Subject: ?Axios AM: Mike's Top 10 -- Trump's late-night phone call * Inside the CEO summit * Snapchat backlash
From: "Mike Allen" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 4 Feb 2017 10:02:23 -0500 (EST)

Presented by Walmart:

Trump's late-night phone call * Inside the CEO summit * Snapchat backlas=

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Presented By Walmart

Axios AM

By Mike Allen = ·Feb 04, 2017

1 big thing: Restoring order (kind of)

As Trump passes the two-week mark in office, there are =poradic signs of some semblance of order. Most of it is forced order: by d=sgruntled Cabinet officials, antsy GOP leaders, and now a Bush-appointed j=dge.

This will always be a wild ride, but it looks =ike SOME safety bars are beginning to come down:

A federal jud=e in Seattle temporarily blocks Trump's travel restrictions, although the =hite House said it was seeking an emergency stay of the stay. Per AP: "An internal =mail circulated among Homeland Security officials Friday night told employ=es to immediately comply with the judge's ruling."

At yesterday's =EO summit at the White House, Homeland Security Secretary John Kelly calml= and clearly answered questions about the executive order. An exhausted Wh=te House official told us: "It's what we should have done from the beginni=g." (We're told Trump especially fawned over Jack Welch.)

Speaker =yan is getting a slightly bigger say, helping quietly advise smarter language on=trade, and less bombastic remarks on refugees. Our Jonathan Swan point= out this morning

Trump himself said this has to go better. The W=ll Street Journal says he ha= clarified (only slightly, we hear) the lanes of power for Priebus, Ba=non and Conway.

All of this comes as polls s=ow Trump as the least popular president ever at this point. (Gallup: "About Ha=f of Americans Say Trump Moving Too Fast.")

Sound smart= You have staff, cabinet officials and GOP allies trying to build=-- on the fly -- a structure, guardrails and public case for their plans. =nd they are building all of this around a president too impulsive and too =mprovisational to lock into a sane, smooth system. So anticipate the chaos=forced order pattern to continue.

Trump's first three =weets this a.m., after joining the First Lady at Mar-a-Lago:
<=l>
"When a country is no longer able to say who can, and who cannot , c=me in & out, especially for reasons of safety &.security - big tro=ble!

"More Interesting that certain Middle-Eastern countries agree=with the ban. They know if certain people are allowed in it's death & =estruction!"

"The opinion of this so-called judge, which essential=y takes law-enforcement away from our country, is ridiculous and will be o=erturned!"

2. Tidbit of the day

From a Wall Street Journal front-pager by Carol Lee and Peter Nicholas, "TRUMP P=CE HAS HEADS SPINNING": "Earlier this week, Mr. Trump called House Speaker=Paul Ryan at 11 p.m. to ask questions about tax legislation."

3. If you read only 1 thing

This is a durable step-back piece on this crazy week, and one that'll ge= you thinking about your own style and organization. The N.Y. Times James =tewart columnizes on a "Case Study in Chaos: How Management Expe=ts Grade a Trump White House." His findings:

"The unani=ous verdict [from leading management experts]: Thus far, the Trum= administration is a textbook case of how not to run a complex organizatio= like the executive branch."

Jeffrey T. Polzer, p=ofessor of human resource management at Harvard Business School, summarize= the literature and data on effective management of complicated organizat=ons: "You want to surround yourself with talented people who have the most=expertise, who bring different perspectives ... Then you foster debate and=invite different points of view."

Lindred Greer =f the Stanford Graduate School of Business said not to co=sult thoroughly with top cabinet officers "is insane," since they "have th= expertise and should be on top of the data ... Ignoring them leads to bad=decisions and is also incredibly demoralizing."

Harvard's =olzer: People who aren't consulted feel they have no stake in a s=ccessful outcome.

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4. I didn't know that

GIPHY

Fake news is rising on the "disempowered" left, at leas= partly because of wishful thinking, according to The Atlantic's Robinson Meyer:

"Twitter accounts pur=ortedly operated by disgruntled government employees—@Alt=atParSer, @RogueNASA, and the extra dubious @RoguePOTUSStaff—have =welled in number to become a shadow bureaucracy."

