Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score: Race for Boehner’s seat shapes up — Schweikert says McCain can’t beat Kirkpatrick
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 28 Sep 2015 08:01:51 -0600

By Theodoric Meyer | 09/28/2015 10:00AM EDTWith Kevin RobillardThe following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro's Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day's most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (http://www.politicopro.com/proinfo)SPECIAL ELECTION - "Race for Boehner's seat could mirror House leadership fight," by Campaign Pro's Theodoric Meyer: "The race for outgoing Speaker John Boehner's southwestern Ohio congressional seat is already taking shape, with signs it could become as much of a clash between the GOP's establishment and tea party wings as the competition to
 replace him in House leadership. Richard Jones, the Republican sheriff of Butler County, Ohio, told Campaign Pro that he was contemplating a run and would make a decision in the next two weeks. Jones drew attention to himself last month when he assigned a detective to investigate companies in the county who employed illegal immigrants. The Cincinnati Enquirer reported that he had once sent a letter to the Mexican government asking for $900,000 for 'dealing with your criminals.'" http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13f61d707852dd56697940e60f01c17b93fae034b6f1f78858c Have an unquenchable thirst for news about the House leadership scramble? Follow every twitch in the race to replace Boehner on POLITICO's new blog, The Gavel: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13f585f282ec8ec0b52aefee4b0b8b174c4a7c00181fc70f4f8 VITTER END? - Poll: Vitter doesn't do so well against any potential runoff opponent: Republican Sen. David Vitter and Democrat John Bel Edwards lead next month's Louisiana gubneratorial primary, according to a new Baton Rouge Advocate/WWL-TV poll released late Sunday night. Vitter and Edwards both took 24 percent in the poll - the first live-caller, nonpartisan poll in months. But Republicans Scott Angelle (15 percent) and Jay Dardenne (14 percent) are within striking distance of making a likely runoff, the poll shows.- The troubling news for Vitter came in the head-to-head matchups that the poll tested if the race goes to a runoff , which
 happens if no candidates gets 50 percent of the vote. Edwards beat Vitter, 45 percent to 41 percent. Angelle topped Vitter, 40 percent to 35 percent, and Dardenne beat him, too, 42 percent to 35 percent. The poll was conducted by Clarus Research Group and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.46 percentage points. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13ff19a984b71a2c765aa4bf0e739619cd5874fbfa21835d8ce until the 2015 election: 36. Days until the 2016 election: 407.Thanks for joining us. Email tips to the whole Campaign Pro team at [email-masked], [email-masked], [email-masked], [email-masked] and [email-masked]. NOT RULING IT OUT - Schweikert says McCain can't beat Kirkpatrick: Rep. David
 Schweikert (R-Ariz.) still won't rule out a primary challenge to Sen. John McCain, KPNX-TV's Brahm Resnik reports - and he doesn't think McCain can hold the seat if he's the nominee. "If he makes it through the primary, Ms. Kirkpatrick will be our senator," Schweikert told Resnik. "His numbers make Dick Lugar look like a walk in the park." Lugar, a longtime Republican senator from Indiana, lost to Richard Mourdock, a tea party challenger, in 2012. The comparison isn't exactly fortuitous for a potential Schweikert run, though; Mourdock lost to Democrat Joe Donnelly in the general election. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13fb5937c1dffe634655efa555d527061c94e63eef475ee5a32 ARIZONA MYSTERY - Web video attacks Kirkpatrick on
 Iran: A group called A Secure Arizona has put out a slickly produced web video criticizing Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D-Ariz.) for supporting the Iranian nuclear deal, The Arizona Republic's Dan Nowicki reports. "Ann Kirkpatrick's voting for the Iran nuclear deal, siding with Obama instead of standing up for our national security," the narrator says. The ad praises GOP Sen. John McCain, whom Kirkpatrick is challenging, for opposing the deal. Jon Seaton, a founder of Arizona Grassroots Action, a super PAC backing McCain, wouldn't comment when The Republic asked whether his group had anything to do with the video. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13fc6ccba74eb819e0a24b3983a02b47fd49b384b76fe8cc580 Watch the video: 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13fcc9e7a647b5719bd300321ca686ba5e4c294109e7ad78630 IN SCORE - Kirkpatrick to hit McCain for supporting Kim Davis: Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick's campaign will put out a release on Monday criticizing Sen. John McCain (D-Ariz.) for comments he made at the Values Voter Summit this weekend supporting Kim Davis, the Kentucky county clerk who refused to issue marriage licenses to gay couples. D.B. Mitchell, a Kirkpatrick spokesman, says in the release that McCain's comments appealed "to the worst elements of his party."PREEMPTIVE STRIKES - "Kirk camp goes on offense against upcoming Chicago Tribune story," by POLITICO's Hadas Gold and Elena Schneider: "Illinois GOP Sen. Mark Kirk's campaign is pushing
