Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score: Tuesday primary previews: Minnesota House primary splits GOP — Trump a dividing line in WI-08 — McGinty out with second ad
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 08 Aug 2016 08:02:10 -0600

By Theodoric Meyer | 08/08/2016 10:00 AM EDT

With Kevin Robillard and Elena Schneider

The following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro's Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day's most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (http://www.politicopro.com/proinfo)

PRIMARY PREVIEW - "Battleground House primary splits Minnesota GOP," by Campaign Pro's Maggie Severns: "Retiring seven-term Rep. John Kline is not running for reelection in 2016. But the Republican not sitting this year out, either, as his suburban Minneapolis district has become a key House battleground. Kline is aiding one candidate, businesswoman Darlene Miller, in Tuesday's GOP primary over the state Republican Party's endorsed candidate, Jason Lewis. The incumbent has donated to Miller's campaign, encouraged other GOP members to do the same, and hosted fundraisers for her. Kline believes that Lewis is weak on one of Kline's top issues, national security, and that controversial
 statements Lewis made as a talk radio host could tip the general-election scales toward Democrat Angie Craig this fall." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd9c37e897874017a50c9ad0e1045f6f2440914ee30fe8a3137

- "Party evolution on display in Wisconsin primary," by Campaign Pro's Theodoric Meyer: "Some of the major forces shaping American politics this year have converged in rural, northeastern Wisconsin, where Democrats are hoping to recapture a congressional district that has come with the House majority for most of the past two decades. Though Democratic votes have shifted to cities and major suburbs in the past 10 years, the party is still chasing retiring GOP Rep. Reid Ribble's district, where Tuesday's Republican primary pits a state legislator trying to draft off Donald Trump versus a former foreign policy adviser to Gov. Scott Walker - one of several big-name Republicans conspicuous by
 his absence at Trump's rally in the district, in Green Bay, last week.

- "State Sen. Frank Lasee was there, wooing voters ahead of the primary to replace Ribble. But Mike Gallagher, a 32-year-old Marine veteran who has Ribble's backing and has raised more than six times as much money, is expected to prevail on Tuesday, which many Republicans believe will give the party a better shot at keeping Wisconsin's 8th District."I just think he's got the intellectual curiosity, the outsider status that I think is necessary to win the general election," Ribble said in an interview, explaining his endorsement." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd9505917f14625f323d05b1cc46b88aa3dd90352a465d66986

FIRST IN SCORE - McGinty goes positive in second ad: Democrat Katie McGinty will start airing her second ad of the general election in Pennsylvania's Senate race on Tuesday, a positive spot that aims to relate her to regular Pennsylvanians and contrast her with GOP Sen. Pat Toomey. "I'm not a Wall Street Insider," a regular-looking guy says as the ad opens. "I'm not a bank," a woman says. "I'm just a guy trying to earn a living," another man says. The ad then cuts to McGinty sitting at a kitchen table, promising to make college more affordable and stop bad trade deals. "For too long, Pennsylvania families have picked up the tab for Wall Street and special interests," she says. Watch the ad:
 http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd9751991ebde12920834b50ac18c83295c404d07f195427f85

Days until the 2016 election: 92.

Days until the Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin congressional primaries: 1.

Thank for joining us. You can email tips to the whole Campaign Pro team at [email-masked], [email-masked], [email-masked], [email-masked] and [email-masked].

You can also follow us on Twitter, where we tweet a lot about campaigns and occasionally about lobster rolls: @politicoscott, @ec_schneider, @politicokevin, @theodoricmeyer and @maggieseverns.

