Subject: The Evening CSIS: Impeached, Merkel Visit, Ryan Adams Redux and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 10 Mar 2017 23:11:58 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening CSIS: Impeached, Merkel Visit, Ryan Adams Redux and More
------------------------------------------------------------
Email not displaying correctly?
View it in your browser (http://us11.campaign-archive2.com/?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=c192f29e4d&e=e55aaf27de) .

** Good Evening,
------------------------------------------------------------
It's Friday, March 10.

** Impeached
------------------------------------------------------------
South Korea's Constitutional Court removed President Park Geun-hye from office today over a graft scandal involving the country's conglomerates at a time of rising tensions with North Korea and China, as Reuters reports (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-southkorea-politics-idUSKBN16H066?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Beyond Parallel project predicts a 43% chance of North Korean WMD activity taking place in the next 14 days (http://beyondparallel.csis.org?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) . In the next 30, a 62% chance.

** Germany's Defense Budget
------------------------------------------------------------
On the eve of next week’s visit to Washington by Chancellor Angela Merkel, Germany’s new draft budget shows that Europe’s biggest economy remains far from meeting President Donald Trump’s demands for higher military spending even as it slowly lifts its defense expenditures, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Andrea Thomas reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/german-budget-shows-military-spending-still-below-nato-target-1489169717?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Heather Conley and Jeffrey Rathke today held a conference call briefing on Merkel’s visit to Washington for members of the media. The transcript is available here (https://www.csis.org/analysis/csis-press-conference-call-chancellor-angela-merkels-visit-washington/?block2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) .

** Article 50
------------------------------------------------------------
Prime Minister Theresa May of Britain could trigger Article 50, the formal process for leaving the European Union as early as Tuesday if the Brexit bill passes late on Monday, as the
Guardian’s Heather Stewart reports (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/mar/10/article-50-could-triggered-tuesday-brexit-bill-passes?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See “Devolved External Affairs: The Impact of Brexit (https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/devolved-external-affairs-impact-brexit?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) ” by Chatham House’s Richard Whitman.

** Dutch Update
------------------------------------------------------------
Anti-immigrant anger threatens to remake the liberal Netherlands, as the Washington Post’s Griff Witte reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/anti-immigrant-anger-threatens-to-remake-the-liberal-netherlands/2017/03/10/ebdb3a8c-ff4d-11e6-9b78-824ccab94435_story.html?utm_term=.c0900e04f3c0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) .

** In That Number
------------------------------------------------------------

** $50
------------------------------------------------------------
Yesterday, oil dropped below $50 per barrel for the first time since December.

Per CSIS’s Adam Sieminski, “People are nervous about the global supply-demand balance. Shale is coming back with $50 oil and there’s uncertainty about whether OPEC and its partners are going to roll over the production agreement.” Source: Bloomberg (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-03-08/oil-holds-losses-near-50-as-u-s-stockpiles-expand-to-record?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) .

** Critical Quote
------------------------------------------------------------

** “There are no signs that growing criticism has convinced Duterte to reexamine or adopt a more restrained approach to his signature drug war.”
------------------------------------------------------------
—CSIS’s Geoffrey Hartman authored a new commentary today, “Renewed Philippine Drug War Unlikely to Address Human Rights Concerns (https://www.csis.org/analysis/renewed-philippine-drug-war-unlikely-address-human-rights-concerns?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) .”

** iDeas Lab
------------------------------------------------------------
This week, the CSIS Podcast explores the WikiLeaks exposure of CIA hacking documents (https://itunes.apple.com/us/itunes-u/the-csis-podcast/id383703191?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) and talks to CSIS’s Jim Lewis about what it means for the average consumer as well as intelligence agencies worldwide.

** Optics
------------------------------------------------------------
(Photo credit: Aris Messinis/AFP/Getty Images.)
Smoke plumes rise after an airstrike in west Mosul today as Iraqi forces advance in the city during the ongoing battle to seize it from the jihadists of the Islamic State.

** Recommended Reading
------------------------------------------------------------
“Bitcoin ‘mining’ is big business in Venezuela, but the government wants to shut it down” by Mariana Zuniga for the Washington Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/03/10/bitcoin-mining-is-big-business-in-venezuela-but-the-government-wants-to-shut-it-down/?utm_term=.427d726ccea8&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) .

** This Town Monday
------------------------------------------------------------
Join Brookings’ Center for East Asia Policy Studies at 9:00 a.m. for “Cross-Strait relations at a juncture: Japanese and American perspectives (https://www.brookings.edu/events/cross-strait-relations-at-a-juncture-japanese-and-american-perspectives/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) .”

And join the Atlantic Council at 3:00 p.m. for “Regional Perspectives on US Policy in the Middle East (http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/events/upcoming-events/detail/regional-perspectives-on-us-policy-in-the-middle-east?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) .”

** On Demand
------------------------------------------------------------
Last week, CSIS’s Europe Program hosted “After Munich: A Conversation on the Future of Europe and the Transatlantic Relationship (https://www.csis.org/events/after-munich-conversation-future-europe-and-transatlantic-relationship?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) ,” featuring officials from the German Federal Foreign Office and the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

** Sounds
------------------------------------------------------------
In case you missed it, CSIS Korea Chair Victor Cha joined NPR member station WAMU’s 1A show to discuss North Korea missile testing (http://the1a.org/shows/2017-03-08/north-korea-missile-testing?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) .

** Smiles
------------------------------------------------------------
Encore for Ryan Adams on Fallon (http://www.nbc.com/the-tonight-show/video/ryan-adams-to-be-without-you/3472675?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789) . Have a great weekend and smile!
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on twitter @handrewschwartz (https://twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789)

============================================================
The Evening CSIS is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Brandon Schwartz, and Jackie Ramsay.

Follow CSIS

** (https://twitter.com/CSIS?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789)
** (https://www.facebook.com/CSIS.org?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789)
** (http://us11.forward-to-friend.com/forward?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=c192f29e4d&e=e55aaf27de)

Connect w/ H. Andrew Schwartz

** (https://twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789)
** (https://www.linkedin.com/in/hschwartz1?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789)
** (mailto:[email-masked]?subject=Evening CSIS)
Copyright © 2017 Center for Strategic & International Studies, All rights reserved.

202-887-0200 | ** www.CSIS.org (http://www.CSIS.org?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789)

Center for Strategic & International Studies
1616 Rhode Island Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20036
USA

** Update preferences/unsubscribe (https://www.csis.org/subscribe/manage/f326fc46b6/Q0bCCU-l2XPZXtjoZtuRX6Po26GKOlr188l9-Uh0yk8?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=c192f29e4d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_03_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-c192f29e4d-145367789)

This email was sent to [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked])
why did I get this? (http://csis.us11.list-manage.com/about?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=f326fc46b6&e=e55aaf27de&c=c192f29e4d)     unsubscribe from this list (http://csis.us11.list-manage.com/unsubscribe?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=f326fc46b6&e=e55aaf27de&c=c192f29e4d)     update subscription preferences (http://csis.us11.list-manage1.com/profile?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=f326fc46b6&e=e55aaf27de)
Center for Strategic & International Studies . 1616 Rhode Island Avenue, NW . Washington, DC 20036 . U