Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score, presented by Carr Workplaces: Gallup won’t poll the primaries — Voters still know the name ‘Sununu’ — Air war galore
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 07 Oct 2015 08:01:52 -0600

By Theodoric Meyer | 10/07/2015 10:00AM EDTWith Kevin Robillard, Eliza Collins and Elena SchneiderThe following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro's Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day's most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (http://www.politicopro.com/proinfo)POLLING DEVELOPMENTS - "Gallup gives up the horse race," by Campaign Pro's Steve Shepard: "Gallup has been the country's gold standard for horse-race election polling ever since its legendary founder, George Gallup, predicted Franklin Roosevelt's landslide reelection in 1936. But after a bruising 2012 cycle,
 in which its polls were farther off than most of its competitors, Gallup told POLITICO it isn't planning any polls for the presidential primary horse race this cycle. And, even following an internal probe into what went wrong last time around, Gallup won't commit to tracking the general election next year. It's a stunning move for an organization that built its reputation on predicting the winners of presidential elections." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9dbfd51fbb75f7f12a2455ba1f9236bacd0810d5aad5df1caf "Swing-state polls show vulnerabilities for Clinton, Trump," by POLITICO's Nick Gass: "Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are still on top among their respective parties' voters in three key swing states, but Vice President
 Joe Biden and Ben Carson fare better than the primary leaders in general election matchups, according to a trio of Quinnipiac University surveys in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania released Wednesday." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9dfb056b972041f93a79a1a25e4c76057c3fff74e13d642b2b IN SCORE - Vernon raises $253,000 in the third quarter: Democrat Monica Vernon, a Cedar Rapids city councilwoman trying to unseat GOP Rep. Rod Blum, raised $253,000 in the third quarter, her campaign will announce on Wednesday. The haul gives her $564,000 in cash on hand. Vernon is facing former state House Speaker Pat Murphy and Gary Kroeger, a former "Saturday Night Live" cast member, in the Democratic primary for the chance to face Blum, who's
 seen as one of the most vulnerable Republicans in House. Neither of her rivals has released third-quarter numbers yet.NAME RECOGNITION - A familiar name in New Hampshire is the only one known by most voters in gubernatorial race: A new WMUR poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire found a majority of the electorate knows just one of the candidates running to replace Gov. Maggie Hassan: GOP Executive Councilor Chris Sununu, who has already announced a bid. Twenty-six percent have favorable opinion of Sununu, whose father and grandfather served as governor, while 10 percent are neutral and 22 percent have a negative opinion. None of the Democrats surveyed - including Stefany
 Shaheen, Colin Van Ostern and Chris Pappas - are known by more than a third of the electorate. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9dfed370379886c121fc44315d5b7abfbac7fefbef23d378cb until the 2015 election: 27. Days until the 2016 election: 398.Thanks for joining us. Email tips to the whole Campaign Pro team at [email-masked], [email-masked], [email-masked], [email-masked] and [email-masked] can also follow us on Twitter, where we tweet a lot about campaigns and occasionally about Andrew Garfield movies: @politico_steve, @kyledcheney, @ec_schneider, @politicokevin and @theodoricmeyer.** A message from Carr Workplaces: Looking for a DC-based election office? Carr Workplaces has offices,
 suites, team rooms, meeting rooms and event spaces immediately available with flexible terms and supportive services. Our Arlington locations in Clarendon and Rosslyn are easily accessible to downtown. With 18 area locations, access the best of Metro DC. Learn more. **AIR WAR - Outside group launches $1.4 million ad buy praising Ayotte: "A new pro-Republican third party group is spending big bucks to run TV commercials in New Hampshire defending GOP Sen. Kelly Ayotte's record on women's healthcare," NH1's Paul Steinhauser reports." The organization, One Nation, Thursday will launch a 17-day $1.4 million broadcast, cable, digital and radio ad campaign in the Granite State, ad buying sources
 told NH1 News on Tuesday. The ad campaign, dominated by a 10-day $1.2 million broadcast and cable buy (including WBIN-TV) was later confirmed to NH1 News by One Nation." The ads start running on Friday. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9d803b080efd8e8b269d0bfac8d37e97c25bc2332816461521 STAID DEBATE - "Familiar clashes as Conway and Bevin square off at Centre College," by The Lexington Herald-Leader's Sam Youngman in Danville, Ky.: Not much happened at the Kentucky gubernatorial debate on Tuesday night. "While the candidates engaged in sharp exchanges over the state's pension crisis, the saga of Rowan County Clerk Kim Davis and the possibility of legalized gambling, the subjects of Kynect and Medicaid expansion somehow never
 came up." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9df57f2a54e65f21f01525bc7ef40e459144fc0185b93c0482 INNOVATIONS - Stock photo company offers photos designed to avoid gaffes: In September, Jeb Bush's super PAC released a video ad to promote the former Florida governor's vision for America and juxtapose it with what they portrayed to be Donald Trump's negative view of the present. The only problem? The amber waves of grain were from England. Shutterstock, a stock photo service, is looking to capitalize on the gaffe. On Tuesday, the company released their "Safe for IA and NH" collection. The photos are all taken by Iowa- and New Hampshire-based photographers and were inspired by the Right to Rise stock footage goof, said Shutterstock
