Subject: The Evening: North Korea’s Conditions, Iran in Syria, Black Dog and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 19 Apr 2018 21:57:52 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: North Korea’s Conditions, Iran in Syria, Black Dog and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Thursday, April 19th.

** Major Obstacle Removed
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Kim Jong-un has removed a key obstacle to negotiations with the U.S. by no longer demanding that American troops be removed from South Korea as a condition for denuclearizing his country, as the
New York Times’ Choe Sang-hun reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/19/world/asia/north-korea-american-troops-withdrawal-trump.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) .

And as Reuters reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-missiles/north-korea-seeks-complete-denuclearization-moon-says-u-s-vows-pressure-idUSKBN1HQ1BK?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) , North Korea has expressed its commitment to “complete denuclearization” of the Korean peninsula and has not attached conditions according to South Korea’s president.

Dive Deeper: “Kim Jong-un has a maximum pressure and engagement strategy of his own (https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2018/04/18/kim-jong-un-has-a-maximum-pressure-and-engagement-strategy-of-his-own/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) ,” by Brookings’ Jung H. Pak

** Sarin Likely at Syrian Sites
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The Pentagon said today that a “preponderance of the evidence” indicates there were chemical weapons, including “elements” of sarin nerve gas, at the three Syrian sites bombed by the U.S. and its allies last week, as the AP’s Lolita Baldor reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/pentagon-no-civilian-casualties-in-syria-strikes/2018/04/19/26076e58-43f2-11e8-b2dc-b0a403e4720a_story.html?utm_term=.99768abbc388&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Missile Strikes Are Not a Syria Strategy (https://www.cfr.org/article/missile-strikes-are-not-syria-strategy?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) ,” by CFR’s Richard Haass

“The West Is Still Missing a Strategy in Syria (https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/west-still-missing-strategy-syria?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) ,” by Chatham House’s Lina Khatib

** Iran’s Moves in Syria
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Israel faces a harsh new world as Syria’s civil war winds down: while Iran remains far away, the Iranian threat now is next door, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Yaroslav Trofimov reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/irans-moves-in-syria-raise-risk-of-conflict-with-israel-1524130202?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Beyond 'Mowing the Grass': U.S. and Israeli Strategy in the Middle East (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/beyond-mowing-the-grass-us-and-israeli-strategy-in-the-middle-east?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) ,” by the Washington Institute’s Chuck Freilich and James Jeffrey

** Turkey's Snap Elections
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President Recep Tayyip Erdogan caught Turkey off guard on Wednesday by calling early elections for June, in a move that could cement his grip on power a year ahead of schedule, as the AP reports (http://time.com/5246214/erdogan-turkey-snap-election-june/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: "Turkey Heads to the Polls on June 24 (https://www.csis.org/analysis/turkey-heads-polls-june-24?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) ," by CSIS's Bulent Aliriza

** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.

** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) .

** In That Number
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** $75
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Oil prices climbed towards $75 a barrel today, hitting the highest level since 2014. Source: FT (https://www.ft.com/content/db288f14-43da-11e8-803a-295c97e6fd0b?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) .

** Critical Quote
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** “They’ve got to look over their shoulder and be worried that we’re looking at them, and we’ll have the ability to strike them again.”
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— Marine Lt. Gen. Kenneth McKenzie on Syria (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/pentagon-no-civilian-casualties-in-syria-strikes/2018/04/19/26076e58-43f2-11e8-b2dc-b0a403e4720a_story.html?utm_term=.99768abbc388&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789)

** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
The Defense Outlook 2018 (https://www.csis.org/analysis/defense-outlook-2018-0?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) features 10 essays on the Trump administration’s national security vision, including a look into the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018, the Nuclear Posture Review and the forthcoming Missile Defense Review.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo Credit: Lior Mizrahi/Getty Images.) Israelis watch Independence Day fireworks during a party in Jerusalem. It marks 70 years since the declaration of the Israeli state in 1948.

** Recommended Reading
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“How North Korea’s Hackers Became Dangerously Good (https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-north-koreas-hackers-became-dangerously-good-1524150416?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) ,” by the
Wall Street Journal’s Timothy Martin.

** This Town Tomorrow
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At 9:00 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/economic-impacts-globalization-and-technological-disruption?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) , join CSIS for an expert panel discussion exploring opportunities and challenges facing public and private sector participants as they consider the future economy.

And at 10:00 a.m. (https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/football-time-sanctions-the-2018-world-cup-russia?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) , join the Kennan Institute at the Wilson Center for a discussion on the controversial 2018 World Cup in Russia.

** Video
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Today CSIS hosted the fourth annual Global Development Forum. Through a series of panels, we examined the role and purpose of official development assistance against a backdrop of rising incomes, economic growth, youth unemployment, and other complex challenges in many parts of the world. Watch the discussions (https://www.csis.org/events/2018-global-development-forum?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) here (https://www.csis.org/events/2018-global-development-forum?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) .

** Sounds
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On this week's episode of Smart Women, Smart Power, former U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte discusses the Syrian conflict, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and her leadership of CSIS’s new health security commission.

Listen here on Apple Podcast (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/smart-women-smart-power/id924940383?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) and SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/a-conversation-with-former-us-senator-kelly-ayotte-1?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) .

** Smiles
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There are just some days where nothing will do it for me like Led Zeppelin can. Like nothing can satisfy my need to rock out like Led Zep. This week I’ve been feeling it every day—the need to rock out, to get my toes tapping, to crank it up. To PLAY THIS LOUD (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6tlSx0jkuLM&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789) .
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9be87326c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_19&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9be87326c0-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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