Subject: The Evening: Huawei Arrest, Arms Treaty, Nine Tonight and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 6 Dec 2018 23:07:22 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: Huawei Arrest, Arms Treaty, Nine Tonight and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Thursday, December 6th.

** Huawei Arrest
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China demanded the release of a senior executive at tech giant Huawei Technologies after she was detained in Canada on extradition charges to the U.S, as NBC News reports (https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/china-calls-release-huawei-executive-detained-canada-n944666?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) .

And, as the WSJ’s Lingling Wei and Eva Dou report (https://www.wsj.com/articles/arrest-of-senior-huawei-executive-steps-up-u-s-china-confrontation-1544109346?mod=hp_lead_pos4&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) , the arrest intensifies the confrontation in the already divisive China-U.S. negotiations on trade.

Dive Deeper: “How 5G Will Shape Innovation and Security (https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-5g-will-shape-innovation-and-security?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s James Andrew Lewis.

“The New Old Threat of Chinese Industrial Cyber Espionage (https://www.cfr.org/blog/new-cyber-brief-new-old-threat-chinese-industrial-cyber-espionage?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) ,” by CFR’s Adam Segal.

** Arms Treaty
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Russia must scrap its 9M729 nuclear-capable cruise missiles and launchers or modify the weapons’ range to return to compliance with a key Cold War-era arms control treaty and avert a U.S. pullout from the pact, a senior U.S. official said today, as Reuters’ Jonathan Landay and Arshad Mohammed report (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-russia-missiles/russia-must-scrap-or-alter-missiles-u-s-says-violate-arms-treaty-idUSKBN1O52A8?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: Explore Russia’s missile by visiting CSIS’s micro-website, “Missile Threat (https://missilethreat.csis.org/country/russia/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) .”

** Oil Prices Tumble
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Oil prices fell as much as 5 percent today after Saudi Arabia’s energy minister exited a fractious Opec meeting saying he was “not confident” a deal to cut crude production could be achieved between the cartel and its allies, as the
FT’s Anjli Raval and David Sheppard report (https://www.ft.com/content/6ea97c04-f942-11e8-8b7c-6fa24bd5409c?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) .

** Rollback of Sage Grouse Protections
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The Trump administration today published documents detailing its plan to roll back Obama-era protections for the vast habitat of the greater sage grouse, a chicken-like bird that roams across nearly 11 million acres in 10 oil-rich Western states, as the New York Times’ Coral Davenport reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/06/climate/trump-sage-grouse-oil.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) .

** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.

** CSIS’s Trade Guys Crash Course
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Now enrolling for CSIS
Crash Course, a one-day seminar on the fundamentals of U.S. international trade policy and politics for trade professionals.  This program will be conducted by CSIS experts Scott Miller and Bill Reinsch, known as the Trade Guys from their highly-rated weekly podcast.  Information here (https://tradeguys.csis.org/trade-explained/crash-course-trade-policy-with-the-trade-guys/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) .

** In That Number
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** 75
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Last week, the U.S. became a net oil Exporter for the first time in 75 years.

Source: Bloomberg (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-06/u-s-becomes-a-net-oil-exporter-for-the-first-time-in-75-years?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789)

** Critical Quote
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** “Huawei is one company we’ve been concerned about. There are others as well. I think this is going to be a major subject of the negotiations that President Trump and President Xi Jinping agreed to in Buenos Aires.”
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— National Security Advisor John Bolton

** iDeas Lab
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https://tradeguys.csis.org/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789
This graphic illustrates whether a Chinese auto tariff reduction would impact U.S. exports. President Trump claimed China agreed to drop its 40% tariff  on U.S. car imports, but U.S. cars won't significantly impact the $375 billion trade deficit the U.S. had with China in 2017. Find more Trade Guys graphics on their microsite (https://tradeguys.csis.org/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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CSIS
(Photo credit: David J. Phillip-Pool/Getty Images). Former President George W. Bush embraces former Secretary of State James Baker during the funeral for former President George H.W. Bush today at St. Martin's Episcopal Church in Houston.

** Recommended Reading
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"Debating Japan: Japan-China Rapprochement Will Fail (https://www.csis.org/analysis/debating-japan-vol-1-issue-2?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) ," by CSIS's Japan Chair.

** This Town Tomorrow
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At 10:30 a.m. (https://www.cnas.org/events/senator-warner-cyberwarfare-livestream?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) , The Center for a New American Security will feature a keynote address by Senator Mark R. Warner (D-VA) on the need for a U.S. cyber doctrine in the face of growing threats from traditional cyber attacks and information operations.

And at 12:15 p.m. (https://piie.com/events/governor-brainard-current-financial-stability-issues?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) , the Peterson Institute for International Economics will host Lael Brainard, member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, to present her insights on current financial stability.

** Video
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Today, CSIS hosted a Maritime Security Dialogue, featuring a conversation with the Honorable Richard V. Spencer, 76th Secretary of the Navy. He discussed the state of the Navy and Marine Corps and innovation in the naval domain. Watch the full event here (https://www.csis.org/events/maritime-security-dialogue-conversation-hon-richard-v-spencer-secretary-navy?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) .

** Podcasts
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Die Welt
Trade experts Scott Miller and Bill Reinsch break down the buzz around trade, how it affects policy, and how it impacts your day-to-day. The Trade Guys is hosted every week by H. Andrew Schwartz

Listen on SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/trade-truce?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) or Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-trade-guys/id1380336613?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) .

** Smiles
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Some musicians just sound better live.  Next week we’ll talk more about some of those artists but for now let’s discuss the great Bob Seger.

“Nine Tonight,” Seger’s masterful live record contains the best versions of classics like “Rock and Roll Never Forgets,” “Main Street” and maybe most of all “Hollywood Nights (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_D4eUWBAE_A&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789) .”
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9e9cd5c43c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_06_06_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9e9cd5c43c-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Emma Colbran and Brad Honigberg.

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