Subject: POLITICO Playbook, presented by the 2016 KIDS COUNT Data Book from the Annie E. Casey Foundation: CLINTON OPENS 12-POINT LEAD in WP-ABC -- WSJ-NBC: Trump ‘weathers stormy month’ – KRISTEN WELKER engaged (pics) – B’DAY: Juliet Eilperin, Elizabeth Wilner
From: "Mike Allen" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 26 Jun 2016 09:51:13 -0600

06/26/2016 11:48 AM EDT

By Mike Allen (@mikeallen; [email-masked]) and Daniel Lippman (@dlippman; [email-masked])

THIS MOMENT IN CLIPS: Brits bolt ... Markets tank ... George Will leaves GOP, registers "unaffiliated" http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a044ab51bb4578c2457486a94e7eca0dc11e14d0d44b913268 ... Trump in turmoil ... Big poll shows Trump slump ... Another shows her negatives too high to capitalize ... Still scant chance of Dump Trump ... Corey out after revolt ... CNN hires him, prompting staff pushback ... God bless America. 

--Trump on Twitter: "George Will, one of the most overrated political pundits (who lost his way long ago), has left the Republican Party. He's made many bad calls."

Good Sunday morning. The Supreme Court #LoveWins ruling was one year ago today. Time-lapse video (8.8 million views) of the rainbow White House. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0f95e13440c243636197214c60cd0bcb813dd7e6e2d64533e 

NEW HILLARY AD, "Tested," hits Trump for talking about Brexit's benfit to his golf course ("When the pound goes down, more people are coming to Turnberry ... brand-new sprinkler system"): "In a volatile world, the last thing we need is a VOLATILE president." YouTube, with Chuck Todd cameo http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0be2089b5865ca85e722a4674a3807b5d880b1b9251d6d34c 

CHOOSE YOUR NEWS ... 2 HOT POLLS, off embargo at 9 a.m. - "Clinton Opens 12-Point Lead on Trump as Two-Thirds See Him as Biased," by ABC's Gary Langer: "Clinton surged to a broad advantage against Donald Trump [51-39] in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, capitalizing on Trump's recent campaign missteps. Two-thirds of Americans see him as biased against groups such as women, minorities or Muslims, and a new high, 64 percent, call Trump unqualified to serve as president. ... [A 14-point swing among registered voters since mid-May] snaps the race essentially back to where it was in March." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0dcfc863541065810fc74c1a356e94e32c8a8a08ca8bf732b 

--"Trump Weathers Stormy Month, Loses Only 2 Points ... Clinton ... leads Trump 46% to 41% in head-to-head matchup in WSJ/NBC News Poll," by WSJ's Peter Nicholas: "'Trump has had the worst month one can imagine, but Clinton's negatives are so high the net impact on the ballot is almost invisible,' said Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster who conducted the survey with Democratic pollster Fred Yang." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a031870b87aba653e37a0965f6be812ed6d6d68140857eb14f

THE MAP - WashPost p. A1, top of col. 1, "Some see pitfalls in Clinton's strategy: Rust Belt states where she hasn't fully engaged could be trouble spots," by Phil Rucker in St. Clair Shores, Mich., and John Wagner in N.Y. (homepage headline: "Democrats see danger signs in states they've carried for decades"): "In Michigan, Pennsylvania and, to a lesser extent, Wisconsin, an affinity for Trump's message of economic populism and nationalism has surprised many Democrats." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0bf2c6039cf2c104f505af7b7064d1d8d6f4c11a1422b2695

--CBS News Battleground Tracker ... Tight Races; Slight Clinton leads in FL, NC, WI, CO: "Florida (up three points 44% to 41%); Colorado (Clinton 40%, Trump 39%); Wisconsin (Clinton up 41% to 36%) and North Carolina, ... Clinton 44% and Trump 42%." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0b48f4a9c5d3a0341663dd10c23d3e5682ab6be31c49d7daa

GROUNDHOG DAY: "Sanders again stops short of endorsing Clinton" - CNN's "State of the Union," via Elena Schneider http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0b44d13ecf3601d739254131ef30ae90dd9602c83e956cbfa 

BEST 4TH of JULY cookout invite: "Dear friend, Don't get me wrong. I'm happy for Great Britain. The old Mother country reclaimed her independence from the bloody Eurocrats at the EU this week, scoring a victory for sovereignty, self-determination, and a more direct, representative form of government. But enough about those Limeys and Redcoats! We have our own Independence Day (from the Britishers) to celebrate!! July Fourth is rapidly approaching, and in celebration I'm hosting a gathering of my most patriotic, freedom-loving friends."

