Subject: Fwd: Testimony before the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations
From: "Ken Wollack" <[email-masked]>
To: "Anna Chavez" <[email-masked]>, "Bren Simon" <[email-masked]>, "Carol Sharer" <[email-masked]>, "Dorothy Walsh" <[email-masked]>, "Frank Islam" <[email-masked]>, "Herb Klein" <[email-masked]>, "Hunter Biden" <[email-masked]>, "Omar Kader" <[email-masked]>, "Sharon Nazarian" <[email-masked]>, "William Mahoney" <[email-masked]>, "Alan Solomont" <[email-masked]>, "Bleich, Jeffrey" <[email-masked]>, "Delano Lewis" <[email-masked]>, "Governor James J. Blanchard" <[email-masked]>, "Jerry McGowan" <amb
Date: Thu, 16 Feb 2017 10:05:03 -0500

I am testifying today before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on U.S.
democracy promotion efforts.  Below is my statement. Needless to say, I
would welcome your comments.

Best regards,

Ken

Kenneth Wollack
President
National Democratic Institute
455 Massachusetts Ave., NW, 8th Floor
Washington, DC 20001
202-728-5500 <(202)%20728-5500> (Tel)
888-875-2887 <(888)%20875-2887> (Fax)
email: [email-masked]
website: www.ndi.org

                                                                 Statement
by Kenneth Wollack

President, National Democratic Institute

before the

Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere, Transitional Crime, Civilian Security,
Democracy, Human Rights, and Global Women's Issues

of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations

February 16, 2017

Chairman Rubio, Ranking member Menendez and members of the Subcommittee, I
appreciate the opportunity on behalf of the National Democratic Institute
(NDI) to present our views on the importance and efficacy of U.S. efforts
to support the global development of democratic institutions and practices.

Democracy promotion, long a pillar of America's foreign policy framework,
has, in recent years and in certain circles, become an issue of some
debate. Paradoxically, and wrongly in my view, democracy assistance is
viewed either as too soft or idealistic as a response to serious security
threats facing the nation; or it is seen as too bellicose -- conflated with
regime change and the use of military force. The real issue, however, is
not whether democracy promotion is "hard" or "soft" or whether it fits
neatly into the "realism" or "idealism" paradigms. The issue, rather, is
whether advancing democracy is an important means of advancing America's
interests and protecting our national security in a turbulent and often
violent world. I think the answer is clearly "yes."

The notion that there should be a dichotomy between our moral preferences
and our strategic interests is a false one. Our ultimate foreign policy
goal is a world that is secure, stable, humane, and safe, where the risk of
war is minimal. Yet, the reality is that hotspots most likely to erupt into
violence are found, for the most part, in areas of the world that are
nondemocratic -- places that have been defined by the Defense Department as
the "arc of instability." These are places that experience ethnic conflict
and civil war; they generate refugee flows across borders; they are places
where terrorists are harbored and illegal drugs are produced. The
international community has rightly worked to restore order by helping to
establish a democratic framework for governance in a number of these
countries. The response has not always been entirely successful, but on the
whole, the introduction of democratic processes and citizen engagement have
made these countries less dangerous than they had been. The cost for the
United States in this effort has been relatively inexpensive. Foreign
assistance is only about 1 percent of the total U.S. budget; and democracy
assistance represents just 4 percent of our foreign aid.

As Tom Carothers of the Carnegie Endowment points out, "In most of the
dozens of countries where the United States is employing diplomatic,
economic, and assistance measures to support potential or struggling
democratic transitions -- from Cambodia, Indonesia, and Mongolia to El
Salvador, Kenya, Nigeria, and Venezuela -- such efforts align closely with
and serve a critical array of unquestionably hard interests. These include
limiting the strategic reach of the United States' autocratic rivals,
fighting terrorism, reducing international drug trafficking, and
undercutting drivers of massive refugee flows."

