Subject: POLITICO Playbook, presented by the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America (PCI): CLINTON FALL PLAN: Portray Trump business empire as a Potemkin Village – NICK MERRILL’s LAMENT – MILLENNIALS’ new claim to fame – B’DAYS: Michael Elliott, Al From
From: "Mike Allen" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 31 May 2016 03:49:15 -0600

05/31/2016 05:46 AM EDT

By Mike Allen (@mikeallen; [email-masked]) and Daniel Lippman (@dlippman; [email-masked])

Good Tuesday morning, and welcome back. Playbooker Brian Kamoie emails: Political "ice cream flavors spotted at The Ice Cream Store in Rehoboth Beach ... Feel the Bern: cinnamon ice cream with red hot candies and cinnamon swirl ... Trump Tower: orange sherbet with a vanilla swirl ... Hillary Vanilla: rich and creamy chocolate ice cream made with the finest cocoa." Pics http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=579a5dcfb13258b047ec05475c0be0f08d0b1923c321db1f54b2d66f37ef8403 ... http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=579a5dcfb13258b0cf0cc4e967d2070a6b1777968049f773cd58b315bf5d7604

MEGATRENDS - Tampa Bay Times p. 1A, below fold, "Little joy within state's parties: A steady erosion within political affiliations may signal the end of the two-party system," by Mary Ellen Klas, Miami Herald Tallahassee Bureau Chief (Times/Herald Bureau): "This summer ... may ... mark the time America's century-old political parties went on life support. At the top of the ticket, both the Florida Democratic Party and the Republican Party of Florida have anointed presidential frontrunners who are seen by most voters more negatively than positively. Corporate donors ... are circumventing the parties in large numbers by contributing directly to candidates' committees. 

"In Florida, the often-reliable bellwether for the nation, party membership is steadily eroding as the majority of new voters don't register with any party and fewer new voters are registering than have in previous presidential years. 

"Then there are the casualties. Florida Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz, the head of the Democratic National Committee, has been targeted for defeat from within by Bernie Sanders ... Jeb Bush ... is so disgusted by Donald Trump and his message he has announced he won't vote for his party's nominee. And GOP candidates in Hispanic-rich South Florida are keeping their distance from the frontrunner." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=579a5dcfb13258b00c6b96c928353c80d38b5aa6ac4123534c8841b50fcc68a7

NEW YORK MAG cover story, "Hillary Clinton's Candidacy Was Never Going to Be Easy. But Did It Have to Be This Hard?" by Rebecca Traister: "[T]here is something about the candidate that is getting lost in translation. The conviction that I was in the presence of a capable, charming politician who inspires tremendous excitement would fade and in fact clash dramatically with the impressions I'd get as soon as I left her circle: of a campaign imperiled, a message muddled, unfavorables scarily high. To be near her is to feel like the campaign is in steady hands; to be at any distance is to fear for the fate of the republic. ... 

"'There is no doubt that she has to walk a narrower path than some other politicians,' a frustrated Nick Merrill told me on the day of the Bill Clinton ['in charge of revitalizing the economy'] comments. Merrill, her press aide, was irritated by the willingness of the media to blow the remark into a fantasy scenario, at their refusal to believe the campaign's clarification that no, there was no 'official' role secretly being planned ... 'When she says something - not even off-script, but gives a stump speech and talks about her husband and uses fewer words or less-exact words than she did the week before - it's hard to put that toothpaste back in the tube. There's an assumption that there's
 some underlying secret.'

"And this is the rub exactly: Everyone assumes Clinton is harboring an underlying secret. It's a paranoiac cycle - Clinton and her team think that everyone is after her, and their behavior creates further incentive for everyone to come after her." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=579a5dcfb13258b0be5c124b404619dda7b7cd0f62844939e17ee4ae705699f3

--MUST-CLICK! THE NEW YORK MAG COVER, "There Is Nothing Simple About Hillary Clinton," is a throwback to a 2008 cover, "Hillary Clinton, Superstar," by John Heilemann! See both covers. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=579a5dcfb13258b0317011b3e979777f21f4963823daab1b2000266f505ced61

JOHN PODESTA MEMO -- "Campaign Chairman: Clinton Knows Email Setup Was A 'Mistake,'" by BuzzFeed's Ruby Cramer: "The 600-word letter from John Podesta, Clinton's chairman and longtime adviser, addresses the IG report's various findings, but comes back to a single point again and again: that Clinton knows the use of a personal email server was a 'mistake. ... If she could go back, she'd do it differently.'" http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=579a5dcfb13258b07a5ead4e1bb76e5a49c679a8fc9d4e667a87e9f3c027331d 