BEST SENTENCE - Michael Goodwin in N.Y. Post: "The world is also coming full circle because now it's the Brits who are free." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a09e10ac82a17bddfc4cecc393ff44882c32c25e18af97b579

NEXT WEEK'S PAPERS TODAY - "Buyer's remorse as Brexit sinks in," by AFP's Marie Giffard in London: "As the markets crashed, sterling hit a 31-year low and Prime Minister David Cameron resigned, it dawned on some of those who voted for Britain to leave the EU that they may have got it wrong. ... [T]here was a buzz on social media as people shared the regrets of some of the 52 percent of Britons who voted to quit." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a00ca301f2ac1e94252325f9a93b86bdd785d49a421560af47 

SIREN -- Reuters/London: "Billionaire investor George Soros ... warned that Britain's vote ... makes 'disintegration of the EU practically irreversible.'" http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0d44c8acf752a6c96f24a83ff27eea3547bea936f097eb811 

--From Soros' commentary: "The UK itself may not survive. Scotland ... can be expected to make another attempt to gain its independence, and some officials in Northern Ireland, where voters also backed Remain, have already called for unification with the Republic of Ireland. ... But the implications for Europe could be far worse." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0ea9dafdec8584eef25e21bb4db0ff752e8e18851a893893d

PULLING BACK THE CAMERA -- N.Y. Times 4-col. lead, "A CAUSTIC POSTWAR UNRAVLEING: A Test of Western Alliances and Institutions," by Jim Yardley and Alison Smale in London, Jane Perlez in Beijing and Ben Hubbard from Beirut: "Populism has sprouted throughout the West. Borders in the Middle East are being erased amid a rise in sectarianism. China is growing more assertive and Russia more adventurous. Refugees ... are crossing land and sea in record numbers to get to the better lives shown to them by modern communications. ... 

"The end of Pax Americana is not a new theme. Predictions of American decline were rampant after the global economic crisis in 2007 and 2008, amid parallel predictions of the dawning of a new Chinese century. But the American economy steadily recovered, if imperfectly, while China has unnerved many of its Asian neighbors with a newly aggressive foreign policy." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a018def0be6920e4c18252d33d46f081e2a5f6ad140a95f343

--DRUDGE banner, linking to Yardley: "GLOBALISTS RATTLED."

--"How Brexit Will Change the World" - Politico Magazine: "17 top economists, foreign policy gurus and historians look five years into the future." Richard Haass, Danielle Pletka, Ian Bremmer, John McLaughlin, Dennis Ross, Larry Korb http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a01fe828cae5572c6488eecd3087d7cb50b4910938533159e1 

** A message from the 2016 KIDS COUNT Data Book from the Annie E. Casey Foundation: The Annie E. Casey Foundation's 2016 KIDS COUNT Data Book finds youth are healthier and completing high school on time despite the growing economic instability of their families. The report also ranks states in areas of child well-being and offers policy recommendations to ensure a brighter future for all kids. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0875b354f4977c4f8aabdf53c23fe67794df41293fa522683 **

BEN SCHRECKINGER in Balmedie, Scotland: "Trump took his business and campaigning cross-promotion to the next level on Saturday, giving a rolling press conference and tour of his resort from the driver's seat of a golf cart, with reporters in hot pursuit. The press conference revealed both stunning views of the North Sea and that Trump [would dine] Saturday night with ... Rupert Murdoch. ... 

