Subject: Playbook Power Briefing, presented by Chevron: Trade wars heat up
From: "Anna Palmer Jake Sherman Daniel Lippman" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 25 Jun 2018 11:06:43 -0600
List-Id: <1376319.xt.local>

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Today's Playbook Power Briefing presented by Chevron 
            
By ANNA PALMER ([email-masked]; @apalmerdc), JAKE SHERMAN ([email-masked]; @JakeSherman), DANIEL LIPPMAN ([email-masked]; @dlippman) and AKELA LACY ([email-masked]; @akela_lacy)

        
THE HOUSE is likely to vote on its new immigration bill as soon TOMORROW or Wednesday, sources tell us. The leadership's preference is to get a vote as soon as possible this week. REMINDER: it wasn't going to pass last week. It's also not going to pass this week.

VP MIKE PENCE is off to Brazil tonight, the beginning of a multi-day South America swing.

SARAH HUCKABEE SANDERS is holding a briefing at 3:30 p.m.

MEDIAWATCH -- FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: JAMES and DEBORAH FALLOWS are now in development with HBO to turn their new book "Our Towns: A 100,000-Mile Journey into the Heart of America" into a television project focused on American renewal. They will start filming a pilot next month, and they are hoping to air next year. Fallows, a pilot, told Daniel at the Aspen Ideas Festival that he envisions that they would re-do some version of their trip that previously led them to fly to 29 towns and cities across that country that are thriving. $17.37 on Amazon http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103584f2edd395194e12280ef27070d540a1b74136c6861374bf040592efcbd39fe3aed5106cc3e82a5 

KEEPING IT IN THE FAMILY ... POLITICO INVESTIGATION ... "'A potential gold mine' for Trump's summit planner," by Josh Meyer and Andrew Restuccia: "Shortly before Donald Trump's first international trip as president in May 2017, two Washington-based security contractors dined at the Ritz-Carlton in Riyadh as U.S. and Saudi officials began wrapping the president's hotel in a security bubble. 

"The pair, Steve Atkiss and John Meyers, were catching up as co-partners of a flourishing security and intelligence firm, Command Group, that at the time had a lucrative contract with a U.S. company operating in Saudi Arabia. 

"But Atkiss was in Riyadh for something else: A volunteer role as the White House's on-the-ground logistics lead mapping out Trump's schedule at a summit with leaders of 55 Arab and Muslim countries. Atkiss had his Command co-founder, Joe Hagin, to thank for that plum position. A veteran Republican operative, Hagin left Command to become one of Trump's deputy chiefs of staff, and was in charge of choreographing Trump's entire swing through Saudi Arabia, Israel and three other countries. ... 

"But by tapping Atkiss, 41, for such sensitive and influential positions, Hagin may be helping him gain an edge in drumming up business for Command by affording him easy access to foreign governments and private individuals who could help the firm win future security and consulting contracts, current and former U.S. officials told POLITICO." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103cc4f73d8af56b85562bcd6e0ec0abd30422155693da7d7890c9f50b819f52ab498d5b001fa2e50d8 

****** A message from Chevron: Chevron's investment of $45B in U.S. projects over the past 5 years helped benefit small business, support jobs, and boost local economies. Learn more. ******

Good Monday afternoon. TRADE WARS -- "Harley-Davidson will shift some production outside the U.S. to avoid tariffs," by Jacob Hanke in Europe: "Harley-Davidson, the legendary producer of all-American motorbikes, said today it will shift some of its production outside the U.S. to avoid tariffs the EU has imposed on U.S. exports in response to American duties on steel and aluminum.

"'To address the substantial cost of this tariff burden long-term, Harley-Davidson will be implementing a plan to shift production of motorcycles for EU destinations from the U.S. to its international facilities to avoid the tariff burden,' the company said in an official announcement.

