Subject: The Evening: Iran, Trade War on Hold, Billions and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 21 May 2018 22:17:11 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: Iran, Trade War on Hold, Billions and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Monday, May 21st.

** Tougher Stance on Iran
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The United States today demanded Iran make sweeping changes — from dropping its nuclear program to pulling out of the Syrian civil war — or face severe economic sanctions as the Trump administration hardened its approach to Tehran, as Reuters’ Lesley Wroughton and Parisa Hafezi report (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-usa/u-s-toughens-stance-on-iran-lists-sweeping-demands-idUSKCN1IM1DE?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Demanding All and Getting Nothing: Secretary Pompeo’s Speech on Iran (https://www.csis.org/analysis/demanding-all-and-getting-nothing-secretary-pompeos-speech-iran?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman.

“Iran Sanctions Redux (https://www.csis.org/analysis/iran-sanctions-redux?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s William Reinsch.

“After the Deal: A New Iran Strategy (https://www.heritage.org/defense/event/after-the-deal-new-iran-strategy?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) ,” Secretary Pompeo’s speech at the Heritage Foundation.

“How to Contain Iran (https://www.cfr.org/podcasts/michael-dempsey-and-philip-gordon-iran-nuclear-deal?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) ,” CFR’s Michael Dempsey and Philip Gordon on the Iran nuclear deal.

“In exiting the Iran deal, Trump left U.N. sanctions relief intact—why that could pose problems down the road (https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2018/05/17/in-exiting-the-iran-deal-trump-left-u-n-sanctions-relief-intact-why-that-could-pose-problems-down-the-road/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) ,” by Brookings’ Richard Nephew.

** Trade War Suspended
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The U.S. suspended its threat to impose tariffs on $150 billion in Chinese imports to the U.S. while negotiations with China continue, but President Donald Trump could impose the tariffs if a deal between the two countries doesn’t progress, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Josh Zumbrun reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/treasury-secretary-says-u-s-china-have-suspended-tariffs-1526908176?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) .

** Venezuela
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Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro is facing an international backlash after winning his second six-year term, in a landslide vote marred by an opposition boycott and claims of vote-rigging. Fourteen countries including Argentina, Brazil and Canada have recalled their ambassadors from Caracas in protest, as the BBC reports (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-44204632?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) .

President Donald Trump increased economic pressure on Venezuela President Nicolas Maduro following the Venezuela elections with an order prohibiting purchases of debts owed to the government, including to the state-run oil company Petroleos de Venezuela, as Bloomberg reports (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-05-21/trump-prohibits-purchases-of-venezuela-debt-after-election?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) .

** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.

** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) .

** In That Number
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** 60%
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By dollar value, that’s the percentage of electronic components in the ZTE Axon M phone that originate from U.S. companies like Qualcomm, SanDisk, Skyworks Solutions and Corning.
Source: WSJ (https://www.wsj.com/articles/inside-ztes-phone-a-glimpse-of-chinas-dependence-on-u-s-tech-1526635800?mod=e2twd&ex_cid=SigDig&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) .

** Critical Quote
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** "We will ensure Iran has no possible path to a nuclear weapon -- ever."
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—Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (https://www.cnn.com/2018/05/21/politics/pompeo-iran-speech/index.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) .

** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
Newly acquired satellite imagery (https://beyondparallel.csis.org/postponement-punggye-ri-minimal-changes-scheduled-dismantlement-nuclear-test-site/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) by CSIS's Beyond Parallel from May 19 shows that preparations for the shutdown of the North Korean nuclear test site at Punggye-ri appear to be underway, and that a number of facilities have been shuttered.    The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo credit: Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images.) Gina Haspel is sworn in as the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency alongside U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo during a ceremony at CIA Headquarters in Langley, Virginia.

** Recommended Reading
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“Trump Grappling With Risks of Proceeding With North Korea Meeting (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/20/us/politics/trump-north-korea-nuclear.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) ,” by the
New York Times’ David Sanger.

** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS at 10:30 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/building-new-india-focus-state-infrastructure-0?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) for a conversation on a series of new infrastructure programs in India developed across the country, including economic corridors connecting major cities, the development of inland waterways, and the improvement of road and rail connectivity.

At 9:00 a.m. (https://www.usip.org/events/north-korea-and-fine-print-deal-view-congress?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) , join the United States Institute for Peace for a discussion on the high-stakes negotiations between the United States and North Korea leading up to the June 12 summit between President Trump and Kim Jong-Un.

** Video
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In recent months, researchers within North Korea conducted secret surveys in the country to determine views of the Kim regime. A video from CSIS's Beyond Parallel brings the answers of North Koreans to life, and helps us understand what's happening within the Hermit Kingdom. Watch the full video here (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lIj2D05--Ug&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) .

** Sounds
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On the latest episode of Smart Women, Smart Power, former President of Malawi Dr. Joyce Banda discusses educating and protecting young girls, and improving maternal healthcare both in Malawi and in other developing countries.

Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/smart-women-smart-power/id924940383?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) and SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/improving-education-and-healthcare-for-women-and-girls-in-malawi?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) .

** Smiles
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Spoiler Alert!  If you are a fan of the Showtime hit “Billions” and haven’t seen last night’s episode “Icebreaker,” you may want to stop reading this now.

“Billions,” currently in its third season is providing one memorable episode after another this spring. Last night was no different and I felt lucky to watch it. Lucky, like I was to experience the great movies of the 70s and 80s. And lucky now to experience the incredible age of premium television best exemplified by networks like Showtime.

Each “Billions” episode is like a mini-movie, the season taken collectively provides week-to-week single hours of filmic experience over the course of 12 chapters.

Last night’s episode of “Billions” centered around lead character Bobby Axlerod’s maneuvers to bring his financial empire forward at warp speed.

To quote Bob Dylan, Axlerod explains of his insatiable need to move forward, “He not busy being born is busy dying.”

And later in the episode as Axe’s plan comes to fruition, the haunting strains of Dylan’s “It’s Alright Ma (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mYajHZ4QUVM&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789) ” close out the show. Very powerful. When music is used as adroitly in premium television these days as it once was by the legendary movie directors of the 70s and 80s, it’s a real smile.
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2feb20ebb9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2feb20ebb9-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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