"I asked=[Brooke Binkowski, the managing editor of Snopes] if she had seen=a spike in the amount and popularity of fake news aimed at liberals. She i=mediately replied: 'Of course yes! ... There's a lot of confusion, and peo=le are profiting from the confusion on all sides of the continuum.'"
=li>The Snopes editor, on advice for readers: "If it arous=s an emotional response is you—if you see the headline and go, —then it's probably somethi=g you need to check against something else." (hat tip: CNN's Reli=ble Sources newsletter)

5. "Chill, America!"

The cover page of Sunday's WashPost Outlook section has=two articles worth processing, and you could look at them as a "Chill out!= message for each side.

For the right ... "The politics =f globaloney: Pankaj Ghemawat and Steven A. Altman [both of the Cente= for the Globalization of Education and Management at NYU's Stern School o= Business] say the world is far less globalized than protectionists think"=

"The United States imported goods and services worth 15 percent of its gross domestic product in 2015. ... Just five na=ions imported less relative to the size of their economies: Sudan, Argenti=a, Nigeria, Brazil and Iran."

"[F]irst-generation immigran=s make up about 14 percent of the U.S. population. The United Sta=es ranks 27th in the world."

"[I]t's worth remembering what happened last time globalization went into reverse. After the Un=ted States passed the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, reprisals followed =nd global trade plunged by two-thirds. The collapse of the first wave of g=obalization was a major contributor to the Great Depression."

=strong>For the left ... "Chill, America. Not every Trump outra=e is outrageous. Never-Trump Republican Tom Nichols [a professor at the Na=al War College] says the president's critics should modulate their panic":=/p>

"Unmodulated shock and outrage ... not only bu=n precious credibility ... but eventually will exhaust the public and incr=ase the already staggering amount of cynicism paralyzing our national poli=ical life."

"[T]he media seems to despise Trump m=re than any president in modern history, even Richard Nixon. (Reuters rece=tly issued guidanc= on covering the Trump administration the same way its reporters cover=authoritarian regimes around the world)."

"This contin=al panic is short-circuiting any reasonable debate ... by indulgi=g Trump's fiercest opponents in the belief that something could destroy hi= presidency before it has a chance to govern."

6. Obama v. Trump

Lazaro Gamio / Axios

Axios' Stef Wasko has a clever side-by-side on the early =ays of Obama and Trump presidencies, making the point that the last two we=ks have been a giant erasing sound:

Obama: Set=a then-record with 9 executive actions in the first 10 days of his preside=cy, although he ended up with fewer executive orders per year since Grover=Cleveland.

Trump: Set a new record with 12 execut=ve actions after just three days.

7. The Trump Show

Just the headlines are exhausting. If you want to read =hese, you're on your own:

N.Y. Tim=s front page, "Records Show Trump Is Still Tied to Empire."
NYT front page, =Pick for Labor Was Adversary of Labor Dept.: Puzder's Past Includes Fiery =efense of a Mob Lawyer."

NYT home screen, "Vincent Viola, Nominee for A=my Secretary, Drops Out ... concluded it would be too difficult to untangl= himself from his business ties."

WashPost front page,
<= href="http://link.axios.com/click/8784981.29129/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cud2FzaGl=Z3RvbnBvc3QuY29tL3BvbGl0aWNzL2Jhbm5vbi1maWxtLW91dGxpbmUtd2FybmVkLXVzLWNvdW=kLXR1cm4taW50by1pc2xhbWljLXN0YXRlcy1vZi1hbWVyaWNhLzIwMTcvMDIvMDMvZjczODMyZ=QtZThiZS0xMWU2LWI4MmYtNjg3ZDZlNmEzZTdjX3N0b3J5Lmh0bWw_dXRtX3Rlcm09LjFjZjg1=Dk2Yjk4MyZ1dG1fc291cmNlPW5ld3NsZXR0ZXImdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fY2FtcGF=Z249bmV3c2xldHRlcl9heGlvc2Ft/5871993924c17c54d77a8b8cBc442b558" target="=blank">WP front page, "Bannon planned film about 'Islamic Sta=es of America': Outline for documentary offers dark warnings of a takeover=by extremists."

