Subject: Axios AM: Mike's Top 10 — Babysitting Trump — What happens when you tweet a pic of empty seats at a Trump rally — Millennials at home
From: "Mike Allen" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 7 May 2017 08:18:09 -0400 (EDT)

Presented by JPMorgan Chase & Co.:

Babysitting Trump — What happens when you tweet a pic of empty s=ats at a Trump rally — Millennials at home

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Axios AM

By Mike Allen = ·May 07, 2017

1 big thing: Babysitting Trump

/ Axios

Trump aides often leak anecdotes about the intricacies =nd hazards of managing the president — as if they were his babysit=ers. Axios' Stef Kight curated a coll=ction:

No more TV: Aides talk about trying to=give Trump "better choices" or jamming his schedule with meetings to keep =im away from reading about or watching himself on TV (and then tweeting ab=ut it). An adviser told the WashPost: "Once he goes upstairs, there's no managing him."

Show =nd tell: Aides know Trump responds best to visuals. Typically, wh=n someone wants to sell him on something they use props, according to Jona=han Swan. An official once told the N.Y. Times: "The p=esident likes maps."

Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue used a map showing the "Trump country" areas of the U.S. that would=be hardest hit by NAFTA's termination to convince Trump to keep the trade =greement, according to the Post.

Play time: Chie= of Staff Reince Priebus has been busy making room in Trump's schedule to =o whatever he wants. As NYT put it: "He has reduced the pace of public eve=ts and, like a Montessori teacher, modulates structured work time with the=slack periods Mr. Trump craves."

Spinning polls: =uring the campaign, aides got used to digging up the two polls consistentl= favorable to him — Rasmussen and L.A. Times tracking poll. They a=so put positive local stories high in his stack, above tougher national st=ries.

Click here=for more examples.

2. National gut check

@JonathanTamari=/a>; used by permission.

Jonathan Tamari, the Washington correspondent for the P=illy Inquirer, posts a first-person look at the windshear wackiness of the=new media and political environment, "I tweeted a photo of the Trump rally =rowd — and then things got crazy":

Onstage in Harrisburg [two Saturday nights=ago, Trump] told a throng of supporters that the fire marshal had "a lot o= people standing outside" and that "we really maxed out. We broke the all-=ime record for this arena." Except, staring us in the face, ... were rows =f empty seats. I snapped a photo and tweeted Trump's claim, along with the=image. ...

By the tim= I got to a late dinner, my Twitter feed was overwhelmed with mor= attacks and mentions than I could track. As of Friday, 2.4 million had se=n the tweet, more than 30,000 had liked it, and more than 19,000 had retwe=ted it. ... People who dislike Trump shared them as evidence of his lies. =rump supporters shared them as an indictment of the Fake News media (me). =..

When = write a story, I usually talk to experts, write and revise, cali=rate my language ... On Twitter, it quickly became the only thing=millions of strangers knew about me or our reporting. (Even though hours e=rlier I had also tweeted a picture of the huge line of supporters excited =o see Trump.)

Why it matte=s: It's time for a national gut check. The hysteria of the electi=n isn't dissipating and both sides are getting too spooled up about too ma=y things, too often, based on too little evidence. Get a life: Who cares how many people show for a stinkin' event?

P.=. BuzzFeed reports from London, on the =.K. snap election: "In total, six of the 20 most-shared e=ection-related links on Facebook during the first fortnight of the electio= were from media sources which sit well outside the mainstream med=a."

3. The next fight

Andrew Witherspoon / Axios

Some governors have already begun pressing their senato=s to soften the health-reform bill in ways that would lessen the financial=blow to the states, AP will report in a story for Monday papers:=

"From dealing with Medicaid ro=lbacks to starting high-risk insurance pools, governors and state=legislatures across the country are getting ready to make big decisions in=response to Republican efforts to gut the Affordable Care Act. Their prepa=ations come even as Republican members of the U.S. Senate promise signific=nt revisions."

N.Y. Times Quote of the Day, in a fr=nt-pager, "Health Act Repeal Could Threaten J=b Engine: 1 in 8 Private Workers May Be Affected by Shift in Sector" .=. Brian Gragnolati, chief executive of Atlantic Health System: "What is go=ng to happen here is when people don't have access now to care, they will =o back to the emergency departments for their primary care, waiting and wa=ting and waiting."

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4. Polls open in Paris

Defaced campaign posters for centrist presidential candidate Emmanuel Ma=ron and far-right Marine Le Pen, in Saint Jean de Luz, southwestern France=/ AP's Bob Edme

Russian fingerprints on the last-minute dump of campaig= emails hacked from pro-business independent Emmanuel Macron, the heavy fa=orite in today's French presidential election:

"Vitali Kremez, director of resea=ch with New York-based cyber intelligence firm Flashpoint, told Reuters=/a> his review indicates that APT 28, a group tied to the GRU, the Russian=military intelligence directorate, was behind the leak. He cited similarit=es with U.S. election hacks ... attributed to that group."

Fortune: "As with alleged Russian interference in the recent U.S. election, the=Macron hack could represent an attempt to boost a candidate seen as more f=vorable to Russia ... Marine Le Pen."

"A Le Pen defeat won=t mean the end of French extremism," by hist=rian David Bell on the cover of WashPost Outlook: "[A]mid the economic sta=nation, political paralysis and terrorist threats, ... [the] party system =eems to have collapsed."

"France's divide mirrors West's=/strong>," by Griff Witte on WashPost A1: "[T]he French c=mpaign has solidified the new fracture lines in modern politics, which bea= little relation to the relatively modest differences marking the old left=right divide. ... [T]he profound new chasm in the West: between those who =avor open, globalized societies and others who prefer closed, nationalized=ones."