"The company said the EU retaliatory tariffs of 25 percent would mean a motorbike shipped from the U.S to Europe would now face a tariff of 31 percent, up from 6 percent, leading to an average cost increase of $2,200 per motorcycle. This is the first announcement of a shift of production outside of the U.S. in reaction to U.S. President Donald Trump's trade war, and it follows a profit warning from carmaker Daimler, which said its factories in the U.S. would be hit by Chinese retaliation." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a911030d03574394a03aa963637fa942ad2e6b13bccfbeb6d8b8eed1b586beb1bafc49702dfaaf9b4d7e9e 

-- MEGAN CASELLA: "Mnuchin: Investment restrictions will target more than just China": "Investment restrictions and export control measures that the Trump administration is expected to roll out this week will target any country that attempts to steal U.S. technology, not just China, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said today.

"Mnuchin took to Twitter to rebut news articles tweet reporting that the restrictions would be aimed at China specifically, calling them 'false, fake news.' 'The leaker either doesn't exist or know the subject very well,' Mnuchin wrote in a that he said was "on behalf of @realDonaldTrump." "Statement will be out not specific to China, but to all countries that are trying to steal our technology."

"The Treasury chief said he was referring specifically to articles in Bloomberg and The Wall Street Journal. POLITICO also reported Sunday that the administration is gearing up to impose aggressive restrictions on Chinese investment in the U.S. and new limits on American technologies that can be sold to China by Friday, in a move sure to further ratchet up trade tensions with Beijing." For Pros http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a911031f187d87c2b71f7f3292f615cd8c10420a8fdd08b335245735da29902726d11a61b1792dec41b572 

-- AS OF 1 P.M., Harley Davidson's stock was down 5.75%. The Dow was down 359 points, which is a loss of 1.46%.

-- "Exclusive: Facing U.S. blowback, Beijing softens 'Made in China 2025' message," by Reuters' Michael Martine, Kevin Yao and Yawen Chen in Beijing: "Beijing has begun downplaying Made in China 2025, the state-backed industrial policy that has provoked alarm in the West and is core to Washington's complaints about the country's technological ambitions, diplomatic and Chinese state media sources said.

"With a full-blown trade war looming amid U.S. President Donald Trump's threats to impose tariffs on up to $450 billion in Chinese imports, his administration has fixed on Beijing's signature effort to deploy state support to close a technology gap in 10 key sectors. Beijing is increasingly mindful that its rollout of the ambitious plan has triggered U.S. backlash. 

"The Trump administration is considering rules that would bar companies with at least 25 percent Chinese ownership from buying U.S. firms with 'industrially significant technology,' a U.S. government official said on Sunday. ... And state news agency Xinhua, which made more than 140 mentions of Made in China 2025 in Chinese language news items in the first five months of the year, has not done so since June 5, a search of a public database found." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a911034f10c47dff0940cbc5b2e8b5eb5f2e59d02a688c9d6b60246f932685459017d8d3f1e97718c2fe32 

AT THE SUPREME COURT ... NYT'S ADAM LIPTAK: "Supreme Court Won't Hear North Carolina Partisan Gerrymandering Case": "The Supreme Court passed up an opportunity on Monday to take another look at whether the Constitution bars extreme partisan gerrymandering, returning a case from North Carolina to a trial court there for a further examination of whether the challengers had suffered the sort of direct injury that would give them standing to sue. The move followed two decisions last week that sidestepped the main issues in partisan gerrymandering cases from Wisconsin and Maryland." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103eca67925072fe75e1080a4120e921e45818c939b33b288bf7138f49de2ae5abed42a7fd5e85af885 

-- "SCOTUS punts in another fight over denial of services for same-sex wedding," by Josh Gerstein: "The Supreme Court on Monday said they were passing up a chance to consider a closely watched case about merchants' obligations to provide services to same-sex couples. The justices said they will not hear a case involving a Washington state florist who cited her religious beliefs in declining to provide floral arrangements for a same-sex wedding. The move effectively postpones a definitive ruling from the Supreme Court on whether and when business owners can refuse services to gay couples." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a9110360c7091fa1dc0f14f5c72d75bceea31abc282911fb68328b27ec6e26a6b7d0297c70eb112864ad66 