 back and getting ahead of a supposed, yet-to-be published report from the Chicago Tribune that alleges Kirk verbally and physically abused staffers. The campaign sent a dossier of information, emails and screenshots to the in-state political blog Capitol Fax to refute the story. Kirk's campaign manager, Kevin Artl, confirmed on a phone call with POLITICO that he had asked the blog to release the exchanges and said they had been given a deadline of 2 p.m. Friday to respond. Capitol Fax said Artl expect the story to be published on Sunday," but it hadn't run yet on Monday morning. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13ff1ff853f99497b3286597475ec72201e756f9468d2833d48 SPEED READ - "Ted Cruz's big moment," by POLITICO's Burgess
 Everett and Katie Glueck: "If Ted Cruz is ever going to break through in the Republican presidential primary, the time is now. Cruz has been the workmanlike conservative of the GOP field: a strong fundraiser but no Jeb Bush, well-liked by the activist right yet unable, so far, to generate the kind of breakout moments that have vaulted his anti-establishment rivals out of the single-digit doldrums. But Cruz's supporters see the showdown in Congress over Planned Parenthood and the budget - which kicks into high gear this week and could stretch into the winter, on the cusp of voting in early states - as a critical opening for the first-term lawmaker. ... 'Every election we see campaign
 conservatives who talk a good game on the campaign trail, and yet haven't walked the walk,' Cruz told POLITICO in an interview last week." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13f48d629b6f90fb25af83e66d66d752fe685a4fc5b686b913f "It's make or break time for Jeb Bush," by The Washington Post's Ed O'Keefe and Matea Gold: Big donors to Jeb Bush and his allied super PAC aren't happy with his middling poll numbers, and they're starting to threaten defection. "The warnings from top donors come as Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker's exit from the race refocused the battle within the GOP's establishment wing as one between Bush and his former protege, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.). Right now, the momentum appears to be behind Rubio, who has jumped
 ahead of Bush in most polls. At least a third of the bundlers who signed up to raise money for Walker have switched their allegiance to Rubio, while a smaller number have gone with Bush, according to people familiar with the discussions." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13faf61bc15ce1ae404a7bbff4e42fd543ee88f35787d645f1b "Third GOP debate sets off wave of anxiety," by POLITICO's Alex Isenstadt and Hadas Gold: Nobody knows how many candidates will be on stage in the third Republican debate next month or how they'll be determined, and it's stressing out the campaigns. There might not even be an undercard debate! "With the next debate a month away, it is maddening that the RNC has yet to provide any guidance to campaigns
 regarding the criteria that they and CNBC plan to use to exclude candidates," Curt Anderson, an adviser to Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, told POLITICO. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13f59594a329c5bd2e37ce0488002cb3ef8002c646e04efa0e7 "The Atlantic City savior who came up snake eyes," by The Boston Globe's Matt Viser in Atlantic City, N.J.: Viser goes deep on Trump's long history in Atlantic City, which has come up in the Republican debates, and even asks a tarot card reader near Trump's former casino whether or not Trump will be president. The verdict: "One hundred percent, he is meant to be president. But he is very greedy. He is very selfish. He will only be there for four years." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13f26eb8c264732d4fab750dd081f888faf6a2ddfa775e9f84a - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "As I told [Jerry] Brown a number of times, moving people by train was a great idea in 1860, but today, with all these Google cars and the technology coming through, your train is actually probably in your driveway in 10 years." - California state Assemblyman Rocky Chavez, a Republican running for Senate, isn't a fan of the state's proposed bullet train. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13f8be6fa688a26b677a1ecc32bbf6f5f95fbc296658c72a216 AVAILABLE: POLITICO PRO EUROPE BRIEF - Today POLITICO Pro, POLITICO's premium subscription service, launches a twice daily newsletter dedicated to making sense of European policy and politics through an American lens. Drawing on
 POLITICO resources in both Brussels and D.C., POLITICO Pro Europe Brief will track and analyze European policy from taxes to trade to mergers and acquisitions, energy and financial services and keep track of who the key political and regulatory influencers are. Contact us to learn more about POLITICO Pro Europe Brief.To view online:http://www.politico.com/tipsheets/morning-score/2015/09/race-for-boehners-seat-shapes-up-schweikert-says-mccain-cant-beat-kirkpatrick-210424 To change your alert settings, please go to http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13fb3940647a76e8ff066ac346bfdc7975f61f27d34d15a8068 or http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=0a68b40c3d2fe13f20b08045df65a6816234d182049ff6119842b9419a65415aThis email was sent to [email-masked] by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington,
 VA, 22209, USATo unsubscribe,http://www.politico.com/_unsubscribe?e=00000150-1441-d8eb-a57d-5469b1d00000&u=0000014e-f0fe-dd93-ad7f-f8fffbc40000&s=d3c24120602570808336e64bf617af30c7ccf5b7002181e1ee78dbf2e3dee4bea47d88a65f7289a44523666ed24c3827e473e653b21a5fd37108f9d551b89e3