Subject: POLITICO's Morning Score: Grayson leads pack of defeated candidates filing for 2018 — DGA pushes for full-time DNC head as Perez moves toward run for chair — Echelon Insights breaks down vote by media market
From: "Morning Score" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 13 Dec 2016 09:02:59 -0600
List-Id: <1376319_6163696.xt.local>

By Theodoric Meyer | 12/13/2016 10:00 AM EDT

With Kevin Robillard

The following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro's Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day's most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (http://www.politicopro.com/proinfo)

ONCE MORE UNTO THE BREACH - "Grayson leads flock of defeated candidates filing 2018 papers," by Campaign Pro's Theodoric Meyer: "Democratic Rep. Alan Grayson, who lost a bitter primary in Florida's Senate race this summer, is already mulling a political comeback. The liberal firebrand, who clashed repeatedly with the leadership of his own party this year as he opposed Rep. Patrick Murphy in the Senate primary, quietly filed FEC paperwork less than a week after Election Day to run for the House again. And he confirmed in an interview that he's indeed considering another run.

- "Grayson is the most prominent of a handful of defeated 2016 candidates who have already filed to run again in 2018 - though it's unclear how many will actually mount campaigns. Several of the candidates, including Grayson, remain saddled with substantial debt from their 2016 campaigns. Filing with the FEC to run again can make it easier to raise money to retire those debts. In an interview, Grayson said he filed the paperwork on Nov. 14 to avoid running afoul of federal election law. 'We are complying with the law,' Grayson said. 'The law indicates that if you raise a certain amount of money you have to file.' Still, Grayson insisted he was considering a run - although he's not sure
 where it would be." 

- Other candidates who have filed to run again include former Arizona state Sen. Kelli Ward, who's challenging GOP Sen. Jeff Flake in the primary after running against Sen. John McCain this year; Democrat Doug Applegate, who's running against GOP Rep. Darrell Issa again; and Tim Canova, who's considering a second challenge to former Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz in her Florida district. Full story.

CHAIRMANSHIP STRUGGLE - "Labor secretary Thomas Perez is said to plan run to lead D.N.C.," by The New York Times' Jonathan Martin: "Labor Secretary Thomas E. Perez has told three senior Democrats that he intends to run for chairman of the Democratic National Committee, challenging the front-running candidate, Representative Keith Ellison, and inserting an ally of President Obama into the contest to rebuild a bruised party. Mr. Perez, who had also been considering a run for Maryland governor, is expected to reveal his plan to seek the D.N.C. chairmanship this week, according to Democratic officials briefed on his decision who requested anonymity to discuss private conversations. He did not
 respond to inquiries about his decision-making." Full story.

- "Democratic governors call for full-time DNC chair," by POLITICO's Daniel Strauss: "The Democratic Governors Association is laying out the priorities it would like to see from the next chairman of the Democratic National Committee. In an open letter Tuesday, DGA Chairman Dannel Malloy of Connecticut and DGA Vice Chairman Jay Inslee of Washington tick off the five points governors are using to evaluate the candidates for DNC chair. 'The long-term success of the Democratic Party depends on diversifying beyond a Washington-centric view and focusing on rebuilding the party from the local level up, especially as we approach two cycles critical for the future of redistricting,' Malloy and
 Inslee write in the letter, obtained first by POLITICO." Full story. 

Days until the 2017 election: 329.

Days until the 2018 election: 693.

Thanks for joining us. You can email tips to the whole Campaign Pro team at [email-masked], [email-masked], [email-masked], [email-masked] and [email-masked].

You can also follow those of us who aren't still on post-election vacation (cough, Elena Schneider, cough) on Twitter: @politicoscott, @ec_schneider, @politicokevin, @theodoricmeyer and @maggieseverns.

POLITICO Event - Cornerstones of Democracy: Join POLITICO for a high-level conversation about the future of the parties and the press. Featured speakers include: Susan Glasser, founding editor, POLITICO Magazine; Sarah Isgur Flores, deputy campaign manager, Carly Fiorina for President; Evan McMullin, 2016 conservative independent candidate for president; Ben Smith, editor-in-chief, BuzzFeed; Jeff Weaver, campaign manager, Bernie Sanders for President and president, Our Revolution; and more to be announced. Dec. 15, 8 a.m., The W Hotel. RSVP: here. 

