Subject: POLITICO Playbook: Shutdown negotiations drag on
From: "Anna Palmer Jake Sherman Daniel Lippman" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 05 Jan 2019 09:49:24 -0600
List-Id: <1376319.xt.local>

Presented by the American Petroleum Institute: Playbook is POLITICO's must-read briefing on what's driving the day                Jan 05, 2019 View in browser                   
 By Jake Sherman, Anna Palmer and Daniel Lippman 
         
Presented by
                   DRIVING THE DAY      
FIRST IN PLAYBOOK -- SPEAKER NANCY PELOSI won't be changing her flying habits now that she has regained the speaker's gavel. The California Democrat "intends to travel commercially," according to her deputy chief of staff Drew Hammill. The speaker can make use of an Air Force jet to travel around the country given she is second in line to the presidency. 

PELOSI used military planes to fly back and forth to San Francisco during her early years as speaker the first time around, drawing criticism from some quarters. Pelosi and her predecessor Denny Hastert used the military planes for security reasons at the direction of the House sergeant-at-arms.

JOHN BOEHNER and PAUL RYAN both opted against using government-funded private jets during their speakerships, though both used chartered planes for some political travel. Pelosi has always traveled commercially for political travel. 

SHUTDOWN ... DAY 15 ... WHERE THINGS STAND: THE WHITE HOUSE is hosting a meeting of leadership aides this morning to try to find a way out of this shutdown, which is now starting its third week. There seems to be cautious optimism from some -- the White House, House Republican leaders -- that a deal could come soon. We are a tad more skeptical.

THE STALEMATE LOOKS LIKE THIS: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP is still demanding $5.6 billion for a wall, and says he's comfortable dragging this out for a while. NANCY PELOSI and Democrats want the president to reopen government while continuing to negotiate on the Homeland Security bill. Republicans say they won't reopen government in bits and pieces.

THE BIG QUESTION ... Is there any formula where Democrats can say they didn't build a wall, Republicans say the same initially, with a wink and a nod that indeed they are? Trump couldn't come out and say there's a wall in this construct. But can there be some sort of sleight of hand of some sort?

KEEP IN MIND: Even if a deal is reached today or tomorrow, we're likely looking at a mid- to late-week vote next week. But there's no obvious sign there will be a breakthrough.

WHAT'S ON PRESIDENT TRUMP'S MIND -- @realDonaldTrump at 8:55 a.m.: "Many people currently a part of my opposition, including President Obama & the Dems, have had campaign violations, in some cases for very large sums of money. These are civil cases. They paid a fine & settled. While no big deal, I did not commit a campaign violation!" 

... at 7:57 a.m.: "The Democrats could solve the Shutdown problem in a very short period of time. All they have to do is approve REAL Border Security (including a Wall), something which everyone, other than drug dealers, human traffickers and criminals, want very badly! This would be so easy to do!" 

... at 7:31 a.m.: "Great support coming from all sides for Border Security (including Wall) on our very dangerous Southern Border. Teams negotiating this weekend! Washington Post and NBC reporting of events, including Fake sources, has been very inaccurate (to put it mildly)!"

ANDREW RESTUCCIA, "Trump claims support from past presidents for the wall: Clinton, Bush and Obama beg to differ": "President Donald Trump claimed without evidence on Friday that past presidents have privately confided to him that they regret not building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border. But at least three of the four living U.S. presidents - Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama - did no such thing.

"Asked if Clinton told Trump that he should have built a border wall, Clinton spokesman Angel Ure&ntilde;a said, 'He did not. In fact, they've not talked since the inauguration.' Bush spokesman Freddy Ford also said the two men had not discussed the matter. And Obama, for his part, has not spoken with Trump since his inauguration, except for a brief exchange at George H.W. Bush's funeral in Washington, D.C." POLITICO

THE IMPACT ... "Millions face delayed tax refunds, cuts to food stamps as White House scrambles to deal with shutdown's consequences," by WaPo's Damian Paletta and Erica Werner: "Food stamps for 38 million low-income Americans would face severe reductions and more than $140 billion in tax refunds are at risk of being frozen or delayed if the government shutdown stretches into February, widespread disruptions that threaten to hurt the economy. The Trump administration, which had not anticipated a long-term shutdown, recognized only this week the breadth of the potential impact, several senior administration officials said. ...

