Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score: Sanders 'revolution' faces first down-ballot test — MoveOn polls test Trump effect in Senate races — Trickle of outside spending to become a flood in North Carolina?
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 13 Jun 2016 08:03:22 -0600

By Elena Schneider | 06/13/2016 10:00 AM EDT

With Theodoric Meyer, Maggie Severns and Alex Guillen

The following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro's Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day's most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (http://www.politicopro.com/proinfo)

WHATEVER HAPPENS, IT WILL BE TELEVISED - "Sanders 'revolution' faces first down-ballot test," by Campaign Pro's Elena Schneider: "Bernie Sanders competes in his final primary Tuesday night in Washington, D.C., but the real test of his political movement will be underway a few thousand miles west in the Nevada desert. Tuesday also marks the first primary for one of Sanders' down-ballot endorsees: Lucy Flores, a Las Vegas House candidate whom Sanders called "exactly the kind of person I'm going to need in Congress when I am president" in fundraising emails this spring. Flores' campaign raised hundreds of thousands of dollars from those emails, powering a late charge to the finish of a
 Democratic primary featuring three well-funded candidates. While Sanders' presidential campaign is winding down, he has urged millions of supporters to create a lasting progressive coalition by backing new congressional and state legislative candidates. Flores' contest kicks off several months of key primaries for Sanders-fueled House candidates, including New York's Eric Kingson and Zephyr Teachout, Washington's Pramila Jayapal, and Florida's Tim Canova, who is challenging Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz."

- "But while Sanders has injected grass-roots enthusiasm and money into Flores' campaign and others, he is far from the only player in these races, each of which present unique obstacles to Sanders' big-picture, down-ballot goals." Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid is backing state Sen. Ruben Kihuen, while EMILY's List is supporting philanthropist Susie Lee." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8d6cc2b0750b57b7858eb5fde39b846fd3afbe3da80d4469e9f9f0b7b6056b48

- New Sanders endorsements: Over the weekend, Sanders endorsed a pair of House incumbents who endorsed him for president: Democratic Reps. Rick Nolan (who has a battleground race on his hands) and Marcy Kaptur (who represents a deep-blue Ohio seat). Kaptur has not always had a smooth relationship with progressives; she held out on supporting Obamacare for a long time during the legislative battle over the bill, due to her position on abortion.

AD WATCH - NRSC airs North Carolina ads as Priorities USA books its own: http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8d6cc2b0750b57b7802601066514031deaf9c2bc7a899902b78fd4645312618a

- Senate Majority PAC, One Nation with new ads in Pennsylvania: The Democratic super PAC's latest ad in Pennsylvania spends 15 seconds bashing GOP Sen. Pat Toomey for Wall Street ties before pivoting to Democrat Katie McGinty and highlighting her biography and family history. Senate Majority PAC rarely goes positive, but McGinty is under attack from multiple outside groups as well as the Toomey campaign itself, and polls show that she is still not at all well-known after spending down her campaign money in an expensive primary. More here: http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=8d6cc2b0750b57b727d5b46ccb5a98c525df3bdbe66debc00432b70e2038d3c2

Days until the District of Columbia Democratic primary and the Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina and Virginia congressional primaries: 1. Days until the 2016 election: 148.

Thanks for joining us. In the days after the Orlando tragedy, we hope you'll tell the people you love that you love them. We certainly will be. You can email tips to the whole Campaign Pro team at [email-masked], [email-masked], [email-masked], [email-masked] and [email-masked].

You can also follow us on Twitter, where we tweet a lot about campaigns and about Obama's 15th time speaking to the nation after a mass shooting: @politicoscott, @ec_schneider, @politicokevin, @theodoricmeyer and @maggieseverns.

POLL ME MAYBE - Shock result in UT-04: A new automated Salt Lake Tribune-Hinckley Institute poll has GOP Rep. Mia Love trailing Democrat Doug Owens by 6 percentage points. The two are heading into a general election rematch in a heavily Republican-leaning district, after Owens lost to Love in 2014. In the poll, 51 percent of voters said they would back Owens, while 45 percent said they supported Love. "'I don't believe the numbers, to be honest with you,' said Dave Hansen, Love's campaign strategist. 'The numbers just do not make sense.'" The poll surveyed 573 likely general election voters, contacted mostly through robocalls from June 2 to June 8. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.2
 percentage points. Thirty-nine percent of respondents viewed Love favorably while 40 percent viewed her unfavorably. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dcc31d9d70969061d3d03e88ba33761a87fa53ecbd56612dbad9e2fa560e0612 

- Public Policy Polling, in automated surveys commissioned by MoveOn.org Political Action, found that voters in five Senate battleground states (Arizona, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Ohio and Pennsylvania) are "less likely to vote for" their Republican incumbents' after their endorsements of presumptive presidential candidate, Donald Trump. In New Hampshire, 47 percent of voters said they were less likely to support Sen. Kelly Ayotte, while in Arizona, they are 44 percent less likely to back Sen. John McCain. The key question: How many of those "less likely" voters were considering voting Republican in the first place? PPP surveyed voters from June 8 to 9, after "increased backlash to Trump
 from several leading Republicans following recent attacks on a federal judge with Mexican heritage." Memos on all of the polls ... In Arizona: http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dcc31d9d7096906144e7c861f9cc15b28021f4a802b37edb72ff7df7def42560 ... In New Hampshire ... http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dcc31d9d70969061dedca5c34c8d5d9647473e95c5b124cf9df52431f83a04a0 ... In Ohio ... http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dcc31d9d70969061a1ed5533cebcd43044fa9b0b88d652dcf53a37fab914f262 In Pennsylvania: http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dcc31d9d709690615b723f2e9a762f324208435b353ac70bd68878fdad9171cd ... In Wisconsin: http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=7711c4875f893bdaa5c296acaefb74e372163335728da658e9ba366832f66fad 

