Subject: The Evening: Iran, G7, St. Stephen and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 4 Jun 2018 22:01:17 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: Iran, G7, St. Stephen and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Monday, June 4th.

** North Korea
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South Korean officials are playing down the likelihood of an imminent peace declaration after President Trump suggested that he could declare an end to the Korean War at next week’s U.S.-North Korea summit, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Andrew Jeong reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/south-korea-tamps-down-hopes-for-peace-declaration-at-north-korea-summit-1528119675?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) .

And, North Korea has appointed three new top military officers are known for their unquestioning support of leader Kim Jong Un and who are said to be flexible enough to accept the massive changes that may come from any deal with the U.S., as Reuters reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-usa-military-leadership/north-koreas-three-new-military-leaders-are-loyal-to-kim-not-policies-idUSKCN1J01GT?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Negotiating the Right Agreement: Looking Beyond the Nuclear Side of North Korea (https://www.csis.org/analysis/negotiating-right-agreement-looking-beyond-nuclear-side-north-korea?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman

“A North Korean Opportunity for America and China (https://www.cfr.org/article/north-korean-opportunity-america-and-china?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) ,” by CFR’s Richard Haass.

“Despite summit diplomacy, Korea war risks have risen (https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2018/06/04/despite-summit-diplomacy-korea-war-risks-have-risen/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) ,” by Brookings’ Bruce Jones.

** Iran to Increase Uranium Enrichment
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Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said today he had ordered preparations to increase uranium enrichment capacity if a nuclear deal with world powers falls apart after the U.S. withdrawal, and he vowed never to accept limits on Tehran’s ballistic missile program, as Reuters reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear/khamenei-says-iran-set-to-boost-enrichment-capacity-if-nuclear-deal-founders-idUSKCN1J020D?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) .

And, as the Wall Street Journal’s Felicia Schwartz reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/israels-netanyahu-urges-germany-to-help-curb-iran-1528134407?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) , Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu today on a visit to Berlin urged German Chancellor Angela Merkel to help curb Iran’s nuclear and regional ambitions after the U.S. broke with its European allies to pull out of the 2015 nuclear accord.

Dive Deeper: “Treasury Increases the Pressure on Iranian Airlines (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/treasury-increases-the-pressure-on-iranian-airlines?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) ,” by the Washington Institute’s Farzin Nadimi.

** Trade Wars
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Mexico is taking the U.S. to the World Trade Organization over its application of tariffs on steel and aluminum, arguing that President Trump’s measures are illegal under international trade rules, as the
Financial Times’ Jude Webber reports (https://www.ft.com/content/555721c0-680b-11e8-b6eb-4acfcfb08c11?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) .

Meanwhile, the rebuke by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin over the weekend at a Group of Seven finance ministers meeting may mark the beginning of the end of the G7, as Market Watch’s Greg Robb reports (https://www.marketwatch.com/story/death-knell-for-the-g-7-may-be-at-hand-after-hostile-reaction-to-trump-tariffs-2018-06-04?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: Read the transcript (https://www.csis.org/analysis/csis-press-conference-call-g7-summit?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) of today’s CSIS Press Conference Call on the upcoming G7 Summit.

** Venezuela Accuses Pompeo
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The Venezuelan Foreign Minister accused Secretary of State Mike Pompeo today of leading a coup d'etat against the Caracas government, as McClatchy’s Franco Ordonez reports (http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/white-house/article212479759.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789#cardLink=row2_card1) .

** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.

** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) .

** In That Number
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** $350 billion
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Malnutrition costs the global economy $350 billion a year.
Source: CSIS (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HZsby0Wml30&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) .

** Critical Quote
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** “He's not met President Trump yet and he better prepare for that.”
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—Tom Bossert (https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/kim-jong-met-trump-prepare-trump-adviser/story?id=55608230&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) , former White House adviser on homeland security and counterterrorism on Kim Jong Un.

** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
CSIS's China Power Project released its latest feature, "Is China at the forefront of drone technology? (https://chinapower.csis.org/china-drones-unmanned-technology/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) ", which explores China's unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) capabilities, how its drones compare to those of other global powers.
​ The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo credit: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg/Getty Images.) Craig Federighi, senior vice president of software engineering at Apple Inc., speaks during the Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) in San Jose today.

** Recommended Reading
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“Special Operations Forces in Africa Likely to Face Cuts in Major Military Review (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/04/world/africa/commandos-africa-pivot-major-powers.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) ,” by the
New York Times’ Thomas Gibbons-Neff and Eric Schmitt.

** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS's Aerospace Security Project at 4:30 p.m. for a discussion on "Assessing Threats to Space Systems (https://www.csis.org/events/assessing-threats-space-systems?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) ."

** Video
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Around the world, governments are using a variety of approaches—ranging from controlling the media to passing restrictive legislation to cut off foreign funding, to limit the space for civil society to operate. Today, the International Consortium on Closing Civic Space (iCon) released a new video on restoring civic space. You can watch it here (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O7LnQtwLFDU&feature=youtu.be&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) .

** Sounds
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Check out the Academy of Diplomacy's podcast series, “The General and the Ambassador (http://generalandambassador.libsyn.com/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) .” On the latest episode, former U.S. Ambassador to Iraq, James Jeffrey, and former Commander of U.S. forces in Iraq, General Lloyd Austin, discuss their partnership in the field, the role of Iran, U.S. civil-military teams, and more.

** Smiles
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Since we’ve been talking about the Grateful Dead, JRAD and associated rock and roll it is certainly worth mentioning that the Dead & Company are out on tour this summer.

Dead & Co features former Bob Weir plus drummers Mickey Hart and Bill Kreutzmann paired with John Mayer and other top young rockers.  On classic tunes like “St. Stephen (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0dcnmLP10l4&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789) ” as performed just a few nights ago in New Jersey, they sound fantastic.
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=2bd318983f-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_04_08_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-2bd318983f-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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