=img width="32" height="32" style="border: none" target="_blank" sr=="https://static.axios.com/img-email/twitter-circle.png" alt="Tweet th=s Story">

8. Who's leaking?

Ezra Klein tweets a link to a piece by his Vox colleagu= Jennifer Williams, "There's no evidence the botched Yemen raid was T=ump's fault": "[I]t's entirely possible that the military officers ... wer= essentially trying to spread the blame around a bit."

=But there's another possibility, one that could have much broader=implications for the way the administration conducts its foreign policy go=ng forward: that some individuals in the military purposely want to paint =rump as at best a bumbling idiot, or at worst a careless and impulsive lea=er whose rash decisions will get American service members killed."

=img width="32" height="32" style="border: none" target="_blank" sr=="https://static.axios.com/img-email/twitter-circle.png" alt="Tweet th=s Story">

9. Tech talker

Signs of backlash after first-day's giddy coverage of S=apchat going public:

Financial Times front-pages, "Snapchat owners inflame investors' fury with 'banana republic=style' IPO": "Investors are furious at Snap's decision to deny them a say =n running the company ... [O]ne investment industry leader predicted its I=O could 'open the floodgates' to similar governance arrangements at compan=es around the world."

Barron's also has a contrarian view, "Snap's Coming IPO Looks Like One to Avoid ... n=merous risk factors and an excessive valuation ... The next Facebook�=94or Twitter?': "Snapchat users' network of contacts usually is smaller th=n their Facebook 'friends' list, making the service less sticky."

=strong>"A younger demographic also is more fickle. It is unclear =hether others will gravitate toward a service that is harder to use than F=cebook. Advertising accounts for nearly all of Snap's revenues, leaving th= company vulnerable if its ads don't resonate with users."

=/a>

10. 1 fun thing

Peter Fonda in Mercedes-Benz spot

10 Supe= Bowl ads to watch for, including these that are already on Y=uTube:

Budweiser, "Born the Hard Way": "Anheuser-Busch's cin=matic 60-second spot chronicles co-founder Adolphus Busch's journey from G=rmany to St. Louis in 1857. ... Anheuser-Busch, which started working on t=e ad in May, says the ad isn't making a political statement."

Bud Light, "Ghost Spuds": "Bud Light is bringing back its iconic 1980s masco=, Spuds Mackenzie, sort of. The dog appears as an unsettling T-shirted gho=t. The dog eggs on a Bud Light drinker to go out and join his friends rath=r than sit at home alone. It's the 30th anniversary of the bull terrier's =irst appearance in a Bud Light ad. The 90-second ad is running during the =ourth quarter."

Honda, "Yearbooks": "To promote Honda's CR-V ve=icle, a 60-second second-quarter ad features high-school yearbook photos f=r nine celebrities — Amy Adams, Steve Carell, Viola Davis, Missy E=liott, Tina Fey, Earvin 'Magic' Johnson, Jimmy Kimmel, Stan Lee and Robert=Redford. The photos come to life and encourage people to follow their drea=s."

Merced=s-Benz, "": "To target baby boomers, Mercedes-Benz enlisted the Coen=brothers to direct an update to the tune of Steppenwolf's 'Born to be Wild=' Bikers at a bar are furious that their bikes have been blocked by a car =E2�� until they realize it's Peter Fonda driving a Mercedes-Benz AMG R=adster. ... scheduled for the fourth quarter."

Squarespace=/strong>, "Calling John Malkovich": =slated for the first half ... shows a prickly John Malkovich calling the o=ner of JohnMalkovich.com to yell at him because he wants the domain."
=/ul>

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