"Lawmakers last year appropriated $3 billion into a 'contingency' fund for SNAP. USDA officials would not comment on the status of the $3 billion, but if all of that money is still available, it would cover just 64 percent of February's obligations." WaPo

-- "Hundreds of TSA screeners, working without pay, calling out sick at major airports," by CNN's Rene Marsh and Gregory Wallace: "Hundreds of [TSA] officers, who are required to work without paychecks through the partial government shutdown, have called out from work this week from at least four major airports, according to two senior agency officials and three TSA employee union officials. The mass call outs could inevitably mean air travel is less secure." CNN 

-- WAPO'S DARRYL FEARS and JULIET EILPERIN, "Three dead in national parks as shutdown wears on"

-- DANIEL DALE (@ddale8): "Asked if he'd ask landlords to go easy on federal workers not getting paid right now, Trump says, 'I think they will...I think that happens. Hey, I've been a landlord for a long time...they work with people.' Pressed, he eventually says he would indeed tell them to go easy."

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ON RASHIDA TLAIB ... When Rep. Joe Wilson (R-S.C.) shouted "You Lie" during Barack Obama's address to a joint session to Congress in 2009, it caused an international firestorm. Wilson, a relatively mild-mannered congressman, later apologized. But the next week, House Democrats passed a resolution of disapproval.

-- THIS WEEK, MICHIGAN DEMOCRATIC REP. RASHIDA TLAIB said "we're going to impeach the motherf***er" and there will be no repercussions. Zero. Criticisms are met by scuffaws, since there's so much vulgar language everywhere -- even the White House. The president directs his venom everywhere. He's gone after cancer-ridden patients, dead people and many others. When he calls someone out, it mostly rings hollow. After 24 or 48 hours, this thing will be done, and Tlaib will be like any other member of the House. 

SURE, cable will have fun with this. But, in reality, she'll raise more money and will actually be rewarded by this. 

BEHIND THE SCENES - WaPo's Seung Min Kim, Erica Werner and Josh Dawsey: "The president often used profanity during [Friday's White House] meeting, apologizing to Pelosi at one point for cursing so much." WaPo

Good Saturday morning. SPOTTED: MICK MULVANEY having dinner last night with REINCE PRIEBUS at the Trump hotel ... SECRETARY OF STATE MIKE POMPEO and his detail leaving the CVS on M Street across the Four Seasons.

SNEAK PEEK ... ANNA spoke with HOUSE APPROPRIATIONS CHAIRWOMAN NITA LOWEY (D-N.Y.) for next week's WOMEN RULE podcast. Lowey is the first woman to chair the powerful panel since it was created in 1865. Yes, you read that right - 1865. Subscribe to Women Rule podcast to listen to the podcast Wednesday.

-- ON THE SHUTDOWN: "I think it's outrageous that anybody, Republican or Democrat, should even think that the government should be shut down for months. So the president should be an adult and talk to Nancy Pelosi, Sen. Schumer, and the other leadership that are going to be there and pass the options we gave him. It is so easy to do. I want to repeat again: the six bills that we want to pass until September 30th and then leave the one bill where there are questions for 30 days to discuss options. That's the way it should happen."

-- THE RETURN OF EARMARKS?: "I think there is a way to do it. Now, I think it's important that we understand the needs of every member of Congress, especially the new members. Whether there are specific earmarks or not, we ask them to submit their priorities and, on many issues, you can address their priorities even without earmarks. But I would be supportive of earmarks and I'm not sure how that is going to resolve itself."

UPDATE ... BEN SCHRECKINGER: "NASA invite to sanctioned Russian official postponed indefinitely": "The Trump administration has indefinitely postponed a proposed visit by a sanctioned Russian official to the U.S., a spokeswoman for NASA said on Friday. The indefinite postponement could throw a wrench in U.S.-Russia space cooperation and represents a setback for Vladimir Putin's efforts to undermine U.S. sanctions. 

