Subject: UN Secretary-General Election - Fifth Straw Poll Results
From: "Jared Genser" <[email-masked]>
To: "Jared Genser" <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 26 Sep 2016 17:13:22 +0000

All,

See below.  Next week will be the first vote where P5 members' ballots are marked red.  While Guterres has the edge on support, his discourages come from Russia and China - a single veto and he'd be done.  And it is worth recalling that it is Eastern Europe's turn in the informal rotation.  It is unknown whether Russia will insist on electing an Eastern European SG.  And undoubtedly it is equally unclear if China/Russia would accept some kind of a deal from the US/UK/France to agree to let Guterres be elected.

In short, the race remains very fluid.  Stay tuned.

Best,

Jared

[https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CtSgiECWIAA2iFn.jpg