Subject: The Evening: Iraqi Forces in Kirkuk, Iran Deal, I Believe in You and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 16 Oct 2017 22:22:45 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: Iraqi Forces in Kirkuk, Iran Deal, I Believe in You and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Monday, October 16th.

** Iraqi Forces Sweep into Kirkuk
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Iraqi forces began an operation early Monday to seize the Kurdish-held city of Kirkuk and its surrounding oil fields, despite weeks of urgent efforts by the United States to keep tensions between its allies from boiling over following the Kurdish independence referendum. Iraqi forces have taken control of key buildings in Kirkuk, effectively retaking the city, as David Zucchino of
NYT reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/15/world/middleeast/kurds-independence-iraq.html?action=click&contentCollection=Middle%20East&module=RelatedCoverage&region=Marginalia&pgtype=article&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: Brookings’ Bessma Momani has a commentary, “The Kurds have opened Pandora’s box (https://beta.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/the-kurds-have-opened-pandoras-box/article36408928/?ref=http://www.theglobeandmail.com&utm_medium=Referrer:+Social+Network+/+Media&utm_campaign=Shared+Web+Article+Links&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .”

** Al-Shabaab Behind Mogadishu Blast
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Security officials in Somalia say a key member of the cell that launched a devastating attack on Mogadishu has told them that al-Shabaab, a violent Islamist group in Somalia, was responsible for the blast, as Jason Burke of the Guardian reports. The death toll from the bombing, which involved a truck packed with explosives, reached 320 late on Monday morning, as the
Guardian reports (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/oct/16/mogadishu-bombing-al-shabaab-behind-deadly-blast-officials-say?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See CSIS’s Turning Point: A New Comprehensive Strategy for Countering Violent Extremism (https://www.csis.org/features/turning-point?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .

** EU Foreign Ministers Stand by Iran Nuclear Deal
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European foreign ministers on Monday attacked President Donald Trump’s decision to pull his administration’s backing for the Iranian nuclear agreement, calling the move a serious mistake that could lead to a military confrontation with Tehran, as Laurence Norman of
WSJ reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/eu-foreign-ministers-agree-to-stand-by-iran-nuclear-deal-1508154525?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Tony Cordesman penned an op-ed in the New York Daily News, “Why we can’t shred the Iran deal now: 80% of something is better than 100% of nothing (http://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/shred-iran-deal-article-1.3553186?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .”

And, CSIS’s Melissa Dalton has a commentary, “How Congress Could Amend the Iran Nuclear Deal (http://fortune.com/2017/10/16/president-trump-iran-nuclear-deal-congress/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .”

** Bergdahl Pleads Guilty
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Army Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl, who vanished in Afghanistan and spent five years in brutal captivity before the United States recovered him in a controversial prisoner swap, pleaded guilty Monday to charges of desertion and misbehavior before the enemy, as Dan Lamothe of the Washington Post reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2017/10/16/army-sgt-bowe-bergdahl-held-captive-for-five-years-pleads-guilty-in-connection-with-disappearance/?tid=pm_world_pop&utm_term=.5ff6ddb4ce8e&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .

** In That Number
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** 300
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Over 300 people have died following a truck bomb in Somalia’s capital city, Mogadishu, on Saturday (October 14).
Source: Quartz (https://qz.com/1103216/somalia-attack-horrifying-mogadishu-photos-of-blast-that-killed-more-than-300/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .

** Critical Quote
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** “When it comes to government data, the U.S. doesn’t match what China collects on its citizens at all. They have a big sandbox to play in and a lot of toys and good people.”
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—CSIS’s James Lewis in the Financial Times (https://www.ft.com/content/856753d6-8d31-11e7-a352-e46f43c5825d?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .

** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
A new interactive map (https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile-war-yemen/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) from Missile Threat shows the intensity of missile activity across the Arabian Gulf, which has been occurring as part of the ongoing conflict in Yemen.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo Credit: Kevin Frayer/Getty Images.) A Rohingya refugee woman sits exhausted after collapsing on a beach on the Bangladesh side of the Naf River at Shah Porir Dwip after fleeing her village in Myanmar, on October 1.

** Recommended Reading
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New Perspectives in Foreign Policy (https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/171011_NewPerspectives2017_v13.pdf?QYUwU9IFLGpXIAJkax6e6ttvTwUPMOd5&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) , an online CSIS journal that provides a forum for young professionals to debate issues of importance in foreign policy.

** This Town Tomorrow
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Join the Hudson Institute at 9:00 a.m. for a discussion on the security and policy implications of quantum technology (https://www.hudson.org/events/1465-the-coming-quantum-revolution-security-and-policy-implications102017?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .

At 11:00 a.m., the Heritage Foundation will host “Enforcing U.S. Immigration Laws: A Top Priority for the Trump Administration (http://www.heritage.org/immigration/event/enforcing-us-immigration-laws-top-priority-the-trump-administration?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .”

And, at 3:30 p.m., join the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace for a discussion analyzing the challenges of the Indian-Pakistani peace process (http://carnegieendowment.org/2017/10/17/are-india-pakistan-peace-talks-worth-damn-event-5713?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .

** Video
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CSIS’s Global Health Policy Center hosted a discussion on the evolution and future of the global HIV/AIDS response (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1xCBodVqLTI&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .

** Sounds
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The latest episode of the China Power Podcast explores areas of cooperation and contention between China and Myanmar and discusses how U.S. interests play a role in the relationship.

Listen on SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/china-myanmar-ties-a?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) or Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/chinapower/id1144663360?mt=2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .

** Smiles
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Thanks to all for the great notes about Bob Dylan’s incredible “Slow Train Coming” album. One of my very favorite tracks from that record is “I Believe in You (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g_N-_Fc-cGY&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789) .” This video is a gem.
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8c82abe375-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8c82abe375-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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