FLEEING THE NOMINEE - "As Donald Trump incites feuds, other GOP candidates flee his shadow," by The New York Times' Jonathan Martin and Alexander Burns: Strategists for Republican super PACs have started "discussing advertisements that would treat Mr. Trump's defeat as a given and urge voters to send Republicans to Congress as a check on a Hillary Clinton White House. The discussions were described by officials familiar with the deliberations, several of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity about confidential planning. ... "You will see them by early to mid-September now," even before the first debate on Sept. 26, predicted Scott Reed, the senior political strategist for the United
 States Chamber of Commerce." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd960ffd7f4e05680005c1b83d16a8a52b02f2bb85096366f8c

- But the perils of this strategy are already on display. Former GOP Rep. Tom Tancredo of Colorado attacked his successor, GOP Rep. Mike Coffman, in a Breitbart op-ed over the weekend for debuting an ad last week in which he said he didn't care for Trump promised to "stand up" to him if he's elected. "If Trump were polling well in Coffman's District, you would see and hear only glowing praise for The Donald from the political chameleon, Mike Coffman," Tancredo wrote. "Mike Coffman promising to 'stand up' to Trump is like a french fry promising to stand up to a cheeseburger." Tancredo finished by hoping for Coffman's defeat: "I hope his duplicitous attack on the Republican presidential
 candidate is not rewarded with another term." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd910a231557844914aa14c35d71f5e8f5e48c0d2083e3aa7a5

- And Coffman isn't getting any love from Democrats, either. "Have you seen Mike Coffman's TV ad?" says the narrator in a new DCCC TV ad. The ad cuts to a clip of the Coffman ad in which Coffman says, "'So if Donald Trump is president, I'll stand up to him.'" "Wait, you're the one who said you'd support him," the DCCC narrator interjects, citing a Colorado Statesman report from February, when a spokeswoman for Coffman said he would "obviously" support the Republican nominee over Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders. The DCCC is spending $10,000 to run the ad on cable this week. Watch the ad: http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd9e414daa1a9b044364eaf120d1e2fe182d90dc8ce54551bc5

OUTSIDE SPENDING - American Action Network launches $4.8 million campaign against Medicare changes, by POLITICO's Dan Diamond: "The American Action Network Monday is announcing a three-pronged, $4.8 million advocacy campaign that targets Medicare's plan to pilot a new way to pay for drugs, as well as the agency's long-gestating Independent Payment Advisory Board.It's the single largest issue advocacy campaign in the conservative group's history - with $1.9 million in print ads, $1.7 million in direct mail, and $1.2 million in digital ads, all targeted at seniors - and it comes with Congress on recess." The ads will target a number of House GOP-held battleground districts. 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd94ea7052cd668a3700df5947fd66d9ece28d3ecf407c6defb

RESULTS ARE IN - Walkinshaw will face Jayapal in WA-07: Two Democrats - state Rep. Brady Walkinshaw and state Sen. Pramila Jayapal - will face off this fall to fill retiring Rep. Jim McDermott's seat in Seattle, after several days of vote-counting following the Aug. 2 primary led a third Democrat to concede  on Friday. Jayapal had 42 percent of the vote, Walkinshaw had 21 percent and King County Councilman Joe McDermott (no relation) had 19 percent, with the rest split between six other candidates, according to the Washington secretary of state. Jayapal has the backing of Bernie Sanders and EMILY's List.

CASH FLOOD - Money rushes into Vermont governor's race for Dunne: Democrat Matt Dunne is seeing a last-minute surge of money backing his campaign ahead of Tuesday's primary. LinkedIn and PayPal co-founder Reid Hoffman is spending $220,000 backing Dunne with digital, radio and television ads. While a small buy elsewhere, it's an unprecedented amount of cash in Vermont. Dunne, a former Google executive, is friends with Hoffman. Dunne has also broken an earlier pledge not to self-finance his campaign, making $95,000 worth of loans to his campaign in the final days before the primary. One of his primary opponents reacted colorfully: "Can you believe that f*cker?," he told Seven Days, the
 state's alternative weekly. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd9a7fdd62dcca3375d5061a28e466658561c886251d0f64a9f