--N.Y. POST COVER: "CALIFORNIA SCREAMING -- Frantic Hillary's desperate dash out west" http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=34a56bbe331ce75c60460c6e4f9fd4b2a0b8f3b00388926a67614d710a024ec2

-S.F. Chronicle p. A1, bottom of page, "Sanders packs Oakland's pews, backs home team," by Lizzie Johnson: "Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders' visit to Oakland came with the joyous strains of gospel music, loud cheers in a variety of languages, and a sea of blue posters splashed with the presidential candidate's name." Behind paywall http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=34a56bbe331ce75c7f030422ba61dbb7d7b173195fe2766709e7d24a5b89c725 

FALL CAMPAIGN - "Shady accounting underpins Trump's wealth: The GOP nominee is rich. But how rich depends on odd accounting and subjective criteria," by Morning Money's Ben White in New York: "Trump claims a net worth of more than $10 billion and income of $557 million. But he appears to get there only by over-valuing properties and ignoring his expenses. ... Some financial analysts said this, and a very low tax rate, is why Trump won't release his tax returns. ... And he is selling assets and increasing debt in ways that suggest a man scrambling for ready cash. ...

"The Clinton campaign wants to portray Trump's business empire as a Potemkin Village, showy on the surface with little underneath. ... Democrats have leading forensic accountants poring over all of Trump's public records and disclosures with a plan to release whatever they find to support this narrative as the campaign shifts into general election mode this summer and fall." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=34a56bbe331ce75ca4935a31579e316468021ced27e76ee8356c3c69047d9c1b ... Subscribe to Morning Money http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=34a56bbe331ce75cae3b43f77c512bed4ba5301e2d3d4ac4588945cd4226a515 

--WashPost 2-col. lead, "Gray areas for a mogul president: TRUMP BUSINESS EMPIRE SPANS GLOBE - Stalled hotel highlights potential conflicts if he wins," by Kevin Sullivan in Baku, Azerbaijan: "Trump would be the first U.S. president to preside over a global business empire, one that includes seven resorts, hotels and other projects in foreign countries, 11 more under construction and plans for many more. Among them are properties in nations where the United States has important economic and national security concerns - such as Turkey, Indonesia, the United Arab Emirates and Azerbaijan." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=34a56bbe331ce75c463f79ddb30aad14f843d3650e873876aad856f3875ec096

** A message from the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America (PCI): Hurricane Season starts June 1. Insurers are helping families and businesses prepare, and looking at new tools and methods to improve our response after natural disasters. Building safer, stronger, more resilient communities is a goal for us all. We are all in this together. Learn more about PCI http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=5e4deee3f58391fcfdb73c2efa1e83098fb19ae0b7b3aff538dd83f0b2242e79 **

FUN READ - "From Ike to Obama, CIA has briefed presidential candidates," by AP's Deb Riechmann: "Started by President Harry S. Truman, the briefings are designed to get the candidates, before they walk into the Oval Office, up to speed on problems around the globe. Truman, who was Franklin D. Roosevelt's vice president for almost three months before Roosevelt died, first learned about the Manhattan Project to develop an atomic bomb only 12 days into his presidency, and he pledged not to leave any future commander in chief behind the ball." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=34a56bbe331ce75c091cfc0c62904928df1f048c2b3f20a57c156dc1e474b284 

SPOTTED: Al Hunt, dodging four lanes of traffic yesterday on Wisconsin Avenue in Chevy Chase (sans crosswalk), clutching a Neiman Marcus bag.

NEW ON THE TWITTERS -- @FoxNewsTrumpBot: A guy built a Twitter bot that automatically tweets every time Trump is mentioned on Fox. 

TOP TWEET -- @pourmecoffee: "Bill Kristol is working his way around our cul-de-sac asking people to run for president."

DATA DU JOUR - "Millennials match Baby Boomers as largest generation in U.S. electorate," by Pew's Richard Fry: "Millennials, who already have surpassed Baby Boomers as the United States' largest living generation, now have caught up to the Boomers when it comes to their share of the American electorate. As of April 2016, an estimated 69.2 million Millennials (adults ages 18-35 in 2016) were voting-age U.S. citizens - a number almost equal to the 69.7 million Baby Boomers (ages 52-70) ... Both generations comprise roughly 31% of the voting-eligible population."  http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=34a56bbe331ce75c71a5daa3a1b89e062bf966b7a3c7ce6bc9209dc9419eeeb4 (hat tip: Arizona Republic) 

STATE OF THE ART - "On cutting-edge voter data, Trump critically behind Clinton," by AP's Tom Beaumont in Philly: "Trump spent more than $1 million in April on campaign paraphernalia like caps, T-shirts and signs ... [and] spent less than a third of that amount on data and related functions such as telemarketing. Obama's 2008 presidential campaign revolutionized the way technology could be used to identify and keep track of supporters ... In 2012, Obama's re-election campaign profiled potential voters by monitoring what online, mobile, reading and shopping choices they made. ...

