Subject: The Evening CSIS: Iran’s Long Shot, Global Economic Derailment, Who are You & More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 08 Mar 2016 23:14:42 -0000

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 Good Evening, 

Welcome to  The Evening CSIS —my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. If you want to view this in your browser, click here [ http://CSIS.informz.net/InformzDataService/OnlineVersion/Individual?mailingInstanceId=5417617&subscriberId=1062005454 ] . To subscribe, please send me an email at [email-masked] [ mailto:[email-masked] ] .

 Iran's Long Shot
 Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps test-fired several ballistic missiles Tuesday, Iranian state television said, challenging a UN resolution and drawing a threat of a diplomatic response from the US, as Reuters reports [ http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-missiles-idUSKCN0WA0UY ] .

 Dive Deeper:  CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman’s commentary “Iran, Missiles, and Nuclear Weapons [ http://csis.org/publication/iran-missiles-and-nuclear-weapons ] ” is a quick read, while his landmark report  Iran’s Rocket and Missile Forces and Strategic Options [ https://csis.org/publication/irans-rocket-and-missile-forces-and-strategic-options-0 ]   is more comprehensive. 

 Global Economic Derailment
 The world faces a growing “risk of economic derailment” and needs immediate action to boost demand, the International Monetary Fund’s David Lipton warned today in Washington, as new figures pointed to the worst monthly collapse in Chinese exports since 2009, the  Financial Times ’ Shawn Donnan, Chris Giles, and Gabriel Wildau report [ https://next.ft.com/content/714fb8aa-e4ec-11e5-ac45-5c039e797d1c ] .

And, as the  Wall Street Journal ’s Andrew Browne writes today, “For Beijing, Political Goals Trump Economics [ http://www.wsj.com/articles/for-beijing-political-goals-trump-economics-1457409557 ] .”

 Dive Deeper:  CSIS’s Scott Kennedy has just published State and Market in Contemporary China: Toward the 13th Five-Year Plan [ http://csis.org/publication/state-and-market-contemporary-china ] , a collection of essays by Dr. Kennedy and other leading experts on Chinese economic policy.

  Interview with John Hamre
  In Japan, the Yomiuri Shinbum’s Tatsuya Fukumoto has just published an interview with CSIS’s CEO, John Hamre, "Japan to be anchor in Asia with US [ http://www.the-japan-news.com/news/article/0002793771 ] ."

 Terror in Tel Aviv
 A US tourist was stabbed to death and at least 9 others were wounded by a Palestinian armed with a knife on a popular boardwalk in the Jaffa port area of Tel Aviv, Reuters reports [ http://www.reuters.com/article/us-israel-palestinians-violence-tourist-idUSKCN0WA2FR?utm_source=twitter ] .

And, as the Associated Press reports [ http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2016/03/08/world/middleeast/ap-ml-israel-palestinians.html ] , Vice President Biden was meeting with former Israeli president Shimon Peres at the Peres Center for Peace just hundreds of meters away from the attack at the time.  [ http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2016/03/08/world/middleeast/ap-ml-israel-palestinians.html ] 

In addition to the Jaffa attack, two additional Palestinian attacks occurred in Jerusalem and Petah Tikva respectively, prompting Israel’s Intelligence Minister Yisrael Katz to declare Israel is “in the midst of a war against ISIS-style Muslim extremist terror.” And former Israeli justice minister Tzipi Livni said Vice President Biden’s trip to Israel could serve as an opportunity to “lower the flames” of tension between Israel and the Palestinians, as the  Jerusalem Post  reports [ http://www.jpost.com/Arab-Israeli-Conflict/Current-wave-of-violence-is-a-war-says-Israeli-intelligence-minister-447289 ] .

 Dive Deeper:  Brookings’ Khaled Elgindy has an essay in the current issue of the  Washington Quarterly : “Lost in the Chaos: the Palestinian Leadership Crisis [ http://cs.is/1QF01Vh ] .”

 In that Number
 60
The number of individuals with suspected terror links that are currently residing in Canada, according to the director of the Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS). Source: Globe and Mail [ http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/sharp-rise-in-number-of-canadians-involved-in-terrorist-activities-abroad/article28864101 ] .