"The proposed visit, which was supposed to have taken place some time early this year, faced mounting backlash this week from Senate Democrats who threatened congressional action to block it in response to a Tuesday POLITICO report about plans for the visit." POLITICO

WSJ'S MIKE BENDER: "FBI Investigating Fake Texts Sent to GOP House Members: Person impersonating aide to Vice President Mike Pence sought whereabouts of certain lawmakers": "The [FBI] is investigating fake text messages sent to some House Republican lawmakers from someone impersonating a top aide to Vice President Mike Pence, according to people familiar with the matter.

"Several House Republicans have received the texts, and at least one member has been repeatedly engaging with the imposter, who posed as Alyssa Farah, Mr. Pence's press secretary and a former House staffer, one of the people said.

"An FBI spokesman didn't immediately respond to a request for comment. A person familiar with the fake texts said the messages sought the whereabouts of certain lawmakers and their availability for meetings. Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.), the House Republican conference chairwoman, has been made aware of the fake texts and referred the matter to the House Sergeant at Arms office, a spokesman for Ms. Cheney said." WSJ

2020 WATCH ... NATASHA KORECKI'S IOWA DISPATCH on the ground in Council Bluffs: "SEN. ELIZABETH WARREN landed here Friday evening, becoming the highest profile potential 2020 candidate to hit this first presidential state this year. About 500 people turned out to the Thunderbowl for Warren's first event. The room, booked inside of a bowling alley, was quickly at capacity - a line snaked along the entirety of the building and into the parking lot outside. 

"A few dozen supporters couldn't make it inside but still stuck around during the unseasonably warm evening and watched through a garage door opening to the room. Warren focused her talk on economic populism that's a central tenet of her lifelong work and emphasized the need for a grassroots campaign. 

"'These are dangerous times for our country,' she told the crowd. 'And Iowa is going to have a big part in determining where we go next.' For those wondering about Warren's vow to be more accessible and transparent, she took questions from the audience, posed for selfies with anyone who got in line, then gaggled with reporters afterward." See POLITICO's Scott Mahaskey photo gallery

TODAY: Warren makes stops in Sioux City, Storm Lake and Des Moines. On Sunday, she'll close out the tour in Ankeny with a discussion with female leaders. Follow @natashakorecki for daylong updates

-- "Elizabeth Warren nabs Obama's chief digital strategist, beefs up national staff," by CNN's MJ Lee: "Joe Rospars, who led former President Obama's digital strategy in both 2008 and 2012, has joined Warren's newly launched presidential exploratory committee in a senior capacity ... He will oversee the senator's grassroots mobilization, national operations and planning in the early states." CNN
       
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-- "'The new straw poll': 2020 candidates race to build small-donor armies," by Elena Schneider 

-- "Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand gauges Wall Street executives' interest in backing a potential 2020 presidential run," by CNBC's Brian Schwartz: "Gillibrand has personally been working the phones and calling senior executives at Wall Street firms in recent weeks to see whether they would back her campaign if she jumps into the race, according to two senior business leaders who spoke on the condition of anonymity." CNBC

-- @ShaneGoldmacher: "NEW: At an off-the-record with journalists and political types in Manhattan [Thursday] night at @MollyJongFast's house, South Bend Mayor @PeteButtigieg left the distinct impression he's not only running for president in 2020 but could announce very soon, per attendees."

CLICKER - "The nation's cartoonists on the week in politics," edited by Matt Wuerker -- 11 funnies 

                 PLAYBOOK READS         

PHOTO DU JOUR: President Donald Trump speaks in the Rose Garden of the White House on Friday, as House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, House Minority Whip Steve Scalise and Vice President Mike Pence listen. | Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo
   
THE INVESTIGATIONS - "Expiring Mueller grand jury gets extension," by Josh Gerstein: "The key grand jury used by Mueller came into existence on July 5, 2017, and would have run out Saturday without action from the court. Chief Judge Beryl Howell approved the extension of the investigative panel, although there was no comment by the court on why. 'The chief judge confirms that grand jury 17-1 has been extended,' an aide to Howell said Friday." POLITICO