LAW SCHOOL - "The crusade of a Democratic superlawyer with multimillion-dollar backing," by The Washington Post's Robert Barnes in Phoenix: Marc "Elias, a go-to lawyer for Democrats in recount fights and redistricting battles, has now taken a prominent and somewhat controversial place among the coalition of groups challenging a wave of state election laws that were rewritten in recent years. With a multimillion-dollar commitment from liberal mega-donor George Soros, Elias is challenging laws that, he argues, diminish the impact of important Democratic Party constituencies of African Americans, Latinos and young people. 'I don't think people should think we're done filing lawsuits for this
 election cycle,' Elias said in a taxicab interview after two flights and a two-hour weather delay delivered him to Phoenix." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd96430e95094f9ec7c00adb38e106b29e28645a07874c7799d

PRESIDENTIAL SPEED READ - "Can Clinton corner Condi, Kissinger?" by POLITICO's Nahal Toosi: "As Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign reaches out to Republicans alarmed by Donald Trump's national security blunders, there's a group of high-profile GOP hold-outs whose endorsement would be a major coup if the Democrat could win them over. Condoleezza Rice, James Baker, George Shultz and Henry Kissinger are among a handful of so-called Republican "elders" with foreign policy and national security experience - people who have held Cabinet-level or otherwise high-ranking positions in past administrations - who have yet to come out for or against Trump." 
http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd9040e87abed4c2b210476ebd5370f7fb44defcc82f3fb3d65

- "As senator, Clinton promised 200,000 jobs in upstate New York. Her efforts fell flat," by The Washington Post's Jerry Markon: "In her presidential bid, Hillary Clinton has made job creation a centerpiece of her platform, casting herself as a pragmatist who would inspire 'the biggest investment in new, good-paying jobs since World War II.' Her argument that she would put more Americans to work has focused on her time in the Senate, when she took on the mission of creating jobs in chronically depressed upstate New York. ... But nearly eight years after Clinton's Senate exit, there is little evidence that her economic development programs had a substantial impact on upstate employment.
 Despite Clinton's efforts, upstate job growth stagnated overall during her tenure, with manufacturing jobs plunging nearly 25 percent, according to jobs data." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd9fad7598ca55b0668bc527300846331e4190ea9c77a474d30

- "Trump campaign turns to 'psychographic' data firm used by Cruz," by National Review's Eliana Johnson: "The company closely associated with Ted Cruz's data-centric primary campaign has switched teams: Cambridge Analytica, the London-based outfit that boasts an ability to target voters based on their unconscious psychological biases is now working behind the scenes for Donald Trump. According to a Trump aide, the company has approximately ten data scientists embedded with Giles-Parscale, the San Antonio-based firm behind Trump's website and his broader digital operation, to which the campaign paid $1.6 million in June alone." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd9a90e366292f75f413c3c2e836a6a2047eac1a1927f432e84

- "George P. Bush, a Trump holdout, urges support for nominee," by The Texas Tribune's Patrick Svitek: George P. Bush, the Texas state land commissioner and the Bush family member who's seen as having the brightest political future "is now asking Texas Republicans to support the party's presidential nominee. Addressing state GOP activists Saturday, Bush said it was time to put aside any lingering animosity from the primaries - where Trump defeated Bush's dad, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, among others - and get behind Trump. "From Team Bush, it's a bitter pill to swallow, but you know what? You get back up and you help the man that won, and you make sure that we stop Hillary Clinton," Bush
 said, according to video of the remarks provided by an audience member." Bush had not previously endorsed Trump. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd9aa7273dce12bc1c28a511c26bc353273e4ac21982adc685b

CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "He lived by his wits, he made a boatload of money, and I think he's going to be part a long line of rich guys who get taken to the cleaners by their consultants." - An anonymous New York lawyer who knows the real estate broker Paul Massey. Massey, a Republican, launched a surprise campaign for New York City mayor last week. http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=d3e7686bebb3bbd95d8adbcb5236e2e508f56c8f1665877e988968afba53fad7

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