"Trump posted a video of his landing, its opening frames emblazoned with 'Trump International Golf Links Scotland' in gold script, on Facebook. His son Donald Jr. posted a picture of the 14th hole on Instagram. ... Trump later toured the property in a golf cart with Murdoch and his new wife, the former model Jerry Hall." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0f254989d11de9bd31f75af56399ef52be844329e5ead60e9

--THE LANDING VIDEO: Worth the click! http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0ea7f176aa059c34a01918a4f5cadf3bb399b9ce196ee6daf

TOUGH BUT FAIR ... Hope Hicks profile is lead article of NYT Sunday Styles, "Mr. Trump's Gatekeeper: Hope Hicks, Donald Trump's press secretary, is a quiet force in a blustery campaign ... the Trump Campaign's Calm Center," by Michael Grynbaum (online: "The Woman Who 'Totally Understands' Donald Trump"): "[F]or journalists who cover the campaign, she is sometimes the Jekyll to Mr. Trump's Hyde, emailing angry complaints from her media-bashing boss ... and often concluding with her own polite sign-off: 'Best, Hope.' Seemingly unfazed by her boss's outbursts, she can detect the best moments for reporters to make requests - knowing, for instance, not to bother Mr. Trump while he is watching a
 major golf tournament. ... 

"Among journalists, Ms. Hicks is not known to wrangle, cajole or mingle, serving as more of a conduit for her intensely media-savvy boss, who likes to act as his own chief spokesman. ... Reporters praise Ms. Hicks for her poise amid a chaotic campaign. But some say that she can be unresponsive to questions, a habit so pervasive that it spawned a mocking, anonymous Twitter account, @HicksNoComment.

"On the trail, political reporters say Ms. Hicks rarely interacts with them at rallies, preferring to communicate by text or telephone. Ms. Hicks - perhaps the only campaign press secretary to have been photographed as a teenager by the fashion photographer Bruce Weber, in a campaign for Naturalizer shoes - favors Burberry trench coats and heels." With a Mike Feldman cameo http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0268c3d0f2c069ff6eae44d310fc66179e8a3ab1fc8892d30

ARTICLE OF THE DAY - L.A. Times A1, "DIARY OF TERROR: They are the attacks you don't hear about. Not a day in April passed without an act of terrorism. By the end of the month, the toll told the story: 180 incidents, [27 countries,] 1,385 injured, 858 killed," by Robyn Dixon and Aoun Sah: "From government and police reports, terrorism databases, news accounts and their own independent reporting, Times journalists in the U.S. and around the globe compiled a record of every fatal act of terrorism during ... April. ... [T]errorism strikes everywhere - from Armenia to Peru, India to Thailand, Bangladesh to the Philippines." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0eea5168d0ab915961221057fc05edeb573845a73074a7dda

BREAKING -- Reuters: "Nigeria's army on Sunday said it had freed more than 5,000 people held by the Islamist militant group Boko Haram [during] raids in 15 villages, ... during which they 'killed six Boko Haram terrorists and wounded several others.' ... More than 15,000 people have been killed and 2 million displaced in Nigeria and neighboring Chad, Niger and Cameroon during Boko Haram's insurgency." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a046dbc02beda23d5a2d54b311025d4b2d027a63732dfef449 

ROMNEY ALUMNI - "For Trump and Brexit voters, echoes of the same frustrations," by AP's Jonathan Lemire in Maybole, Scotland and Jill Colvin in N.Y., N.C., N.M. and Ga.: "Lanhee Chen, ... a policy adviser to ... Romney, said there were undeniable similarities, ... including deep concerns about the impact of foreign workers. But he cautioned that key differences remain. 'The U.K. election was ultimately a referendum on policy and on that sentiment ... The U.S. election is a personality contest right now.'" http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a02f56e881d128abd7efec6f1e3e7216f048204e5f33565fa4 

SPOTTED: Judd Apatow at Founding Farmers at Penn and 19th this morning ... Rep. Duncan Hunter with staff at Busboys & Poets.

ASPENWATCH -- JOSH EARNEST and SUSAN RICE are each doing events in Aspen at the Ideas Festival tonight. Rice is doing a moderated conversation with David Bradley and Walter Isaacson at 5 p.m. MDT and Earnest is doing a moderated conversation with James Fallows at 8:30 p.m. MDT. www.aspenideas.org/aif 

VALLEY TALK - WashPost Business front, "MEET THE NEW CHIEF OF STAFF: As start-ups mature and seek more structure, a quintessential Washington institution is taking hold in Silicon Valley," by Elizabeth Dwoskin in San Francisco: "Tech executives have long derided the nation's capital as a place where good ideas go to die ... But increasingly, one quintessential Washington institution is taking hold ... Companies have gotten bigger, often very quickly, and they're seeking more organization and hierarchy as a result." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a07f9aa3c3957163d3caddb6df574d7ef00b1079a10dd14369

