Subject: Axios AM: Mike's Top 10 — Inside the Hillary Hindenburg — The only way to do great work, in any field — Killer state on texting and driving
From: "Mike Allen" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 18 Apr 2017 06:47:07 -0400 (EDT)

Presented by Bank of America:

Inside the Hillary Hindenburg — The on=y way to do great work, in any field — Killer state on texting and=driving

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Presented By Bank of America

Axios AM

By Mike Allen = ·Apr 18, 2017

Good Tuesday morning from Chicago, where I'l= moderate the first out-of-town Axios event at 3 p.m. CT.=If you're local, be sure to join us: It'll be like a reunion of Midwestern=rs from previous campaigns and administrations. RSVP here.

1 big thing: Inside the Hillary Hindenburg

Out today ... "Shattered: Inside Hillary Clinton=s Doomed Campaign," by Jonathan Allen and Amie Parnes, makes it clear =hat whatever you thought was happening in Brooklyn, it was worse. =n appetizer:

Jon Favreau, brought i= to help with the announcement speech, "thought Clinton's campaign was rem=niscent of John Kerry's, where he had gotten his start in 2004 — = bunch of operatives who were smart and accomplished ... but weren't unite= by any common purpose larger than pushing a less-than-thrilling candidate=into the White House. ... Frustrated with the process and the product, Fav=eau dropped out."

"Some of Hillary's aide= longed for her to find her own David Axelrod."

H=ma Abedin "couldn't be counted on to relay constructive criticism=to Hillary without pointing a finger at the critic."

"Hill=ry's top aides were as miserable as midlevel bureaucrats in an ag=ncy with no clear plans."

Campaign manager Robby Mook "had the most reason to be nervous about his job. Longtime Clinton con=idants outside the campaign had been agitating for months for Hillary to g=t rid of him."

Bill Clinton's chief of staff, Tin= Flournoy, "mentioned to him and a small group of his aides that she was g=ing to see the Rolling Stones in Europe. 'Mick Jagger used to give my moth=r-in-law wet dreams,' Bill offered."

Hillary to longtime c=nfidant Minyon Moore, during the primaries: "I don't understand w=at's happening in the country."

"The one person w=th whom [Hillary] didn't seem particularly upset: herself."

"[T]he mercenaries ... feared — appropriately — =hat unflattering words about Hillary or the strategy would be repeated at =heir own expense by those who hoped to gain Hillary's favor."

"[S]he liked to set up rival power centers within and outside =er operation."

President Obama thought her handli=g of the server scandal "amounted to political malpractice."

"In hallmark fashion, Hillary had set up two separate and isola=ed teams to write her convention speech."

"Worried about l=aving his supersecret [debate] prep materials in an Uber, [Philip=e] Reines [who played Trump] bought a heavy-duty tether so that he could l=ck his briefcase to his waist. He actually acquired two different versions=— one of which was originally designed for bondage enthusiasts."
Hillary to an aide during the general: "I know I en=ender bad reactions from people."

Bill Clinton on=election night: "It's like Brexit ... I guess it's real."

=illary to Obama after calling Trump to concede: "Mr. President, I=m sorry."

2. What to expect at Facebook's F8 conference

In San Jose today, Facebook will kick off its annual F8=developers' conference. On the "CBS Evening News," John Blackstone pointed=out from Facebook HQ in Menlo Park that with the Cleveland killer still at=large, CEO Mark Zuckerberg "will be expected to address how the social net=ork can do better."

Axios' Kia Kokalitcheva =reviews the best rumors about product announcements:

Bots for group chats: A new set of these "chat bots" that live=inside Facebook Messenger group conversations and provide various info and=service, according to TechCrunch. For example, one could keep a group of f=otball fans informed on the latest game scores.

Camera Eff=cts Platform: Facebook will likely introduce the ability for outs=ders to design and submit filters, lenses, and other camera effects.
<=i>Secret hardware: Led by former DARPA director and Googl= exec Regina Dugan, Facebook's secretive Building 8 unit will likely unvei= some of the gadgets it's been working on.

More augmented =eality: While the pair of glasses (or contact lenses) Facebook is=reportedly working on probably won't show up at the event, related technol=gies like camera filters will begin to lay down the groundwork.

Virtual reality: Last year, Facebook introduced its own 360-=ideo camera rig, and demo'd its take on social interaction in virtual real=ty—so expect more VR this year. Facebook may also showcase its new=st headset.

