Subject: The Evening: Poland Presence, China Strikes Back, The Numbers and more
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 18 Sep 2018 21:41:15 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: Poland Presence, China Strikes Back, The Numbers and more
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** Good Evening,
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It's Tuesday, September 18th.

Note: The Evening will be “gone fishin’” on September 19.

** Permanent Poland Presence
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President Trump said today that the United States is considering a request from Poland for a permanent U.S. military presence in the fellow NATO country, acknowledging that he shares Poland’s concerns about possible Russian aggression, as Reuters’ Jeff Mason reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-poland/trump-says-u-s-considering-permanent-military-presence-in-poland-idUSKCN1LY2NJ?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Of Cold War Poland and Today’s Hot Topics (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/russian-roulette?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) ,” CSIS’s Russian Roulette podcast Episode 62.

** Russian Plane Down
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Syrian forces accidentally shot down a Russian military plane after an Israeli airstrike on Syrian territory, Kremlin officials said today, the worst case of friendly fire for Russia in the Syria war. The accident on Monday night briefly caused a crisis in Russia-Israel relations as the Kremlin first blamed the Israelis, underscoring the risks of escalation from unintended consequences among the different forces operating in Syria, as the
New York Times’ David Halbfinger and Andrew Higgins report (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/18/world/middleeast/syria-russian-plane.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fworld&action=click&contentCollection=world&region=rank&module=package&version=highlights&contentPlacement=2&pgtype=sectionfront&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “The Escalating Conflict with Hezbollah in Syria (https://www.csis.org/analysis/escalating-conflict-hezbollah-syria?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Seth Jones and Max Markusen.

** China Strikes Back
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China scrambled to deal with an escalating trade fight with the U.S., issuing an expected volley of tariffs and weighing whether to agree to Washington’s offer for more trade talks, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Lingling Wei reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinese-officials-scramble-to-respond-to-trumps-new-tariffs-1537275015?mod=hp_lead_pos2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Reframing the Trade Debate (https://www.csis.org/analysis/reframing-trade-debate?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Bill Reinsch.

“For Trump, it was a summer of tariffs and more tariffs. Here’s where things stand (https://piie.com/commentary/op-eds/trump-it-was-summer-tariffs-and-more-tariffs-heres-where-things-stand?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) ,” by the Peterson Institute’s Chad Bown.

** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.

** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) .

** In That Number
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** 25%
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The Air Force has proposed a 25% increase in its force structure to support the revised U.S. National Defense Strategy, Air Force Secretary Heather Wilson announced Monday.

Source: CSIS’s Mark Cancian for Forbes (https://www.forbes.com/sites/markcancian/2018/09/18/air-force-expansion-breaks-with-tradition-and-maybe-reality/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789#7809083452f6) .

** Critical Quote
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** "There will be great and fast economic retaliation against China if our farmers, ranchers and/or industrial workers are targeted!"
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— President Donald Trump

** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
CSIS's Reconnecting Asia Program released their newest iteration of their mega-infrastructure map, which now includes 11,053 power plants. Check out the new interactive here (https://reconasia.csis.org/map?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo credit: Alex Wong/Getty Images). U.S. Marines open the doors at the South Portico of the White House.

** Recommended Reading
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“What we can learn from—and add to—the new Air Force vision (https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2018/09/17/what-we-can-learn-from-and-add-to-the-new-air-force-vision/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) ,” by Brookings’ Michael O’Hanlon.

** This Town Tomorrow
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At 1:00 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/role-private-sector-achieving-sustainable-development-goals-sdgs?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) , join CSIS for a discussion on the 17 Sustainable Development Goals, adopted in 2015 as part of the United Nation’s 2030 Development Agenda, and the role the private sector plays in solving global challenges.

Then, at 3:30 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/book-launch-covert-action?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) , the CSIS Transnational Threats Project will hold a book launch for Program Director Seth G. Jones’ newly released “A Covert Action: Reagan, the CIA, and the Cold War Struggle In Poland.”

And at 9:00 a.m. (https://www.hudson.org/events/1603-iran-s-missile-proliferation-a-conversation-with-special-envoy-brian-hook92018?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) the Hudson Institute will host U.S. special envoy to Iran, Brian Hook, for a conversation on Iran’s missile proliferation.

** Video
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Unprecedented numbers of Venezuelan refugees and migrants are fleeing the country as inflation approaches one million percent this year.  Today, CSIS’s Moises Rendon and Colombian Ambassador Francisco Santos discussed the impact of this and other challenges facing the region as a result of the Venezuelan economic crisis.  Watch the full event here (https://www.csis.org/events/crisis-response-tracking-venezuelas-unprecedented-migrant-and-refugee-flows?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) .

** Podcasts
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Die Welt
Trade experts Scott Miller and Bill Reinsch break down the buzz around trade, how it affects policy, and how it impacts your day-to-day. The Trade Guys is hosted every week by H. Andrew Schwartz. Listen on SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/sets/the-trade-guys?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) or Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-trade-guys/id1380336613?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) .

** Smiles
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Thanks to all of you who loved the Foghat clip of “Slow Ride.” One of my best friends, who is both a professional musical expert and a great musician did not dig Foghat and thought I’d lost my mind.

Indeed, Foghat isn’t exactly an innovative or particularly great band. They do rock though—that’s undeniable. So forgive me if you couldn’t stomach Foghat!

To prove that I’m not “slipping,” I will make it up to you with an extraordinary video that features supersonic musicians.

Radiohead may be the greatest working rock band on the planet today and they continue to create music that is iconic and uniquely their own. Their 2016 album “A Moon Shaped Pool,” was their 9^th studio record. It features a collaboration with the London Philharmonic Orchestra, some intensely heady lyrics mixed with spacey electronics, percussion and innovative guitars.

And then there is this video (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ti6qhk3tX2s&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789) featuring Radiohead’s Thom Yorke, Jonny Greenwood and a Roland drum machine. Filmed in Tarzana, California by acclaimed director Paul Thomas Anderson, it’s one of the most intensely intimate portraits of two international rock stars plying their craft. It reminds me of the way Jean-Luc Godard filmed the Rolling Stones’ recording of “Sympathy For The Devil.” I think you will dig it and it will restore my rep.
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=5433e47b9e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_18_08_23&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-5433e47b9e-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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