REMEMBERING BILL CUNNINGHAM - NYT's Jacob Bernstein, on p. 1, bottom of page, "A Lens on Style, Low and High, On the Street": "Bill Cunningham, who turned fashion photography into his own branch of cultural anthropology on the streets of New York, chronicling an era's ever-changing social scene for The New York Times by training his busily observant lens on what people wore - stylishly, flamboyantly or just plain sensibly - died on Saturday in Manhattan. He was 87. ... Mr. Cunningham was such a singular presence in the city that, in 2009, he was designated a living landmark. 

"And he was an easy one to spot, riding his bicycle through Midtown, where he did most of his field work: his bony-thin frame draped in his utilitarian blue French worker's jacket, khaki pants and black sneakers (he himself was no one's idea of a fashion plate), with his 35-millimeter camera slung around his neck, ever at the ready for the next fashion statement to come around the corner. ... In 2010, a documentary, 'Bill Cunningham New York,' premiered at the Museum of Modern Art to glowing reviews." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0e0152724c490c14c366fd97a1152959148a7b6a12412d04a ... The New Yorker's profile http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0940f1779a5e03b1b39cd8483bb084cf522020a4b6561cb9e ... "Bill Cunningham New York" trailer 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0a013ba328c368fbca11c1fa413d537ab36bd1e96c33cfb47 

BONUS GREAT WEEKEND READS, curated by Daniel Lippman:

 --"Who Really Killed a Playboy Terrorist?" by The Daily Beast's Shane Harris: "One of the world's most wanted terrorists met a fiery death last month. The mystery over who killed him is now an international guessing game-with the prime suspects in Washington." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0540c497ab6edcbfdb8fc8b74d4fd88f586f53d10409ab2d5 

--"England's post-imperial stress disorder," by Andrew Brown in the Boston Globe: "English attitudes toward Europe have become as delusional, and as powerful, as American attitudes toward gun control. We are suffering from national psychosis: post-imperial stress disorder." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a052e4e0e1a78612817558f7d3bb6dd7dbe5ac551fb0f81214 (h/t TheBrowser.com)

--"The Prosecutor and the President," by James Verini in today's N.Y. Times Magazine: "The International Criminal Court embodied the hope of bringing warlords and demagogues to justice. Then Luis Moreno-Ocampo took on the heir to Kenya's most powerful political dynasty." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0d72dd8584ca2a16c20d65ff60cb9d3d36f6dcaa9f2789ddf 

--"Digging for Glory," by Paige Williams in The New Yorker: "Lee Berger has announced one fossil find after another, and has proclaimed two new species of ancestral human. Do the bones live up to the hype?" http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0024a22c05bb0d307385f376e423fe66b0c4234c0fb2938ac (h/t Longform.org)

--"At War," by Nadja Drost in California Sunday Magazine: "The women fighting the Colombian government tell their stories." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0e39f2bf53e06a1dce049300aa518a482ae870946f633a1f7 

--"The Evolution of Party Conventions," by Tevi Troy in National Affairs: "[C]onventions today remain largely party advertising opportunities rather than fora for real decision-making." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a052ce0c0cbd00404d44003d5cc7d4ab444ada9b0655387d64 

 ENGAGED: John Hughes, marketing director at Merck in the Philly area, on Friday night, proposed to NBC's Kristen Welker on the steps overlooking the Potomac near the Lincoln Memorial. A fast-thinking runner, Anna Perkinson, was jogging by when she saw John get down on one knee and she snapped a pic of the proposal in progress on her iPhone. John and Kristen celebrated with dinner at La Chaumiere in Georgetown, and are celebrating with both their families next weekend on Cape Cod. Kristen' fav. fun fact: "On our third date John gave me a handmade crossword puzzle of presidential trivia for my Long flight to cover POTUS in Asia. That's when I knew he was the one!" Pics 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0040a17a96f78b7b4529f5360b65e8acf03f5e51ae9a1eb87 ... http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0ff290353132e2e48bfbd6a3f565039c87e6ae86a6a7d1e2c 

