Subject: The Evening: U.S. Accuses Russia, Tariff List, Slow Ride and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 17 Sep 2018 22:44:04 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: U.S. Accuses Russia, Tariff List, Slow Ride and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Monday, September 17th.

** U.S. Accuses Russia
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The U.S. accused Russia today of trying to weaken international action against North Korea by blocking a report that concludes Russia and China have helped Pyongyang try to evade sanctions, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Farnaz Fassihi reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-says-russia-is-hiding-north-korea-sanctions-violations-1537199601?mod=hp_listb_pos4&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) .

And, as the New York Times’ Choe Sang-Hun reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/17/world/asia/kim-jong-un-summit-moon-jae-in.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) , when President Moon Jae-in of South Korea sits down Tuesday with Kim Jong-un, North Korea’s leader, for their third summit meeting, they will share a common goal: fashioning a political statement this year declaring the end of the Korean War.

Dive Deeper: “A Tricky Inter-Korean Summit: What to Know (https://www.cfr.org/article/tricky-inter-korean-summit-what-know?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) ,” by CFR’s Scott Snyder.

“North Korea: Peace Talks and Human Rights (https://www.csis.org/analysis/north-korea-peace-talks-and-human-rights?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) ,” CSIS’s Victor Cha’s testimony before the Tom Lantos Human Rights Commission.

** Russia and Turkey’s Buffer Zone in Syria
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Russian and Turkish troops are to enforce a new demilitarized zone in Syria’s Idlib region from which “radical” rebels will be required to withdraw by the middle of next month, Russia’s Vladimir Putin said today after a meeting with Turkish President Erdogan, as the
Washington Post’s Erin Cunningham reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/turkey-and-russia-agree-on-de-militarized-zone-in-syrias-last-rebel-held-enclave/2018/09/17/f37e76dc-b6ad-11e8-ae4f-2c1439c96d79_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.6667a656898a&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Shifts in the Middle East balance of power: An historical perspective (http://www.mei.edu/content/shifts-middle-east-balance-power-historical-perspective?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) ,” by the Middle East Institute’s Ross Harrison.

** U.S. Air Force Seeks Sharp Growth
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The U.S. Air Force is predicting it will need to grow sharply over the next decade or so, boosting the number of operational squadrons by nearly a quarter to stay ahead of increasingly muscular militaries in China and Russia, as Reuters’ Phil Stewart reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-military-airforce/u-s-air-force-seeks-sharp-growth-to-stay-ahead-of-china-russia-idUSKCN1LX1PQ?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Acquisition Trends 2018: Defense Contract Spending Bounces Back (https://www.csis.org/analysis/acquisition-trends-2018-defense-contract-spending-bounces-back-executive-summary?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) ,”  by CSIS’s Rhys McCormick, Samantha Cohen, Gregory Sanders and Andrew Hunter.

** White House Tariff List for China
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Trade hawks have warned the White House against watering down plans to hit Beijing with 25 per cent tariffs on $200bn in imports, as the Trump administration prepared to unveil its most serious escalation yet in its trade war with China, the FT’s Lucy Hornby, Demetri Sevastopulo and James Politi report (https://www.ft.com/content/87c4e5fe-ba5c-11e8-94b2-17176fbf93f5?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “A Conversation with Six Former USTRs (https://www.csis.org/analysis/conversation-six-former-ustrs?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) ,” a transcript of today’s event moderated by CSIS’s Bill Reinsch with former USTR’s Carla Hills, Bill Brock, Mickey Kantor, Charlene Barshefsky, Susan Schwab and Ron Kirk.

** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.

** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) .

** In That Number
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** 5.6%
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If U.S. tariffs against China go into effect, China’s annual GDP growth could fall to 5.6% in 2019, research firm Oxford Economics predicts. That would be its lowest level in almost three decades, and down from a projected expansion of 6.5% this year.
Source: WSJ (https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-twist-in-the-u-s-tariff-battle-its-helping-china-be-more-competitive-1537194771?mod=hp_lead_pos2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789)

** Critical Quote
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** “I’d like to have frank dialogue with Chairman Kim on how to find a point of contact between U.S. demands for denuclearization and North Korea’s demands for ending hostile relations and security guarantees.”
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—South Korea’s President Moon Jae-in

** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
The Trade Guys continue their recording tour; this time at the University of Maryland's Robert H. Smith School of Business. In a new episode (https://tradeguys.csis.org/podcast/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) , they are joined by Rick Powers, the Port of Baltimore's director of marketing. The guys and Rick discuss updates on NAFTA, the tit-for-tat with China, and roll-on/roll-off (a.k.a. RoRo) shipping's relationship with tariffs.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo credit: Drew Angerer/Getty Images.) U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Nikki Haley today at the UN. The United States called a meeting of the Security Council to discuss what they call efforts by some members of the of the council to undermine and obstruct U.N. sanctions against North Korea.

** Recommended Reading
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“Inside Israel’s Secret Program to Back Syrian Rebels (https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/09/06/in-secret-program-israel-armed-and-funded-rebel-groups-in-southern-syria/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) ,” by
Foreign Policy’s Elizabeth Tsurkov.

** This Town Tomorrow
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At 10:00 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/crisis-response-tracking-venezuelas-unprecedented-migrant-and-refugee-flows?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) , join the CSIS Americas Program for a discussion on the current state of Venezuela’s refugee crisis and the two million Venezuelans that have fled the country in the past two years.

And at 1:00 p.m. (http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/events/upcoming-events/detail/dispatches-from-our-energy-future-a-conversation-with-akshat-rathi-and-steve-le?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) , the Atlantic Council Global Energy Center will host a conversation on the role of technology in energy innovation with three energy journalists: Axios' Amy Harder and Steve LeVine and Quartz's  Akshat Rathi,

** Video
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Today, CSIS's Scholl Chair in International Business hosted a conversation with six former United States Trade Representatives (USTRs) (https://www.csis.org/events/conversation-six-former-ustrs-0?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) . The discussion focused on the current global trading system, its institutions, and the current prospects for trade.

** Podcasts
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Die Welt
The Ebola outbreak in the Democratic of the Congo is the first ever case in an active warzone.

This week's episode of Take as Directed navigates the complex dynamics of the highly dangerous outbreak.

Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/take-as-directed/id1186398300?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) or SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/navigating-the-ebola-outbreak-in-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congo?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) .

** Smiles
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There are certain songs by certain bands that just get your blood pumping.  This is one of them (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aCr2APDza_I&feature=youtu.be&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789) …more about the band tomorrow.
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d86dd3c7c0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_17_05_54&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d86dd3c7c0-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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