Subject: The Evening: Turkey’s Drift to Russia and Iran, Cybercrime, Soul Sacrifice and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 21 Feb 2018 22:35:17 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: Turkey’s Drift to Russia and Iran, Cybercrime, Soul Sacrifice and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Wednesday, February 21st.

** Halting Turkey’s Drift Toward Iran and Russia
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The Trump administration has embarked on a new campaign to try to repair ties and pull Turkey out of its deepening alliances with Russia and Iran, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Dion Nissenbaum reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-moves-to-halt-turkeys-drift-toward-iran-and-russia-1519243933?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Turkey Has No Allies in the Black Sea, Only Interests (https://www.csis.org/analysis/turkey-has-no-allies-black-sea-only-interests?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Boris Toucas.

“Russian Policy Across the Middle East: Motivations and Methods (https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/russian-policy-across-middle-east-motivations-and-methods?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) ,” by Chatham House’s Nikolay Kozhanov.

** Syria’s Horror
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Doctors in Syria’s rebel-controlled suburbs of Damascus said today they were unable to keep up with the staggering number of casualties, as the AP’s Philip Issa and Zenia Karam report (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/new-strikes-kill-10-in-rebel-held-suburbs-of-syrian-capital/2018/02/21/697b00c6-16ea-11e8-930c-45838ad0d77a_story.html?utm_term=.c7039c38d3e9&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Intelligence Estimate and Forecast: The Syrian Theater (http://www.understandingwar.org/article/intelligence-estimate-and-forecast-syrian-theater?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) ,” via the Institute for the Study of War.

“Assad’s Forces Are Killing Dozens of Children in a Damascus Suburb (http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/assad-s-forces-are-killing-dozens-of-children-in-a-damascus-suburb?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) ,” via the Atlantic Council.

** Boko Haram Attack
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More than 90 Nigerian schoolgirls are feared missing after Islamist insurgent group Boko Haram attacked a village in the northeastern region of the country, as Reuters’ Ardo Hazzad reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-nigeria-security/more-than-90-nigerian-schoolgirls-missing-after-boko-haram-attack-sources-idUSKCN1G51DU?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) .

** New CSIS/McAfee Report: Cybercrime Cost $600B Per Year
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A report published today by CSIS and McAfee says cybercrime may now be costing businesses worldwide as much as $600 billion per year, and it points to the ease of digital crime as the reason, as Edward Moyer of CNET reports (https://www.cnet.com/news/cybercrime-is-costing-businesses-600-billion-says-mcafee-csis-report/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See Economic Impact of Cybercrime (https://www.csis.org/analysis/economic-impact-cybercrime/?block1&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) by CSIS’s James Andrew Lewis.

** Executive M.A. from CSIS/Syracuse U
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CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.maxwell.syr.edu/dc/emir/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) .

** In That Number
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** $600 billion
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$600 billion, nearly one percent of global GDP, is lost to cybercrime each year.
Source: CSIS (https://www.csis.org/analysis/economic-impact-cybercrime?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) .

** Critical Quote
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** “At the last minute officials decided not to go forward with the meeting. We regret their failure to seize this opportunity.”
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—Heather Nauert (https://www.wsj.com/articles/north-korea-walks-away-from-pence-meeting-in-south-korea-1519181319?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) , State Department Spokeswoman.

** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
Surprise has always been an element of warfare, but the return of great power competition—and the high-level threat that it poses—gives urgency to thinking about surprise now. CSIS's new original video (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRfBitsP4i8&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) explains why.

Dive Deeper: You can read the corresponding report, Coping with Surprise in Great Power Conflicts, here (https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/180215_Cancian_CopingWithSurprise_Web.pdf?Rqyg1b2BKKcR.Jv3b8oy7RKYE_i2HEwY&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo credit: Tom Pennington/Getty Images.) Bronze medalist Lindsey Vonn on day 12 of the Winter Olympic Games.

** Recommended Reading
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“Send ISIS prisoners back to their countries of origin (http://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/374677-send-isis-prisoners-back-to-their-countries-of-origin?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Seth Jones for the
Hill.

** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS at 9:30 a.m. for a discussion on the World Bank's Doing Business indicators (https://www.csis.org/events/fifteen-years-doing-business-opportunities-future-directions?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) , 15 years since the initiative began.

At 1:00 p.m., join the CSIS Freeman Chair in China Studies for a conversation on pollution control in China (https://www.csis.org/events/china-reality-check-series-controlling-pollution-china?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) , with a focus on the implications of China’s targets for reducing major pollutants.

And, at 9:00 a.m., join Brookings for “The U.S.-Japan Alliance and the Problem of Deterrence (https://www.brookings.edu/events/the-u-s-japan-alliance-and-the-problem-of-deterrence/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) ,” an examination of U.S. extended deterrence in the face of rising security challenges from China and North Korea.

** Video
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A new global cybersecurity report from CSIS and McAfee reveals cybercrime takes an almost $600 billion toll on the global economy. Today, CSIS hosted a discussion on the report findings, trends, and challenges related to the proliferation of cybercrime.  Watch the discussion here (https://www.csis.org/events/economic-impact-cybercrime?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) .

** Sounds
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On this week’s episode of Smart Women, Smart Power, Afghanistan’s Deputy Foreign Minister for Economic Cooperation, Adela Raz, and Deputy Minister for Policy in the Ministry of Finance, Naheed Sarabi, discuss the country’s security, economic challenges, and efforts to bring women into public service.

Listen here on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/smart-women-smart-power/id924940383?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) and SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/afghan-women-take-the-lead?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) .

** Smiles
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Thanks for all of your emails about Santana. Clearly, the band means a lot to people on so many levels.

It was Santana’s performance at Woodstock which ignited global passion for the group. Rock promoter Bill Graham (the other Bill Graham) insisted that Santana, then a virtually unknown act from San Francisco, take the big stage. Their historic performance of “Soul Sacrifice (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AqZceAQSJvc&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789) ” proved him right. And the world is a much better place because of it.
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9cd097a616-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9cd097a616-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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