Subject: The Evening CSIS: New Poll on Terrorism, 2 Months in Mosul, All Along the Watchtower & More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 18 Oct 2016 23:04:11 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening CSIS: New Poll on Terrorism, 2 Months in Mosul, All Along the Watchtower & More
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** Good Evening,
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Welcome to
The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please sign up here (http://bit.ly/ecs1s) .

** New Poll:  Fear of Terrorist Attack Runs Deep Around the World
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Fear of an imminent terrorist attack is one of the top concerns of people across the globe, with most expecting extremist groups will acquire weapons of mass destruction, according to a new poll conducted in eight countries by CSIS, as the
Washington Post’s Carol Morello reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/fear-of-an-imminent-terrorist-attack-runs-deep-around-the-world/2016/10/18/3537c0fe-953d-11e6-bb29-bf2701dbe0a3_story.html) late this afternoon.

Dive Deeper: The entire survey findings of the CSIS Commission on Countering Violent Extremism poll on “Global Perceptions of Violent Extremism” are available on our website here (https://www.csis.org/analysis/survey-findings-global-perceptions-violent-extremism) .

** 2 Months in Mosul
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The battle to recapture Mosul from ISIS could take two months, a Peshmerga military commander told CNN (http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/18/middleeast/mosul-isis-operation-iraq/) on the second day of the long-awaited offensive to liberate Iraq's second city.

The Wall Street Journal’s graphics department has put together a slick multimedia piece “Mosul: What We Know (http://www.wsj.com/graphics/what-we-know-the-battle-for-mosul/) .”

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Colm Quinn spoke to CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman for a new podcast “Mosul: The End Begins (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/csis-podcast) .”

** Not Paying Enough Attention to NK
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Former CIA Deputy Director for Intelligence Jami Miscik today told the
Fortune Most Powerful Women’s Summit that “North Korea is one of those issue that we aren’t paying enough attention to” as Madeline Farber reports (http://fortune.com/2016/10/18/jami-miscik-cia-north-korea-threat/) late this afternoon.

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s interactive micro-website Beyond Parallel recently published a new multi-media post “A Decade of North Korean Nuclear Tests (http://beyondparallel.csis.org/decade-north-korean-nuclear-tests/) .”

** In That Number
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** 54 million
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Between 2005 and 2015, the number of migrants living in the Middle East doubled, from 25 million to around 54 million.Source: Pew Research Center (http://www.pewglobal.org/2016/10/18/middle-easts-migrant-population-more-than-doubles-since-2005/) .

** Critical Quote
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** "The forces on the Iraqi side are not trying to create a kaleidoscope of diversity in Mosul. They are trying to keep another hostile group from establishing control once ISIS is out of the way."
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—CSIS’s Jon Alterman on the coalition fighting to liberate Mosul from ISIS. Source: NBC News (http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/iraq-turmoil/battle-mosul-won-t-end-ouster-isis-n668166) .

** One to Watch
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(Photo Credit: CFR.)
Steven A. Cook (@stevenacook (https://twitter.com/stevenacook) ) is the Eni Enrico Mattei Senior Fellow for Middle East and Africa Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). Yesterday, Steven authored “The Perplexing Problems of Solving Syria (http://warontherocks.com/2016/10/the-perplexing-problems-of-solving-syria/) ” in War on the Rocks.

** Optics
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(Photo Credit: Carl Court/Getty Images.)
A Kurdish peshmerga fighter leans out of his military vehicle, which has taken several direct hits from ISIS snipers including on the windscreen today in the small town of Bartella near Mosul, Iraq.

** Highly Recommended
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“ISIS on the Run” by Robin Wright for the New Yorker (http://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/isis-on-the-run) .

** CSIS Today
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CSIS’s International Security Program hosted “Implementing Innovation Series: A Look at Using Public-Private Partnerships to Invest in Defense Infrastructure (https://www.csis.org/events/implementing-innovation-series-look-using-public-private-partnerships-invest-defense) ,” featuring Richard J. Danzig, former secretary of the Navy.

CSIS’s International Security Program hosted a Maritime Security Dialogue with Admiral Kurt Tidd (https://www.csis.org/events/dark-waters-threat-networks-and-maritime-security-admiral-kurt-tidd) .

CSIS’s Simon Chair in Political Economy hosted “An Evolving IMF (https://www.csis.org/events/evolving-imf) ,” a conversation with Under Secretary of the Treasury Nathan Sheets.

**
CSIS Tomorrow
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Join us at 10:30 a.m. for “Election 2016: How Did We Get To This? (https://www.csis.org/events/election-2016-how-did-we-get) ,” featuring John Zogby, the author of We Are Many, We Are One: Neo-Tribes and Tribal Analytics.

** This Town Tomorrow
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Join Atlantic Council at 9:00 a.m. for “A New Strategy for US-Iran Relations (http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/events/upcoming-events/detail/a-new-strategy-for-usiran-relations) ,” moderated by the New York Times’ David Sanger.

And join Brookings at 2:00 p.m. for “Is Armed Conflict with Russia a Real Possibility? (https://www.brookings.edu/events/is-armed-conflict-with-russia-a-real-possibility/) ”

** CSIS On Demand
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Catch up on the report and introductory film launch event, Improving Relief and Development Responses to Climate Variability: Emerging Lessons from the 2015–2016 El Niño in Southern Africa, from CSIS’s Global Food Security Project. You can view it on demand here (https://www.csis.org/events/sounding-alarm-southern-africa-food-crisis) .

** Sounds
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The CSIS Podcast breaks down the battle for Mosul with Anthony Cordesman, CSIS’s Arleigh Burke Chair in Strategy. You can listen to it on iTunes (https://itunes.apple.com/us/itunes-u/the-csis-podcast/id383703191) or on our website (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/csis-podcast) .

** I Like It Like That
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David Letterman has a beard…and the
New York Times engineered a terrific way to show it off (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/23/arts/television/david-letterman-late-show-retirement.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur&_r=0) .

** Smiles
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Seems the good folks who awarded Bob Dylan the Nobel Prize can’t get a response from the troubadour. They say they have given up trying to reach him but they are confident he’ll show up to accept his award.

We will see. It’s impossible to interpret the meaning of Dylan’s unresponsiveness.

I don’t think we really have to though. I’d rather watch some of the musicians who have interpreted his stunning words and music through the years.

Like watching Neil Young tear through Dylan’s “All Along the Watchtower (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1DBewzgXgYk) .”

** Feedback
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I always welcome and benefit from your feedback. Please drop me a line at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked])

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The Evening CSIS is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Brandon Schwartz, Jackie Ramsay, and James Dunton.

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