"Clinton's campaign has been collecting data since she announced her candidacy 11 months ago. Elan Kriegel, an analytics director for Obama in 2012, now heads Clinton's analytics team. And, Jeremy Bird, credited with using the data in 2012 for decision-making that preceded the president's re-election, is advising the Clinton campaign." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=34a56bbe331ce75c731861ebe4fe70a680cd76454a9b14d5413523a83d199313

DAILY DONALD -- "Can the World Survive A Perpetually Combative President Trump? Trump's view of humanity as uniformly hostile and vicious is unrealistic-and possibly dangerous," by Aaron David Miller of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, for Politico Magazine: "[T]he world is a place in which America probably can't afford to be in a constant state of counterattack, and where every challenge isn't a nail that requires a hammer. ... What if hiding behind the bullying, ... there lies a real president in waiting, calm, preternaturally prudent and wise just waiting to get out and to assume his place in the pantheon of presidential greats? To date, though, that hope exists only
 in a galaxy far, far away." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=34a56bbe331ce75c2c696fb547cb0005cfa568e744c04ddc8de3613826b2154c 

GLENN THRUSH PODCAST: In the latest "Off Message" podcast, Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-Ala.), a Trump ally, says: "I think [Speaker Ryan] needs to recognize ... Trump is where the Republicans are and if you're going to be a Republican leader you should be supportive of that." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8364f0fec49b523673e2b30a258bb1a8356106b8ab71b301d6016c7e8b324f1a ... LISTEN and subscribe on iTunes http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8364f0fec49b523625e24fa8f8a934ce527b9e25f42134c942a00cea230aa345 

FIRST LOOK -- "Nation's Premiere LGBT Civil Rights Summit Announces Plans for 2016 Democratic National Convention": "Against the backdrop of a major, national audience, Equality Forum, the nation's oldest lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender (LGBT) civil rights summit, announced plans today for this year's summit to be held July 25th through July 28th during the [DNC] in Philadelphia, PA. Equality Forum 2016 will bring together elected officials, newsmakers and LGBT experts for groundbreaking panel discussions on the state and future." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8364f0fec49b5236a42fd87739792983424ff4b0c336b5c61183f2150d7b53f5 

HOT VIDEO - "Harvard graduate's unique speech goes viral": "Harvard University has called 2016 graduate Donovan Livingston's spoken-verse commencement speech 'one of the most powerful, heartfelt student speeches you will ever hear.'" 5-min. video http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8364f0fec49b52361466e90fc9b8d8f585134af38e439acaa868d8107604c72f 

THE NEW GILDED AGE - "Sky high: NYC 'trophy apartment' could list for $250 million," by AP's Verena Dobnik: "Billionaires' Row. That's what New York real estate experts have dubbed a lineup of a half-dozen new superluxury skyscrapers overlooking Central Park ... One penthouse ... that went for more than $100 million seems almost a bargain compared to what will appear next year in a high-rise being built on Central Park South: a 23,000-square-foot, four-story apartment offered at $250 million. ... Floor plans show 16 bedrooms, 17 bathrooms, five balconies and a massive terrace." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8364f0fec49b5236b57dae5bbfc8d2cef6f1171e7ed186f93894f31c8c6cbc19 

--Sunday's NYT Business section, "A Worrisome Pileup of $100 Million Homes," by Robert Frank, author of "Richistan" http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8364f0fec49b5236d9c05df50bb0e555f1766e5dec8d99b1c3d6df38ee34daa6 

FOR YOUR RADAR - WashPost A1, "If Britain leaves the EU, Scots may try to stay put," by Griff Witte in Edinburgh (online: "A British vote to leave the E.U. could shatter the United Kingdom"): "If Britain chooses to ditch the E.U., ... nationalist leaders here say they will revive the push for an independent nation in order to keep Scotland inside Europe. And they think that the second time around, they would win." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8364f0fec49b52364971cae9d181f56c283a6df7041ce62b9b1a4fe55d293182

