcast. 
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TAKING THE PLEDGE - Christie will sign ATR pledge: Grover Nordquist's Americans for Tax Reform will announce Wednesday that New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie will sign a pledge to "oppose and veto any and all efforts to increase taxes." 'Governor Christie has vetoed more tax hikes than any other Governor in modern American history. And he made those vetoes stick. Without the Christie governorship, New Jersey would be somewhere between Detroit and Greece," Nordquist said in a statement. Read the rest of the announcement here: 
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Days until the 2015 election: 83. Days until the 2016 election: 454.

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FLORIDA REDISTRICTING - "Webster: Proposed map aims &#39;to disfavor me as an incumbent&#39;," by POLITICO Florida's Marc Caputo in Tallahassee, Fla.: "Florida Rep. Dan Webster is in danger of being drawn out of his congressional district, but he's not going out without a fight. The former Republican state Senate leader and Florida House speaker returned to Tallahassee on Tuesday and addressed the Florida Legislature's joint redistricting committee, arguing that a new proposed congressional map violates a state constitutional clause that prohibits the drawing of political boundaries with "the intent to favor or disfavor incumbents or political parties." ... The key word in the
 constitutional amendment, though, is "intent" and Webster did little to specify how legislative staff members intentionally drew the district to harm him." 
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Other updates:

FL-05: Former state Sen. Al Lawson, who primaried then-Democratic Rep. Allen Boyd in 2010 and was the party's nominee in FL-02 in 2012, would consider challenging Democratic Rep. Corrine Brown if her district was redrawn east-west to include Lawson's hometown of Tallahassee, POLITICO Florida's Marc Caputo reported. 
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FL-18: A group of local GOP officials endorsed GOP candidate Rebecca Negron in her bid to replace Democratic Rep. Patrick Murphy, POLITICO's Matt Dixon reported. 
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FL-26: EMILY's List endorsed Democrat Annette Taddeo in the race to face Curbelo, POLITICO Florida's Marc Caputo reported. 
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STILL WAITING - Shea-Porter says support for potential bid has been &#39;wonderful&#39;: Four months after GOP Rep. Frank Guinta admitted to accepting excessive campaign contributions, his old rival Carol Shea-Porter is still waiting for House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) to weigh in on the matter. 'We&#39;re still waiting for John Boehner,' Shea-Porter - who lost her seat to Guinta in 2010, won it back in 2012 and lost it again last year - told WMUR. Shea-Porter said in May that she was ready to run in a special election if Guinta resigned, as GOP Sen. Kelly Ayotte and other top New Hampshire Republicans have urged him to do. But she has refused to say whether she&#39;ll challenge him
 next year if he remains in office and runs for reelection, as he&#39;s repeatedly said he&#39;ll do. State Executive Councilor Chris Pappas, another Democrat mentioned as a potential candidate, told WMUR Shea-Porter 'deserves a shot' at winning back the seat. Shea-Porter said the support she&#39;s gotten has been 'wonderful.' 
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AIR WAR - A Democratic outside group is up with a new ad attacking Kentucky GOP gubernatorial candidate Matt Bevin over his failures to pay taxes on a vacation house in Maine and his company in Connecticut. ... A Democratic source said the spot was backed by a $200,000 buy and was airing on broadcast in the state&#39;s three biggest markets: Louisville, Lexington and Cincinnati. The ad is sponsored to Kentucky Family Values, a super PAC that has received most of its financial support from the Democratic Governors Association, the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees and the National Education Association." Watch the ad here: 
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PRESIDENTIAL SPEED READ - "Michigan gets full Trump show," by POLITICO's Ben Schreckinger in Birch Run, Mich.: "The Trump show drew thousands of screaming supporters to a nondescript expo center in central Michigan for a local GOP fundraiser on Tuesday, creating the region's biggest political draw in recent memory, even as the businessman's campaign settled into the closest thing it has achieved so far to a sense of normalcy. Having navigated a weekend staff shake-up and made peace with Fox News, Trump arrived in Michigan as the first live-caller polls since last week's Republican debate showed him holding onto his lead nationally and in early states, though by diminished margins." 