There are those who have argued that the Arab Spring unleashed a new area
of instability in the Middle East by toppling repressive, but so-called
"stable" regimes. However, this idea that autocracy equals stability
collapses under scrutiny as the remaining supposedly stable regimes are
increasingly the locus of conflict; while those places that are going
through democratic transition, such as Tunisia, or are engaged in either
political reforms or liberalization -- as is the case in Morocco, Jordan,
Lebanon and Algeria -- are better able to address economic challenges, and
threats from extremist ideologies and groups. As President Kennedy once
said, “Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent
revolution inevitable.”

Even from the traditional foreign aid perspective, economic assistance
alone can not achieve sustained economic growth and social stability.
Political systems that lack accountability mechanisms or sufficient
political and social inclusion are usually plagued by corruption or
conflict, both of which undermine the objectives of economic development
aid to achieve self-sustaining growth and poverty reduction. Deforestation,
rural dislocation, environmental degradation, and agricultural policies
that lead to famine all trace to political systems in which the victims
have no political voice; in which government institutions feel no
obligation to answer to the people; and in which special interests feel
free to exploit the resources, land and people without fear of oversight or
the need to account. The respected diplomat, Princeton Lyman, reminded his
colleagues in a 1998 cable that the problem with even an enlightened
authoritarian leader is that "blinded by economic success, hubris takes
over along with greed: his or her rule is perpetuated, and corruption
grows." He urged policymakers at that time to judge trends, rather than the
snapshot of the day.

During the 1980s, an important lesson was learned about political
transformations in countries like the Philippines and Chile: that forces on
the political fringes enjoy a mutually reinforcing relationship, drawing
strength from each other and, in the process, marginalizing a democratic
center. Prospects for peace and stability only emerged once democratic
political parties and civil society were able to offer a viable alternative
to the extremes. These democratic forces benefitted from the solidarity and
support they received from the international community and, in the United
States, Republicans and Democrats joined together to champion their cause.
Today, these conditions find their parallel in other countries around the
world.

When World War II ended, fewer than a dozen democracies stood as the Iron
Curtain rose, military dictatorships proliferated, and colonialism sought
to regain its footing. Major breakthroughs against those trends began with
the so-called third wave of democratization which, since the 1970s,
impacted more than 100 countries where people in every region of the world
struggled against oppression and for government based on popular will.

Freedom House, the Economist, and others, however, have now chronicled a
decade of democratic recession, with a decline of political rights
globally, along with a decreasing number of democracies. Autocrats have
become more aggressive and sophisticated in stifling the voices of civil
society and political opponents, undercutting independent media and
judicial independence and manipulating elections.

Authoritarian regimes are also using a broader and more aggressive set of
tools to advance their interests, including various forms of electoral
espionage, the hacking of politicians and political parties, and the
dissemination of misinformation and fake news -- all designed to skew
electoral outcomes and to discredit democratic systems. Repressive regimes
are using what we call "distributed denial of democracy" (DDoD) attacks to
pollute new media channels with disinformation, making new media less
useful as a mechanism for legitimate democratic discourse. These
misinformation campaigns use troll farms and botnets to amplify certain
stories on new media. Such efforts also aim to create a false equivalency
between legitimate international democracy assistance and foreign
interference that disrupts democratic dialogue, practices, and elections.

At the same time, new, fragile democracies are struggling to meet rising
expectations of their citizens, particularly with regard to efforts that
would combat corruption and improve standards of living. Democratic
transitions have been stymied or reversed by violence and terrorism by
non-state actors, or by the inability of democratic movements to move from
"protest to politics" and to challenge the resiliency of the so-called
"deep state" -- the elites and institutions that benefited from years of
corruption and impunity afforded by entrenched autocracy. And even
established democracies have been beset by political polarization and
growing citizen discontent with the performance of democratic institutions
and elected leaders.

Yet there is another, more positive story -- a story that should remind us
about the universal demand for democracy and progress being made, sometimes
in the most challenging of environments. Public opinion polls from
countries in every region of the world have shown that vast majorities
agree that democracy, despite its problems, is the best political system.
One recent study of more than 800 protest movements around the world show
that they are not driven primarily by a desire for better economic
conditions, but rather by demands for a better democracy, which the
protesters believe can better address economic issues. This shows that the
desire for improved economic opportunities often coexists with the demand
for a political voice. And in today's interdependent world, citizens will
not indefinitely postpone the latter for the former. Admittedly, there have
been times when many citizens seemingly abandoned democratic aspirations
because of instability, insecurity, or the performance of government. This
was the case in Pakistan, Venezuela, Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, and Chile; but
broad support for authoritarian rule in these places has been short lived.

