Subject: The Evening: Saudi Arabia, North Korea, Refugee and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2018 21:32:46 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: Saudi Arabia, North Korea, Refugee and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Monday, October 15th.

** Saudi Arabia
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CNN’s Clarissa Ward and Tim Lister report (https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/15/middleeast/saudi-khashoggi-death-turkey/index.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) late this afternoon that Saudi Arabia is preparing a report that will acknowledge that Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi's death was the result of an interrogation that went wrong, one that was intended to lead to his abduction from Turkey.

But earlier in the day, President Trump said King Salman of Saudi Arabia denied any knowledge during a 20-minute phone call on Monday about what happened to the journalist, Jamal Khashoggi and Trump raised the possibility that “rogue killers” were behind the disappearance.  The President said he ordered Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to go to Saudi Arabia and “other places if necessary,” including Turkey, as the New York Times’ Eileen Sullivan and David D. Kirkpatrick report (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/15/us/politics/trump-saudi-king-journalist-khashoggi.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “The Other Side of the Khashoggi Tragedy (https://www.csis.org/analysis/other-side-khashoggi-tragedy?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman.

“Why Jamal Khashoggi’s Disappearance Will Haunt the Saudi Government (https://www.cfr.org/article/why-jamal-khashoggis-disappearance-will-haunt-saudi-government?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) ,” by CFR’s Elliott Abrams.

“In Khashoggi Fallout, Iran Benefits From Another Saudi Misstep (https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/khashoggi-fallout-iran-benefits-another-saudi-misstep?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) ,” by Chatham House’s Sanam Vakil.

** Yemen on Brink of Famine
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The number of Yemenis on the brink of famine could rise to 12 million - or two in five of the population - from around 8.5 million in coming months due to escalating war and a deepening economic crisis, the United Nations food agency said today, as Reuters reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-famine-un/yemen-conflict-could-push-millions-more-to-brink-of-famine-u-n-idUSKCN1MP2CV?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) .

** North and South Korea Connect
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North and South Korea continued their push for peace today with high-level talks that resulted in a host of agreements, including a plan by the rivals for a groundbreaking ceremony this year on an ambitious project to connect their railways and roads, as the AP reports (https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/north-south-agree-break-ground-inter-korean-railroad-n920311?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) .

Plus, last night on 60 Minutes (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-full-interview-60-minutes-transcript-lesley-stahl-2018-10-14/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) , President Trump discussed his relationship with Kim Jong Un.

Dive Deeper: Listen to the latest episode of the CSIS podcast, The Impossible State, “60 Minutes and Whiplash (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-impossible-state/id1389951701?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) .”

** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.

** Enroll for Spring 2019
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Now enrolling for the Spring, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) .

** In That Number
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** 30,000
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U.S. oil exports to China have slowed to a trickle amid the trade spat between Washington and Beijing. In September, only 30,000 barrels a day of U.S. oil went to China, down from an average of over 350,000 barrels in the year up till July.
Source: WSJ (https://www.wsj.com/articles/another-victim-of-the-trade-spat-u-s-oil-to-china-1539604807?mod=hp_lead_pos7&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) .

** Critical Quote
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** “I do trust him.”
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—President Trump on 60 Minutes regarding Kim Jong Un.

** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
The CSIS Expert Working Group on the South China Sea released a new report, Defusing the South China Sea Disputes (https://amti.csis.org/expert-working-group-scs/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) . Over two dozen experts from claimant states and interested countries, including the United States, contributed to the report to outline a blueprint strategy for conflicts in the region.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo credit: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images.) President Donald Trump today at the White House.

** Recommended Reading
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“Myanmar’s Military Said to Be Behind Facebook Campaign That Fueled Genocide (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/15/technology/myanmar-facebook-genocide.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) ,” by the
New York Times’ Paul Mozur.

** This Town Tomorrow
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At 9:00 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/or-without-you-how-japan-and-united-states-are-shaping-asian-economic-integration?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) , CSIS and the Japanese External Trade Organization will host the annual CSIS-JETRO conference on Asia-Pacific Economic Integration.

Later, at 12:30 p.m. (https://www.thedialogue.org/events/the-cuban-economy-whats-next-for-the-private-sector/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) , the Inter-American Dialogue will host a discussion on the Cuban economy as well as its potential for expansion and the challenges that lie ahead.

** Video
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Last Friday, the CSIS Americas Program hosted "Venezuela as a Narco State," on the policy implications of Venezuela's escalation into a hub of organized crime, featuring former Ambassador William Brownfield and CSIS Senior Adviser Juan Zarate. Watch the full event here (https://www.csis.org/events/venezuela-narco-state?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) .

** Podcasts
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Die Welt
In a new episode of The Impossible State, CSIS's Victor Cha and Sue Mi Terry weigh in on the president’s latest “60 Minutes” interview and what to expect from the next Trump-Kim summit.

Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-impossible-state/id1389951701?mt=2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789#episodeGuid=https%3A%2F%2Fcsis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fs3fs-public%2Ffield_soundcloud_audio%2FEpisode%252013_mixdown.mp3%3FWgtftmGYBGhqpyDEmsfsLWiN2RPKtITk) or SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/60-minutes-and-whiplash?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) .

** Smiles
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Certain songs are so ubiquitous that I can barely recall life without them. Last night I watched the first episode of “The Romanoffs,” an elegant, quirky show on Amazon Prime. The opening title song was “Refugee” by Tom Petty and the Heartbreakers. I didn’t expect that at all. And it got me thinking about what a monumental, life changing song “Refugee” is.

When it came out in the fall of 1979, “Refugee” changed the way records sounded. I can’t recall the first time I heard the song but I do remember that it sounded like nothing I had ever heard before.

Here’s Tom Petty and the Heartbreakers performing “Refugee (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zmESzwOdnVo&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789) ” in late 1978 at San Francisco’s Winterland, when it was brand new.
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=3df9c354d4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_15_08_38&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-3df9c354d4-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Emma Colbran, Brad Honigberg, and Jackie Ramsay.

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