- NYT'S KEN VOGEL: "Congress Is Examining Decision to Lift Sanctions on Russian's Firms": "Congress is reviewing the Trump administration's decision to lift sanctions on companies owned by Oleg V. Deripaska, an influential Russian oligarch [whose 51st birthday was on Wednesday] with close ties to President Vladimir V. Putin, Democrats said on Friday. The reviews could fuel a congressional effort to block the administration's decision, which came after an aggressive lobbying and legal campaign against the sanctions by Mr. Deripaska's corporate empire." NYT

K-FILE - "VA Secretary Robert Wilkie didn't disclose pro-Confederate associations on confirmation paperwork," by CNN's Andrew Kaczynski: "Wilkie was required to disclose in a sworn statement submitted to the Senate committee his public statements, published materials and memberships he held in organizations over the past decade. Wilkie, however, did not disclose any of his ties to Confederate groups. ... Curt Cashour, a spokesperson for Wilkie, did not answer questions as to why the secretary did not list the associations on the questionnaire." CNN

AT FOGGY BOTTOM -- "Former Trump critic promoted to top anti-ISIS job," by Nahal Toosi: "James Jeffrey, who oversees America's engagement with other nations on Syrian issues, will now also serve as Trump's special envoy to the coalition fighting the Islamic State. ... Trump aides now say the drawdown could span four months. On Friday, a senior State Department official added to the confusion by saying there is no timeline." POLITICO

    
         
FACEBOOK VS. NYT - NBC'S DYLAN BYERS: "Mark Zuckerberg and other Facebook executives are fed up with The New York Times after weeks of what they see as overtly antagonistic coverage that betrays an anti-Facebook bias, several sources at the social media giant tell me. 

"The frustration was rekindled this week after the Times bought a sponsored post on Facebook to promote 'a step-by-step guide to breaking up with' Facebook and Instagram - a move sources likened to Facebook taking out an ad in the Times encouraging readers to cancel their subscriptions." NBC News

GREAT WEEKEND READS, curated by Daniel Lippman:

-- "'It Was Camelot on Steroids': Trump, Marla, The Beach Romp, Anti-Semitism, and the Epic Battle for Mar-a-Lago," by Laurence Leamer, author of "Mar-a-Lago: Inside the Gates of Power at Donald Trump's Presidential Palace," in Vanity Fair: "Back in the mid-90s, Trump was a nearly bankrupt grifter who fell in love-with a beachfront resort. In order to save Mar-a-Lago, he took on Palm Beach, went to war with the National Enquirer, and race-baited. It was the fight of his life ... and it may have informed everything that came after." VF ... $20.93 on Amazon

-- "Pan Am Flight 103: Robert Mueller's 30-Year Search for Justice," by Garrett Graff in Wired - per Longreads.com's description: "Today, Robert Mueller heads the investigation into Russian collusion in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. At Wired, Garrett M. Graff reports on one of Mueller's perhaps lesser known but nonetheless fascinating and insightful previous assignments: at one time, Mueller oversaw the U.S.' investigation into the bombing of Pan Am Flight 103." Wired

-- "How America Grew Bored With Love," by David Masciotra in the American Conservative: "The pop love song and rom-com have died, relics in a world of instant gratification and consumerism." American Conservative

-- "What the President Could Do If He Declares a State of Emergency," by Elizabeth Goitein in the Atlantic's Jan./Feb. issue: "From seizing control of the internet to declaring martial law, President Trump may legally do all kinds of extraordinary things." The Atlantic

-- "Learning China's Forbidden History, So They Can Censor It," by Li Yuan in the NYT: "Thousands of low-wage workers in 'censorship factories' trawl the online world for forbidden content, where even a photo of an empty chair could cause big trouble." NYT

-- "Who Killed The Weekly Standard?" by the New Yorker's Benjamin Wallace-Wells in the New Yorker: "'If you know very little you think it's about Trump,' one Standard staffer told me. 'And if you know almost everything then you think it has almost nothing to do with Trump. But if you know absolutely everything there is to know you realize it really is about Trump after all.'" New Yorker