P.S. "Apple Readies iPhone Overhaul for Smartphone=s 10th Anniversary," by Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and Min Jeong Lee: "For th= redesigned phone, Apple is testing a new type of screen, curved glass and=stainless steel materials, and more advanced cameras."

3. How to watch today's Georgia special election

Today's "jungle primary" in suburban Atlanta includes 18 candidates: 11 =s, 5 Ds and two independents / AP's Alex Sanz

Axios' Jonathan Swan writes that top officia=s in the West Wing — including President Trump and Steve Bannon =E2�� are intensely invested in today's special election in Georgia's 6=h congressional district (replacing former Rep. Tom Price, now HHS Secreta=y):

Why Trump cares: Whether he likes it or no=, the media will portray this election as an early verdict on his presiden=y [!]. The year's first special election, in Kansas' usually reliable deep=red 4th district, was way closer than it should've been. A loss in Georgia=would further weaken Trump and make his legislative agenda.

What Nate Silver thinks will happen: "If the polls are right, th=n Democrat Jon Ossoff will receive by far the most votes." But Ossoff will=probably finish with less than 50%, which would trigger a runoff between h=m and the next-highest finisher — most likely the Republican Karen=Handel, but possibly one of three other Republicans (Bob Gray, Dan Moody J=dson Hill), who are closely bunched behind her in polls."

= quirk: "[T]he combined vote for all Republican candidates will p=obably exceed the combined vote for Ossoff and other Democrats, although i= should be close."

The bottom line: Even if Ossof= finishes close to 50 percent, Silver adds, that's no guarantee he'll win =he runoff because the district leans red and Republicans will have a chanc= to regroup for the June 20 rematch."

A message from Bank of America

Millennials say homeownership helps in long term

Seventy-nine percent of millennial homeowners say homeownership will hav= a positive impact on their long-term financial picture, according to Bank=of America’s newly-released Homebuyer Insights Report. In total, 3=% of all prospective first-time buyers have started to plan for a down pay=ent. Learn more.<=p>

4. "The Next Korean War"

From the May/June issue of Foreign Affairs, "A Vision of Trump a= War: How the President Could Stumble Into Conflict," by Philip Gordon= a CFR senior fellow who was Obama's White House coordinator for the Midd=e East, North Africa, and the Gulf Region from 2013 to 2015:

It is December 2018, and North=Korea has just launched a heavy artillery barrage against targets in Seoul= killing thousands, or perhaps tens of thousands ... Washington had expect=d some sort of a North Korean response when it preemptively struck the tes= launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile capable of delivering a n=clear warhead to the continental United States ... But few thought North K=rea would go so far as to risk its own destruction by attacking South Kore=.

Some of [Trump's] ad=isers are urging him to quickly finish the job, whereas others wa=n that doing so would cost the lives of too many of the 28,000 U.S. soldie=s stationed on the peninsula, to say nothing of the ten million residents =f Seoul. ...

How did =t come to this? ... When the intelligence community picked up sig=s that Pyongyang was about to [test a nuclear-capable missile that could r=ach the United States], ... the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff brie=ed the president on his options. He could try to shoot down the test missi=e in flight ... He could do nothing ... Or he could destroy the test missi=e on its launch pad with a barrage of cruise missiles ... Sources present =t the meeting reported that when the president chose the third option, he =aid, "We have to start winning wars again."

Breaking: "UK Prime Minist=r Theresa May has announced plans to call snap general election on 8 June.= (BBC)

5. Ivanka Inc.

Shot ... "Ivanka's biz prospers as politics mixes with business"=— AP/Shanghai: "On April 6, Ivanka Trump's company won provisional=approval from the Chinese government for three new trademarks, giving it m=nopoly rights to sell Ivanka brand jewelry, bags and spa services in the w=rld's second-largest economy. That night, the first daughter and her husba=d, Jared Kushner, sat next to the president of China and his wife for a st=ak and Dover sole dinner at Mar-a-Lago."

List: "Retailers who sell or no longer sell =vanka Trump"

Chaser ... Wall Street Journal page A4= "Presidency Hits Growth Rate of Family Bus=ness," by Peter Grant: "While the company's revenue and incom= are expected to continue to rise during Mr. Trump's term in office, it wi=l likely be at a slower rate, Eric Trump said, because of efforts to separ=te the Trump presidency from the family businesses. 'We would be doing 30 =eals across the globe' were his father not the president, Eric Trump said =n an interview."