Then there are countries where active civil societies and reform-minded
political leadership have maintained positive democratic trajectories. In
Africa, for example, only three heads of state between 1960 and 1990
relinquished power voluntarily or after losing an election; since 1990,
that figure stands at more than 40. Nascent African democracies of Ghana,
Côte d'Ivoire, Senegal, Mozambique, and Sierra Leone are among the world's
fastest growing economies, while many countries -- including Indonesia,
Mongolia, Chile, Colombia, Georgia, South Korea and Mexico -- have
continued to make strides in both consolidating their democracies and
maintaining steady economic growth. There are also places where democratic
setbacks have been reversed, either by the demands of citizen movements, as
was the case in Burkina Faso, or through the intervention of regional
organizations as recently occurred in The Gambia. And in Myanmar/Burma,
Ukraine, and Tunisia, active U.S. support for the democratic transitions
underway have reflected the convergence of our values and strategic
interests.

Since the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) and the four core
institutes of the Endowment were established, we have learned a great deal
about democratic change, along with appropriate and effective ways to
nurture and support democracy. I would like to share some fundamental
lessons.

First, in this interconnected and interdependent world, what happens for
good or for bad within the borders of nations haves regional and,
sometimes, global impact. Contrary to that famous tagline in tourism
marketing, what happens, let's say, in Kyiv or Cairo doesn't stay there.
Therefore, at a basic level, we have a direct interest in how people live
and how they are treated by their governments.

Second, the credibility of a democracy ultimately depends on how it works
in practice and on what it delivers. Democracies must be able to hold
credible elections so that the institutions that emerge from those polls
enjoy legitimacy. But those institutions must be built and strengthened
between elections, and citizen engagement must be developed and sustained.
Nascent democratic regimes often inherit the legacies of their
nondemocratic predecessors -- poverty, corruption and political exclusion.
And when those institutions fail to meet public expectations, opportunities
are created for populist, often nondemocratic leaders who will roll back
hard-won democratic gains.

The once rapid pace of democratic change had led many in the democracy
community to hope, if not expect, that progress toward fuller democracy
would be more linear than has been the case. As the late Polish historian
and politician Bronislaw Geremek warned, "Democracy is by no means a
process that goes from triumph to triumph nor is it exempt from creating
the very conditions that undermine it." This means long-term commitments
are necessary to support a culture of transparency, participation, and
accountability.

Sustaining socioeconomic development over the long term requires a
political system whose incentive structures make it more likely that
responsive, reform-minded, and accountable politicians will emerge at all
levels of government. It requires governments that have the popular support
and legitimacy to sustain development policies. It also requires mechanisms
for orderly alternation of power in order to reduce the incentives for
corruption that inevitably affect governments with no fear of losing
office. It requires strengthened policy development and capacity within
political parties in order to help raise the level of political discourse.
It requires effective legislatures -- with significant roles for opposition
voices and the means to build broader consensus on public policy issues --
in order to avoid policy reversals when governments turn over. It requires
greater voice and power for citizens, particularly women and young people,
along with historically marginalized communities, in order to complement
increased economic empowerment with increased political participation.

Third, while citizens around the world have begun to harness the benefits
of information and communication technology to amplify their voices, their
political institutions have often been slower to respond. As one tech
leader explained via Twitter, "Citizens using 21st cent tools to talk,
gov't using 20th cent tools to listen, and 19th cent processes to respond."
As technology innovation amplifies the voices of desegregated citizen
interests, fledgling democratic institutions -- governments, parliaments,
and political parties -- must harness innovation to strengthen deliberative
discourse, broker compromise, and respond in a timely and effective manner.