 curator Robyn Lange. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9df7f68bf1cab0be62f9462217b2859b291e5a71d0bcb9578f SPEED READ - "Cruz's big, bold map," by POLITICO's Katie Glueck: "Ted Cruz has long contended that the GOP nomination fight will be a grueling, drawn-out affair that could stretch all the way to the convention. And he's taking out an insurance policy just in case. Cruz is working the most distant corners of the political map, courting Republicans in the farthest-flung U.S. territories in an attempt to meet the requirements of Republican National Committee rule No. 40 (b), an obscure provision that currently stipulates that in order to receive the nomination, a candidate must win majorities of delegates in eight states or
 territories." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9dd44d21241a59ce25c9f058dcca05e6512707dba0dd69976c "Inside Hillary Clinton's debate prep," by POLITICO's Annie Karni: Hillary Clinton's strategy for taking on Bernie Sanders in the first Democratic debate next week "is now expected to be two-pronged, according to campaign officials and people with knowledge of the debate preparations: She will attempt to embrace some of Sanders' ideals while dismissing his solutions, and simultaneously try for a third time to introduce herself to the American public and explain her rationale for running. ... She is also expected to hold her ground on any attacks that question her fight for progressive values, and hammer home the point that it's
 not about great rhetoric or speeches, it's about results and who can deliver them." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9d1acf149b831ec88c334ddf0aae32b2fe5e172d6fd790bd77 "In a bid for progressives, Clinton starts to distance herself from Obama," by The Washington Post's Anne Gearan in Davenport, Iowa: "Hillary Rodham Clinton is attempting to set herself apart by criticizing one Democrat in particular" ahead of the first Democratic debate: President Obama. "With direct comparisons and implicit criticism, Clinton is increasingly using the Obama White House - and the popular occupant who isn't running - to say what she would do differently in a Clinton White House ... The positioning marks a notable shift for Clinton, who has
 spent much of her campaign embracing Obama's broader agenda in hopes of harnessing the coalition of young and minority voters who helped propel him to two terms in the White House." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9da656cedb8ae56c9365c0bf731139e0431c95d81ded5096ce "Democratic senators: Biden bid would be good for Clinton," by POLITICO's Seung Min Kim and Burgess Everett: "Many of Joe Biden's former Senate colleagues are firmly in Hillary Clinton's camp - but they still say a Biden presidential bid could be good for Clinton and the party. The senators say the extra competition, on top of the surprisingly stiff challenge from Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, could sharpen Clinton on the campaign trail and ultimately make her a
 better general election candidate - even if it ends badly for the vice president, as many of them think it would." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9d9659e82686795783cc161530e583654f9be83661caf9d180 A surprise appearance: Vice President Joe Biden popped up at a fundraiser for California Secretary of State Alex Padilla on Tuesday hosted by the Latino Victory Project, BuzzFeed News' Adrian Carrasquillo reports, giving him an opportunity to make inroads with a key group. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9deb783c9ecc7f67d351ffc9e62a7133de48034c58a6c54813 Hitting the trail: Mike Huckabee's wife, Janet, will campaign for her husband on Wednesday and Thursday in Iowa and on Friday and Saturday in central Florida, according to the Huckabee campaign.CODA - QUOTE OF THE
 DAY: "I would not call it gracious. It was just, 'It appears as if you've won.' That's what I remember. My memory of it was, 'Well, it appears as if you've won,' and I said, 'Thanks for calling,' and that was it." - Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.), on Carly Fiorina's call to concede after their 2010 Senate race. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9d98ca7f2743f6f85f8fcedaa3ec00ee78527f7bca7cf29f56 INTERVIEW: WHAT'S COMING UP IN THE NEW SUPREME COURT TERM? Obama's former acting solicitor general Neal Katyal breaks down the big cases ahead. Get up to speed with this week's Debrief interview from The Agenda: http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9d0570d375686c61609f7e04e0e2a81d3b988f6d8e153569c6 AVAILABLE: POLITICO PRO LEGISLATIVE COMPASS - POLITICO Pro, POLITICO's premium
 subscription service, has released a first-of-its kind legislative data analytics and decision-making tool that helps policy professionals manage and act on legislation. Leveraging features such as a personalized dashboard, virtual whip count, bill text comparison and 20 years of data, users will not only save time but benefit from customizing and cross-referencing information, enabling them to make smarter and faster decisions. Schedule your demo today.** A message from Carr Workplaces: Are you part of a PAC or election team that needs a DC presence? Carr Workplaces has offices, suites, team rooms, meeting rooms and event spaces immediately available with flexible terms and supportive
 services. Our location in Georgetown is located in the newly renovated historic Foundry building right on the canal. It's steps from high end retail, restaurants and hotels and is 10 minutes from downtown. Need to be on Capitol Hill? K Street? Near the White House? We've got you covered, whether it's a full time office, drop-in space or for a meeting. With 18 area locations, we give you access to the best of Metro DC. Plus, our team can provide administrative support and concierge services on demand. Plans start at $35 per month and spaces are available by the hour, day, month or year. Get your DC office up and running today. **To view
 online:http://www.politico.com/tipsheets/morning-score/2015/10/gallup-wont-poll-the-primaries-210585 To change your alert settings, please go to http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9d9f9252ee0f15afe0a4484477fef74f7d0d6f5aaf93548593 or http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dad48d643de22f9dd37198d0b8418dcdd7579e4a442ad0507d33790a8c6f288fThis email was sent to [email-masked] by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USATo unsubscribe,http://www.politico.com/_unsubscribe?e=00000150-429a-d3c9-a976-7afe0b630000&u=0000014e-f0fe-dd93-ad7f-f8fffbc40000&s=bbdcfc6d153ccc098c3d05eb58f53c548b171be410b4993e9106d843bb3686715122c4191edad8862c0e94d256f29e51367c9749ce150cda67812d6c0a3cc2e