-- "Lost in the Valley of Death," by Harley Rustad in Outside - per Longreads.com's description: "The Parvati Valley in the Indian Himalayas - known for its overwhelming beauty - calls to those who want to shed their possessions as part of a quest for spiritual enlightenment. As Harley Rustad reports at Outside, it's also known for a plethora of missing and (presumably murdered) Western adventure tourists." Outside

-- "Would Human Extinction Be a Tragedy?" by Todd May in the NYT: "Our species possesses inherent value, but we are devastating the earth and causing unimaginable animal suffering." NYT

-- "The star treatment," by Geoff Edgers in WaPo: "As R. Kelly's career flourished, an industry overlooked allegations of abusive behavior toward young women." WaPo (h/t Longform.org)

-- "An internment camp for 10 million Uyghurs: Meduza visits China's dystopian police state" - Meduza - per TheBrowser.com's description: "Millions of CCTV cameras cover the province, even the deserts. Police checkpoints straddle every road and corner; the police routinely search every house. Old Kashgar has been razed and rebuilt. All books published before 2009 have been confiscated. The government bugs every phone. Perhaps a million Uyghurs - ten percent of the population - are held in prison-like re-education camps." Meduza

-- "More legal Mexican farm workers are coming to SC than ever. But few are protecting them," by the Post and Courier's Hannah Alani: The "'guest worker' program ... has surged exponentially in recent years ... Nearly a quarter-million foreign workers poured into the country to fill these jobs [in 2017] through the U.S. Labor Department's H-2A visa program - almost triple the number recorded just five years earlier." Post and Courier
 
-- "See the ingenious toys made by refugee children," by NatGeo's Nina Strochlic: "These kids would have been the first generation to grow up in an independent South Sudan, if war hadn't so quickly dispelled them. Today, more than 1 million children have fled the country, building new lives in refugee camps scattered in Uganda and other neighbors of South Sudan." NatGeo

                 PLAYBOOKERS      
FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: TOM DAVIS, the former Republican congressman from Virginia, has started as a senior partner at Holland and Knight. He will be working on government relations, congressional investigations, tech M&A and land use law. He previously was managing director of federal government affairs at Deloitte, where he spent 10 years.

 JAY SURES, co-president of UTA, has been appointed by outgoing California Gov. Jerry Brown to the University of California Board of Regents.

BIRTHDAYS: David Simas, CEO of the Obama Foundation, is 49 ... former CIA Director George Tenet is 66 ... former Rep. Tom Davis (R-Va.) is 7-0. He's celebrating by running 10 miles ... former Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell is 75 ... former Vice President Walter Mondale is 91 ... The Hill's John Solomon is 52 ... Katie Lillie, COS at the Paul G. Allen Frontiers Group in Seattle (hat tip: Ben Chang) ... Allison Price ... WSJ's Nick Timiraos ... Nick Lanyi ... Kuwaiti PM Jaber Al-Mubarak Al-Hamad Al-Sabah is 77 ... Shab Sharbatoghlie ... AP's David Bauder ... Ally Flinn ... Mimi Mager ... Joe Wineke ... Kristen Grimm ... Alexis Bataillon (h/ts Jon Haber) ... Sruti Ramadugu (h/t Allison Bormel)
 ... Mark Hancock ... former Rep. Nancy Johnson (R-Conn.) is 84 ... former Rep. Carolyn McCarthy (D-N.Y.) is 75 ... Rep. Rodney Davis (R-Ill.) is 49 ... Ohio Attorney General and former U.S. Sen. Mike DeWine is 72 ...