New responses are also needed as authoritarian regimes have become more
aggressive in utilizing technology to subvert democracy and to project
their interests internationally. These include: cyber security support;
media literacy training with respect to disinformation spread through new
media; assistance to civic, media, and political groups that can expose and
combat misinformation; and policy advocacy with technology firms to help
them understand the impact of their policies on democratic discourse and to
help them them prevent their platforms from being used in DDoD attacks.

Fourth, for those of us in this country who are engaged in assisting
democratic development overseas, we have been most successful when we have
joined with others in the international community, including governments,
intergovernmental organizations, other nongovernmental groups, along with
individual practitioners. As a practical matter, people making a democratic
transition require diverse experiences and expertise, along with broad peer
support. Cooperative approaches also convey a deeper truth: that democrats
are joining a community of nations which have traversed the same course,
that they can count on natural allies and an active support structure
because other nations are concerned and are watching.

Fifth, the U.S. government -- including the White House, State Department,
Congress, and overseas embassies -- can set the tone and foreign aid can
provide needed resources. Yet, much of the day-to-day democratic
development work should be carried out, with proper oversight, by
nongovernmental organizations, which operate in the realm of
people-to-people relations. Such mission-driven groups often have
pre-existing, global relationships and are not constrained by the stringent
rules of formal diplomacy. Most important, in countries where a primary
issue is the paucity of autonomous civic and political institutions, the
very idea that government ought not control all aspects of society can be
undermined by a too visible and too direct donor government hand.

Ultimately, it is the nature of relationships with local partners that
matter the most. In a recent New York Times op-ed, David Brooks asked a
veteran youth activist in this country about which programs "turn around"
the lives of kids living in poverty. "I still haven't seen one program
change one kid's life," he replied. "What changes people is relationships."
The same can be said about successful democracy efforts overseas. How
positive relationships with local partners are established, developed, and
evolve will ultimately determine the success or failure of any and all
interventions.

Sixth, pluralism in democracy assistance has served the United States well,
allowing for diverse yet complementary programming that, over the long
term, could not be sustained by a highly static and centralized system.
Funding by the NED has allowed the Endowment and its four core institutes
to plan strategically, yet respond quickly and flexibly to emerging
opportunities and sudden problems in rapidly shifting political
environments. In addition, the NED has been able to operate effectively in
closed societies where direct government engagement is more difficult.
USAID has provided the basis for longer-term commitments in helping to
develop a country's democratic institutions. The State Department's Bureau
for Democracy, Human Rights and Labor and other programs within the
Department, such as the Middle East Partnership, have given the U.S.
government the capacity to support -- without cumbersome regulations --
cutting edge and highly focused democracy initiatives for individual
countries, as well for regional and global initiatives.

Seventh, and finally, democracy assistance can best be delivered in four
ways: 1) through direct, in-country presence where long term, day-to-day
relationships can be established and nurtured. (In nondemocratic places
that prohibit such engagement, long distance learning using information
technology and offshore programs can maintain solidarity and provide more
limited but critical outside support to groups and individuals); 2) through
targeted financial support to governments, election commissions, civil
society groups, and parliaments; 3) through international and regional
networks that can offer peer support; and 4) through the development and
application of international norms and standards. The latter two approaches
are designed to provide external incentives for reform, particularly in
places where local organizations, leaders, and institutions seek to become
members of a global community -- whether a community of civic groups,
political parties, parliaments, or governments. Examples of these
communities include the Open Government Partnership, the four major
international groupings of political parties, the Community of Democracies,
the Global Network of Domestic Election Monitors, and the World Movement
for Democracy. In this regard, the House Democracy Partnership, led by
Representatives Peter Roskam and David Price, has contributed measurably to
parliamentary strengthening efforts in 19 countries to date.

My colleague, Mark Green, at the International Republican Institute will
speak on the progress being made in the transition process in Burma/Myanmar
and Tunisia. I would like to point to democracy support efforts in two
other challenging environments: in Ukraine and in Syria, which is seemingly
one of the most unlikely places on earth to find good news on this front.
These efforts have been supported by the NED, USAID, the Department of
State, the Canadian and British governments, and others.