BEYOND THE BELTWAY - Chicago Tribune p. 1, "CHICAGO VIOLENCE TAKES NO HOLIDAY: 4 killed, 54 wounded in traditional opening of summer violent season." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8364f0fec49b52362a45e3495d8389e20b8e59eadc3c071b9f978051328638c2 

BUSINESS BURST - "Wal-Mart needs to grow overseas, and China's the big prize," by AP Business Writer Anne D'Innocenzio in Shenzhen, China, and Paul Wiseman in D.C.: China "represents just 3 percent of Wal-Mart's global sales ... [T]he company has just over 400 stores in China, compared with more than 5,000 in the U.S. But the Chinese grocery market, already the world's largest at $1.1 trillion a year, is expected to grow to nearly $1.5 trillion in just the next four years ... [G]lobal players like Wal-Mart have found that food retailing doesn't cross borders easily because it's a largely local business." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8364f0fec49b52367dada276078d03c17304e697c51a1f10f6d588e38f1a0259

SPORTS BLINK: CRAZY NBA STAT - "Curry and record-setting Warriors headed back to NBA Finals," by AP Sports Writer Janie McCauley in Oakland: "The [Golden State] Warriors [Oakland] ... return to the NBA Finals for a rematch with [LeBron] James and the Cleveland Cavaliers, who lost the 2015 title in six games as Golden State captured its first championship in 40 years. Game 1 is Thursday night in Oakland. ... [In beating Oklahoma Thunder 96-88 in seventh game of Western Conference Finals, Stephen] Curry hit a 3 in his 51st straight playoff game." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8364f0fec49b523693b3508862a30d836f0ced60da7770a09d7acfde68531d44

EMAIL FROM JAMIE SMITH - "Attention, reporters: What in the world is the Blockchain? Curious what all of the hype is about? Come to an on the record media only lunch TODAY ... at 11:30 a.m. at Carmine's Restaurant and hear from top experts -- Don and Alex Tapscott, co-authors of 'Blockchain Revolution.' The lunch is hosted by former deputy White House press secretary Jamie Smith and the Bitfury Group."

WELCOME TO THE WORLD: On Memorial Day at 3 a.m. in Roseville, Calif., Jason and Jessica Dumont welcomed Claire Elizabeth Dumont, who joins older sister Nora Marie. Jason is research and communications staff to the California Republican Caucus, and former Senate staffer (John E. Sununu) and staff intern and campaign staffer to Judd Gregg. Jessica is with Hallden Public Relations in Sacramento. Pics http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=a79a0fc20e6c5e0b80bcca7790fa372ba904728986c3bc6a9cfcce6167f0f40c ... http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=a79a0fc20e6c5e0bb2e46bd86eb14e3221eca729537a308cd5ecc67bb7bb7b98 

WEEKEND WEDDINGS -- Ben Cassidy married Clare Bender on Saturday at the St. Michaels Maritime Museum in the Chesapeake Bay. Cassidy is the federal liaison for the NRA and former director of the Young Guns program at the NRCC. Clare works in marketing for the organic grocer startup Relay Foods. Ben and Clare celebrated with nearly 200 friends and family, including Gen. John Kelly, NRCC alums Brian O. Walsh, Casey Phillips, Bob Honold, Tom Dunn, Andy Sere, Andrew Christianson, Trent Edwards, John Neumann, and Rebecca Mark, Conference and Team CMR alum Shaughnessy Murphy, and Renacci COS Surya Gunasekara. 

Guests danced the night away to '90s hits. Unfortunately the groom didn't bust out the pizza shirt. They met through Leigh Young, Chairman Pete Sessions' former executive assistant. Pics http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=a79a0fc20e6c5e0bf0a9c94099b522efddc7d25f68c6b717336c8e10f9647dd7 ... http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=a79a0fc20e6c5e0b2cc9f4b946d65e04acb571a92de805e1ef88a7f6c0142f87 ... http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=a79a0fc20e6c5e0b9a4c46c5cb13aea2ec6728ed278dcbe0f2fe2dfa7fb4dd2d ... http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=a79a0fc20e6c5e0b5863cbb85765cf41261de1646adff22af8c7d6afdea2f45f ... Video, shortly after vows http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=a79a0fc20e6c5e0be5d1e9bb228b2661dbb52d8e04c263d4d067e78a667c938d 

--Brandt McCool, a Louisville native and chief technology officer at New Blue Interactive, wed Eve Samborn, reared in Glenview, Ill., digital director for Rep. Tammy Duckworth's Senate campaign, on Sunday night at the Arboretum Club in Buffalo Grove, Il. The two met when she was the digital director for Duckworth's 2012 congressional race and he was the digital director for Lois Frankel's 2012 election campaign. The couple plan to honeymoon in December after the election and settle in DC. (h/t FOTB (father of the bride) Randall Samborn, SVP of Levick and former longtime spokesman for the Chicago U.S. Attorney's Office)