=/a>

=/a>

6. If you read only one thing

A worthy idea from David Leonhardt in his New York Time= column today, "Why You'd Benefit From A 'Shultz Hour'"=

When George Shultz was secretary of state in the 1980s, he liked to carve out one hour each=week for quiet reflection. He sat down in his office with a pad of paper a=d pen, closed the door and told his secretary to interrupt him only if one=of two people called: "My wife or the president," Shultz recalled=

Shultz, who's now 96,=/strong> told me that his hour of solitude was the only way he could find =ime to think about the strategic aspects of his job. ... And the o=ly way to do great work, in any field, is to find time to consider the lar=er questions. ...

My goal with this column is to persuade you to add a Shultz H=ur, or something like it, to your week. I've just begun to do so.=I have committed to carving out an hour each week with no meetings, no pho=e calls, no email, no Twitter, no Facebook, no mobile alerts and no podcas=s. Sometimes, I plan to spend the hour sitting down, as Shultz did, and ot=er times taking a stroll. I keep a pen and paper with me and have set my p=one to ring only if my wife calls.

7. What's killing America

Just posted ... The latest entry in our "Smarter, Faster" video series, with Dr.=Toby Cosgrove, CEO of the Cleveland Clinic:

"The main thing that's killing America is the fact t=at people aren't taking care of themselves. ... If you look at the cause o= premature death in the United States, 40 percent of it is related to lack=of exercise, diet and smoking."

Cutting down on sugar.

8. O'Reilly "fighting for his TV life"

Paul Farhi has an ominous take, consistent with what we=re hearing from inside Fox, in the lead story of the WashPost Style sectio=, "A har= spin to maintain O'Reilly's TV career":

"All at once, [the vacationing] Bill O'Reilly is fi=hting for his TV life. The future of O'Reilly's long career at Fox News ma= hinge on a sexual-harassment accusation raised by ... Wendy Walsh, [a rel=tionship expert and, at one time, regular O'Reilly guest] who has alleged =hat O'Reilly propositioned her in a Los Angeles hotel in 2013, then retali=ted against her when she rebuffed him."

The players: "The originator of the 'No-Spin Zone' has ... left his public defens= to a well-known spin doctor, Mark Fabiani, a former spokesman for preside=t Bill Clinton."

Why it matters: "Walsh's allegat=on is potentially the most explosive of all: Fox News was apparently unawa=e of it until she raised it for the first time in an interview with the Ne= York Times this month."

What everyone at Fox is talking a=out: "Her complaint has triggered an investigation at Fox by the =aw firm Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison, the same firm that u=covered widespread harassment allegations against ... Roger Ailes."
The bottom line: "[A] negative finding by the law firm c=uld force the hands of Fox News Chairman Rupert Murdoch and his sons, Jame= and Lachlan, who run Fox's parent company."

9. The green idea

First look ... A video by Michael Bloomberg, "An Optimistic Conversat=on ... About Climate Change: "The good news is we're going to make the COP=1 [Paris Climate Conference] goals without the federal government."

=strong>Bloomberg today publishes a new book with environmentalist=Carl Pope, "Climate of Hope: How Cities, Businesses, and Citizens C=n Save the Planet," where the former New York mayor writes: "Washington w=ll not have the last word on the fate of the Paris Agreement in the United=States. Mayors will—together with business leaders and citizens fr=m all over the globe." ClimateofHope.com <=strong>is live.

=img width="32" height="32" style="border: none" target="_blank" sr=="https://static.axios.com/img-email/twitter-circle.png" alt="Tweet th=s Story">

10. 1 sobering thing

Data: Zendrive; Map: Lazaro Gamio / Axios

We text and drive even more than you thought, Axios' Ina Fried reports:

"Zendrive studied actual device use among 3.1 million d=ivers over 5.6 billion miles of driving and found that in 88% of t=ips, drivers made at least some use of their phones. On average, =rivers spent 3.5 minutes per hour on their device."

Why=it matters: The number of traffic deaths has been increasing sinc= 2015 after a 40-year decline, with more than 40,000 people dying on the r=ads last year for the first time in a decade. It is estimated that a 2-sec=nd distraction increases the risk of a collision by 20 times.

=img width="32" height="32" style="border: none" target="_blank" sr=="https://static.axios.com/img-email/twitter-circle.png" alt="Tweet th=s Story">

A message from Bank of America

Study: millennials believe owning is more affordabl= than renting

America’s home-buying market is a key economic driver, and the n=wly-released Homebuyer Insights Report found 86% of millennial homeowners =ay owning a home is more affordable than renting. Bank of America is helpi=g millennials understand the resources and preparations needed to purchase=a home. Learn more.<=a>

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