Subject: The Evening: Ukraine, China Trade, Creed II and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 26 Nov 2018 22:39:12 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: Ukraine, China Trade, Creed II and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Monday, November 26th.

** On The Border
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President Trump today defended the use of tear gas by U.S. agents against Central American migrants at the San Ysidro border crossing, saying that authorities “had to use” the chemical agent in Sunday’s chaos and dismissing reports that children were among those affected, as the
Washington Post’s Felicia Sonmez reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-says-us-agents-had-to-use-tear-gas-against-migrants-at-border/2018/11/26/a2b66a00-f1ba-11e8-80d0-f7e1948d55f4_story.html?utm_term=.fb3073fe259d&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) .

** Ukraine
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Ukraine today imposed martial law for 30 days in parts of the country most vulnerable to an attack from Russia after President Petro Poroshenko warned of the “extremely serious” threat of a land invasion, as Reuters reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ukraine-crisis-russia/ukraine-introduces-martial-law-citing-threat-of-russian-invasion-idUSKCN1NV0N1?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) .

Meanwhile, at the UN today, U.S. ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley accused Russia of taking “outlaw actions” against Ukrainian ships in an incident at sea this weekend and vowed that sanctions punishing Russia’s annexation of Crimea would continue, as the Post’s Carol Morello reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/un-ambassador-nikki-haley-condemns-russias-outlaw-actions-against-ukrainian-ships/2018/11/26/d8f2a940-e16b-46fc-b207-8f18857929aa_story.html?utm_term=.3d38f6396c54&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) .

** China Trade
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Four days before a summit with China’s leader, President Trump said he expects to move ahead with boosting tariff levels on $200 billion of Chinese goods to 25%, calling it “highly unlikely” that he would accept Beijing’s request to hold off on the increase, as the
WSJ’s Bob Davis reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-expects-to-move-ahead-with-boost-on-china-tariffs-1543266545?mod=hp_lead_pos2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “US-China Trade War, Or Trade Deal? (https://www.brookings.edu/podcast-episode/us-china-trade-war-or-trade-deal/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) ” the new Brookings’ podcast “Dollar and Sense.”

And, check out the CSIS Trade Guys micro website (https://tradeguys.csis.org/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) .

** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.

** Enroll for Spring 2019
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Now enrolling for the Spring, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) .

** In That Number
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** 4
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Nearly four times as many Sunni Islamic militants are operating around the world today as on September 11, 2001.

Source: “The Evolution of the Salafi-Jihadist Threat (https://www.csis.org/analysis/evolution-salafi-jihadist-threat?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Seth Jones, Charles Vallee and Danika Newlee.

** Critical Quote
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** “The report released by [CSIS] is simply full of lies and errors, made under the direction of hard-liners and military monopolists trying to sell more weapons.”
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— Editorial in state-run DPRK Today about CSIS’s report (https://beyondparallel.csis.org/north-koreas-undeclared-missile-operating-bases/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) on North Korea’s undeclared missile bases.

** iDeas Lab
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https://www.csis.org/analysis/evolution-salafi-jihadist-threat?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789
Despite the Islamic State’s loss of territory in Iraq and Syria, the global Salafi-jihadist movement is far from defeated. Read the new report from CSIS's Transnational threats project here (https://www.csis.org/analysis/evolution-salafi-jihadist-threat?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech). This is the first image taken by NASA’s InSight lander on the surface of Mars. The instrument context camera (ICC) mounted below the lander deck obtained this image today, shortly after landing.

** Recommended Reading
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“China Rules: The World, Built by China (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/18/world/asia/world-built-by-china.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) ,” by the
New York Times’ Derek Watkins, K.K. Rebecca Lai and Keith Bradsher.

** This Town Tomorrow
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At 9:30 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/2018-global-security-forum-prospects-and-priorities-us-gray-zone-competition?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) , CSIS will host its 2018 Global Security Forum: Prospects and Priorities for U.S. Gray Zone Competition, featuring a discussion with former NSA Director, Adm. Michael S. Rogers.

Later, at 12:00 p.m. (https://www.newamerica.org/oti/events/how-encryption-saves-lives-and-fuels-our-economy/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) , New America will discuss how encryption saves lives and fuels the U.S. economy.

And at 1:30 p.m. (http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/events/upcoming-events/detail/usmca-at-signing-implications-for-consumers-and-the-road-ahead-for-congress?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) , The Atlantic Council will hold a discussion on the USMCA's implications for consumers and the road ahead for Congress.

** Video
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Venezuela was once considered the ‘Switzerland of Latin America.’ 20 years later, it has become one of the most pernicious humanitarian crises in the world. Find out "What's Happening (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P-kK2WrRi8k&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) " in Venezuela.

** Podcasts
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https://tradeguys.csis.org/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789
Trade Guys Scott Miller and Bill Reinsch explain trade, how it affects policy, and how it impacts your day-to-day in ways that everyone can understand. The Trade Guys is hosted by H. Andrew Schwartz and produced by Yumi Araki.

Listen on SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/sets/the-trade-guys?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) or Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-trade-guys/id1380336613?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) .

** Smiles
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I hope everyone had a Happy Thanksgiving. One of my favorite family moments over the holiday was seeing the movie “Creed II,” with Michael B. Jordan and Sylvester Stallone.

My sons loved it, my wife loved it, and so did I. It spurred an extended family discussion about the Rocky series and Creed spin off. My sons said that “Rocky II,” without a doubt, was their all time favorite of the Rocky series. They asked me what my favorite was. I explained that seeing “Rocky” the week it premiered in November of 1976 (42 years ago last week) was a life altering experience for me as it was for many. That year Rocky won the Oscar for “Best Picture,” but it was so much bigger than any award could ever convey.

Sure, “Rocky II” had its satisfying moments—as Rocky famously said, “Yo, Adrian, I did it!” A powerful movie indeed.

But the original Rocky was raw, deeply emotional (even pathetic and sad at times), uncompromising and unrelenting. The South Philadelphia life that Rocky lived on screen felt so authentic and vivid—my family is from West and North Philly and anyone from the City of Brotherly Love will tell you how “real” the original Rocky is.

This scene (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-hNHgB5rAHQ&feature=youtu.be&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789) for example, is unforgettable
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=994b91bdad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_11_26_04_09&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-994b91bdad-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Emma Colbran, Brad Honigberg, and Jackie Ramsay.

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