Subject: Share the View: Maybe This Slowdown Is Different
From: "Bloomberg View" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 1 Sep 2015 05:00:26 -0400 (EDT)

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Share The View

The Latest Opinions From Bloomberg View

Sep 01, 2015

bloombergview.com

<= href="http://link.mail.bloombergview.com/click/5055878.13883/aHR0cDovL3=3dy5ibG9vbWJlcmd2aWV3LmNvbS90b3BpY3MvY2hpbmE/55086a4c3b35d051538c37ccBfc4f=7b2" style="text-decoration:none;color:#00b9e7;line-height:1.6em">China<=a>

William Pesek: "In recent yea=s, China's relationship with the U.S. has resembled nothing so much as a h=stage situation. ... That worst-case scenario is closer than ever to becom=ng a reality -- or so say the Republicans who are vying for their party�=80�s presidential nomination. But one important point has escaped Donald=Trump and company: If the dynamic between China and the U.S. is still a ho=tage scenario, the roles have been reversed." =ead more...

Economics

Justin Fox: "A couple of the =ig emerging-market economies that drove much of the growth during the past=15 years have hit a wall, and the question of the moment is whether the bi=gest of them, China, is in real trouble too. Commodity prices are tanking.=Trade volumes are down. The Baltic Dry Index of shipping costs, which rebo=nded from a record low earlier this year, is falling again. These are all =haracteristic of a cyclical downturn. And this is a cyclical down=urn -- oil prices will rise again someday. So will emerging-market stock a=d bond prices. But there could also be something else afoot." Read more...

Guns

Francis Wilkinson: "While Lor= Rodriguez waits to get her old guns back, she is free to purchase new gun= and store them at home. That, her attorney Don Kilmer said in an e-mail, =is why keeping her property from her is irrational.' The demand for fricti=nless gun sales and unfettered possession is broadly accommodated by the l=w. Even California is perpetually behind in trying to keep track of danger=us people with access to firearms. In the U.S., there simply is no contest=between gun rights and public safety." Read more...

2016 Elections

Jonathan Bernstein: "Just as =veryone decided Donald Trump would lead the Republican presidential polls =or the next several months, Ben Carson tied him for the lead in an Iowa su=vey released Monday. ... This still tells us nothing about what's going to=happen in the Iowa caucuses, which don't take place until February."Read =ore...

Albert R. Hunt: "The Republic=n establishment -- major office holders, donors, business supporters and a=visers -- now realize that [Donald] Trump won't disappear anytime soon, an= that he is likely hurting the party's prospects in 2016. With the establi=hment increasingly eager for Trump's demise, four potential routes to achi=ving it have emerged." Read more...=/span>

Cars

Edward Niedermeyer: "[Fiat Ch=ysler CEO Sergio] Marchionne knows that GM depends on the capital markets =or survival. Investors have long grown tired of the industry's underwhelmi=g returns, and without a cornerstone backer like the Agnelli family, which=owns 30 percent of FCA, GM's investors might well be swayed by Marchionne'= heady mixture of fear and greed. But should they?" R=ad more...

Latin America

Mac Margolis: "Brazilian Pres=dent Dilma Rousseff is mired in a political payola scheme that has pillage= the state oil company, sent a rogues gallery of moguls and politicians to=prison and put her own job on the line. Street protests and a widening pro=e into crooked campaign financing have Chile's Michelle Bachelet in a corn=r, and if not for indulgent investigators, Mexico's Enrique Pena Nieto mig=t already have succumbed to a widening graft and influence peddling scanda=. ... And yet of all the Latin leaders under scrutiny, [Guatemala's presid=nt Otto] Perez Molina seems closest to the brink." Read more.=.

Ukraine Crisis

Leonid Bershidsky: "A police =fficer was killed during a protest in Kiev on Monday. It was the first suc= fatality since Ukraine's 'Revolution of Dignity' last year. Radical natio=alists, some with weapons, gathered to protest a constitutional amendment =roposed by President Petro Poroshenko that would make it possible to reint=grate separatist areas into Ukraine on special terms favorable to Russia. =lthough a majority in the Ukrainian parliament voted to support the measur=s, the street clashes show how difficult it will be to sell the changes to=an impoverished, volatile country filled with weapons." Read more...<=a>

Law

Noah Feldman: "There’= no free speech in front of the U.S. Supreme Court -- or so says the U.S. =ourt of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, which on Friday upheld a 1949 law th=t says you can’t assemble or display signs on the plaza in front o= the courthouse." Read more...

Media

Megan McArdle: "We need to pa= a lot more time focusing on having a good process for finding knowledge, =nd a lot less time demanding interesting outcomes. Because a big part of l=arning is the null results, the 'maybe but maybe not,' and the 'Yeah, I'm =ot sure either, but this doesn't look quite right.'" Read more...

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For media inquiries, contact Jill Watanabe at j=[email-masked].

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