Subject: The Evening: Trump in Seoul, Lebanon in Crossfire, Are You Ready and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 7 Nov 2017 23:06:50 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: Trump in Seoul, Lebanon in Crossfire, Are You Ready and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Tuesday, November 7th.

** In Seoul
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President Donald Trump shifted tone on North Korea on Tuesday and opened the door to negotiations, while three U.S. aircraft carrier strike groups prepared for a rare display of strength nearby, in a carrot-and-stick approach to a nuclear standoff that has been marked by confrontational rhetoric from both sides, as the
WSJ’s Michael Bender and Nancy Youssef report (https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-urges-north-korea-to-come-to-the-table-for-nuclear-negotiations-1510056494?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See CSIS’s exclusive satellite photos and analysis (https://beyondparallel.csis.org/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) on the Kaesong Industrial Complex (KIC), the only remaining inter-Korean joint project.

See CFR’s “Trump and Asia: Resources from CFR and Foreign Affairs (https://www.cfr.org/expert-roundup/trump-and-asia-resources-cfr-and-foreign-affairs?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .”

** Lebanon Caught in Crossfire
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Lebanon is caught in the crossfire as Saudi Arabia steps up its battle against Iran, as the
FT’s Erika Solomon reports (https://www.ft.com/content/5475cd70-c3cd-11e7-a1d2-6786f39ef675?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .

Plus, CNBC’s Tom Di Christopher reports (https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/07/saudi-purge-comes-with-huge-risk.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) on what Saudi Arabia’s purge means for the business climate in the kingdom.

Dive Deeper: See the CSIS Missile Defense Project’s interactive report on “The Missile War in Yemen (https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile-war-yemen/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .”

Plus, Chatham House’s Jane Kinninmont on “Mohammed bin Salman’s Shakeup Is More Than a Power Play (https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/mohammed-bin-salman-s-shakeup-more-power-play?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .”

** Paris Agreement
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Syria announced today it will join the Paris climate agreement, leaving the United States as the only country outside the international accord, as
Politico’s Sara Stefanini reports (https://www.politico.eu/article/syria-to-ratify-the-paris-agreement-leaving-the-us-alone/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .

** In That Number
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** 111
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OPEC’s World Oil Outlook, released today, shows global demand growing to 111 million barrels per day by 2040. Source: Axios (https://www.axios.com/how-opec-sees-the-world-2507454219.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .

** Critical Quote
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** “It appears that China’s campaign against South Korea was at least a partial failure.”
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— CSIS’s Bonnie S. Glaser and Lisa Collins for Foreign Affairs (https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2017-11-07/chinas-rapprochement-south-korea?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .

** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
CSIS’s Beyond Parallel (https://beyondparallel.csis.org/kaesong-industrial-complex-not-operational-despite-minor-activity/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) released exclusive satellite images and analysis today of the Kaesong Industrial Complex (KIC), the only remaining inter-Korean joint project, operated with North Korean workers and South Korean factories. In October, speculation arose that North Korea might be unilaterally operating factories in the KIC based on claims by North Korean sources. However, the imagery shows that the complex is not operational in any real sense.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo credit: JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty Images.) President Trump listens to South Korea’s president, Moon Jae-In, speak during a state dinner at the presidential Blue House today in Seoul.

** Recommended Reading
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“China’s Technology Ambitions Could Upset the Global Trade Order (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/07/business/made-in-china-technology-trade.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) ,” by the
New York Times’ Jane Perlez, Paul Mozur, and Jonathan Ansfield.

** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS’s Africa Program at 9:00 a.m. for a discussion with President Alassane Ouattara of Cote d’Ivoire (https://www.csis.org/events/spotlight-cote-divoire?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) on the country’s progress and economic potential.

At 10:00 a.m., join CSIS’s Russia and Eurasia Program for a discussion on ethnic minorities in post-Crimea Russia (https://www.csis.org/events/ethnic-minorities-post-crimea-russia-tatar-factor?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .

And, at 4:00 p.m., join CSIS for “America’s Forgotten Allies: The Soldiers of the Republic of Vietnam (https://www.csis.org/events/americas-forgotten-allies-soldiers-republic-vietnam?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) ,” a book talk with Dr. Nathalie Nguyen.

** Video
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As part of the 2017 Global Security Forum, CSIS hosted a panel with Gen. Michael Hayden and leading security experts called “The West Strikes Back: A Transatlantic Playbook to Counter Russian Active Measures (https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=11536&v=3EM2J_AUFRg&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .”

** Sounds
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The latest episode of Russian Roulette observes the 100th anniversary of an event that changed the world: the great October socialist revolution of 1917.

Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/russian-roulette/id1112258664?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) or SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/of-revolution-100-years-on?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .

** Smiles
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Encore for Bob Dylan’s “Trouble No More” Bootleg Series and the incredible live band he assembled, which he introduces in this clip. This is some of the best live music the band ever made (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dtTKkRKgijI&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789) .
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=bc92c70aa8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_11_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-bc92c70aa8-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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