WELCOME TO THE WORLD: Lauren Mehta, former counsel for Sen. Bernie Sanders and now managing counsel at the Wounded Warrior Project and Jason Mehta, a State Dept. alum and now an assistant U.S. attorney: "I want to introduce Jack Philip Mehta to all of you. He was born at 3:59am on [Saturday] He's healthy, happy and, if the first hour is any indication, he has his dad's appetite and his mom's good looks." Pic http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a07a77c3f14d9cbb8651099ba385ce6a4429bcb6fc440acabe 

WEEKEND WEDDINGS -- SHAUN TANDON and Maria Galanou celebrated their marriage with an all-night, open-bar party Friday on the sandy beaches of Athens, the hometown of the bride. The couple blended their traditions and passions into a ceremony billed to guests as "'My Big Fat Greek Wedding' with an indie rock sensibility." The bride and groom found each other at an espionage-themed soir&eacute;e of the Embassy of Austria.

The bride, a Greek diplomat, was press attach&eacute; at the embassy; the groom was covering foreign policy for AFP. The couple has since moved to New York, where the groom has the stressful job of AFP's music correspondent and the bride handles comms for the Onassis Foundation. Pics http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a02dbe41eb5e11198656b39159fb29c9d5afe2c2c599be52da ... http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a005a6a4ced2870f00378d95ebf7703ebef913328823371ed8 ... http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a00f43b567c9de1dca6ce011ee0d47f71a54cb696e4092f870 

--SPOTTED: Tracy Sefl, the sister-in-law of the groom, AFP political correspondent Ivan Couronne, Garrett Therolf of the L.A. Times and AFP Washington alum Gregor Waschinski.

BIRTHDAYS: Charles S. Robb, father, marine, senator, governor, son-in-law to a president ... Elizabeth Wilner! ... Politico's Scott Bland ... WSJ's Louise Radnofsky ... WashPost White House bureau chief Juliet Eilperin ... Treasury Dept COS Chris Weideman ... WSJ's Patrick O'Connor (we jumped the gun on Chris and Patrick) ... Dave Brown, associate at Brunswick Group ... Mark Kadesh ... Julie Norton (h/ts Jon Haber) ... Adam Goers, formerly of Team O'Malley (h/t Matt Corridoni) ... Stephen Rattner, Treasury and Crist alum ... Jesse Greener ... GOP pollster Jon McHenry ... Mark Ritacco ... Betsy Burton Goldin ... 

... former Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie ... Mickey Leibner, gov't and global trade associate at Mayer Brown ... Ross Feinstein, senior manager of corporate comms. at American Airlines, a TSA and ICE alum ... Joe Durheim ... Lucy Silver ... Ed Buckley ... NYT's Daniel Victor ... Philip Lajaunie ... Judy Havemann of National Endowment of the Humanities ... Bill Lyne ... Alex Hayden DiLalla, comms. associate at Civix Strategy Group ... Graeme Zielinski ... Julie Norton of SKDKnickerbocker ... Kathleen Falk, the pride of Milwaukee and Madison ... Joannie Braden ... Denny Gass (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) ... jazz musician-film composer Dave Grusin is 82 ... U.S. Bicycling Hall of Famer Greg LeMond is
 55 ... Colin Greenwood (Radiohead) is 47 ... Derek Jeter is 42 ... actress-singer Ariana Grande is 23 (h/ts AP)

** A message from the 2016 KIDS COUNT Data Book from the Annie E. Casey Foundation: The Annie E. Casey Foundation's 2016 KIDS COUNT Data Book finds today's youth - Generation Z - are healthier and completing high school on time despite facing mounting economic inequality and increasingly unaffordable college tuition. Aided by smart policies and investments in prevention, a record number of teens have avoided making bad choices. The Data Book, which focuses on key trends in child well-being in the post-recession years, measures and ranks states in several areas of child well-being. This year, Minnesota earned the top spot again, while Mississippi stayed at the bottom. The Casey Foundation
 offers recommendations for how policymakers can ensure all children are prepared for the future, based on this country's shared values of opportunity, responsibility and security. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=55bfe06dc1dc87a0875b354f4977c4f8aabdf53c23fe67794df41293fa522683 **

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