DOING SOMETHING? SAY SOMETHING - Starting or joining a new consulting firm? Got work to tout from your current firm? Get in touch, and we'll get it in Score: [email-masked].

FOR WHOM THE BELL POLLS - "Pollsters can't agree on how Latinos voted in 2016," by The Huffington Post's Grace Sparks: "Latinos are the fastest-growing minority group in the American electorate. ... But no one is sure exactly how Latinos voted in the 2016 election. Estimates of the vote vary from 66 percent for Hillary Clinton and 28 percent for Donald Trump in exit polls, to 79 for Clinton and 18 for Trump in a Latino Decisions pre-election survey. Both sets of numbers show Latinos heavily supporting Clinton, but it matters whether it's an overwhelming 61-point Democratic lead or a more modest 38-point advantage. It's not clear who is right, though."

- "Joe Lenski, executive vice president of Edison Research, said that one major difference between the polls is that Edison and Latino Decisions use different factors to classify Latino voters. Latino Decisions, an independent research firm focusing on Latino politics that counted Clinton's campaign among its 2016 clients, asks a generic question about Hispanic identity. Edison Research ― which conducts the exit polls on behalf of the media consortium of CNN, NBC, ABC, Fox, CBS and The Associated Press ― asked for both race and ethnic descent." Full story.

MARKET RESEARCH - Echelon Insights breaks down vote by media market: Echelon Insights, the GOP polling and data firm, has released a handy spreadsheet and map showing how the 2016 presidential vote broke down by media market. Here are the markets that swung furthest toward Republicans compared to 2012: Zanesville, Ohio (29 percent); Wheeling, W.Va. (27 percent); Youngstown, Ohio (27 percent); Presque Isle, Maine (25 percent); Ottumwa, Iowa (24 percent). And here are the markets that swung further toward Democrats: Salt Lake City (28 percent) (where Clinton drastically shrunk the R-D margin because third-party candidate Evan McMullin drew a large share of the vote); San Diego (12 percent);
 Austin, Texas (12 percent); Idaho Falls, Idaho (10 percent); Yuma, Ariz. (10 percent). You can download the full dataset here. 

PRESIDENTIAL SPEED READ - "Trump to tap Tillerson for secretary of state," by POLITICO's Josh Dawsey: "President-Elect Donald Trump plans to announce ExxonMobil CEO Rex Tillerson as his choice to be secretary of state on Tuesday, according to multiple people familiar with the matter, setting up a contentious confirmation battle over the nation's top diplomat. Tillerson is likely to face extensive questions on Capitol Hill, as a number of prominent Republicans have already voiced concerns about his close ties to Russia and its strongman president, Vladimir Putin. He has no formal government experience, but spent years running ExxonMobil's extensive international operations." Full story.

- "Trump close to building out senior White House team," by POLITICO's Shane Goldmacher: "President-elect Donald Trump and his inner circle are zeroing in on decisions about White House senior staff, after more than a month of focusing on the Cabinet, as the rival factions within his orbit jockey for the best titles and real estate inside the West Wing. Trump has so far named only a handful of White House aides, led by incoming White House chief of staff Reince Priebus and chief strategist Steve Bannon. But multiple sources inside and close to the transition team said discussions about the White House structure have intensified in recent days as Trump himself has pressed to speed up the
 process of filling out his team." Full story.

- "RNC keeps close tabs on Electoral College vote," by POLITICO's Kyle Cheney: "The Republican National Committee is overseeing an expansive whip operation designed to lock down Donald Trump's Electoral College majority and ensure that the 306 Republican electors cast their votes for the president-elect. Two RNC sources familiar with the effort said the committee - with the assistance of state Republican parties and the Trump campaign - has been in touch with most of the GOP electors multiple times, and has concluded that only one is a risk to cast a vote against Trump on Dec. 19, when the Electoral College meets. The RNC's elector head count, the sources emphasized, is standard practice in
 presidential election years. But this year it also serves as an early-warning system for potentially wayward GOP electors amid an intense push by Democratic electors to convince 37 of their Republican counterparts to jump ship." Full story. 

CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "What we should have done is shown him to be a decrepit old guy, put him in a freaking cage, in a cell, and put him on trial. Make it a big messy trial, make it global." - Michael Flynn, President-elect Donald Trump's national security adviser, who has said the U.S. should not have killed Osama bin Laden.

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