-- "American Express Wins as High Court Tosses Credit-Card Suit," by Bloomberg's Greg Stohr: "The U.S. Supreme Court threw out a government lawsuit that accused American Express Co. of thwarting competition by prohibiting merchants from steering customers to cards with lower fees. The justices, voting 5-4 along ideological lines, said the U.S. government and 11 states failed to prove that the American Express rules harmed cardholders as well as merchants." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103524073634b781c91262f21bb7d41c747e59bfccc9f831306d9e410fdc80d0052961c3583bc0d9eeb 

WHAT'S ON THE PRESIDENT'S MIND ... 

ON THE INVESTIGATIONS -- at 7:28 a.m.: "Former Attorney General Michael Mukasey said that President Trump is probably correct that there was surveillance on Trump Tower. Actually, far greater than would ever have been believed!" ... at 8:02 a.m.: "I have tried to stay uninvolved with the Department of Justice and FBI (although I do not legally have to), because of the now totally discredited and very expensive Witch Hunt currently going on. But you do have to ask why the DOJ & FBI aren't giving over requested documents?" 

ABOUT THE RED HEN -- at 7:41 a.m.: "The Red Hen Restaurant should focus more on cleaning its filthy canopies, doors and windows (badly needs a paint job) rather than refusing to serve a fine person like Sarah Huckabee Sanders. I always had a rule, if a restaurant is dirty on the outside, it is dirty on the inside!" 

-- FACT-CHECK: "Trump's Roach-Infested Restaurants Are Vile Compared to the Red Hen: Seriously, some of the health-code violations in these places are disgusting," by the Daily Beast's Lachlan Markay: http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103f336ecb73bd49eb06fb189fb586f30f4f3e7e77d530aeb4a25d7f251d0fdb23b537e0d5a88136998 

TRUMP ON IMMIGRATION POLICY -- at 8:36 a.m.: "Such a difference in the media coverage of the same immigration policies between the Obama Administration and ours. Actually, we have done a far better job in that our facilities are cleaner and better run than were the facilities under Obama. Fake News is working overtime!" ... at 8:43 a.m.: "Hiring manythousands [sic] of judges, and going through a long and complicated legal process, is not the way to go - will always be disfunctional [sic]. People must simply be stopped at the Border and told they cannot come into the U.S. illegally. Children brought back to their country......" 

... at 8:54 a.m.: "....If this is done, illegal immigration will be stopped in it's [sic] tracks - and at very little, by comparison, cost. This is the only real answer - and we must continue to BUILD THE WALL!" 

NANCY PELOSI ON THE RED HEN DEBACLE -- 

POLITICO screen shot

MEANWHILE, IN MICHIGAN -- "The Bizarro-World Trump Storming Michigan Politics," by Steve Friess for POLITICO Magazine in Jackson, Michigan: "Everything Shri Thanedar said sounded great to the small crowd of die-hard lefties who spent the Friday night of Memorial Day weekend in this conservative, rural burg checking out the state's hottest Democrat.

"That may be because he earnestly agreed to somehow deliver whatever his listeners requested, if only they would help him upset the establishment, win the Democratic nomination and capture the governor's seat in Lansing.

"He's a 63-year-old millionaire chemist and entrepreneur who took advantage of the fact that only a few months ago, when he launched his quixotic, self-financed campaign for Michigan governor, he was utterly unknown. Upon that blank canvas, he's spent $3 million and counting in TV ads to paint an image as a [Bernie] Sanders acolyte with big 'progressive' ideas who disarms skeptics of his accent (Thanedar is an Indian immigrant) and his non-European name with endearing, self-effacing jokes. As a result, he now has higher name recognition than former state Senate Democratic Leader Gretchen Whitmer, the presumed Democratic front-runner." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a911036962925883fdf3449f7282009827733474139d0098a688da135e32a00d1b666e52589926fe1431d9 

THE INVESTIGATIONS -- "Trump Associates Facing Mounting Legal Bills Turn to Financial Backers for Help," by WSJ's Julie Bykowicz: "Michael Caputo was facing $130,000 in legal bills with no clear way to pay on the May morning that special counsel Robert Mueller's investigators interviewed him about Russian interference in the U.S. presidential election.