... Josh Galper is 47 (h/t Eleanor McManus) ... CEI's Christine Hall ... Niskanen Center's Andrew Mills (h/t Annie Starke) ... Matthew La Corte (h/ts Joey Coon) ... Bush alum Carrie Underwood ... Richard Harris ... Ariella Lehrer is 66 ... Jeff Hauser ... Nash Jenkins, MA candidate in American literature at UChicago and a Time alum ... Mercury's Jake Dilemani ... Allison Biasotti ... RNC's Mandi Merritt (h/t Ryan Mahoney) ... Google's Tom Youngblood ... Val Mack ... Karen Gray Houston ... Thomas Suddes ... Daniel Sieberg is 47 ... John Drogin ... Majid Siddiqui ... Jessie Torres Perkins ... Veronica Vaquer ... Sharon Scates ... John Reid ... Aaron Dowd ... Lara Bergthold ... Patrick
 Ottenhoff ... Sara Throener ... Thad Nation ... Juan Carlos, former King of Spain, is 81 ... Dalit Toledano ... Peter O'Keefe ... Danielle Melfi (h/t Teresa Vilmain)

THE SHOWS, by @MattMackowiak, filing from Austin:

NBC
 
"Meet the Press": Mick Mulvaney ... Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) ... House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.). Panel: David Brooks, Matthew Continetti, Donna Edwards and Kasie Hunt
   
CNN
 
"State of the Union": Mick Mulvaney ... Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) ... Sen. Doug Jones (D-Ala.). Panel: Rep. Karen Bass (D-Calif.), David Urban, Patti Solis Doyle and Bill Kristol
   
ABC
 
"This Week": Rep. Adam Smith (D-Wash.) ... Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) ... Juli&aacute;n Castro. Panel: Matthew Dowd, Meghan McCain, Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel, Stefanie Brown James and John James
   
CBS
 
"Face the Nation": Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) ... Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) ... Democratic new member panel: Reps. Max Rose (D-N.Y.), Colin Allred (D-Texas), Mikie Sherrill (D-N.J.) and Jahan Hayes (D-Conn.). Panel: Dan Balz, Shannon Pettypiece, Mark Landler and Ed O'Keefe
   
Fox
 
"Fox News Sunday": Sarah Huckabee Sanders ... Rep. David Cicilline (D-R.I.). Panel: Jason Chaffetz, Marie Harf, Jonah Goldberg and Mo Elleithee ... "Power Players of the Week": Reps. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) and Mark Green (R-Tenn.)
   
Fox News
 
"Sunday Morning Futures": Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Ala.) ... Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) ... Rep. Mac Thornberry (R-Texas) ... Alan Dershowitz. Panel: Gordon Chang and former State Department official Jim Roberts
   
Fox News
 
"MediaBuzz": Guy Benson ... Susan Ferrechio ... Capri Cafaro ... Ben Domenech ... Mara Liasson ... Paul Steinhauser
   
CNN
 
"Inside Politics": Manu Raju, Maggie Haberman, Eliana Johnson and Lisa Lerer
   
CNN
 
"Fareed Zakaria GPS": Panel: Ian Bremmer, Rana Foroohar and David Miliband ... Michael Pillsbury ... author Steven Johnson ("Farsighted: How We Make the Decisions That Matter the Most")
   
CNN
 
"Reliable Sources": Connie Schultz ... panel: Karen Finney, Symone Sanders and Dan Pfeiffer ... David Frum and Frank Bruni ... William Arkin
   
Univision
 
"Al Punto": Ana Mar&iacute;a Archila and Alfonso Aguilar, former undocumented workers at the Trump National Golf Club Victorina Morales and Sandra D&iacute;az ... "Perfectos Desconocidos" director Manolo Caro ... Daniel Habif ... Mar&iacute;a McFarland
   
C-SPAN
 
"The Communicators": Kai-Fu Lee ("AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order") ... "Newsmakers": Reps. Jim McGovern (D-Mass.) and Mark Takano (D-Calif.) ... "Q&A": Keach Hagey
   
MSNBC
 
"Kasie DC": Wash. Gov. Jay Inslee ... Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-Calif. ) ... Saxby Chambliss ... Nadeam Elshami ... Michael Steel ... Rick Tyler ... John Harwood ... Shawna Thomas... Jeremy Peters ... Laura Barron-Lopez
   
Washington Times
 
"Mack on Politics" weekly politics podcast with Matt Mackowiak (download on iTunes, Google Play, or Stitcher or listen at MackOnPolitics.com): Steve Forbes.
               
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