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- And he's still ahead - "Trump leads post-debate Iowa poll," by POLITICO's Eliza Collins: "Donald Trump leads the GOP field in Iowa, according to a Suffolk University poll released Tuesday, but last week's debate may have opened the door for other candidates. Trump, who came in at 17 percent among likely GOP caucus voters, was 5 points ahead of his nearest rival, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and neurosurgeon Ben Carson, who were voted the top performers at last week's Fox News debate, came in with 10 and 9 percent, respectively." 
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SWEET SIXTEEN ON STAGE - "Sixteen GOP candidates invited to CNN debate," by POLITICO's Hadas Gold: "Sixteen Republican presidential candidates - the entire GOP field, minus Jim Gilmore - have been invited to participate in the CNN/Reagan Library presidential debate on Sept. 16. The debate will be split it into two back-to-back debates: The main event will feature the top 10 candidates according to an average of national polls between July 16 and Sep. 10. The undercard debate will feature the remaining contestants who fulfill candidate requirements and register at least a 1 percent average in national polls between July 16 and Sept. 10." 
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EMAIL CHAIN - "Hillary Clinton agrees to provide private e-mail server to FBI," by the Washington Post's Carol D. Leonnig, Tom Hamburger and Rosalind S. Helderman: "Hillary Rodham Clinton's attorney has agreed to provide the FBI with the private server that housed her e-mail during her four years as secretary of state, Clinton's presidential campaign said Tuesday. Her attorney also has agreed to give agents a thumb drive containing copies of thousands of e-mails that Clinton had previously turned over to the State Department." 
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- "Congress told Clinton had 'top-secret' emails," by POLITICO's Rachael Bade: "An independent government watchdog told Congress that Hillary Clinton had at least two "top secret" emails on her unsecured, home-make email server, upgrading the sensitive intelligence classification in her correspondence just as the FBI starts probing the security of her email set-up. The Intelligence Community Inspector General confirmed that two out of four emails it discovered on Clinton's server, which it believed contained classified information, were in fact "highly classified" among intelligence agencies, according to a letter the office sent Senate Judiciary Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) on
 Tuesday." 
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ON THE ATTACK - "Clinton accuses Walker of raising taxes on students," by POLITICO's Gabriel Debenedetti in Claremont, N.H.: "One day after swinging at Marco Rubio, Hillary Clinton set her sights on Scott Walker during a town hall here on the rainy border with Vermont. ... In Exeter on Monday, Clinton used multiple questions about Republican firebrand Donald Trump as an opportunity to throw elbows at Rubio for his positions on abortion. She regularly rails against Jeb Bush on the campaign trail, as well." 
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- "Poll: Bernie Sanders surges ahead of Hillary Clinton in N.H., 44-37," by the Boston Herald's Joe Battenfield: "Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders has rocketed past longtime front-runner Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire, a stunning turn in a race once considered a lock for the former secretary of state, a new Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll shows. Sanders leads Clinton 44-37 percent among likely Democratic primary voters, the first time the heavily favored Clinton has trailed in the 2016 primary campaign, according to the poll of 442 Granite-Staters. Vice President Joe Biden got 9 percent support in the test primary match-up. The other announced Democrats in the
 race, former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley, former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee and former Virginia Gov. Jim Webb, barely register at 1 percent or below. The live interview phone poll was conducted Aug. 7-10 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.7 percentage points." 
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BOTTOMS UP - "POLITICO Magazine: How I helped Todd Akin win - so he could lose," by Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.): "It was Aug. 7, 2012, and I was standing in my hotel room in Kansas City about to shotgun a beer for the first time in my life. I had just made the biggest gamble of my political career - a $1.7 million gamble - and it had paid off. Running for reelection to the U.S. Senate as a Democrat from Missouri, I had successfully manipulated the Republican primary so that in the general election I would face the candidate I was most likely to beat. And this is how I had promised my daughters we would celebrate. But first let me go back to the beginning." 
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CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "I don't see it happening. I really don't." - Former Rep. Mark Foley (R-Fla.), telling the South Florida Sun-Sentinel that the likely Florida congressional map wouldn't be conducive to a comeback attempt. 
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