"Twenty-four hours after his interview with the special counsel's team, thanks to a crowdfunding website that he publicized in a string of media appearances, Mr. Caputo had raised more than twice that amount. In all, more than 6,600 people have given his personal legal fund more than $325,000-so much that he is now helping pay bills for other former associates of President Donald Trump and conducting investigations of his own. The figures are tracked and posted publicly on GoFundMe.com, which feeds into his legal fund." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a911038aed7603023d9a5d29f57d47e67d1a5cd5f2ef8195c24de07086812cf455a90462e773fd4911ab0d 

2020 DROPOUT -- "Kander sets his sights on city hall instead of the White House," by Edward Isaac-Dovere: "A snapshot of the Democratic Party-and national politics-right now: A guy who lost a Senate race two years ago surprised many people on Monday by jumping into a mayor's race rather than a 2020 White House run. But he still believes he can and will claim a spot in the national conversation from city hall.

"Jason Kander, the former Missouri secretary of state and failed 2016 Senate candidate, officially announced that he'll be running for Kansas City mayor, becoming the first of potential Democratic White House contenders to pull the plug." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103d618ef9a993ecca7963756958f3704ca73819ae76000bc539c10b3441f4df5abb0a9a3dce6183629 

ON THE WORLD STAGE -- "'He Does Not Understand What the Role of an Ambassador Should Be,'" by Emily Schultheis in POLITICO Magazine in Berlin: "[U.S. Ambassador Richard ('Ric') Grenell] is an ambassador who seems tailor-made to exacerbate these new tensions. It is hard to overstate just how brashly he has charged onto the Berlin political scene during his first month in town. ... 

"Grenell has managed to shock and anger Berlin's political and diplomatic elite. The 51-year-old ex-United Nations spokesman's outspoken rhetorical style, his tendency to channel the president who sent him here and, perhaps most important, his outsize perception of his job stand in stark contrast to U.S. ambassadors who came before him-and have rubbed protocol-loving Germans exactly the wrong way." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103b6b48f303b4b6b34fe0c06f47c7996625d90fefe2411178e614afd7fda10f844335da337f43eb397 

-- "In sign of detente, North Korea skips annual anti-US rally," by AP's Cha Song Ho and Eric Talmadge in Pyongyang: "North Korea has decided to skip one of the most symbolic and politically charged events of its calendar: the annual 'anti-U.S. imperialism' rally marking the start of the Korean War.

"Fist-pumping, flag-waving and slogan-shouting masses of Pyongyang residents normally assemble each year for the rally to kick off a month of anti-U.S., Korean War-focused events designed to strengthen nationalism and unity. It all culminates on July 27, which North Korea celebrates as a national holiday called the day of 'Victory in the Fatherland Liberation War.' Last year's event was held in Kim Il Sung Square with a reported 100,000 people attending. North Korea even issued special anti-U.S. postage stamps." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103b9ed4a59c00c88df0c114b6ba1b010aa48b47d65569e5c7cedea161086b6cbdef00f757bb2c73b6f 

REMEMBER THIS? -- "Brexit's Big Short: How Pollsters Helped Hedge Funds Beat the Crash," by Bloomberg's Cam Simpson, Gavin Finch and Kit Chellel: "At 10 p.m. on June 23, 2016, Sky News projected the words 'IN OR OUT' across the top of a London building as an orchestral score ratcheted up the tension. 'In or out-it is too late to change your mind,' declared Adam Boulton, the veteran anchor, seated in a makeshift studio across from Big Ben. 'The polls have closed in the U.K.'s historic referendum on EU membership.'