 Critical Quote
 “Depending on how both sides read it, this could be a specific case, or it could get overheated and extended.”
—Scott Kennedy, director of the CSIS Project on Chinese Business and Political Economy, on the recent move by the United States to restrict sales to ZTE, a Chinese electronics firm, on charges it violated US sanctions against Iran.
Source:  New York Times [ http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/08/technology/us-restricts-sales-to-zte-saying-it-breached-sanctions.html?_r=0 ]  

 One to Watch 

 

 

( Photo Credit: Twitter .)
Janie Boschma (@janieboschma [ https://twitter.com/janieboschma ] ) is a founding member of POLITICO’s new data team, where she will serve as data editor. Janie previously served as a senior associate editor at the  Atlantic  and worked on their Next America [ http://www.theatlantic.com/special-report/next-america ]  demography project. For data-driven reporting, Janie is one to watch.

 Optics

 

 

( Photo Credit: Department of Defense [ http://www.defense.gov/News-Article-View/Article/688410/carter-salutes-womens-contributions-on-international-womens-day ]   [ http://www.defense.gov/News-Article-View/Article/688410/carter-salutes-womens-contributions-on-international-womens-day ] )

In honor of International Women’s Day: In 2002, Air Force airman Vanessa Dobos became the first female aerial gunner, a combat duty that had previously been closed to women. Dobos went on to serve with distinction in Iraq and Afghanistan.

 Highly Recommended
 “Why Every Day Should Be International Women’s Day [ https://medium.com/usaid-2030/why-every-day-should-be-international-women-s-day-1458928d01b5#.pmugroldd ] ,” by USAID administrator Gayle Smith.

 Dive Deeper:  Visit the CSIS Task Force on Women’s & Family Health [ http://vision2017.csis.org ]  micro website.

 This Town Tomorrow
 Tomorrow, you can join New America for its second annual conference on Cybersecurity. This year’s Cybersecurity for a New America conference [ https://www.newamerica.org/cybersecurity-initiative/cybersecurity-for-a-new-america-2016 ]  will focus on how to shape the future of cybersecurity. How will cyberspace evolve? What does that mean for cybersecurity? And what can we do to ensure that security gets better not worse?

 CSIS on Demand
 Yesterday, the CSIS International Security Program hosted a half-day Defense360 [ http://defense360.csis.org ]  conference on the recently released FY2017 defense budget request and strategic priorities. Catch the event and panels here [ http://csis.org/event/fy2017-defense-budget-and-strategic-outlook ] .

 Sounds
 On the latest episode [ http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/07/insider/former-jerusalem-bureau-chief-answers-readers-questions.html?rref=collection%2Fcolumn%2Finsider-podcasts&action=click&contentCollection=insider&region=stream&module=stream_unit&version=latest&contentPlacement=1&pgtype=collection ]  of the  New York Times ’ Inside The Times podcast, former NYT Jerusalem bureau chief Judy Rudoren answers readers’ questions about her experience covering Israel and the Palestinians.

 I Like It Like That 
 Eye-catching things in CSIS's orbit 

Via the Peterson Institute for International Economics, “Reality Check for the Global Economy [ http://www.piie.com/publications/briefings/piieb16-3.pdf ] .”

 Smiles
 Yesterday, I mentioned that The Who are on their 50th anniversary tour. Roger Daltrey turned 72 this month, Pete Townshend is 70. But these eminent rockers of yore can still bring it like no one else.

It surely helps that they are propelled by one of rock’s best rhythm sections, Zak Starkey (Ringo’s son, Keith Moon’s mentee and godson) on drums and the great Pino Paladino on bass. My friend Parker Simes’s brother, Frank, is the band’s musical director and he has tapped the very source of Daltrey and Townshend’s eternal youth—the powerful angst that has always lurked behind their greatest tunes. 

Parker tells me that last night’s show at Boston’s TD Garden was superb.

Last Friday night, The Who performed live on Jimmy Fallon’s show. It was their first appearance on US late-night television in almost a decade. And, with this heart-pounding rendition of “Who are You [ http://www.rollingstone.com/tv/news/watch-the-who-bring-rousing-who-are-you-to-tonight-show-20160305 ] ” the band absolutely roared. 
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