Polls close at 2 p.m. ET, with projections=expected right then.

5. Lingo

Nickname for Carter-era "Doomsday planes," according to=a new book about continuity of government, "Raven Rock," by Gar=ett Graff (as quoted in a Wall Street Journal review):

"Air Force One When It Counts."

6. Warren's wisdom

Warren Buffett poses for a selfie with Liz Claman of Fox Business Networ=, as he tours the 200,000-square-foot exhibit hall where his subsidiaries =isplay products / AP's Nati Harnik

Warren Buffett, 86, gave a master class during Q&A =esterday at Berkshire Hathaway's annual meeting ("Woodstock for Cap=talists"), which drew 30,000 devotees to CenturyLink Center in Omaha, =ebraska:

: "Nobody should be roadkill .=. Greater productivity will benefit the world in a general way, but to be =oadkill, to be the textile worker in New Bedford [is painful] ... It would=be no fun to go through life and say: I'm doing this for the greater good,=and so that shoes or underwear was all for 5 percent less."

On cyber attacks: "the number one =roblem [for] mankind."

On not investing in Google: "I blew it."
On Amazon's Jeff Bezos, and his success in both =-tailing and cloud computing: "the most remarkable business person of our =ge ... I've never seen a guy succeed in two businesses almost simultaneous=y that are really quite divergent in terms of customers and all the operat=ons."

On the House health-care plan, which=would repeal added taxes on payroll and investment income for high earners= "It is a huge tax cut for guys like me."

On managing employees: "We count very h=avily on principles of behavior rather than loads of rules."

<=trong>P.S. Lead story of The (London) Sunday Times, "Brexit brings bonanza for billionaires" (paywall): "[W]ealthy individuals have benefited from the weaker=pound since Britain voted for Brexit, boosting the sterling value of their=overseas investments."

7. Amazing stat

From a book by Sen. Ben Sasse (R-Neb.), "The Vanishin= American Adult," out May 16 (included in a Wall Street Journal excerpt=on cover of yesterday's Review section):

last year: "For the=first time in more than 130 years, adults ages 18 to 34 were sligh=ly more likely to be living in their parents' home than they were to be li=ing with a spouse or partner in their own household." Fully one-quarter=/a> of Americans between 25 and 29 live with a parent—compared wit= only 18% just over a decade ago.

=/a>

8. Media trends: Trump's lifeline for The Times

Recode; used by permission.

The Trump effect ... New York Times Co. CEO Mark Thomps=n announced this week that the paper added w=at he called an "astonishing" 308,000 net digital subscriptions in the fir=t three months of the year (to 2.2 million), making it the best quarter fo= subscriber growth in The Times' history.

Recode's Peter Ka=fa and Rani Molla, in "How the New Yor= Times saved itself," write that the "bump is in large part a product =f Donald Trump," but "also the result of a years-long effort the company h=s made to get its readers to pay for its product, rather than advertisers"=

Twenty years ago, advertising revenue made u= 63% of revenue and subscribers paid 27%. Now that's flipped: Subscribers =ccount for 61% and ads for 33%.

Recode points out
Be smart: Although the=e figures are encouraging for a newspaper the president continues to call =failing," much more disruption is still to come. The Q1 report shows 62% of ad revenues come from print a linchpin that=will shrink or vanish.

A growth industry ... The Times plans to build=a fact-checking unit (including an editor and better graphics), starting =ith a single reporter who arrived three months ago, 24-year-old Linda Qiu,=per Public editor Liz Spayd.

9. Activating the largest state

Supporters of single-payer health care march to the Capitol in Sacrament= on April 26 / AP's Rich Pedroncelli

A surge of activism is rippling through California's po=itical landscape, the L.A. Times's Melanie Mason writes in "Activist groundswell may sweep lawmakers leftward" (page B3):
"Not content to rely on =he state to be a liberal bastion of resistance against President Trump and=Republican-controlled Washington, D.C., [single-payer activists and their]=ilk are turning to Sacramento to pressure the ruling Democrats from the le=t."

In a nutshell: In recent years, it was coo= to be moderate in Sacramento. Now, it's cool to be progressive.

<=trong>"What accounts for this magnetic pull leftward? An influx o= new activists, energized by the 2016 election, have turned their focus to=state-level politics. Advocacy groups, striving to offer a progressive sea= of approval, are poring over legislators' voting records. And the prospec= of single-payer healthcare in the state — the government would co=er all residents' medical costs — offers a galvanizing rallying cr=."

Why it matters: California is so massive (world's sixth =argest economy, with 11 million more people than Texas, the second lar=est state) that its fashions are vital, even in isolation. But for decades=(including the taxpayer revolt of 1978 that foreshadowed Reagan), my nativ= state has started trends that marched west.

10. 1 fun thing

"Saturday Night Live"

"Joe" and "Mika" are the "Saturday Night Live" cold open, with cameos by "Mi=e Barnicle," "Mark Halperin," "Willie Geist" and the voice of President Tr=mp ... er, John Miller: "I work very hard — so incredibly hard."

Another SNL video: "Where in the World Is Kellyanne Conway?"
=/ul>
Bonus: "Billions" season 2 finale on Showtime toni=ht at 10 (Andrew Ross Sorkin, co-creator and executive producer) ... WashP=st Business cover, "The show Wall Street cannot stop talking about," =y Renae Merle:

"They are re=lly trying to get it right, whether it's running dialogue by me o= other people," said James Chanos, one of the veteran Wall Street insiders=on whom the show's creators have come to depend. Chanos has made billions =etting on when a company, most famously Enron, would see its stock price p=ummet ... "It is Wall Street porn, okay,=soft porn."

Series trailer.

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