BIRTHWEEK (was yesterday): Blake Williams, deputy comms. director for Americans United for Change and semi-professional Golden Tee player

BIRTHDAYS: Michael O'Connor, partner at Williams & Connolly and co-chair of its Transactions and Business Counseling practice group (hat tip: Robert Barnett) ... Michael Elliott, ONE Campaign CEO, and TIME and Economist alum ... Al From, the pride of South Bend, Ind. (we jumped the gun earlier) ... Clint Eastwood is 86 (h/t Mitt) ... Bernard Goldberg is 71 ... Lauren Passalacqua, national press secretary at the DSCC, a Gillibrand alum and noted country music fan, is 3-0 (h/t Marcy Stech) ... Reps. Madeleine Z. Bordallo (D-Guam) is 83 and Larry Bucshon is 54 (R-Ind.) ... Politico's Janet Michaud, Brad Bosserman, Matt Berman and Jamie Oh ... RNC finance alum Angela Meyers ... 

... Debra DeShong, EVP and managing director at Subject Matter (h/t Amy Weiss) ... Julie Moos, shared news director at McClatchy and a Poynter alum ... Dan Iten (h/t Deckard) ... Clark Judge, founder and managing director of White House Writers Group ... Phil Elwood, SVP at Ipsos and a Levick alum ... "Last Week Tonight" writer Juli Weiner, a Vanity Fair alum ... Bert Kaufman in corporate and regulatory affairs at autonomous vehicle firm Zoox and a Commerce and Business Forward alum ... Howard Homonoff, SVP at MediaLink (h/t Michael Knopf) ... Fariba Yassaee, a V.P. at Albright Stonebridge (h/t Ben Chang) ... 

... Marilyn Tavenner, president and CEO of AHIP and former Medicare and Medicaid administrator ... Erik Telford, VP of digital at Freedom Partners and a Franklin Center alum ... Ray Quintero, VP of gov't relations for the American Osteopathic Association ... Sara Carter, national security/war correspondent at Sinclair's Circa and an Examiner and WashTimes alum ... Paul Heinan ... Stephanie Weix ... Rhonda Roberts (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) ... Karen Quarles ... Pamela Hughes ... Steve Duprey ... Bill Oglesby ... Alix Heard ... DMC is 52 ... Brooke Shields is 51 ... Colin Farrell is 40 ... Casey James ("American Idol") is 34 ... Waka Flocka Flame is 30 ... Normani Hamilton of Fifth Harmony ("The
 X Factor") is 20 (h/ts AP)

DESSERT - N.Y. Times A1, below fold, "Vanilla Cones Fuel Turf War In Manhattan," by Andy Newman and Emily Rueb: "[B]ehind those cheery facades simmer turf wars - long-running, occasionally bloody feuds between ice-cream vendors for control of the city's prime selling spots. ... 'Let me tell you about this business,' Adam Vega, a thickly muscled, heavily tattooed Mister Softee man who works the upper reaches of the Upper East Side and East Harlem, said on Wednesday. 'Every truck has a bat inside.'" http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=a79a0fc20e6c5e0b72f0314ec9050b6bc1a9b57713d0a5c3372e67c0ea7f6c00 

--N.Y. TIMES QUOTATION of the DAY ... A NEW YORK ICE CREAM MAN, who would not allow his name to be published for fear of losing his job, on the turf war involving rival ice cream truck companies: "You will never see a Mister Softee truck in Midtown. If you do, there will be problems, and you won't see him there very long."

** A message from the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America (PCI): Hurricane Season is right around the corner. Home, auto, and business insurers are committed to assisting policyholders in need, quickly and efficiently. Insurers have a strong track record following even the most devastating of natural disasters. In the wake of Superstorm Sandy, insurers settled more than 130,000 flood claims, with only one percent of claims going to litigation. The private insurance sector paid more than 1,500,000 million Sandy claims from all other insured losses, with less than one percent going to litigation. But there is still work to be done. Insurers are looking at new tools and methods
 to improve our response after natural disasters. The industry also is working with Congress to make improvements to the flood insurance system. Building safer, stronger, more resilient communities is a goal for us all. We are all in this together. Learn more about the Property Casualty Insurers Association and the industry's efforts at http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=34a56bbe331ce75c80ff03777ea7f4822245f6787275c2a329bf4079eecea3a8 and at @PCIAA. **

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