Ukraine undoubtedly continues to face grave challenges, including severe
economic problems, deeply-rooted corruption, public impatience with the
pace of reform -- not to mention occupation in the South and a war in the
East. Purveyors of false news would have us believe that the country is
deeply divided and that a large portion of the population is desperate to
be rescued by Russia. The truth, however, is exactly the opposite.

NDI's research shows that Ukrainians expect that the next generation will
be better off than their own with 86 percent saying it is “important” or
“very important” that their country become a democracy. This is true
whether respondents live in the East or the West and regardless of
political affiliations. Moreover, the research and our observations on the
ground show that Ukrainians are not particularly susceptible to populist
appeals or to conspiracy theories, particularly those seen as emanating
from outside the country. Ukrainians feel strongly that they will not give
up their right to determine their own future -- even if doing so would
bring peace.

As these findings show, Ukrainians are virtually united in their view that
democracy is the best guarantor of their independence and sovereignty. To
the extent that their country succeeds, it will be because ordinary
Ukrainians have embraced these goals as their own and are taking
responsibility for reaching them.

This positive outlook is not based solely on public attitudes. With outside
encouragement and support, Ukrainians can point to concrete achievements in
recent years. These include the emergence of new political parties that
have national reach and are focused on citizens they represent rather than
on oligarchs who would finance them. Brought together by NDI, in
partnership with European institutions, party factions in the parliament
are overcoming deep fragmentation to agree on procedures that will make it
easier to build consensus around reforms. Local civil society groups are
partnering with larger national organizations to push for economic and
political change, and Ukrainians are advocating and voting for more women
in elected office.

At the local level, citizens without prior experience in any kind of
activism are participating in decision-making in large numbers. One quarter
has attended community meetings and an additional 29 percent are willing to
do so. In NDI programs alone, more than 45,000 citizens have engaged
directly in the national reform process in the past two years and more than
1.3 million have been reached by television. A decentralization process
will ultimately give Ukrainians more opportunities to influence decisions
that affect their lives. These are the kinds of bottom-up changes that,
given time and continued support, can put down deep democratic roots.

In the midst of a massive humanitarian crisis and refugee flight, another
story of democratic resilience is unfolding in Syria. As the Syrian
government has lost control of large parts of the country, and the war has
expanded over the past six years, millions of citizens have been left
bereft of services and governing institutions to maintain order and to meet
their basic needs. But in liberated territories across northern Syria,
citizen groups are identifying and prioritizing community needs, and local
administrative councils, some democratically elected, are responding by
providing critical services. These democratic subcultures can become a
powerful model for the country's future once the conflict subsides.

More than two dozen NDI governance advisers are working each day in 34 of
these locations within Syria, helping to advise local citizen groups and
administrative councils, and bringing them together to solve problems.
Already, thousands of consultations and training sessions have been
conducted. More than 500 council members and staff and 7,000 civic
activists, including many young people and women, have been engaged in the
program. Courageously, these civic groups and councils have challenged
extremist groups which have sought to establish parallel governing
structures. "You may think Syrians are condemned to an unpleasant choice
between Bashar Al Assad and the jihadists," noted one regional news outlet.
"But the real choice being fought out by Syrians is between violent
authoritarianism on the one hand and grassroots democracy on the other."

Mr. Chairman, the citizens of our country -- from its very founding -- have
held the conviction that to "secure the blessings of liberty for ourselves
and our country," we must establish government that derives legitimacy and
power from the consent of the people. We received the help of others in our
founding, and from that point onward have embraced the ethic of assisting
those around the world who step forward -- sometimes at great risk in their
own countries -- to promote, establish, and sustain democracy. We as a
nation have benefited from the peace that global democratic development
produces and from the economic opportunities that it creates.

Assisting the advance of democracy has helped war-torn and violence-prone
states achieve more "domestic tranquility," preventing humanitarian
disasters, refugee flows and violent extremist recruitment. Across the
globe, it has helped establish more stable and honest frameworks for
economic life, opening markets to trade and investment. Democratic
development has also helped cultivate a community of nations that refrain
from war with each other and often ally themselves with the U.S. on
geostrategic concerns. It is our hope that this mission remains a priority
for both the Congress and the Administration