Subject: The Evening CSIS: Derailed, NK Redux, Old Man & More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 29 Jan 2016 00:51:31 -0000

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 Good Evening, 

Welcome to  The Evening CSIS —my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. If you want to view this in your browser, click here [ http://CSIS.informz.net/InformzDataService/OnlineVersion/Individual?mailingInstanceId=5315788&subscriberId=1062005454 ] .

 Derailed
 The Syrian opposition said it will not attend peace talks due to begin in Geneva on Friday, derailing the first attempt in two years to hold negotiations aimed at ending the conflict, as Reuters reports [ http://reut.rs/20uKqe7 ] .

 Dive Deeper:  CFR interviewed Phil Gordon, former White House Coordinator for the Middle East, about “Syria’s Agonizing Diplomatic Path [ http://on.cfr.org/1PtA32e ] .”

And, the Washington Institute for Near East Policy’s Andrew Tabler today published a new commentary “Fixing Geneva III [ http://bit.ly/1PJcsRw ] .”

Plus, the Wilson Institute’s Henri J. Barkley published a new commentary “A US Blueprint for Syria [ http://bit.ly/1P0MEdI ] .”

 Future of the US Army
 The National Commission on the Future of the Army today released its report to the President and Congress. And, as Defense News’s Jen Judson reports [ http://bit.ly/1QvZd3z ] , among the Commission’s recommendations, a US Army force of 980,000 is “minimally sufficient” for maintaining national security and the Army should provide four battalions worth of Apache helicopters to the National Guard. 

The full Commission report is available for download [ http://www.ncfa.ncr.gov ] .

 Dive Deeper:  CSIS’s Mark Cancian and Ray DuBois today published a new Critical Questions (CSIS’s signature series of asked & answered short paper), "National Commission on the Future of the Army [ http://bit.ly/1lYwf1k ]  ." 

 North Korea in Preparation?
 US officials say that activity at a North Korean missile testing facility could indicate that the country is planning a potential long-range missile test in the near future, as ABC News’s Luis Martinez reports [ http://abcn.ws/1NE9aY0 ] .

 Dive Deeper:  CSIS’s Bonnie Glaser and Victor Cha testified before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific earlier this month on the U.S. response to North Korea’s aggression. Their statements and video of the House hearing can be accessed here [ http://bit.ly/1PsqPn6 ] .

 In that Number
  9,000
 The US has undertaken 9,000 airstrikes in Iraq and Syria since operations against ISIS began in the fall of 2014.
Source: CSIS [ https://csis.org/files/publication/160126_Hicks_DefenseOutlook_Web.pdf ] .

 Critical Quote
 “This potentially means that cyber operations could become more than just criminal acts, but could be integrated in the future with a military strategy designed to disrupt U.S. systems.”
—Victor Cha, CSIS Korea Chair, on North Korea’s cyber developments and threats to the United States.
Source:  The Hill [ http://thehill.com/policy/cybersecurity/267159-south-korea-suspects-north-of-cyberattacks ]  .

 One to Watch 

 

 

( Photo Credit: POLITICO. )
Patrick Reis (@Patrick_C_Reis [ https://twitter.com/Patrick_C_Reis ] ) is returning to POLITCO to cover economics and the financial sector. Patrick previously served as the assistant managing editor of the  National Journal  after spending two years as an Energy reporter at POLITICO. For all things economic, look to Patrick. 

 Optics
 As DC and the rest of the country comes back to life after Snowzilla, take a look at this modeling [ http://www.vox.com/2016/1/27/10839872/snowzilla-snow-total ]  by Vox. It shows just how much snow was dropped on DC and across the nation.

 Highly Recommended
 The New York Times’s Virtual Reality app [ http://nyti.ms/1HtVQUF ]  is excellent—and you don’t even need to put the cardboard box on your head to watch it.