"Just four minutes after the polls had closed, and with meaningful vote counts still more than two hours away, Sky had aired a concession from the world's most prominent Brexit backer, buttressed by data from YouGov. In a few hours these 'scoops' would prove spectacularly wrong, but in the meantime they spawned worldwide headlines, including from Bloomberg News and virtually everyone else....

"Behind the scenes, a small group of people had a secret-and billions of dollars were at stake. Hedge funds aiming to win big from trades that day had hired YouGov and at least five other polling companies, including Farage's favorite pollster. ... While some of the practices discovered by Bloomberg fall into a gray area, the law is clear: It would have been a violation if, prior to the polls closing, 'any section of the public' had gotten the same data the pollsters sold privately to hedge funds." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a911038f35b0178d28f534b6362b89343ed664b2ce222580f213f9ea4af2b1a99eed869db5c3cfdb04486d 

AFTERNOON READ -- "Has the New America Foundation Lost its Way?" by Rachel M. Cohen in Washingtonian: "Founded at the height of the Nasdaq boom, New America was meant to be an antidote to other Washington think tanks-a young, nimble provocateur that would dispense with convention and birth fresh ideas. 

"Nearly two decades later, the organization, which now employs more than 250 people, is casting about for relevance in a hyper-partisan era, according to interviews with more than three dozen current and former staffers, many of whom wanted anonymity for fear of retribution in the tight-knit DC policymaking community. In a way, it's a symbol of an entire Washington industry-policymaking-that's under pressure to fund itself without making ideological or ethical sacrifices." http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103989eedc33d7a3963fc880af582d173fa4e459fa212b024f8f1e90e6af55f39d000a71962f7b3713e 

SPOTTED IN ASPEN: Amy Walters and Kathryn Hamm at the Mary Chapin Carpenter concert last night at Belly Up in downtown Aspen.

WEEKEND WEDDINGS -- Ross LaJeunesse, global head of international relations at Google and former deputy chief of staff for Arnold Schwarzenegger, on Saturday married Patrick Oathout, a consultant at Bain and Company. Pic http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103e4ec620b91b79d37323459e665417f0c74b3e61bf79f36b9c911e98d8c4ed1939ca9350433b2646f ... NYT announcement http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103f94a7c78a0dc21c07a79d22cb50008b92f2ab3992720fa948a6ec5b3e7fe5af149a1c24c67f19d5c

-- Zachary Israel, a senior associate at the gov't relations firm the Ferguson Group, on Saturday married Juliana Glenn, a marketing coordinator at CohnReznick LLP in Bethesda, Md. Pic http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a911033149e591e653391ffa65f77202f170318b33dac8349b536469b52c2d749f62bc4d81576664091efa

-- OBAMA ALUMNI: Lepi Jha, an MBA candidate at Stanford, and Edward Fishman, also an MBA candidate at Stanford and a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, married on Saturday in Philadelphia. Jha worked as special assistant to the undersecretary for domestic finance in the Obama Treasury while Fishman worked in policy planning for former Secretary of State John Kerry and also was a special assistant to the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Pics http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a9110383998e4dcf36590105a073fd3af13d8e4bb967d9c6f08c76a4b59c432d1fa578a063eb0a3e7cf591 ... http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a911035c8a84afbb2c8f960ce07f3c0c928e012260101481ae54905965b6888da0f31c395a1e3623a7751f ... NYT announcement http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=9d901eb533a91103f6e38db7df0d9e840b7dc379a20292be12e4f9f889fd3fbcec2dba5b91d33dee0ef36c5b6341e495

TRANSITION -- Chris Melody Fields Figueredo joins the Ballot Initiative Strategy Center and the BISC Foundation as Executive Director. Chris was previously associate director of voting rights at ReThink Media. 

BONUS BIRTHDAYS: Matthew Felling, former Murkowski communications director and "Morning Joe" alum, who is now at Burson-Marsteller ... (was yesterday): Madison Fox Porter, deputy director of presidential correspondence at the White House and a former comms director to Rep. Rick Allen (h/t Cody Sanders)

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