Subject: The Evening: NK Pulls Back, Iran Threatens, Shakedown St and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 15 Aug 2017 21:22:13 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: NK Pulls Back, Iran Threatens, Shakedown St and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Tuesday, August 15th.

** NK Will Wait
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North Korea appeared today to pause its threat to launch ballistic missiles toward Guam, saying it would wait to assess “the foolish and stupid conduct” of the United States before carrying the launchings out, as the
New York Times’ Choe Sang-Hun reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/15/world/asia/south-korea-trump-north-korea.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789 ) .

And, see the Wall Street Journal’s “North Korea Follows Familiar Playbook With Guam Reversal (https://www.wsj.com/articles/north-korea-sticks-to-game-plan-in-reversing-threat-to-guam-1502808199?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789  ) ,” by Jonathan Cheng in Seoul and Jeremy Page.

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Mike Green has a new commentary, “North Korea Could Determine the Future of US-China Relations…Again (http://thediplomat.com/2017/08/north-korea-could-determine-the-future-of-us-china-relationsagain/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789) ,” for the Diplomat.

And CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman penned a new commentary, “North Korea: The Non-Nuclear, Non-Missile Crisis and the Shape of Things to Come (https://www.csis.org/analysis/north-korea-non-nuclear-non-missile-crisis-and-shape-things-come/?block1&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789) .”

Plus CFR’s Backgrounder by Ankit Panda, “Can Ballistic Missile Defense Shield Guam From North Korea? (https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/can-ballistic-missile-defense-shield-guam-north-korea?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789) ”

** Iran’s Warning
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Iran’s president on Tuesday warned it could restart its nuclear program “within hours or days” if the Trump administration continued its confrontational policies toward the Islamic Republic, as the Los Angeles Times’ Ramin Mostaghim and Shashank Bengali report (http://www.latimes.com/world/middleeast/la-fg-iran-nuclear-20170815-story.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789 ) .

Dive Deeper: The Washington Institute’s Farzin Nadimi has a new commentary, “Iran’s National Army Reorganizes (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/irans-national-army-reorganizes?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789 ) .”

** Targeting China on IP
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President Trump signed an executive memorandum on August 14 calling on the U.S. trade representative to examine China’s policies around intellectual property issues and specifically China’s policy of compelling foreign companies to divulge company trade secrets in exchange for access to the Chinese markets, as FCW’s Derek Johnson reports (https://fcw.com/articles/2017/08/14/trump-china-ip-protection.aspx?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s James Andrew Lewis has a new commentary today: “Put China’s Intellectual Property Theft in a Larger Context (https://www.csis.org/analysis/put-chinas-ip-theft-larger-context/?block4&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789) .”

** In That Number
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** $575 Billion
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The amount of money cyber crime could cost the global economy annually. Source: CSIS via “A Cyber Security Investment Strategy for the Future (https://seekingalpha.com/article/4099083-cyber-security-investment-strategy-future?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789 ) .”

** Critical Quote
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** "Thinking clearly about what we want and can expect from Beijing and then aligning our own alliances, pressure and diplomacy to achieve that goal is the best way to ensure that we move towards more genuine strategic cooperation on what is ultimately a mutually shared threat."
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— CSIS’s Michael Green, in the Diplomat, “North Korea Could Determine the Future of US-China Relations…Again (http://thediplomat.com/2017/08/north-korea-could-determine-the-future-of-us-china-relationsagain/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789) .”

** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
“Competing Visions (https://reconnectingasia.csis.org/analysis/competing-visions/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789) ,” a feature from CSIS’s Reconnecting Asia Project, maps the competing infrastructure visions of regional powers across the Eurasian supercontinent.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo Credit: Marine Corps photo by Cpl. Aaron S. Patterson.) Marine Corps 1st Lt. Harry J.D. Walker yells to his platoon while taking simulated fire during Korean Marine Exchange Program 17-14 in South Korea, August 11. The program enables U.S. and South Korean marines to focus on exchanging tactics and procedures and increasing interoperability.

** Recommended Reading
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"Mitch Landrieu’s Speech on the Removal of Confederate Monuments in New Orleans (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/23/opinion/mitch-landrieus-speech-transcript.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789 ) ," from May 19, 2017.

** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS’s Africa Program at 2:30 p.m. for a review of Kenya’s recent elections (https://www.csis.org/events/kenya-elections-review?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789) .

And, join the Smithsonian for an evening program on “The Great Migration (https://smithsonianassociates.org/ticketing/Tickets/Reserve.aspx?id=239319&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789) .”

** On Demand
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CSIS’s Lisa Sawyer Samp testified (https://twitter.com/CSIS/status/896803552068198400?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789)  before the Senate Armed Services Committee on the threat of Russia’s belligerent global security posture.

** Sounds
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This week Energy 360 examines what the upcoming NAFTA renegotiations could mean for Mexico’s changing political and energy climate.

You can listen on iTunes (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/energy-360/id1227481277?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789)  or SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/energy-geopolitics-mexico-and?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789) .

** Smiles
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The Grateful Dead documentary “Long Strange Trip” that I mentioned yesterday incorporates some of the best film/video footage ever taken of the Dead. One segment comes from a set recorded at the Capitol Theatre in Passaic, New Jersey. The footage that I find particularly remarkable is the second song of the set, the Dead’s classic “Shakedown Street (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uaQ1vXdf1Q0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789 ) ” which begins about 13 minutes into the video. Maybe it’s because the light is hitting Jerry Garcia just right, or maybe it’s the expressive manner in which he’s singing and playing his guitar. It’s just really compelling. The set contains two more songs but it’s really the “Shakedown” that stands the test of time for me. I hope you enjoy it as much as I do.
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=1d1bccc52d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-1d1bccc52d-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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