 CSIS Today
 Today, CSIS hosted “Beyond Aid: The Integration of Sustainable Development in a Coherent International Agenda [ http://csis.informz.net/z/cjUucD9taT01MzEyMjMxJnA9MSZ1PTEwNjQ2OTgzNTkmbGk9MzMwNDUwMDY/index.html ] ,” where experts in international development shared their thoughts on how policy coherence for sustainable development can help to achieve ambitious global goals by 2030. CSIS also hosted the latest Schieffer Series, “A Discussion on Terrorism [ http://csis.informz.net/z/cjUucD9taT01MzEyMjMxJnA9MSZ1PTEwNjQ2OTgzNTkmbGk9MzMwNDUwMDc/index.html ] .” Bob Schieffer moderated a discussion with Fran Townsend, Juan Zarate, and Mary Louise Kelly.

 CSIS Tomorrow
 Tomorrow at 9:30 a.m., the CSIS Project on Prosperity and Development will host an event on “Bridging the Gap: Developing Resilience in Northern Syria [ http://csis.org/event/bridging-gap-developing-resilience-northern-syria ] .” Join us afterward at 10:00 a.m. for “The Navy’s Vision for Unmanned Systems [ http://csis.org/event/navys-vision-unmanned-systems ] ,” as Rear Admiral Robert P. Girrier (USN) discusses the Navy’s ongoing strategic adjustments and significant maritime forces changes in the coming decades. And at 12:30 p.m., watch Ambassador Yousef Al Otaiba of the United Arab Emirates speak on the Middle East at an inflection point—the view from the region. The event is closed, but you can watch live here [ http://csis.org/event/middle-east-inflection-point ] . Finally, tune in at 3:00 p.m. for “US Economic Statecraft and the Global Order [ http://csis.org/event/us-economic-statecraft-and-global-order ] ,” a discussion to highlight the strategic role of economies in foreign policy, featuring former treasury secretary Lawrence Summers.

 This Town Tomorrow
 Tomorrow at 11:30 a.m., the Institute of World Politics will host an event on the cybersecurity and national issues [ http://www.iwp.edu/events/detail/cyberspace-and-national-security-issues-today ]  facing the US today. Featuring Lt. General Edward Cardon, commanding general of the US Army Cyber Command, the discussion will present an overview of the US Army Cyber Command and how the US is defending and deterring cyber attacks.

 CSIS on Demand
 As the EPA’s controversial Clean Power Plan (CPP) moves through Congress, the CSIS Energy and National Security Program hosted a discussion [ http://csis.org/event/clean-power-plan-2016-outlook ]  on the future of the CPP in 2016.

 Sounds 
NPR's  Here and Now's  latest episode features  [ http://hereandnow.wbur.org/2016/01/28/matthew-trevithick-freed-from-iran ] Matthew Trevithick, an American recently released from Iranian detention. 

 I Like It Like That 
 Eye-catching things in CSIS's orbit 

Incredible photo [ https://twitter.com/markknoller/status/692847139773231104 ]  of Marine One leaving the White House South Lawn taken by CBS legend Mark Knoller.

 Smiles
 I read the other day that French billionaire Édouard Carmignac talked Neil Young into playing a private gig at the Théatre Mogador in Paris. That really made me smile because Young has historically refused to do these type of things.

Young is a multifaceted and complex artist. I’ve been fortunate to attend some stunning private shows in my life, but alas, not this one (I really need to meet Édouard Carmignac!)

I have seen Neil Young play a very intimate show with his band Crazy Horse at Constitution Hall with my little sister in tow. We were in the front row and ended up making it into a photograph taken by Rolling Stone magazine. It was one of the best performances I will ever see.

So is this one [ http://bit.ly/1ePOCSh ] . In 1971, the BBC captured Mr. Young playing solo and unveiling one of his then new songs, “Old Man.” You can hear a pin drop as he sings: “Love lost, such a cost, give me things that don't get lost. Like a coin that won't get tossed, rolling home to you.” Such a smile.

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