(CAMPAIGN) FINANCIAL TIMES - FEC lawyers feel the thrill of the fight: Most FEC draft advisory opinions - rough versions of opinions that the commissioners later debate - are pretty dry. But the FEC's lawyers had some fun with a draft advisory opinion dealing with whether Mike Huckabee's defunct presidential campaign could create a separate legal defense fund to pay a settlement for playing "Eye of the Tiger" at a campaign event without permission. They sprinkled lyrics from the 1982 Survivor hit into the background section the opinion. After being sued, Huckabee's campaign, "rising up to the challenge of its rival, incurred attorneys' fees and other expenses in defending itself in that
 litigation," the FEC lawyers wrote. "After briefly relishing the thrill of the fight, the parties settled the lawsuit for an undisclosed amount." Groan. Here's the full draft opinion: http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=7711c4875f893bda2ad74877c9fdcec53b92cebfaa602fa966f274fa34270322 

- CREW sues FEC over Murray Energy deadlock: Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington on Friday sued the Federal Election Commission over its recent deadlock that meant it would not investigate coal producer Murray Energy over allegations first made in 2012 that the company and CEO Robert Murray coerced employees to make contributions to favored political candidates. "This was a clear example of a powerful corporation overstepping its authority and thinking it could operate above the law," CREW Executive Director Noah Bookbinder said. The FEC's Office of General Counsel recommended investigating, but the six-member commission split along party lines, with two Democrats and an
 independent saying there was enough evidence to at least investigate. The three Republicans countered with concerns about anonymous sourcing of many of the complaints and said the allegations were beyond the statute of limitations.

PRESIDENTIAL SPEED READ - "After Orlando Massacre, Donald Trump Reiterates Call for Temporary Ban on Muslim Migration," by The New York Times' Jonathan Martin: "Donald J. Trump on Sunday seized on the mass shooting at a gay club in Orlando, reiterating his controversial call for a temporary ban on Muslim migration to the United States and criticizing Hillary Clinton for what he claimed was her desire to "dramatically increase admissions from the Middle East." In a demonstration of his willingness to flout convention and engage in a style of demagogic politics rarely displayed by a presidential nominee, Mr. Trump claimed he had warned of the sort of terrorism that marked the shooting, which
 killed 50 and was the worst in the country's history. "I said this was going to happen - and it is only going to get worse," Mr. Trump said in a statement, arguing that Mrs. Clinton's presidency would mean "hundreds of thousands" more Middle East migrants." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dcc31d9d70969061201d18c8d843b919ab4f96b2d2ac24b27f3b133dd0f9a8aa 

- "Congress stunned by Orlando shootings," by POLITICO's Burgess Everett, John Bresnahan and Seung Min Kim: "The shooting deaths of 50 people in Orlando, Florida, on Sunday sharply jolted Capitol Hill out of its election-year doldrums. ...The news of the most deadly shooting attack in American history lands just as Congress eyes largely shutting down until the November elections. But if lawmakers are looking to press their point on the House or Senate floor, they still have a chance: Both chambers are in the heart of spending bill season, a legislative process that allows members to press amendments on gun control and terrorism if they choose. Many lawmakers spent Sunday trying to frame the
 debate on the airwaves ahead of this week's congressional session and a likely slate of briefings that will attract major media interest." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dcc31d9d70969061fe06f3b861f8551235a270845df9b0d8c14675133689e12d 

- "Furious GOP donors stew over Trump," by POLITICO's Alex Isenstadt: "Donald Trump is trying to win over a skeptical Republican donor class, but they've closed their wallets - and they're angry. On Friday afternoon, at an exclusive Republican donor retreat here hosted by Mitt Romney, frustration boiled over. During an off-the-record question-and-answer session with House Speaker Paul Ryan, Meg Whitman, the billionaire Hewlett Packard chief executive officer, confronted the speaker over his endorsement of Trump. Whitman, a major GOP giver who ran for California governor in 2010, compared Trump to historical demagogues like Adolf Hitler and Benito Mussolini and wanted to know how the speaker
 could get behind him. ...The incidents, which were relayed by three sources who were present - one of whom described them as "shocking" - illustrates the intense anger coursing through the GOP donor community. Far from letting go of their white-knuckled opposition to Trump, they're stewing in it." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=dcc31d9d7096906125ecf99eb776335bf68561f6695914fb27a25537726f3bcf 

- "Bernie Sanders Refuses to Concede Nomination to Hillary Clinton," by The New York Times' Yamiche Alcindor: "Despite growing calls from Democrats that he drop out of the race, Senator Bernie Sanders said on Sunday that he would continue to fight for the Democratic presidential nomination, refusing to concede it to Hillary Clinton. ...Still, after a meeting on Sunday at his home in Burlington, Vt., with some of his top advisers and supporters, Mr. Sanders emerged and told gathered reporters that he had no intention of leaving the race, though he did recognize the long odds he faced." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=7711c4875f893bda80fbb4eb6dd2d910f21f53eaa63c3fa9cbb108a0dfdca395 

CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "And we will not shrink away, we will not be stuck in our homes, we will not go back into our closets. We're here to march, to celebrate and to mourn," Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti said at the city's pride parade Sunday, ABC News reported. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=7711c4875f893bda94cc191aec2296728afba99540215208bb11357fa5924a6d 

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